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Bounced off Daily Zone 1.07971 & Large Daily Wick is Bullish 🤷‍Value in Description ⬇️ Beware we have returned close to our extreme prices after an abrupt beginning to the week. Price fell into the abyss as optimistic buyers were a bit too early like myself. This NY session though we managed to grab a spot on the train. I was bearish walking into the week and was expecting a pullback to these prices. However , after that start to the week and observing how the daily candle may close with the large bottom wick, it gives me more confidence that we may blast through the extreme prices at 1.093. Our next target may be the previous monthly candle wick at 1.103 and which is also the next weekly Zone above where we are currently at (1.088) NFP on friday will be catalyst for large move here. Especially with this start to the week. We already have a large imbalance and it's obvious. More analysis : We have created a Lower Low on the 4Hr TF. NFP is setting up early in the week at extreme prices 1.093 area. Retesting, before we move back down to 1.079 and reject extreme prices at a Monthly and weekly S/R level at 1.09.
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
2
DXY Potential Forecast | Pre NFP | 3rd April 2023Fundamental Backdrop 1. Plenty of USD news happening along the week. 2. All eyes will be on NFP. 3. At Olympus, we are forecasting payrolls to print <250k compared to 311k previous. 4. There has been multiple economic data release on the USD, highlighting the slow down of its economy and inflation. 5. ISM manufacturing PMI releasing later on in the day and forecasted 47.4 compared to 47.7 previous. 6. Anticipating USD to have more softer prints which will incentive Fed to take on a more dovish approach. Technical Confluences 1. H4 support at 101.67. 2. Price could potentially come lower to the support at 101.67. 3. Price currently hovering at the H4 resistance at 1102.899 and is rejecting it. 4. Anticipating further downside momentum on DXY. Idea Anticipating bearish price action on DXY for the week and for price to potentially break the H4 support at 101.6. NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DISCLAIMER The trading related ideas posted by OlympusLabs are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk, and individuals should carefully consider their investment objectives, financial situation, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions based on our ideas. We are not a licensed financial advisor or professional, and the information we are providing is based on our personal experience and research. We make no guarantees or promises regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and users should do their own research and analysis before making any trades. Users should be aware that trading involves significant risk, and there is no guarantee of profit. Any trading strategy may result in losses, and individuals should be prepared to accept those risks. OlympusLabs and its affiliates are not responsible for any losses or damages that may result from the use of our trading related ideas or the information provided on our platform. Users should seek the advice of a licensed financial advisor or professional if they have any doubts or concerns about their investment strategies.
TVC:DXYShort
by OlympusLab
DXY Potential Forecast | 10th March 2023Fundamental Backdrop 1. USD continues to face uncertainty and volatility due to the SVB crisis. 2. All eyes will be on the FOMC meeting and the Fed Fund Rate. 3. More dovish on the USD will lead to EURUSD heading higher. 4. Fed might be restricted to hike rates by 50bps due to the instability of the banking industry in the US. Technical Confluences 1. Price rejected off the resistance at 105.3. 2. Price can potentially come lower to reach support level at 102.65. 3. Given the uncertainty and fear, DXY has reason to continue heading down. Idea DXY can tap into the support area at 102.65. NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DISCLAIMER The trading related ideas posted by OlympusLabs are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk, and individuals should carefully consider their investment objectives, financial situation, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions based on our ideas. We are not a licensed financial advisor or professional, and the information we are providing is based on our personal experience and research. We make no guarantees or promises regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and users should do their own research and analysis before making any trades. Users should be aware that trading involves significant risk, and there is no guarantee of profit. Any trading strategy may result in losses, and individuals should be prepared to accept those risks. OlympusLabs and its affiliates are not responsible for any losses or damages that may result from the use of our trading related ideas or the information provided on our platform. Users should seek the advice of a licensed financial advisor or professional if they have any doubts or concerns about their investment strategies.
