NETFLIX Last pull-back possible before $750Netflix (NFLX) has been trading within a long-term Channel Up on the logarithmic scale for the past 20 months. The trend is very aggressive to the upside and since the first Bullish Leg made a Higher High on February 03 2022 on a +130.30% rise, we do expect a similar % rally that would technically target a little below $800, so aiming at $750 would be a fair price.
Until then however, the Channel Up structure suggests that the stock has entered the Volatility Phase which during the previous Bullish Leg took place right before the Peak. As a result, a last pull-back towards the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) would also be fair. Technically it could seek the -0.236 Fibonacci extension ($550) from the Take-off Phase's High.
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NFLX
$NFLX last leg higher? $661-680 targets?NASDAQ:NFLX looks like it's setting up for a final move into resistance.
It just broke above resistance and reclaimed it as support. Now the final thing it needs to do is break up above the trendline.
If it can do that, then I think we'll hit one of the final two resistance targets.
Let's see how it plays out.
Aroon Indicator: Identifying Trends and MomentumAroon Indicator: Identifying Trends and Momentum
The Aroon indicator is one of several technical analysis indicators that traders use to identify the direction of trends and establish when they are set to reverse.
In this FXOpen article, we describe how to use the Aroon indicator to buy and sell stocks as well as other assets and explain why traders use it in combination with other technical analysis tools to help direct your trading strategies.
What Is the Aroon Indicator?
The Aroon indicator was created in 1995 by Tushar Chande, a technical analyst who has created several popular trading indicators. It features dual lines: The "Aroon Up" denotes the strength of an uptrend, while the "Aroon Down" measures the strength of a decline.
Is the Aroon indicator leading or lagging? It is lagging as it measures how much time has passed between market highs and lows over a given period, based on the idea that assets in a strong bullish trend will regularly record new highs, while those in decline will regularly trade at new lows. Traders utilise this to determine if an asset is trending, trading within a range, or starting a new trend. It helps them to gauge the strength of the movement and anticipate when prices will change direction.
Aroon Indicator Formula Explained
The Aroon indicator formula comprises two separate calculations.
The formula for the Aroon Up line = x 100%.
The formula for the Aroon Down line = x 100%.
The Aroon indicator is explained as a tool to evaluate the highest and lowest values within a specified timeframe. If the highest value occurs in the current candlestick, the up value is set to 100, indicating a new peak. If not, it returns a percentage value indicating the time elapsed since the last peak. Conversely, if the lowest value occurs in the current bar, the down value is 100, indicating a new low. It otherwise returns a percentage value that shows the time since the last low within the timeframe.
Best Setting for the Aroon Indicator
Using a short timeframe often makes it difficult to interpret this indicator. Chande recommends the best setting for the calculation is to measure prices over 25 periods, tracking when the last top and bottom occurred. The TickTrader platform does this for you, displaying the Aroon Up and Aroon Down indicators below the price data on a chart.
The two lines range between 0 and 100. When measuring 25-day periods, a number above 50 indicates that the high or low was hit within the last 12.5 days, while numbers below 50 show that the high or low was seen within the previous 12.5 days. Below, we look at how to read the Aroon indicator.
How to Implement the Aroon Indicator Into Your Strategy
There are four main ways you might utilise an Aroon indicator on a chart to analyse price action. The results are relatively easy to interpret.
Identify Prevailing Trends
The most common way to use it is to determine the direction of the market. If Aroon Up is above the 50 level and the Aroon Down below 50, the trend is bullish, and it is more likely that the market will surge to new highs than lows. You could take this as a signal to enter or hold a long position. Conversely, if the down value is above 50 and the up value is below 50, as on the chart below, the trend is bearish, and you could opt to go short.
Identify Potential Trend Changes
Crossovers of the two lines often indicate that the market is changing direction. When Aroon Up crosses above Aroon Down, the market may be starting a new bullish trend. It is considered to be underway when the Aroon Up line reaches 100 and is confirmed if it remains between 70 and 100, with the Aroon Down between 0 and 30.
