NZDCHF Strong buy opportunity within the Channel Up.The NZDCHF pair delivered a fast-profit buy signal last time (May 09, see chart below), with the price even breaking above the established Channel Up:
A new Channel Up prevailed as seen on the current chart and since it held the Support of the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), it broke again above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and gave a bullish confirmation.
We expect the extension of the uptrend in the form of the new Bullish Leg of the Channel Up (1D RSI also rebounded on a bottom formation similar to all previous buy opportunities). Our Target is 0.56750 (Resistance 2).
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Newzealanddollar
NZDCAD Excellent buy opportunity on this pull-back.The NZDCAD pair gave us a great buy entry last time we looked at it (May 08, see chart below) and made a direct hit on our 0.8500 Target:
The price got heavily rejected straight after and just hit the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) again. The pattern that seems to be prevailing is a Channel Up (blue). The last time we had a Higher High rejection on its top, the pair pulled-back to the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and then made a short-term bounce to the Internal Lower Highs trend-line.
As a result, we will be using this opportunity to buy and target 0.84500 (just below the symmetrical Lower Highs trend-line).
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Capture 80 Pips on NZDCHF + Tips for Small vs. Big GainsIn this video, I'm diving into a quick trading opportunity on NZDCHF, aiming to capture a swift 80 pips! I'll also share valuable tips on how to determine when to go for small gains and when to aim for larger ones.
We'll analyze the current market conditions, key indicators, and technical setups that make this 80-pip gain a solid target. Plus, I'll explain my decision-making process and the factors that influence whether to pursue small or big gains.
Join me for an insightful session packed with actionable strategies and expert advice to enhance your trading decisions. Don't forget to like, comment, and subscribe for more high-impact trading tips and market analysis. Let's capture those pips together! 🚀💹
NZDUSD Is this 1D Golden Cross a bearish signal?The NZDUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Down on the 1D time-frame since the February 02 2023 High. The price almost reached the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, which has formed both previous Lower Highs.
As the pair completed a 1D Golden Cross today, traders might immediately think that this is a bullish signal, as theory suggests but in the past 18 months, both previous Golden Crosses have formed the Top.
At the same time, the 1D RSI completed a Double Top, similar to the December 27 2023 Top. As a result, we have strong evidence to sell this pair again, and target 0.57750 (Support 1).
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NZD/USD: Takeaways into ThursdayNZDUSD – Technical Overview
The overall pressure remains on the downside, with the market stalling on attempts to move up into the 0.6500 area. However, there are indications that the market may be attempting to establish a longer-term base. To alleviate medium-term downward pressure and support this prospect, a break back above 0.6500 is necessary. A monthly close below 0.5800 would intensify bearish price action.
R2: 0.6222 – 12 June high – Strong
R1: 0.6200 – Figure – Medium
S1: 0.6083 – 22 May low – Medium
S2: 0.6031 – 15 May low – Strong
NZDUSD – Fundamental Overview
The New Zealand Dollar has benefited from the risk-on sentiment following the latest soft CPI print from the US, which has renewed demand for risk-correlated assets. However, rallies have been hindered by more hawkish communications from the Fed. Key highlights on Thursday's calendar include German wholesale prices, Eurozone industrial production, US producer prices, US initial jobless claims, and some Fed speak.
Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
NZDUSD - Short Trade IdeaNZDUSD recently displaced to the downside but quickly made a recovery and displaced above the swing of the recent drop. There was buyside liquidity in the form of equal highs that were swept, but the candle bodies seem to be respecting the bearish Orderblock.
I am anticipating price now return to a discount, taking out the sellside liquidity below, into a weekly BISI.
- R2F
GBPNZD 1D MA50 rejection. Sell Signal.The GBPNZD pair recently made a Bearish Break-out as it broke below the Channel Up and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), introducing a new Channel Down pattern. On Monday we saw the latest rejection on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been holding as Resistance since May 03.
As long as it holds, we expect the new Bearish Leg to start. The previous one stopped after a -2.75% decline, which currently gives a price tag at a little below 2.0300. However we will use a more modest Target, aiming at 2.04000 (a little above Support 2).