TVC:DXYShort
by OlympusLab
1
XAUUSD Potential Forecast | 15th March 2023Fundamental Backdrop 1. Market sentiments has shifted bearish for the USD 2. With the ongoing Silicon Valley Bank crisis, USD has been very volatile and there has been plenty of fear with the USD. 3. This sets the path for further bearish pressure on the USD. Technical Confluences 1. Extremely strong bullish pressure can be noticed on the GOLD chart. 2. Price has already came up >800 pips since the lows. 3. Previous bearish structure has all been shifted bullish. 4. Price can potentially break the previous high at 1959.6. Idea Anticipating price to form a new higher high at 1959.6. NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DISCLAIMER The trading related ideas posted by OlympusLabs are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk, and individuals should carefully consider their investment objectives, financial situation, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions based on our ideas. We are not a licensed financial advisor or professional, and the information we are providing is based on our personal experience and research. We make no guarantees or promises regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and users should do their own research and analysis before making any trades. Users should be aware that trading involves significant risk, and there is no guarantee of profit. Any trading strategy may result in losses, and individuals should be prepared to accept those risks. OlympusLabs and its affiliates are not responsible for any losses or damages that may result from the use of our trading related ideas or the information provided on our platform. Users should seek the advice of a licensed financial advisor or professional if they have any doubts or concerns about their investment strategies.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by OlympusLab
DXY Potential Forecast | Pre-CPI | 14th March 2023Hi everyone, back with a pre CPI forecast. Today's CPI release will be wild and will be the determining factor to solidify the general direction and bias on the USD. There has been very bearish sentiments on the USD since last Friday after NFP's release. Fundamental context 1. Employments was good, well above the forecasted or what the market has been pricing in. 2. This shows the strong labor market in the US economy. 3. However, average hourly earnings increased at a decreasing rate to 0.2% from 0.3%. 4. This shows the slowing down of the wage inflation, which is directly correlated with the inflation print and numbers, showing an important signal/sign that inflation could be worse off. 5. In addition, unemployment rate increased by 0.2% compared to previous months. 6. The average earnings and unemployment rate prints showcases the effect of the continuous rate hikes that the Fed has partaken in. 7. This directly discourages the Fed from taking on a more hawkish stance in the market, upon seeing the fruition of the restrictive policy the Fed has performed. CPI 1. If CPI were to be worse off than forecasted, this really solidifies the bearishness of the USD as it confirms that the Fed policy has been coming to fruition and there might not be a need to hike interest rates anymore. 2. However, if CPI print continues to be resilient and strong or greater than expectations, there is a marked chance that the Fed will hike interest rates by 50bps in the upcoming FOMC meeting, in which this hawkish stance will continue to drive the market bullish for the USD. 3. All eyes will be on the CPI print tonight. Regards, Chern Yu
TVC:DXYShort
by Jon_Jones_Junior
1
DXY Potential Forecast | Pre CPI | 14th March 2023Fundamental Backdrop 1. Employments was good, well above the forecasted or what the market has been pricing in. 3. However, average hourly earnings increased at a decreasing rate to 0.2% from 0.3%. 4. This shows the slowing down of the wage inflation , which is directly correlated with the inflation print and numbers, showing an important signal/sign that inflation could be worse off. 5. In addition, unemployment rate increased by 0.2% compared to previous months. 6. The average earnings and unemployment rate prints showcases the effect of the continuous rate hikes that the Fed has partaken in. 7. This directly discourages the Fed from taking on a more hawkish stance in the market, upon seeing the fruition of the restrictive policy the Fed has performed. CPI 1. If CPI were to be worse off than forecasted, this really solidifies the bearishness of the USD as it confirms that the Fed policy has been coming to fruition and there might not be a need to hike interest rates anymore. 2. However, if CPI print continues to be resilient and strong or greater than expectations, there is a marked chance that the Fed will hike interest rates by 50bps in the upcoming FOMC meeting, in which this hawkish stance will continue to drive the market bullish for the USD. 3. All eyes will be on the CPI print tonight. NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DISCLAIMER The trading related ideas posted by OlympusLabs are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk, and individuals should carefully consider their investment objectives, financial situation, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions based on our ideas. We are not a licensed financial advisor or professional, and the information we are providing is based on our personal experience and research. We make no guarantees or promises regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and users should do their own research and analysis before making any trades. Users should be aware that trading involves significant risk, and there is no guarantee of profit. Any trading strategy may result in losses, and individuals should be prepared to accept those risks. OlympusLabs and its affiliates are not responsible for any losses or damages that may result from the use of our trading related ideas or the information provided on our platform. Users should seek the advice of a licensed financial advisor or professional if they have any doubts or concerns about their investment strategies.
