NFLX
What's up with Netflix $NFLXFor this analysis we are looking at the daily timeframe.
NFLX is in a nice uptrend, but currently we are seeing a retracement, which is the chance to buy a nice stock at a smaller price.
Netflix recently broke the upper resistance of an ascending triangle formation, which is a bullish sign. The break was followed by a fastly reached ATH from which the price dropped to the 550$ mark, which is 1. supported by a weekly trendline (TL) and 2. the upper resistance (now support) of the previously broken triangle pattern, which suggests that rn could be a good time to enter a long position, right? But before spending your hard earned money right away, have a look at the $NFLX earnings (January 27th). $NFLX lately tends to fail analyst expectations on earning reports (and $NFLX tends to perform better in Q1-Q3), the rather small drops after failing those kind of reports (as long as the expectations aren't missed drastically) tend to be corrected after a couple weeks, but this drop in price could give you a chance to buy a second position.
Idea: enter a long position during the next week (since we need confirmation that our supports are stable), your TP could be at the previous ATH (21% gain if you decide to enter where I will enter (you can see the trade entry on my chart))
As always: no financial advice
Rectangle Pattern!A rectangle occurs when the price is moving between horizontal support and resistance levels.
The pattern indicates there is no trend, as the price moves up and down between support and resistance.
The rectangle ends when there is a breakout, and the price moves out of the rectangle.
Some traders like to trade the rectangles, buying near the bottom and selling or shorting near the top, while others prefer to wait for breakouts. (Investopedia)
Double Top Scenario:
Correction Wave Scenario:
Conclusion:
NFLX will go down to 575-580 in the next 10 trading days or sooner!
Best,
Moshkelgosha
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NFLX Support, then ShortNFLX
H&S forming or has formed depending on your point of view. I think we can see a bounce or BTFD! Especially because we are currently on the 200ma. This is not mandatory if the market really shows more panic and weakness we will get no bounce. Again playing the odds. Tomorrow is crucial to see support kick in, and can even squeeze a quick 9-10% return before going short.
Current Market Environment:
- Fed is going to reduce the balance sheet
- Hike in interest rates,
- EPS is slowing,
- Overall economic GDP is decelerating.
NFLX bullish divergenceThere is a bulliish divergence forming on the daily chart of NFLX. A higher low on the price chart and a loer low on the RSI. The resistance is at 626-633. When the price goes above 633 dollars, it is more likely to go up then down. And we might have a trend flip when we go above the 50 EMA.
$NFLX - Channel possible breakout/w a run up prior to earningsOnly thing missing here is volume on that breakout, but that can come any moment, NFLX has the tendency to run up before earning, and this could be no difference.
RSI Divergence as a positive indicator too.
Stop loss at structure.
Great risk reward trade, short hold, sell before ER
Great also for selling credit spreads
$W $NFLX $UBER $AAPL I OptionsSwing WatchlistW 1D I As stay at home stocks bounced a bit last Friday, we had W bounce 8%+ right at our support. W seems to be forming a bull flag on the daily chart.
NFLX 1H I NFLX is down more than 15% from all time high levels. Watching for a breakout from this downtrend, for either a relief bounce or a stay at home stocks rally.
UBER 1H I UBER double bottom near $35. Watching for a consolidation above $39. It is a bit extended from the 9 EMA on the hourly after bouncing 13%+ from $35.
AAPL 1H I AAPL is down 10 points after hitting a double top near $180. It seems to be consolidating right over $170 and we'll see this week if it remains on an uptrend.
Time to load up on Netflix $570-580Set your limit buy to $570-580 folks. Time to load up on Netflix soon for some bounce play. Netflix took a double top bearish drawdown and it’s a falling knife, with the 20 day crossing the 50 it’s still bearish and could drop more, but there is support soon. RSI 34. Today we could see my buy zone with the fed interest rates. Buy the dip!
Like and follow for more, comment let’s discuss
Netflix: Buying the Dip Netflix - Short Term - We look to Buy at 564.00 (stop at 542.00)
We look to buy dips. We have a 61.8% Fibonacci pullback level of 479.00 from 700.00 to 563.00. The 200 day moving average should provide support at 560.00. Previous resistance, now becomes support at 560.00. The bias is still for higher levels and we look for any dips to be limited. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
Our profit targets will be 612.00 and 633.00
Resistance: 632.00 / 675.00 / 700.00
Support: 600.00 / 560.00 / 510.00
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NFLX: Inflection zone incomingReally perfect trade missed on NFLX today. These I find are fairly easy when the market environment is right. Bounced off of the 100sma on friday and traded RIGHT back up to the beginning of its latest runup on 10/20 today- to the penny. Would have taken that all day had I seen it. Fibs previously drawn. When I see setups like this on names I watch regularly, I will put alerts in so that I remember and do not have to watch closely.
If we can get a market bounce here moving forward in the week, I would def watch for daytrade/swingtrade probably really both or a daytrade-turned-swing-trade (meaning leaving on a smaller size to swing which I do often when the right momentum is with the names). I stuck an alert near the top of Thur-Fri candles of last week so that if/when it hits, I can reassess it to take back up 644 or at least the 10sma- a 10/100 sma sandwich/fib play. From there, maybe a short again, but being careful to look out for Santas sleigh coming into Christmas. All Aunt Edna wants for Christmas is another year of NFLX??
IF the market continues the selling and this does not work and we lose the bottom of today/100sma, we will head back down at least to the top of the channel between 479-573 where we spent the greater part of the 2nd half of 2021~ 200sma sitting around 562.
The reason I put my alert BEFORE the top of the thur/fri candles is because IF we cannot break above those, that is an excellent place to short and the momentum would probably break the 100sma taking us back down to the 200sma and if that breaks, to the purple channel.
The cliffnotes are: there is no trade. BUT, I am prepping for a trade ;)
NFLXBull Scenario
NFLX triggers Bull to Mark Up into our Bull Targets
NFLX finds support at our Bear Trigger to Mark Up into our Bull Trigger
Bear Scenario
NFLX triggers Bear into our Bear Targets
NFLX finds Resistance at our Bull Trigger and Marks Down into our Bear Targets
Neutral
Price action stays within our Trigger levels (inventory rebalance)
Side Note
Each level has potential to reverse not all targets may be met.