A bearish turn could be emerging if Aroon Down crosses over the Aroon Up line and reaches 100. If it remains between 70 and 100 while the Aroon Up holds between 0 and 30, the bearish move is confirmed.
You could utilise this as a signal to go long once the Aroon Up crosses above the Aroon Down and go short once the Aroon Down crosses above the Aroon Up.
Note that sometimes the lines will break above 50 before crossing over each other.
Assess Trend Strength
Values between 70 and 100 not only confirm a trend is underway but also point to its strength. The closer to 100 the reading, the stronger the trend. Values closer to zero indicate that the momentum is weak. Understanding the strength of the move can help you decide whether to enter, exit or remain in a position.
Identify Consolidation Periods
The lines moving in parallel suggest that the market is consolidating within a range, as shown in the chart below. If both are below 50, no new highs or new lows have been set in the last 12.5 periods. Traders can take the opportunity to monitor the market and look for the next crossover in the Aroon Up and Down indicator lines to signal in which direction the asset will move to break out of the range.
How to Combine Aroon with Other Indicators
As technical indicators sometimes provide false signals, traders try to combine multiple analytical tools to confirm trends, reversals, and momentum before taking a position. Here’s how to use the Aroon Up and Down indicator with various other tools to help direct your trading.
Moving Averages
When a moving average points to an upward movement alongside the Aroon lines, it might be a bullish signal to enter a long trade. And when both tools are bearish, you could choose to go short.
The death cross – a short-term moving average falling below its longer-term moving average, signalling a decline in a price – and the golden cross, in reverse, may be combined with Aroon crossovers to identify changes in direction. You might opt to check higher timeframes for the Aroon chart to filter out noise.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
Combining Aroon Up and Aroon Down with the RSI often provides a strong indication of a reversal. The RSI and spikes in the Aroon help you to identify overbought or oversold conditions. When the RSI is in an overbought or oversold zone, and the Aroon moves above 50, it may provide a potential entry point for a trade.
Donchian Channels
The Donchian Channels identify potential breakouts and reversals, and you can refer to the Aroon lines plus the 100-period moving average for confirmation. If the price rises within the upper Donchian channel above the 100-period moving average with the Aroon pointing to a strong uptrend, you could take a long position, whereas confirmation of a downtrend could prompt you to go short.
Parabolic SAR
If the Parabolic SAR indicates that the market has bottomed, suggesting a buy trade, you could check the Aroon to confirm that the price has reached the reversal stage into an uptrend. You could initiate a long position with a stop loss placed below the first Parabolic SAR dot or using Fibonacci intervals. Conversely, if the Aroon suggests the asset could reverse into a decline, you could confirm the signal with the Parabolic SAR to initiate a short trade.
Aroon Indicator: Advantages and Disadvantages
There are several advantages to using the indicator, including that:
It’s simple to read, making it easy to analyse and suitable for beginners
It effectively signals changes in direction
It provides valuable insights when used in conjunction with other technical indicators
It allows the use of customisable time periods to fit your needs
While it is useful, there are also disadvantages, including:
As a lagging indicator, it misses out on trading opportunities at the start of a trend
It measures the time between new highs or new lows but not how much the price has changed
Sometimes, it provides false signals in choppy markets as the rapid price changes cause it to whipsaw
Sometimes, it gives late signals when the asset has already moved and is preparing to retrace, especially when you apply the Aroon indicator without other indicators
Conclusion
The Aroon technical indicator is a simple-to-use technical indicator comprising two lines that help you to determine the direction and strength of asset price trends. It is most effective when used on charts in conjunction with other technical indicators and patterns to provide confirmation before taking a position. You can open an FXOpen account to practise using the Aroon indicator and other tools of technical analysis.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
$NFLX Long Idea NASDAQ:NFLX has shown some decent strength recently after an earnings report. It has held the gap below as support and recently broke out of the consolidation. It is also good to point out that it retested the prior high and we can see it is an area of support. Looking to play it safe here and take it long over the $600 whole number!