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EURNZD: Buy Opportunity
Well, as you can see, the price hit the daily bullish FVG in deep discount and cleared the sell-side liquidity. Here in the hourly chart, we know the market structure shifted and we are bullish now.
Now we are on the buy side of the curve so we expect the price to stay above the key level and respect the bullish PD Arrays, like Order block and FVG that you can see on the chart.
We need LTF confirmation for entry.
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🔎 DYOR
🗓️06/06/2024
💡Wait for the update!
NZDCAD: Bearish scenarios...! (Details on caption) By checking the hourly NZDCAD chart we can figure out that the bearish scenario is high probability.
the price cleared the liquidity above the daily candle and then shifted the market structure and also had a bearish reaction to the bearish order block.
Now, we can see the sell side liquidity which formed as equal lows, trend line liquidity, and daily FVG which can be our last target.
For seeing this bearish move I can expect two scenarios that you can see on the chart.
First, the price can move down from here.
second, because of the clean buy-side liquidity we can expect the price to sweep the liquidity first and then move down. (I prefer to follow this scenario)
As always we need LTF confirmation for entry.
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🔎 DYOR
🗓️07/06/2024
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GBPNZD 1H Long Trade - 1:6 RRRPair: GBPNZD
Action: Buy
RRR: 1:6
SL: 2.06221
TP: 2.09800
Indicators:
EMA200: The EMA200 serves as a critical indicator of the long-term trend direction.
MACD Trend: The MACD indicator helps traders assess the strength and direction of the trend.
Supertrend: The Supertrend indicator acts as a reliable tool for identifying entry points in alignment with the prevailing trend.
GBPNZD 1H Long Trade - 1:6 RRRPair: GBPNZD
Action: Buy
RRR: 1:6
SL: 2.06221
TP: 2.09800
Indicators:
EMA200: The EMA200 serves as a critical indicator of the long-term trend direction.
MACD Trend: The MACD indicator helps traders assess the strength and direction of the trend.
Supertrend: The Supertrend indicator acts as a reliable tool for identifying entry points in alignment with the prevailing trend.
NZDUSD 1H Short Trade - 1:6 RRRPair: NZDUSD
Action: Sell
RRR: 1:6
SL: 0.62053
TP: 0.60339
Indicators:
EMA200: The EMA200 serves as a critical indicator of the long-term trend direction.
MACD Trend: The MACD indicator helps traders assess the strength and direction of the trend.
Supertrend: The Supertrend indicator acts as a reliable tool for identifying entry points in alignment with the prevailing trend.
AUDNZD Know when to buy and sell. Strong pattern ahead.The AUDNZD pair is currently consolidating exactly on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) following the May 07 rejection near Resistance 1, which resulted in a strong sell-off. We expect this sell-off to extend at least as low as the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (blue) and then rebound towards the Symmetrical Resistance Zone, approximately on the upward 0.618 Fib (black).
Our long-term Target is eventually 1.06600 (near Support 1). Our projection is based on the similar price action of June- July 2023.
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NZDJPY Approaching the top of 3.5 years Channel Up. Strong sell.The NZDJPY pair is trading on the 4th straight green 1W candle and is approaching the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Channel Up pattern that started on November 2020. Even though it may extend to a +9.30% rise (the smallest long-term it had within the pattern), selling now offers excellent Risk/ Reward conditions. Our target is 92.000 (Higher Lows trend-line).
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NZDUSD Still bullish but be aware of the sell opportunity above.The rebound we expected on NZDUSD came a little later than we expected two months ago (March 22, see chart below) but nonetheless it is being delivered now and the price is now very close to our medium-term target:
Since we observe though a shift on the Lower Highs trend-line of the long-term Channel Down, we decide to push the Target higher to 0.62600, which now represents the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level and would be almost a +7.14% rise, similar to the July 14 2023 (Lower) High.
A 1D RSI Double Top would be a perfect sell entry signal like December 27 2023.
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