Old chart but still valid-that is great!Hello Wonderful being!
It truly has been a very long time since my last post, but ii has not been that much reason to post lately.
Simple truth is from the title, that my old chart is still valid and been battle-tested.
The pointers I have on the chart are still what I am watching but let me summarize:
Heiken Ashi is used to remove noise from chart
The colored blocks, segments, are tested and are valid. Look for these as support and resistant if we retrace down.
The Black triangle has been breached to the upside, very good indicator.
The Head & shoulder line has been breached to the upside, but are in threat area to be broken to downside. This line must hold to maintain bullish momentum.
The very old trend line as been tested once again and still valid. If this is broken this week, look for downside correction and watch the colored blocks for resistant and supports.
Things I am concerned about this week, and late September:
Stock market is becoming weak, and seeing downside. Has correction started or is still just a breather?
If stock market correct further, we can see more red in crypto as people and companies will start to book profit in crypto to cover losses in stock market.
The capricious element now is that BTC and crypto is more accepted, which could indicate that money moving out of stock market might come into crypto AFTER it has corrected first. There has been numerous financial conferences where crypto has been a major discussion, even in the latest gold conference. This is great, as more institutional money might come into crypto market as more hedge and more investment.
As always,
stay safe, trade well, do not take risk you cannot endure.
Nextgentrader
BWord pump!Hello again, beautiful person!
Just wanted to punch in and say that this pump might be due to BWord conferance which is due today.
The word on the street is that something big will be announced, and the highly anticipated discussion between Musk and Dorsey.
If you are entering the market, just be sure to place your stop losses; because this might be a fake out (Buy the rumour and sell the news).
Stay safe out there!
22k - 20K is a probable possibilityHello wonderful being!
May to July have not been pleasant for Crypto, especially BTC. There have been gains in DeFi and NFT markets, but they have been correcting hard along with stock market and BTC.
The delta variant is threatening another lock down which would devastate the overall market.
This week many large corporates will present their results and their prognosis. This will affect the market.
BTC and crypto is in a downward trend, but fundamentals are still strong along with chain analysis.
Downward motion is expected, and upside would probably happen in mid to late August.
Personally, I have sold some of my crypto in my trading account, in order to have USDC and Euro ready; if or when BTC takes a dive.
Looking at buying into ETH and BTC equally, with some NFT gaming tokens for speculations.
Stay safe out there!
Wish you all a great summer!
Quicker the darkside is. Stronger, notHello beautiful person!
Quick article, just wanted to heed you all a warning if you think about entering or trading.
Price had a very strong support at expected level 25k euro, and bounced upwards.
However it is wise to wait for a confirmation before entering, in order to minimize risk.
Confirmation would come in form of breaking resistant line (previous support), and retesting as a new support line; while holding.
This confirms that downward momentum is lower than the upward momentum, and we can see increase in price or sideways.
Stay safe out there and control your feelings!
Darkside, quicker it is.
Stronger; it is not!
PS
Sorry For the messy chart. It was totally different from preview and to publish.
Been here before- Deja Vue!Hello wonderful person!
We have been here before in these price ranges, and not that overall surprising that we are retesting. Especially considering how the stock market are correcting in USA.
If the Stock market continues to correct, then BTC short term will follow and possibly test the support at 22k Euro.
Be careful!
if you believe in BTC; nothing changed.
If you are a BTC trader, things just got more volatile, and dont forget your stop losses & profit taking; probably would not be a bad time to have some cash and stay on the side line until we see some confirmed trend breakout.
For my part:
I am HODLING with my hodl portfolio, and sold some of my trading portfolio in order to have some cash.
I believe in BTC and will hodl, I believe in some of the large cap ALTS and will hodl.
Stay safe, and if you are venturing into volatile territory and trade, trade safe and book those profits!
Take a deep breathHello wonderful person!
BTC broke the long running trendline, dreadful, and retested strong support at 25500.
The accumulation boxes I drew are still into play.
Dont forget to protect yourself with stop losses in case the strong support at 25500 is broken.
Stay safe out there and trade conscientiously!
Time to accumulate wealth
Welcome, wonderful person!
This has been an amazing period filled with anxiety and fear, must admit I felt some myself.
I have been able to stop myself from doing anything whilst panic, and still holding my bags.
However,
I will try to use this period to accumulate as much wealth as I can, meaning get more BTC in my bags.
Will transfer some savings I have had on the side and use that to actively trade BTC.
I am not taking my existing BTC to trade because: "Do not invest in your trades, and do not trade your investments".
My BTC bag is in cold storage and is my investment and will not be traded.
New bought BTC will be my trade bag, and I will not mix investment strategies in this. It will be traded purely based on support and resistant and trend lines.