Netflix hourly double bottomGreat hourly double bottom shaped yesterday on Netflix chart. The context looks good: we are in the correction wave on daily with retracement ~50%. Broad market also recovered yetserday and looks strong.
I'll be defintely watching reaction near 586 level, where strong sell-off occured on Tuesday, with a goal to enter on the next hourly higher low
ROKU- Bearish Divergence gives guidance LONGROKU sold off after okay not great earnings- obviously a large number of market participants
took their money off the table and moved it elsewhere. There was a typical or excessive price
run-up in the pre-earnings period. This chart set in a 15-minute time frame as well as 15
minute time frame on the RSI laid onto the main chart shows bullish divergence which
otherwise might be subtle. It is the key to the trade entry. It is saying get on the train before
it leaves the station. Chasing the train is a futile endeavor fraught with failure and
frustration. ( Yes, the hot tip is boldfaced for emphasis) Price is sideways at this time. The
relative volume indicator shows a huge 4X surge in volumes at the consolidated bottom verifying
it as such. This is Wychoff's theory in action for sure.
I am now part of that volume. I am an avid bottom buyer like many others. I take great
pains to analyse for the bottom, unlike some others who run on gut or sentiment.
I hope you find this analysis helpful. If you do, please give me a thumbs up. Once you have,
feel free to ask as to the specifics of my trading plan now implimented.
ROKU runs to Earnings ROKU on the 15- minute chart with an overlaid volume profile and anchored VWAP bands
demonstrates a high volume area breakout on Tuesday last week having passed through the
entire high volume area bottom to top the previous 24 hours. On those days it had a burst of
volume. The volume is constant and consistent. Earnings are in two days. More volume
spiking has been seen in the last trading session. I see this as an excellent long trade setup
as a swing trade for the rest of the week into next if the earnings are better than they were
last November
Post Earnings Continuation to 585This idea is an update to my original idea "Earnings Pop to 520" (see link).
NFLX needs to make a sustained break above 569 to initiate the next move higher to 585 (minimum target).
Once we get this break it will take the following path - expected path is the black arrow:
- Run to 585 (by 2/2/2024 earliest, 2/9/2024 latest)
- Pullback to test 577 for support
- Then at least one more leg higher to 600-620 ( point target = 610 by 2/16/2024)
The green funnel represents buying pressure that will drive this higher. The most important channel is the dashed deep purple/blue boundaries w/ solid blue center - this is the demand zone that it will respect during the markup.
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Bigger picture:
If you go back to Jan. 2022, there is a gap down from 563.36 - 566.88. The earnings pop filled this gap and we are currently establishing support in that range.
Confluence at the 585 level as an initial target:
- 0.786 retracement of the ATH (700.99) back in Nov 2021 = 585.80
- larger degree activate markup level at 585, this will act as another bullish driver to send this higher to 610 after 585 is tested
- Equilibrium levels where supply = demand at (2/2/2024, 583) and (2/5/2024, 584)
** Stop loss is a sustained break below 556. It can trade below that intraday, but if it closes below 556 on 2 consecutive days it will assume risk of dropping lower to test 537
Good Luck bears, bulls still have this.
~Jerrymandering 101
ROKU is pulled back for re-entryROKU has been downtrending in a retracement of the uptrend from late May to mid June.
On the 2H chart, price has fallen from the top of the fair value zone the bottom of the fair value
zone. The zone is the area between the VWAP bands of the anchored VWAP. Institutional buyers
prefer to buy in either the under valued zone or the lower portions of the fair value zone and
then in turn sell high in that zone or above it in the over valued zone. The RSI indicator shows
RSI to have descended into the oversold zone where RSI is about 20. On the volume profile
price has descended into the high volume area where increased trading volume will support
price and likely push a reversal.
ROKU Reverse H & S setup LongROKU trended up paradoxically from less than a fairly weak earnings report about November 1
'23 and then reversed into a trend down into the support of the 0.382 and 0.5 Fib levels in a
retracement. Price is now forming a head and shoulders pattern having found that support.
