NFLX
NFLX H4: SHORT IT: TP bears is 20% gains // 350/360USD(SL/TP)(STWhy get subbed to me on Tradingview?
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NFLX H4: SHORT IT: TP bears is 20% gains // 350/360USD(SL/TP)(STOCKS)
IMPORTANT NOTE: speculative setup. do your own
due dill. use STOP LOSS. don't overleverage.
🔸 Summary and potential trade setup
::: NFLX 4hour chart review and outlook
::: maxed out already
::: Currenly in distribution stage
::: SHORT IT and get paid
::: expecting break down this week
::: runaway BEAR gap as well
::: recommended strategy: SHORT IT
::: TP BEARS is 350/360 USD 20% gains
::: SHORT/HOLD setup
::: DO NOT expect overnight gains
::: This is stock market
:::Not casino in Macau
🔸 Supply/Demand Zones
. N/A
🔸 Why should I follow your setups?
:::Check track record it's all been posted
::: MRNA 200%+ gains, NVAX 300% gains, REG 60%
::: AMD 40% gains and a lot more in 2020
$NFLX Assassins Creed series coming!Hi guys!
Netflix and Ubisoft have partnered to produce the Assassins Creed series.
Ubisoft has more than 140M copies of AC games sold, 95M of which are unique. Ubisoft also reported that 3 of the top games that have over 10 million copies sold out Worldwide are AC Series - Assassins Creed: Origins, Assassins Creed: Odyssey, Assassins Creed: Unity.
For Netflix that means more or less +140M subscribers, higher revenue.
Update on Netflix - Bullish Pivot PointHey Traders, so last week I talked about how Netflix was nearing a pivot point. Well today, we got the signal that it could be pivoting to the upside. NFLX closed above the lower Keltner Channel band after 6 days of sideways movement. Ideally, this strategy would work its way across the channel to the upper bollinger bands. Let's see how it plays out. Be sure to read the original idea using the link below.
Netflix Inc. analysis📈NFLX LONG D1
🛒BUY above = 494.30
🎯Target1 = 503.70
🎯Target2 = 509.50
🎯Target2 = 518.95
🛑Trailing Stop loss = 479
❌Cancel trade = 479
🙈Recommended risk = 1-2%
#NFLX #NFLXLONG #BUYNFLX
📉NFLX SHORT D1
🛒SELL BELOW = 479
🎯Target1 = 467.85
🎯Target2 = 460.95
🎯Target3 =
🛑Trailing Stop loss = 494.95
❌Cancel trade = 494.95
🙈Recommended risk = 3-5%
#NFLXSHORT #NFLXSELL
Netflix is nearing a pivot pointHey traders, so Netflix NASDAQ:NFLX has been dropping the last 6 sessions and has fallen into one of my favorite areas for catching a pivot trade. Basically, the strategy here is to wait for Netflix to pop above the lower Keltner channel after being in between the lower Keltner and Bollinger bands before taking any long trades. Price still could move towards the lower Bollinger Band, so we need to be patient and not rush into a bullish trade, unless you are ok with having some drawdown, which I am not. I trade options, so I try to wait as long as possible before the pivot happens because theta decay eats up the long call position if I get in too early. If you are buying the stock, the passing of time will not hurt your stock position. On my trading platform, I wrote an indicator that automatically plots cyan dots whenever price is between the lower Bollinger Bands and Keltner channel, and then it plots a white dot once price crosses above the lower Keltner channel. I manually drew an example of what that looks like on the chart above.
So now that you know what I am waiting for, I'll tell you a couple of things about this strategy. Sometimes, the move I am waiting for ends up happening in between sessions. For example, if tomorrow NFLX gaps up and opens near the upper Keltner Channel, I wouldn't take the trade because the move I was hoping to capture with the long call already happened. I am looking to ride the long call as the stock steadily moves itself across the Keltner channel until it reaches the upper Keltner or Bollinger band.
Another thing that could happen, is price could fall past the lower Bollinger band. If that happens, it invalidates the trade (at least for me it does) and I would wait for the price to come back between the lower Bollinger band and Keltner channel so that I'll be ready to try again it crosses above the lower Keltner channel at that time.
Note for Options Traders: I usually try to buy calls with this setup, but I almost always experience a period of sideways movement which end up hurting the long call. To avoid the negative effects of theta decay, you can substitute the long call with a put credit spread since put credit spreads benefit from theta decay making them cheaper to buy back.
NFLX - Targets $482 (-15%) on subscriber growth missNetflix misses on Subscriber growth number. 2.20 million vs. 3.57 million expected.