TVC:DXYShort
by OlympusLab
GBP - Weekly/Daily close will be key! GBP - Weekly/Daily close will be key! GBPUSD - At a very key resistance, we have NFP today that will shift the market. We did have GDP m/m Bullish 0.3 Higher than expected. I think when it comes to GBP there are very bearish views when it comes to there fundamentals and there rate hikes but I don't think the situation as bad as it's considered. What does this mean and how can we trade this opportunity? Well, we can first wait for daily close and see how we close and perhaps wait for pull back and get in long taking us back towards key resistance areas of 1.21 half areas and target areas 1.23. However, if we are fail to close above we are back within the range until further clarification. Don't forget to check minor pairs such as EURGBP & GBPAUD as commodity FX is lagging there are plenty of trading opportunities, including GB10Y W set up. Now we do have NFP, if that beats expectation we could get pull back in GBP. However, if it comes out lower than expected NFP I expect dxy to decline and majors to rise. And see how price reacts if it beats expectations and by how much and vice versa - that's what is very key! Now regarding GBP technical view: High: 1.21560 Low: 1.18420 Pattern: Wedge/Channel A break above the highs and 200/50 EMA I expect further bullish momentum and target area of 1.23 areas. If we are to break below of 1.18 handle then 1.15 is still on the table. However, at this current moment of time we are within the ranges and we have to respect that, in addition you could even go to lower time frame of 4hr and get better price! Trade safe and have a great weekend! Trade Journal
by Trade_Journal
EURUSD Potential Forecast | 13th March 2023Fundamental Backdrop 1. NFP print came out 311k vs 224k forecasted. 2. Average hourly earnings m/m printed 0.2% compared to 0.3% forecasted. 3. Unemployment rate came out at 3.6% vs 3.4% forecasted. 4. Resulted in heavy bearish USD sentiments due to the wage inflation decreasing and unemployment rate increasing. 5. This shows the effects of rate hikes by the Fed and hence sentiments believe that the Fed now has lesser incentive to hike by 50bps in the upcoming FOMC. 6. All eyes will now be on CPI release this week and if CPI drops, we could see further downside pressure on the DXY. 7. On the EURO side of things, if Fed were to hike by 25bps in the next FOMC meeting, we can see a clear interest rate differential between EUR and the USD, giving more room for EURUSD appreciation. Technical Confluences 1. Strong bullish momentum coming in from EURUSD. 2. Price has broken the H4 resistance (now support) at 1.06912. 3. Price is resting well above the ichimoku cloud as well, showing the strong bullish intent. Idea Price can potentially come lower to tap into the key support level at 1.069. NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DISCLAIMER The trading related ideas posted by OlympusLabs are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk, and individuals should carefully consider their investment objectives, financial situation, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions based on our ideas. We are not a licensed financial advisor or professional, and the information we are providing is based on our personal experience and research. We make no guarantees or promises regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and users should do their own research and analysis before making any trades. Users should be aware that trading involves significant risk, and there is no guarantee of profit. Any trading strategy may result in losses, and individuals should be prepared to accept those risks. OlympusLabs and its affiliates are not responsible for any losses or damages that may result from the use of our trading related ideas or the information provided on our platform. Users should seek the advice of a licensed financial advisor or professional if they have any doubts or concerns about their investment strategies.
Long
by OlympusLab
DXY Potential Forecast | Post NFP | 13th March 2023Fundamental Backdrop 1. NFP print came out 311k vs 224k forecasted. 2. Average hourly earnings m/m printed 0.2% compared to 0.3% forecasted. 3. Unemployment rate came out at 3.6% vs 3.4% forecasted. 4. Resulted in heavy bearish USD sentiments due to the wage inflation decreasing and unemployment rate increasing. 5. This shows the effects of rate hikes by the Fed and hence sentiments believe that the Fed now has lesser incentive to hike by 50bps in the upcoming FOMC. 6. All eyes will now be on CPI release this week and if CPI drops, we could see further downside pressure on the DXY. Technical Confluences 1. Price reacted from a H4 resistance zone at 104.6 and has since went lower. 2. Very strong bearish pressure from Monday's asian open. 3. Price action has shifted market structure to bearish. 4. Would be appropriate to look for short positions on the USD. Idea Price can potentially come lower to tap into the key support level at 102.65. NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE DISCLAIMER The trading related ideas posted by OlympusLabs are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in financial markets involves a high degree of risk, and individuals should carefully consider their investment objectives, financial situation, and risk tolerance before making any trading decisions based on our ideas. We are not a licensed financial advisor or professional, and the information we are providing is based on our personal experience and research. We make no guarantees or promises regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided, and users should do their own research and analysis before making any trades. Users should be aware that trading involves significant risk, and there is no guarantee of profit. Any trading strategy may result in losses, and individuals should be prepared to accept those risks. OlympusLabs and its affiliates are not responsible for any losses or damages that may result from the use of our trading related ideas or the information provided on our platform. Users should seek the advice of a licensed financial advisor or professional if they have any doubts or concerns about their investment strategies.