Happy trading everyone, and stay safe!
Whatever you do, do not take any actions when you feel overwhelmed or in panic.
Take a short break and deep breath, then go back in with a plan!
Take a deep breath!Hello beautiful person!
Hope you had a great weekend even through this harsh weather in Crypto.
There is much FUD (Fear, Uncertainty and Doubt) even though we have still an amazing run upwards from just January.
I know that the 2017 sentiment is still strong and everyone is looking for a potential bear market like we saw back then.
This time might be different, it might not be.
We are in a very volatile period with the pandemic and printing of money and Stock market bubble and just unrest amongst many.
This will impact Crypto one way or another regardless on how strong the fundamentals are on Bitcoin.
Just want to stress that do over extend your investment, meaning: "invest with money you have, and are OK with losing".
Please be careful to the notion and feeling of trying to take back the loss you have endured so far, that is a slippery slope.
Stay safe out there, and do not panic!
Small move up and then a small correctionHello wonderful person,
I have just come home after a well rested Easter holiday, so this article will be shorter than usual and I have added most thoughts into the chart.
Previous prediction of drawn movement was not that off, and that was quite pleasing (The light blue drawing on top).
Final thoughts are that I think BTC will still move sideways with small inclination and hug the bottom trend line, only to perform a new small correction (see chart text).
Oh, and if you had hedged BTC with adding some ALT into your portoflio, congrats! You would have had some nice gains when BTC was sideways.
As always, be safe- trade safe- and happy trading!
has been a weak short term period for BTCHello wonderful person!
So, the expected launch was not impressive and looked more like a hobby sized rocket launch than a NASA or Space-X version to the moon.
BTC dropped and moved very cautious with any strong momentum. Could it be because stock market is strong, and yield is back up? Maybe...
Personally, I need BTC to break the previous trend line in order to have full faith again (for a large bull in shorter term window, but I still have 100% faith in BTC fundamentals).
The ALT coins have seen massive gains, and strong sentiment that ALT season is still upon us (for those who wish to venture into those risky adventures).
Hedging BTC with large cap ALT coins within DeFi (UNI,Terra, Cake, etc), NFT (Theta, Chiliz, Flow, Enjin, Mana, etc) and Platform (BNB, Ada, Atom, DOT etc), would have given nice gains on both Euro and BTC front; and still believe that ALT have more room to grow
Just mentioning some to give an example, not a financial advice.
By hedging with for example 60% BTC and 40% strong ALT, you would not be that vulnerable WHEN BTC start to gain momentum again; whilst still have some nice gains from ALT coin season.
Stay safe out there and have a great time with trading, and remember to trade only what you can afford to lose and do not forget to book some profit!
Tendlines hold and rested, next weekHello wonderful person!
Seems that the trendlines and resitant line was retested, and we are moving into the weekend soon; and usually weekends are slow and downward actions.
Therefore, If the price do not breakout above resistant line by today or tomorrow, we might not have a breakout until next week.
My current portfolio spread is rebalanced to 60% BTC + Ether, 40% high risk ALT coins (generally DeFi and NFT).
I am tempted to rebalance this to 80% BTC + Eth, dependent on how this run will go for this week.
As usual, stay safe out there and good luck trading!
Looking strong, but....Hello and good morning, wonderful person!
I have something to admit, and that is that I had a trend line on my previous chart that was wrong.
Wrong in the sense that it was mis-copied from my chart that I normally work and trade from.
I have added the correct one now, that matches 100% the one I am using on my other charts, and deeply sorry for that.
Changes:
- Corrected the trendline
- Added new resistant line based from fib and retesting from price actions.
- Removed clutter and old lines.
Small summary:
- Regardless of any indicator, news and rest of the market in finance are still in large affect, so stay updated with real-news
- Price have break the old trend line that I added, which is previous bull run trend line.
- The new upper resistant has been tested and is strong. Expect a rejection on first attempt
- If rejected, most likely hit back to the trendline in gold. (the one I corrected), and follow upwards to resistant line again.
- ALT-coins have shown a tremendous strength and proven it is ALT-season (NFT & De-Fi), but this might might change when BTC get really strong momentum.
Be safe out there and happy trading, and dont forget to do your own due diligence before trading.
Because, non of what I am writing are financial advice, just how I view the market and trends.
Is this the beginning of new Bull-rush?Hello wonderful person!
I have left the previous chart more or less untouched, just moved the boxes in order to see the chart better.
Also just added a new text box along with a possible new trend line.
Stay safe out there and happy trading, and do not overextend your positions.
Limbo action on BTCHello wonderful person!
I have added my thoughts into the chart, hoping this will be quicker to read and understand than a wall of text.
