Impact of Netflix Subscription Increase on Stock PriceFirstly, let's acknowledge that as a leading global streaming platform, Netflix has experienced tremendous growth and success over the years. However, the recent announcement of a subscription price increase raises concerns about the company's future profitability and market dynamics.
While the subscription increase may seem logical to counter rising content production costs and maintain profitability, it is essential to consider the potential consequences. Historically, price hikes have been met with mixed reactions from subscribers. In some cases, these increases have resulted in customer churn as consumers seek alternative, more affordable streaming options.
Given the intensely competitive nature of the streaming industry, with established players like Amazon Prime Video, Hulu, and Disney+, it is essential to assess the potential impact on Netflix's subscriber growth. A possible slowdown in subscriber acquisition or an increase in customer churn could negatively impact the company's revenue and, consequently, its stock price.
Therefore, please exercise caution and consider holding off on buying Netflix shares until we have more clarity on the market's response to the subscription increase. Monitoring key metrics such as subscriber growth, churn rate, and competitive positioning will be crucial in making informed investment decisions.
As investors, it is our responsibility to assess risks and opportunities objectively. While Netflix remains a dominant player in the streaming industry, the potential repercussions of its subscription increase must be noticed. By adopting a wait-and-see approach, we can better evaluate the long-term implications on the company's financial performance and stock price.
In conclusion, I encourage you to exercise caution and closely monitor the developments surrounding Netflix's subscription increase. Holding off on buying Netflix shares until we have more visibility on its impact will allow us to make more informed investment decisions.
NFLX
Concerns about Netflix's Future Subscription GrowthOver the past few years, Netflix has undoubtedly revolutionized how we consume entertainment. Its vast library of content and the convenience of on-demand streaming have attracted millions of subscribers worldwide. However, recent trends and market indicators raise questions about the sustainability of Netflix's exponential growth.
Firstly, the streaming landscape has become increasingly competitive. With the emergence of new players such as Disney+, Apple TV+, and Amazon Prime Video, the market has become saturated, leading to a fragmented audience. This intense competition poses a significant challenge for Netflix, as it struggles to retain its subscriber base while attracting new ones.
Moreover, the COVID-19 pandemic has temporarily boosted Netflix's subscriber numbers due to lockdown measures and increased demand for home entertainment. However, as the world gradually returns to normalcy, we cannot ignore the possibility of a decline in Netflix's subscriber growth. The return of outdoor activities, cinemas reopening, and live events resumption may divert consumer attention away from streaming platforms, affecting Netflix's long-term growth potential.
Additionally, the rising cost of content production and licensing rights is a significant financial burden for Netflix. While the company has successfully created original content, the competition for exclusive rights to popular shows and movies has become increasingly fierce, leading to soaring expenses. This escalating cost may hinder Netflix's ability to invest in new content and maintain its competitive edge in the long run.
Considering these concerns, I urge you to pause and reevaluate any long-term investment plans for Netflix. It is essential to assess the company's ability to sustain its growth trajectory amidst fierce competition, changing consumer preferences, and mounting financial pressures.
Concerns about Netflix's Future Subscription Growth - A Call to Pause Long-term Investment
As traders, we make informed decisions based on a comprehensive understanding of the market dynamics. I encourage you to explore alternative investment opportunities within the streaming industry or diversify your portfolio to mitigate potential risks associated with Netflix's uncertain future.
In conclusion, the future subscription growth of Netflix remains uncertain, given the intensifying competition, shifting consumer habits, and mounting financial challenges. It is crucial to exercise caution and carefully assess the risks before making any long-term investment commitments.
NFLX ANALYSIS: NETFLIX ENDING BULL SEASON?In mid-October 2022, the NFLX share price was about $250; in those days we wrote the post “Is Netflix starting a new bull season?”. Since then, the NFLX stock has more than doubled in price. But after the publication of yesterday's news, everything has changed, hence the headline.
The company added nearly 6 million subscribers in the quarter, with a forecast of 1.9 million. As of the end of June, Netflix had 238.4 million subscribers worldwide. This is positive news.
Some negative news: the decline in revenue. While 8.3bn was expected, the actual number is 8.1bn. “While we have made steady progress this year, we still have a lot of work to do to accelerate our growth again,” the company said in a quarterly letter to shareholders.
However, the most serious argument lies in the behavior of the price on the NFLX chart.
On the eve of the earnings report, we witnessed an increase in the price on rumors of an increase in subscribers. The price of NFLX was close to USD 500, but fell almost 9% post-market after the news. So today the trading session is likely to open below USD 440 per share. This abrupt change in market behavior provides an argument to suggest that the months-long rally has reached a culminating phase. A surge in volatility will help large stockholders take profits — perhaps they see Netflix's difficulties with the strike of actors and authors, increased competition, restrictions on the prospects for further growth.