TVC:DXYShort
by OlympusLab
We now wait for NFP!We now wait for the NFP! Here we have the silver chart in-front of us! We are currently within the range of lows: 19.800 highs: 20.450, Pattern: Triangle/ Bear flag If we are to go above key resistance area and above 50EMA + TL resistance I expect first target to be 20.750 areas and then 200 EMA areas which is around next resistance zone of 21.400. However, we are to decline with a strong NFP, I expect 19.500/400 to be your target areas. Regarding NFP checking the other data as well, see the differential of it and is it at a vast numeric change. Trade Journal
FX:XAGUSD
by Trade_Journal
NAS100 Monthly We all know the federal reserve are trying to fight inflation . Last nfp on febuary 3rd 2023 came out hot 517k , this is scary for the federal reserve as they were hiking interest rates at .25 now they are looking at a possible 50bs . If price close below 10927.0 on the weekly there is a high probability, we could CRASH . The daily timeframe is maintaining structure creating LH and LL. Jerome powell will crash the markets to get inflation at 2% the targeted goal he dont care.
OANDA:NAS100USD
by DwayneOTSchartzzz
EUR/USD Set To Record Second Straight Weekly Gain After NFPThe EUR/USD pair advanced on Friday as the dollar weakened across the board following February's nonfarm payroll report release. At the time of writing, the EUR/USD pair is trading above its opening price at 1.0655, up 0.73%on the day, having reached a three-week high of 1.0700 in the aftermath of the report. After bouncing two-month lows earlier this week, the pair has dodged a bullet and is on track to post its second weekly gain in a row. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported the U.S. economy added 311,000 jobs in February, beating the market's consensus of 205,000 but down from the stunning January reading of 504,000 (revised from 517,000). On the other hand, wage inflation, measured by the average hourly earnings, slowed to 4.6% YoY, below the market's expectations of 4.7%. In addition, the unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 3.6% from its previous reading of 3.4%. The mixed job report tempered expectations of a 50 bps rate hike by the Federal Reserve at the March 21, 22 meeting. Odds of a 50 bps increase have fallen to around 40% from above 60% before the nonfarm payrolls data. Additionally, the shutdown of the Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) by U.S. authorities on Friday raised concerns about the financial system, putting lower rate increases back on the table. Against this backdrop, U.S. bond yields have fallen sharply, with the 10-year yield at 3.71%. The 2-year rate has dropped to 4.63% from above 5% earlier this week. Wall Street main indexes are posting losses of more than 1% each. Next week's U.S. Consumer Price Index figures will also be key in shaping expectations ahead of the FOMC decision. From a technical viewpoint, the EUR/USD short-term bias has improved, as indicators are entering positive territory on the daily chart, while the price has regained the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). A break above the 1.0700 level would pave the way to a steeper recovery, targeting the 1.0800 zone. On the other hand, short-term support levels could be found at 1.0570, 1.0530 (100-day SMA) and the 1.0500 psychological level.
by Alex_Boltyan_FXAnalyst
NASDAQ Trading Alert: Technical Setup and NFP Impact AnalysisAs we approach the upcoming non-farm payroll (NFP) report this Friday, there is a setup on the NASDAQ that's worth noting. However, I won't be taking any trades at the moment due to the potential impact of the NFP report on the market. Nonetheless, I'll still provide some technical insights to keep you informed. It's worth keeping in mind that if the NFP beats expectations, this could potentially send the NASDAQ back to the downside. With that said, let's take a closer look at the technical side of things. Recently, the NASDAQ has broken a higher time frame trendline and created a continuation pattern. If we see clear price action and a reclamation of our "Key Zone," there may be an opportunity for more upside. However, it's essential to exercise caution as this is a risky setup. It's important to manage any trades carefully, especially given the potential market impact of the NFP report. By doing so, traders can mitigate potential losses and take advantage of any potential gains. So, good luck traders and stay vigilant! We hope this analysis helps you make informed decisions in your trading activities.
ULong
by natron