NZD USD - FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSISAn extended period of U.S. dollar depreciation is approaching.
The greenback could be relatively stable in the near term, as some additional Fed tightening combined with the potential for mildly unsettled markets could provide temporary support for the greenback. However, we expect the U.S. currency to come under pressure as aggressive Fed easing starts in Q4-2023. We forecast the trade-weighted dollar to soften 3% over the balance of 2023, and by a further 5% in 2024.
Newzealanddollar
GBPNZD Best trading plan for the time beingThe GBPNZD pair has given us a wonderful buy signal last time we looked at it (January 26) as the analysis below shows, hitting our 2.000 target:
The price is now on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and is a critical level as its closing will decide the short-term trend. If this 1D candle closes below it, we will sell and target the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) at 1.95000. If it closes above it, we expect a rebound to 2.05000 (below the Resistance).
As you see, we have spotted an identical pattern in 2019, which was what helped us take the strong buy in January. The RSI sequences are also identical
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AUDNZD: Sell signal confirmed.The AUDNZD pair got rejected on the 1D MA50 turning the 1D technicals bearish (RSI = 42.793, MACD = -0.002, ADX = 30.864) for the first time in a month. The price got also rejected on the 1D MA200 and the LH trendline on April 21st, which started the current bearish leg. This may give a rise to a Channel Down. We are short, targeting the HL trendline (TP = 1.05300) and is the price closes under the S1, we expect a bearish extension to S2.
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NZDJPY - Resistance Becomes Support!Hey Traders👋🏻
On The Daily Time Frame The NZDJPY Price Reached A Resistance Level (584.812-85.246) !
Currently, The Price Broke The Key Level (Resistance Level Becomes New Support Level)
If Price Stays Above The Key Zone,
NZDJPY Can Continue The Bullish Move 📈
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TARGET: 86.848🎯
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NZDJPY: Approaching the Sell Zone.NZDJPY has been trading sideways inside a Rectangle pattern for a full year. Our TP = 86.300 is close to getting hit, the 1D technicals are naturally green (RSI = 65.478, MACD = 0.580, ADX = 24.917) since we are on a bullish wave but the price is approaching the Sell Zone of this pattern. That is the region between the 0.786 Fibonacci level (86.300) and the R1 Zone (87.335 - 88.145).
In addition, the 1D RSI hasn't been higher since November 1st 2022. Consequently, we are going short now targeting on the long term the 0.236 Fibonacci (TP = 81.550).
Prior idea:
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AUDNZD Triangle close to breaking outThe AUDNZD pair has hit our previous target (see chart below) and is currently on a Triangle pattern:
The break-out of this pattern will dictate the next trend. Right now the price is below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) so currently we have to give a slight edge to the bearish break-out. In that case, our target will be 1.04700 (December 16 2022 Low). If the price closes above the Triangle (Lower Highs trend-line), we will buy the break-out, target 1.10000 (bottom of Pivot Zone) and then short from the top for the long-term.
P.S. The RSI's Rectangle can be of additional help for buying and selling.
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GBPNZD: Multiple Time Frame Analysis & Trading Plan 🇬🇧🇳🇿
GBPNZD is trading in a bullish trend.
After the price set a new higher high on a daily, it retraced to a rising trend line.
Approaching that, the pair formed an inverted h&s pattern on 1H time frame.
Its neckline was broken then.
I expect a bullish continuation.
Goals: 2.1045 / 2.02
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NZDJPY Buy opportunity with its invalidation.The NZDJPY pair has been on a strong rebound ever since the April 26 hit on the 1W MA100 (red trend-line), which has been the major long-term Support. Even though it got rejected on the 85.265 Resistance, as long as the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) holds, we will be bullish targeting the bottom of the Resistance Zone at 86.500. The 1W RSI is printing a pattern similar to October 2021 - February 2022, supporting this bullish scenario, as the price has also broken above the top's Lower Highs trend-line.
On the other hand, if we close a 1D candle below the 1D MA50, the bullish case will be invalidated and we will sell targeting the 80.600 Support.
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NZDUSD: Top-Down Analysis & Bearish Outlook 🇳🇿🇺🇸
NZDUSD reached a key daily structure resistance.
Approaching that, the price formed a tiny double top pattern on 1H time frame.
Its neckline has just been broken.