It is above the POC line on the evolving POC and high volume area. Based on the latter,
I believe that it now has room for the upside to $104 for about 18% potential. With a stop at
$84 below the POC line, I see this as a safe play in the areas of technology and multi-media
at a lower price than NFLX and Disney.
NETFLIX Correction starting. How low can it go?Netflix (NFLX) has gone a long way since our November 28 2023 buy signal (see chart below) that reached our $580 Target, giving more than +20% return:
As the price has been consolidating for practically 2 weeks, it is time to update our outlook for medium as well as long-term investors. The long-term Bullish Megaphone pattern that started on the July 13 2022 Low, is intact and the stock continues to respect its Support and Resistance levels.
The current consolidation is coming off an overbought 1D RSI peak at 83.00, which has since corrected, while the price was consolidating, which is a technical Bearish Divergence. We have previously seen the same kind of overbought RSI Bearish Divergence on the July 19 2023 and February 03 2023 peaks, both Higher Highs on the Bullish Megaphone.
As a result, we expect a correction of around 4 weeks and being on a consolidation suggests that it is still early to enter. The 1st Support level is the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been intact since the October 27 2023 bounce, but we are aiming for the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) as it has been touched during both 2023 correction waves. Our Target is at $485, but we will book the profit earlier if the 1D RSI hits the 30.00 oversold limit first.
The Sine Waves can be used as an extra decision making indicator here. As you can see they fairly match the Peaks and Lows of the stock price, so if the price approaches the Sine Bottom March 20 and hasn't rebounded yet, we will close the shorts and buy long-term regardless.
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Can NFLX trend higher ? LONGIn its past NFLX got through the Covid downturn with only a 10% correction, then went through
a rise into a year of consolidation and finally another big trend up which reversed badly in
Winter 2021. After a business model adaption and modification of subscriptions and
password/account sharing protections, price has made great gains. On the weekly chart,
a trend upward has been in place since July 2022. On the weekly chart, bigger ranged
candles have been put in for two weeks.
It seems that from here, while NFLX could rise heading toward a new all time high. On the
other hand, just as it did in 2020 at a similar price level ( marked as # 1 and an oval around
the price action), it could get range bound or consolidated ( # 2 marking the present.)
The mass index indicator gives a hint that the trend will continue and not reverse. It is
fluctuating in a mid-range without a hint of rising into the threshold and trigger zones.
Notably in the 2021 downturn, the RSI and MACD ZL) signaled the reversal before the
mass index. Those two indicators in the present show no hint of bearish divergence so far.
Accordingly, for the time being, NFLX continues to be a long trade with 20% upside into
the level of the all-time high ( discounting any effects of inflation and dollar devaluation
in any of this which is very important overall but generally ignored).
Netflix is cancelledBack in July 2023 NASDAQ:NFLX on earnings did a weekly price Spike across a major 50% Retracement level. I entered into a short trade on the stock which worked well for a few months until the market turned decidedly bullish in October and then the trade stopped out. The recent earnings pushed the stock price higher as Netflix net income is dramatically higher than it was last year.
In the meantime I switched my cell phone carrier to T-Mobile and with the unlimited data package (that I need as my backup Internet for trading) it included "free" Netflix. Fine, I'll setup an account, but I will name my profile what I named it...
Neflix content has declined in quality dramatically over recent years as intellectual property owners have rescinded or let expire their content deals to put them on their own platforms. There are also certain... ideological... leanings of Netflix content that I will not expand upon. Either way, my feelings about a company I try to avoid trading upon... because as we can see in this example one's feelings do not translate to good trades alone.
However, in addition to lackluster content a change in their rate plan is underway which may be significant. Netflix is trying to upsell customers on "better video quality" while inserting ads into lower tier content. I for one refuse to watch commercials so I promptly cancelled whatever "free" service that T-Mobile was offering me. Right now I do not think there is a trade to be made either on this change or price but I am watching.