If you ask me the expectation was too high and set to disappoint.
The chart is already forming a double top and creating short them resistance to the upside.
Last time when NFLX missed subscriber growth numbers and had a Quarterly decline was Q2 2019. On these results the stock traded down -15% before going higher into Q3 2019.
We will see a similar decline on this subscriber miss. I might to try to make a move up to catch the SMA with the gap down AH before it continues to trade lower by the end of the week.
RSI will curve down with 5 straight days of selling. Hoping for some buyers will show up next 2 days to build some downside resistance day after tomorrow.
Targets $482 – 15% from previous highs. could go much lower.
Already down in AH.
NASDAQ:NFLX Always trades down after ER before moving up.
Chart looks like a coloring class. Still new at this.
Do follow and comment below for your targets on NFLX for this week.
10/20 NFLX Earnings StrangleActionable strangle for NFLX earnings. A break of recent resistance or support in either direction is profitable on intrinsic value alone. Although premium is higher than ideal given upcoming earnings, there is still a good opportunity here. Will return to work and Cuties controversy lead to a substantial subscriber decrease? Or will earnings confirm the bull thesis? Additionally, will movement towards a cash flow positive business be perceived as a sustainable move, or signal the end of an era of growth and transition toward a share price more in line with a traditional business model.
Let's find out.
10/12 NFLX IdeasI post my charts so I can hear your ideas, contradictions, or support for the following graph.
NFLX making a triple top would start a downtrend. (even if you dont see a triple top, if a double top forms its the same result)
The triangle still has ways to go to determine its break so it can go either way.
With earnings this month I believe they did not acquire a significant amount of new subscribers and with COVID did not release many HIT movies.
Anyway leave the comments below thanks
THE WEEK AHEAD: AAL, TSLA, SNAP, NFLX EARNINGS; XOP, GDXJ, SLVEARNINGS:
Got a bunch of potentially worthwhile, earnings announcement volatility contraction plays on tap this coming week. Here there are, ordered by "bang for your buck":
AAL (29/99/19.7%), announcing Thursday before market open: Due to its size, I would probably go short straddle or iron fly, with the November 20th 12 short straddle paying 2.46 (19.7% as a function of stock price), and the November 20th 8/12/12/16 four-wide iron fly, paying 2.00 even.
TSLA (29/79/19.1%), announcing on Wednesday after market close. Pictured here is a 10-wide iron condor, with the short option legs set up at the 20 delta. Markets are showing wide in the after hours, but would adjust strikes as necessary to get at least one-third the width of your wings in credit (i.e., 3.33 for a 10 wide, 1.67 for a five, etc.).
SNAP (35/97/17.2%), announcing Tuesday after market close. The November 20th 19 delta 24/35 short strangle was paying 1.35 at the mid price, with the defined risk 22/25/33/36 iron condor paying 1.11.
NFLX (43/62/14.3%), announcing on Tuesday after market close. The November 20th 455/465/635/645 was paying 3.91 at the mid price as of Friday close. As with the TSLA defined risk play, look to adjust strikes as necessary to get at least one-third the width of your wings in credit.
EXCHANGE-TRADED FUNDS, RANKED BY PERCENTAGE OF STOCK PRICE THE NOVEMBER AT-THE-MONEY SHORT STRADDLE IS PAYING AND SCREENED FOR THOSE PAYING GREATER THAN 10%:
XOP (14/55/13.1%)
GDXJ (18/49/12.6%)
SLV (39/50/11.2%)
XLE (26/45/10.2%)
EWZ (15/42/10.0%)
BROAD MARKET:
QQQ (33/35/8.0%)
IWM (29/33/7.2%)
SPY (23/27/5.8%)
EFA (18/22/4.6%)
IRA DIVIDEND EARNERS, RANKED BY PERCENTAGE OF STOCK PRICE THE NOVEMBER AT-THE-MONEY SHORT STRADDLE IS PAYING AND SCREENED FOR THOSE PAYING GREATER THAN 10%:
SLV (39/40/11.2%)*
XLE (26/45/10.2%)
KRE (24/43/10.1%)
EWZ (15/42/10.1%)
MUSINGS:
16 days left until the general election. Out of an abundance of caution, I'm not adding anything here, but may do some "window dressing" rolls of my IWM and QQQ shorts puts I have on in the November 20th expiry just to lock in realized profit, and I'll do an educational post as to what that would entail. Handsitting, thumb twiddling while the markets do their thing is the hardest part ... .
* -- Neither SLV nor GLD pay a dividend.