The median line of the rising channel is now seen as the nearest support, the breakdown of which will confirm the change in market sentiment.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
$NFLX approaching a topI do think there is likely a small move higher coming next week prior to topping. I'm looking for one last push higher into $457, at which time I think is a good time to go short, because after that, the move down should be a big one.
Most likely scenario IMO is that we break the previously lows in the $170ish range and form new lows down between $139-$111 before bottoming.
All of this should play out within the next 6-9 months.
Let's see what happens.
NFLX Netflix Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold NFLX here:
or reentered here:
Then analyzing the options chain of NFLX Netflix prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 450usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-7-21,
for a premium of approximately $16.25.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NFLX testing significant overhead resistanceNetflix Inc. (NFLX) testing significant overhead resistance, able to absorb monthly buying pressures. From here (NFLX) can fall back to channel support eliciting losses of 15 - 20% over the following 2 - 3 months. A settlement below a near-term channel bottom would be the signal of this downward trajectory. Inversely, a weekly settlement above the significant overhead resistance occurs, gains of 20% would be anticipated over the following 2 - 5 months time.
NETFLIX is heavily bullish. Buy this pullback.Netflix is trading inside a Channel Up for more than 1 year and is headed for the historic January 20th 2022 Gap of 508.45.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
2. Buy on the MA50 (1d).
Targets:
1. 508.45 (Resistance 1 and January 2022 gap).
2. 621.00 (Resistance 2).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) resembles the late August 2022 consolidation that led to a Higher High. Another bullish indication.
Please like, follow and comment!!
NFLX - Rising Trend Channel [MID -TERM]🔹Strong rising trend channel in the medium long term.
🔹Between support 365 and resistance 480.
🔹Technically POSITIVE for the medium long term.
Chart Pattern;
🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢
🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵
🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
NFLX holding on, but for how long?NASDAQ:NFLX had a run after finally finding a way to stop and monetize password sharing via an ad-based subscription. Now, where does it go from here? In this content war, where companies are jockeying for the best scripts and distribution rights, NFLX still has a leg up being the first one with legacy viewers. NYSE:DIS has the most content, but it still faces a challenge balancing the profit of that segment compared to NFLX.
Bullish Case - The trendline is a little sharp, but it is still holding. The price is trapped against resistance but can retest 450 after breaking the 442.47 resistance. It looks like a scallop breakout, and this should stay on path. The worst-case scenario would be consolidation to gain support before the retest.
Bearish Case - A double top is ready to break down, yet bulls are still holding onto this weak trendline in hope. When we break down from 411.91, we can test 400. There's no way to consolidate because the measured move provides a better risk-to-reward ratio.
Conclusion - This is looking for support. It could find it, but the trendline is too far up. Playing it based on the breakout is the best way to trade here. Getting in early is a guessing game, let the chart be your guide.
Bullish above - 442.47
Bearish below - 411.91
Netflix: Are you still watching…? 👀Well, the question should rather be: “Are you still climbing?” Indeed, Netflix still has got some room left to expand wave 1 in turquoise further upwards, although the next top can be placed anytime now as well. As soon as this is done and dusted, the share should turn downwards to develop wave 2 in turquoise before the next stage of ascent can start. However, there is a 34% chance that Netflix could continue to climb higher than primarily anticipated. In that case, we would expect the share to already develop wave alt.3 in turquoise, meaning that wave alt.1 and alt.2 in turquoise would be finished by now.
NFLX Share Price Hits Year HighSince the beginning of the year, the NFLX share price has risen by about 55% (for comparison, the S&P 500 index growth was 16% over the same period), and yesterday NFLX reached a price of USD 450 per share — the highest since the beginning of the year.
Bullish sentiment in the market was facilitated by news from analysts at Goldman Sachs, who upgraded the rating of NFLX shares and raised the target price of NFLX shares from USD 230 to USD 400 (9% lower than the current one). Isn't it too late? As a reminder, we pointed to the growth prospects of NFLX stock on October 10, 2022.
Strong demand for NFLX shares in 2023 is supported by the release of quality content, as well as opinions that the company has managed to regain subscribers and successfully resist password cracking.
However, there are certain threats to the NFLX stock, which looks very strong within the channel shown in blue:
→ the psychological level of USD 450 per share, which shows signs of resistance;
→ yesterday's high of the year candle looks uncertain due to the long upper shadow. It may turn into a false breakdown of the June high;
→ Fundamental factor: Netflix's Q2 report is expected on July 19. If the data disappoints investors, it could lead to a pullback in the NFLX stock price to the lower border of the blue channel, or even a bearish breakout.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NETFLIX: Sell conditions emerge. Bearish rest of Summer.Netflix is trading inside a Megaphone pattern since the May 2022 bottom and is approaching the formation's top. The 1D time frame is on green technicals (RSI = 68.406, MACD = 15.870, ADX = 40.286) but just 2-3 weeks ago it was massively overbought, showing that the massive bullish leg is getting exhausted.