A bit of trading history to share about Netflix... back in 2011 Neflix had a whopping -83% drop when it tried to change its subscription plans to separate the mail order service from the streaming service. Netflix was being forward looking but the market was still living in a world that expected us to be ordering DVDs forever. The market is very often very wrong.
Netflix Surges 9% In One Day!Disney's recent move to license more TV shows to Netflix marks a significant shift in the streaming industry, bolstering Netflix's extensive content library. Historically, Netflix has heavily invested in content, spending over $17 billion annually at one point, to maintain its industry dominance.
However, Netflix has faced challenges like subscription fatigue and increased competition, leading to reduced profitability and subscriber numbers. In response, the company has implemented cost-cutting measures and introduced strategies like cracking down on password sharing and launching ad-supported tiers to boost revenue.
Despite a heavy debt load exceeding $14 billion, Netflix's operating margin shows signs of improvement, potentially reaching up to 24%. The company's stock has seen a 16% increase in 2024, following a 64% rise in 2023. Notably, the stock surged 9% post-earnings announcement last week, despite Q4 earnings falling short of estimates. This indicates continued investor confidence, as negative earnings didn't dampen stock performance.
Looking ahead, the focus is on whether Netflix can surpass its November 2021 all-time high of $700. Achieving this would underscore the company's resilience and adaptability in the dynamic streaming market.
NFLX Jan 26th Update, Target got hitWe had a great bull flag setup going into the earnings.
Now the target got hit, will be watching for a retracement into early Feb and another push higher into Feb OPEX
Nothing bearish here to even try taking a short trade. There is still one more gap to close above the price, should be hit first before reversal starts.
Also the price might just consolidate/correct in time and push above to a new high. Any shorting should have solid stops
Netflix's Spectacular Q4 Performance Ignites Investors Spirit Netflix (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NFLX ) has once again defied expectations with its stellar fourth-quarter performance, surpassing Wall Street estimates and achieving its largest-ever subscriber growth for the final quarter. The streaming giant added a remarkable 13.1 million subscribers, soaring past the projected 8.97 million, and bringing its total subscriber count to a staggering 260 million. As the company's stock experiences an upward surge, it's evident that Netflix ( NASDAQ:NFLX ) is not just riding the wave of its content library but actively reshaping the landscape of streaming services.
Unprecedented Subscriber Growth:
Netflix's robust subscriber growth in Q4 is attributed to strategic content releases, including the much-anticipated final season of "The Crown" and David Fincher's original film, "The Killer." The company's ability to consistently deliver compelling and diverse content has solidified its position as a streaming powerhouse. The 13.1 million new subscribers showcase not only the platform's global appeal but also its adeptness at retaining and attracting viewers.
Financial Triumph:
Netflix's ( NASDAQ:NFLX ) financials also paint a rosy picture, with revenues surging to $8.8 billion, surpassing both forecasts and the company's own guidance of $8.7 billion for the quarter. This represents a remarkable 12.5% year-over-year growth, driven in part by the crackdown on password sharing and the introduction of a subscription plan with advertising. The company's focus on profitability is further emphasized by the increased 2024 full-year operating margin forecast of 24%, up from the previously projected range of 22% to 23%.
Diversification Strategies:
Beyond its core streaming business, Netflix ( NASDAQ:NFLX ) is venturing into new territories, notably advertising and gaming. The streaming giant is keen on making advertising a significant revenue driver, with plans to enhance the attractiveness of its ad-supported tier. Netflix's foray into live entertainment, exemplified by the announcement of streaming WWE Raw starting next year, highlights the company's commitment to diversification and staying ahead of the competition.
Competitive Edge and Future Outlook:
While competitors in the streaming space grapple with profitability concerns and content cutbacks, Netflix ( NASDAQ:NFLX ) remains unwavering in its commitment to investing in a robust content slate. The company's refusal to pursue acquisitions of traditional entertainment companies or linear assets sets it apart in an industry undergoing significant changes. As Netflix ( NASDAQ:NFLX ) anticipates continued competition, its dedication to improving the entertainment offering signals a long-term strategy focused on capturing and retaining subscribers in an evolving market.