Just some pointers are that the first Fib retracement is added from the very start of this first upward price action (First trend).
The second fib is actually a Fib trend extension that measures from the first correction and up to the top afterwards, and then to the 2nd correction. I will use this one to spot new resistant lines and support, but compare with the first fib retracement.
Stay safe and good luck trading!
Either wayHello wonderful person!
Just wanted to pop in late this sunday and give my 5 cents.
Currently, I really cant see any strong indicating a move to either directions and the overall market seems to be unsure to me.
Therefore, my strategy now is to just hold a little bit more to see.
Since the BTC might seem to be less volatile now, maybe it is ALT-season soon?
Happy trading all, and be safe!
Previous TA still holds, but might soon be time to buy littleHello hello,
The previous TA (Technical Analysis) is still valid, with the exception of the triangle, and I have updated that one to reflect the current trend line better.
Short summary of pointer:
The support line in blue has been proven and tested to hold, which is good. It means that this is an important support line now, and will be in the future as well.
The resistant line did not break into support, meaning the momentum is not strong enough; yet! Again, it proves the current resistant line is strong and valid, and that it will act as a good support if broken.
Price is still hugging the support line, which is not comforting as it has no buffer to move before breaking the support.
Conclusion
Personally, and this is not a financial advice, I am now starting to trust the support line more and that the near future price has a high probability of staying within some margin of current price. This is telling me that there is less risk if I were to buy a small bag now.
So, I am going to search the internet for some possible news coming to GRT that will give a bump and keep a watchful eye on the momentum indicators on GRT this week.
If the indicator are strengthening, I will buy to hold.
If it is not strengthening, but keeping "as is", I will buy a small bag just to have entered the market.
If the indicator are showing weakness, I will of course hold.
PS
Cryptocurrencies are correlated with the stock exchange and financial market, especially now that large companies are investing.
Therefore, the price action of any crypto is not only connected to its community, news, tech and interest, but overall stock market and gold and general volatility in the market.
It is a theory that large companies and inst. companies, are and will use cryptocurrencies to hedge both the stock market and the currencies (FIAT).
That is why it is crucial that you take these things into consideration before buying or selling after a TA.
Not much data to work on, but no Entry for meHello hello,
My first post on GRT/Euro and looking into this token.
The token itself looks interesting from a technology perspective, but for TA (Technical Analysis) purposes; not quite there yet.
There is not much data to fill into the indicators so I can only work on the 1H and the 4 Hourly, and it is not convincing for an entry point just yet.
BTC is strong along with other large crypto assets and that might drag interest away from early tokens like this one. Meaning that we might see more sell pressure in order to enter into other assets.
The majority of the trading volume sits around price of 0.31 Euro, which is a little higher, indicating that there a some people with current loss if they sell.
Question is: will they accept that loss in order to ride other coins which is probably a safer ride?
The answer remains to be seen, but I will probably set some low buy order in case the price do drop.
This token needs some more trading days, but GRT is on my watch list!
Stay safe out there and good luck hunting profits!
Happy New Year and this is NOT 2017!Hello Wonderful and beautiful person!
Happy new year and 2021 will be indeed an interesting year for crypto, not just price, but:
What are the response of different nations on BTC when their own currency is under threat.
What will the nations do: protect their own currency control and stifle their own technology and financial progress? or will they accept crypto and include "acceptable" regulations.
What amazing new platforms will emerge with crypto finally being more "commerce" and accepted by banks.
Will the ideology Blockchain and crypto persist? or will the financial giant swallow it whole like Cronos did with its children in fear of them overthrowing him
How many of us will will sell and book profit, or hold until next "purge"/dump like that of 2018 January? It is only about time when the next correcton will happen.
My title is not a clickbait, and just a reminder that this time around is NOT 2017 nor 2018. We now have hungry, strong, resourceful investors that are into the crypto.
These investors will pick up all or most of BTC being thrown into the market. Want proof?
Just look at:
The growing number of companies putting their cash into BTC as hedge.
The massive gain these companies are advertising by going into BTC.
Growing number of financial institutions that are into BTC, and NEED a bag of BTC as collateral
Look at the massive SELL orders from bears, and how little impact it have on price. Bears try to dump, but the bulls just suck it up like a vacuum cleaner with huge smile.
I am NOT saying we will not have a correction, because that we will, but do not compare the 2017 with this year. That might be a mistake, if you are a trader.
Personally I will keep doing what I have been doing: Which is to HODL most of my BTC, but put aside some crypto and BTC for trading in order to try to add more into my HODLE bag.
Both RSI and TDI are showing weakness on the 4Hour chart, but the daily is still very strong.
Stay safe out there and good luck with the Satoshi-hunting, I know I need some luck this Q1.