I expect a retracement from the underlined area.
Goals: 0.6279 / 0.626
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NZDUSD - NEW BREAKOUT !Hello Traders👋🏻
The NZDUSD Price formed a Falling Wedge & Reached a Resistance Line ✔
Currently, The Price Broke This Resistance Line 📈
If Price Stays Above The Key Zone, NZDUSD Can Continue The Bullish Move 📈
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TARGET: 0.62915🎯
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GBPNZD growth from the bottom of ascending channel(Shor term)🚀GBPNZD can start to grow again from the bottom of the ascending channel.
💡Reasons for GBPNZD growth:💡
A Hidden Divergence(HD+) between two successive valleys in the ascending channel.
Buy signal in RSI indicator .
Confirmation of the end of the movement by the StochRSI indicator .
Hammer🔨 Candlestick Pattern formation at the bottom of the ascending channel.
🔅British Pound/New Zealand Dollar ( GBPNZD ), 4-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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EURNZD - New Bearish Move 📉Hello Traders👋🏻
The EURNZD Price Reached a Supply Zone (1.80695-1.82076) ✔
The Price Failed To Create New Higher High 📈
Currently, EURNZD is in Ascending Channel ✔
The Support Line is Broken 🔥
If Price Stays Under The Key Zone EURNZD Can Continue The Bearish Move 📉
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TARGET: 1.77490🎯
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NZD USD - FUNDAMENTAL DRIVERSAn extended period of U.S. dollar depreciation is approaching.
The greenback could be relatively stable in the near term, as some additional Fed tightening combined with the potential for mildly unsettled markets could provide temporary support for the greenback. However, we expect the U.S. currency to come under pressure as aggressive Fed easing starts in Q4-2023. We forecast the trade-weighted dollar to soften 3% over the balance of 2023, and by a further 5% in 2024.
NZDUSD Trade long-term based on this Channel Down.The NZDUSD pair is trading within a Channel Down pattern, having just broken below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). The short-term Resistance is the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). The key here is the 0.60850 Support. As long as it holds, expect a rise back to the top of the Channel Down, with our target being at 0.63000. A closing below the 0.60850 Support, will be a sell signal for us, targeting the bottom of the Channel Down at 0.59000.
On the longer term, if the price breaks above Resistance 1, we'll target Resistance 2 at 0.65435. Only a break above the top of the 2 year Bearish Megaphone can justify more buying.
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NZDJPY - Waiting for a Breakout ....HELLO TRADERS !
On The Daily Time Frame The NZDJPY Price Reached a Resistance Level !
i'm waiting for a breakout on the Support Line !
Than! we will see a Bearish Move 📉
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TARGET 1: 82.295🎯
TARGET 2: 81.080🎯
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NZDUSD: Inverse Head and Shoulders. Excellent buy.The NZDUSD pair is under the 1D MA50, in marginally bearish 1D technicals (RSI = 44.978, MACD = -0.001, ADX = 16.625) but over the 1D MA200 and with S1 just below it. However the long term pattern emerges as an Inverse Head and Shoulders, a technically bullish formation that shapes market bottoms. Consequently, this is a buy opportunity for us targeting R1 (TP = 0.65400) on the medium term.
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NZDCAD: Classic Bullish Reversal 🇳🇿🇨🇦
NZDCAD is taking off from a key daily structure support.
The price formed an inverted head & shoulders pattern, testing that.
It neckline was broken this morning.
I expect a bullish continuation on the pair.
Goal - 0.8323
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GBPNZD: Expecting One More Bullish Wave 🇬🇧🇳🇿
GBPNZD is trading in a bullish trend on a daily.
The price has been recently testing a wide horizontal supply area.
It was finally broken this week.
The broken structure and a rising trend line now compose the buy zone.
I will expect a bullish continuation from the underlined green area.
Next goal - 2.02
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Recession Probability Dumped NZDIn the 4-hour and daily timeframe, FRVP shows the $0.6230 level as a critical support. At the same time, we see that it has been in the ascending channel since the beginning of March and is currently breaking the lower support of the channel. The fact that the sub-support of the channel and the FRVP support are in the same region increases the risk level of this region. The prospect of New Zealand's possible recession has pushed the NZD below this risk level. In such a scenario, it is possible to see $0.60 levels.