Looking Ahead:
Netflix's exceptional performance in Q4 2023 not only cements its status as a leader in the streaming industry but also underscores its resilience in adapting to changing market dynamics. With a record-breaking subscriber base, expanding revenue streams, and a commitment to innovation, Netflix ( NASDAQ:NFLX ) seems poised for continued success in the years to come. As the company navigates the delicate balance between subscriber growth and profitability, its strategic moves in advertising and gaming hint at a future where Netflix ( NASDAQ:NFLX ) goes beyond being a mere streaming service, evolving into a diversified entertainment powerhouse.
NFLX Price Sharply Rose on NewsNFLX Price Sharply Rose on News of an Increase in the Number of Subscribers
The closing price of NFLX shares yesterday was 490.50, but during after-hours trading, NFLX experienced a sharp increase due to the release of the report. Today, in pre-market trading, NFLX is priced at over 530 dollars per share.
The main surprise contained in the report was the increase in the number of paid subscribers. Analysts expected +8.7 million, but the actual figure was +13 million. The growth in the subscriber base is attributed to:
→ the company offering a lower subscription rate that includes minor advertising inserts;
→ the improvement in the quality of content, including original series, sports broadcasts, games, and shows.
The chart shows that the NFLX share price is developing within an ascending trend (shown by the blue channel). Assuming that the market may open around 530 dollars, then:
→ a bullish gap will form on the chart, which may serve as a broad support zone;
→ the price will surpass the psychological level of 500 dollars per NFLX share. This level, previously demonstrating resistance properties, may now change its role to support – as was the case with the level at 445 dollars.
→ the RSI indicator will show market overbought conditions. A scenario with some correction (e.g., towards the median line of the channel) is not ruled out after the emotions from the company's success subside.
However, overall, the market looks strong, considering the backdrop of the decline in the NFLX price from its historical high of $700 in November 2021 to below $200 in May 2022. We may assume that Netflix has successfully restructured its business model, and if the subscriber base continues to grow at the same pace, the NFLX share price could reach $600 this year.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Uninspiring Technical Patterns Ahead of NFLX EarningsLike many others, NASDAQ:NFLX has shifted to a wide sideways trend ahead of its earnings report today after the close. There is no pre-earnings run here. Current volume and price trend are not patterns that inspire a good earnings surprise.
HFTs are always watching news ahead of open on high-profile stocks to get ahead of retail market orders. A gap is likely at tomorrow's open.
Netflix Makes a Power Move with $5 Billion WWE Raw DealNetflix ( NASDAQ:NFLX ) has made a bold move into the world of live events with a more than $5 billion deal to exclusively stream WWE Raw starting from January 2025. The 10-year partnership extends its reach to the U.S., Canada, Britain, Latin America, and other territories, marking a significant shift for the streaming giant. This transformative deal not only signifies Netflix's commitment to diversifying its content but also highlights its growing interest in the booming world of live sports and events.
The WWE Raw Deal:
Netflix's acquisition of the exclusive rights to WWE Raw is a strategic move that adds a new dimension to its content portfolio. This partnership goes beyond just one show; it includes the exclusive telecast rights for all WWE shows and specials outside the U.S., encompassing popular events like SmackDown and pay-per-view extravaganzas such as WrestleMania and Royal Rumble. The deal has sent shockwaves through the entertainment industry, with TKO Group Holdings, WWE's parent firm, experiencing a 21% surge in early trading.
The Global Impact:
Netflix's ( NASDAQ:NFLX ) reach is truly global, and this deal further solidifies its position as a dominant force in the streaming world. With exclusive streaming rights in key markets like the U.S., Canada, Britain, and Latin America, the company is set to captivate millions of wrestling fans around the world. The international appeal of WWE, combined with Netflix's extensive subscriber base, creates a win-win scenario for both parties involved.