Be ready to sell and buy back on the 0.382 Fibonacci (TP = 370.00). That will make a technical Megaphone bottom on the HL trendline while approaching or touching the 1D MA200. This is where we will buy again and target the 0.786 Fibonacci (TP = 585.00).
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Opening (IRA): NFLX August 18th 345 Short Put... for a 3.75 credit.
Comments: 30-day IV of 47.9%. Selling premium in some high IV single name, with the caveat that earnings are on July 19th, so I'll be "playing through" and (continuing with the golfing theme) hoping to clear the water hazard. As with my broad market short puts, targeting the <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit, giving me room to be wrong.
I'm primarily doing this because broad market IV isn't exactly great here: IWM, 19.9%; QQQ, 19.5%, SPY, 13.0%.
NFLX is accelerating its rise !NFLX is accelerating its rise !
This chart shows the weekly candle chart of Netflix stock in the past two years. The graph overlays the line between recent low points and low points, the horizontal line of the previous short start position, and the horizontal line of the long start position before making the top. As shown in the figure, Netflix's stock has closed positive for five consecutive weeks and has broken through multiple resistance levels. The next resistance level for Netflix stocks is the top horizontal line (489.68) in the chart, which is the weekly opening price for the week of June 14, 2021!
Research firm claims Netflix adding new subscribers According to a recent report by a research firm, Netflix has added a significant number of subscribers after their password crackdown.
This is excellent news for investors as it shows that Netflix is taking proactive measures to protect its content and attract new subscribers. As we all know, a growing subscriber base is crucial for the success of any streaming service.
With this in mind, I encourage you to consider investing in Netflix. The company has a proven track record of success and constantly innovates to stay ahead of the competition. By investing in Netflix, you can be a part of their continued growth and success.
I hope you will join me in investing in Netflix and taking advantage of this exciting opportunity. I look forward to your comments.
msn.com/en-us/money/technology/netflix-added-subscribers-after-password-crackdown-research-firm-says/ar-AA1cleMG?li=BB16M4hs
SasanSeifi 💁♂️NFLX👉3D ⏩ 457$ / 500$▪️ Hello everyone
The possible trend is indicated on the chart.
If the support range of 360$ is maintained, in the long term, the possibility of price growth up to the liquidity range of 457$ and the price range of 500$ can be considered.✌
❎ (DYOR)...⚠⚜
What do you think about this analysis? I will be glad to know your idea 🙂✌
IF you like my analysis please LIKE and comment 🙏✌
Netflix Stock 11% Up Following Crackdown On Password SharingNetflix has made a strategic move to curb account sharing by nearly half its global user base to boost revenue and subscription rates.
The policy checks a device's IP address to confirm single-household usage, but tech-savvy users have bypassed these restrictions with a VPN app, Meshnet, muddling Netflix's ability to identify user connections from different locations.
This could potentially affect Netflix's bottom line.
Interestingly, following the announcement of the crackdown, Netflix's stock price surged by over 11%, peaking on May 30th with a 4% increase from the previous day.
However, with resistance levels at the $400 round number and the weekly 50 simple moving average, the company has a hurdle to overcome for stock growth.
Overcoming this resistance could signal a substantial recovery from the 75%+ decline seen from November 2021 to May 2022.
As Netflix faces challenges like the VPN loophole and strategic shifts, questions arise about the future course of the company and its stock.
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Goodbye overpriced assets $NFLX $AMDTrend indicates more downside to come, I made a chart on Netflix a year or more ago now saying to buy, I believe this opportunity is over now/soon, we're now getting to a quarterly entry NASDAQ:NFLX NASDAQ:AMD
Not to mention the PE ratio on AMD and many other stocks. Gains to be made.
Is ROKU ready to reverse and recover?ROKU here is on a one hour chart. IT has trended down from from its supply/ resistance area
of 65-68 and has dipped into its demand/ support zone of 52-53 per the Luxalgo indicator.
Price is presently far below the high volume area of the volume profile which shows the
the highest volume at 64. At this point, short sellers are buying to cover and take profit.
Price is now at the lowermost VWAP bands in the deep undervalued area. Bargain hunters
such as myself now have an interest. Fundamentally, the last earnings report was
reasonably favorable given the context of the general market and the economy.
I see ROKU as a long-trade candidate at this point. It should follow AAPL, TSLA, META GOOG
and other mega-caps and begin an uptrend. ROKU has high volume high liquidity and
relatively narrow spreads. I will take a call option trade striking $50 with a
DTE of 30-45 days. IF it performs well, at 21-30 days I will roll it into another.