A Strategic Bet on Live Events:
Netflix's $5 billion bet on WWE Raw marks a strategic shift towards live events, a realm it previously approached with caution. The streaming giant has experimented with live content in the past, facing both successes and challenges. The acquisition of WWE Raw, a live weekly show with a massive fan following, demonstrates Netflix's commitment to offering diverse, engaging, and time-sensitive content. This move aligns with the company's vision to become the go-to platform not only for on-demand streaming but also for captivating live experiences.
Netflix's Evolution in Sports Programming:
While Netflix ( NASDAQ:NFLX ) has long maintained that it is "in the sports business" focused on the drama of sport rather than live games, recent endeavors suggest a change in strategy. The success of sports-related programming, such as the Formula 1 racing documentary series "Drive to Survive" and the golf documentary series "Full Swing," paved the way for Netflix's entry into live sports events. The company's foray into hosting events like "The Netflix Cup" and comedian Chris Rock's live stand-up special indicates a shift towards embracing the thrill of live entertainment.
The Future Outlook:
The 10-year partnership with WWE Raw is just the beginning, as Netflix retains an option to extend the deal for another decade. This long-term commitment underscores Netflix's confidence in the potential of live events to attract and retain subscribers. As the streaming landscape continues to evolve, this move positions Netflix as a frontrunner in shaping the future of entertainment consumption.
Conclusion:
Netflix's $5 billion deal for the exclusive rights to WWE Raw is a strategic masterstroke that propels the streaming giant into the world of live events. The transformative nature of this partnership not only signifies a shift in Netflix's content strategy but also highlights the ever-expanding boundaries of the streaming industry. As Netflix ( NASDAQ:NFLX ) continues to evolve, this deal sets the stage for a new era of entertainment, where the lines between traditional broadcasting and streaming platforms blur, creating an exciting and dynamic landscape for both content creators and consumers alike.
NETFLIX Will the stream giant correct after the Earnings?Netflix (NFLX) is reporting Earnings today and what we see from the past 4 weeks that has been unable to make new Highs, it might be pricing a peak. That peak might be a technical Higher High formation on the 1.5 year Channel Up, which is the Earnings disappoint, can initiate a medium-term correction towards the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) Support Zone.
The technical confirmation for a sell will most likely be a 1W candle closing below the 1D MA50 (red trend-line), which has been the standard support of uptrends within the Channel Up. In addition to that, we will be expecting to see the 1W MACD form a Bearish Cross. On that signal, we will target 425.00.
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Decide: Buy or Sell - Netflix vs. Tesla EarningsSome analysts anticipate that Netflix's stock could reach a new 52-week high above $500 per share following the release of its fourth-quarter earnings report this Tuesday. The $506 mark is considered a target, representing the price it fell to at the beginning of 2022.
Positive sentiment towards Netflix has grown as profit estimates have been revised upward 17 times since the last earnings report. The company's revenue is expected to increase by 11% annually to $8.71 billion, driven by the introduction of a new, lower-cost, ad-supported basic subscription tier and efforts to combat illegal password-sharing.
If the forecasted revenue materializes, it will mark the highest quarterly sales total in Netflix's 17-year history, representing an 11% increase from the previous period to $8.7 billion.
However, this quarter's earnings might not live up to the company’s last earnings call, which generated a ~15% bump.
Meanwhile, Tesla's fourth-quarter update, scheduled for release on Wednesday after the close, may have a different trajectory. Tesla shares declined by 4.4% after the last earnings report, experiencing their third consecutive earnings-reaction-day selloff.
A fourth occurrence is possible, although it's also possible that the bottom is in. It will likely come down to whether investors are disappointed in their forward guidance for the first quarter of 2024
Tesla's margins are expected to face pressure due to its ongoing price-slashing strategy in recent quarters. However, this might already be factored into the current stock price.
TSLA has shown a pattern of lower highs and lower lows since the peak in July 2023, and it remains to be seen if support will materialize at its support levels of $200 and $194.
NFLX / 1H / TECHNICAL ANALYSIS NASDAQ:NFLX I expect a bullish movement towards the 518 level if the resistance zone at the 503 level is breached and there are candlestick closures. Our support level is at 461.
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