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NonFarmPayroll Prep (GBPUSD)NFP analysis for the first Friday of the month! The expectation is for an increase of 295K with last month released at 528K (The previous month's forecast was 250K). And relatively unchanged in terms of the unemployment rate and average hourly earnings . If the data is released better than expected, the USD should strengthen. Seriously, how low can the GBPUSD go? Overnight the GBPUSD spiked lower to the 1.15 support level before consolidating at 1.1550 for today, in the leadup to the NFP event. If the DXY signals further strength, more downside on the GBPUSD is expected. However, look out for highly volatile price action where the price could spike lower, bounce, consolidate and spike again. The key support level for the GBPUSD is at the 1.14 level and at the bottom of the channel. If there is weakness in the DXY, the GBPUSD could bounce towards 1.165 but it would be dangerous to buy into such a strong downtrend.
Short
by JinDao_Tai
NonFarmPayroll Prep (USDJPY)NFP analysis for the first Friday of the month! The expectation is for an increase of 295K with last month released at 528K (The previous month's forecast was 250K). And relatively unchanged in terms of the unemployment rate and average hourly earnings. If the data is released better than expected, the USD should strengthen. Is the USDJPY likely to continue climbing higher? Or is it set up for a strong reversal? Typically strong US NFP employment data is would result in a strengthening of the DXY and for the USDJPY to climb higher. The USDJPY could climb towards the 142 resistance area before possibly staging a strong reversal, as the Stochastic look to turn out of the overbought area. On the reversal, the first target level would be the 139.40 support level.
Long
by JinDao_Tai
NonFarmPayroll Prep (NZDUSD)NFP analysis for the first Friday of the month! The expectation is for an increase of 295K with last month released at 528K (The previous month's forecast was 250K). And relatively unchanged in terms of the unemployment rate and average hourly earnings. If the data is released better than expected, the USD should strengthen. The NZDUSD has a strong descending trend line that applies downward pressure on price. But, the NZDUSD currently trades just above the 0.6060 support level. If the price breaks lower, there is little support until the 0.5930 price level (which was last reached in may 2020). Consider the possibility that the NZDUSD could find a significant upside move in the event of a surprise/bad data release from the US. If the price breaks above 0.61 and the diagonal trendline, the NZDUSD could climb towards 0.6158 and even 0.6250.
Long
by JinDao_Tai
NonFarmPayroll Prep (AUDUSD)NFP analysis for the first Friday of the month! The expectation is for an increase of 295K with last month released at 528K (The previous month's forecast was 250K). And relatively unchanged in terms of the unemployment rate and average hourly earnings. If the data is released better than expected, the USD should strengthen. The AUDUSD is currently retracing from the overnight's move lower, with price currently at the 0.68 level. If the DXY strengthens, look for price to close below the 0.6725 level before a sustained move to the downside, towards 0.6680 support level. But if the data fails to surprise or the DXY weakens, the AUDUSD could climb higher towards the 0.6843 level. Not idea to try buying the AUDUSD to the upside. Would be better to stay out.
Short
by JinDao_Tai
NonFarmPayroll Prep (DXY)NFP analysis for the first Friday of the month! The expectation is for an increase of 295K with last month released at 528K (The previous month's forecast was 250K). And relatively unchanged in terms of the unemployment rate and average hourly earnings. Even a day before, the DXY shot up from the 109 level to test the 110 price level, opening up the possibility of a priced-in scenario. Typically the currencies sit in a tight consolidation in the leadup to the data release, but this time, the DXY is actually dropping before the news. The DXY could drop lower towards the 109 level (and bottom of the upward channel) before the news or on the release of the news. If the data is better than expected, the USD should strengthen, pushing the price from 109 to 109.50 and possibly even the 110.50 target level. If the price breaks below the 109 level and beyond the channel, the DXY could continue lower towards the next support level of 108.20 before a possible bounce.
TVC:DXYLong
by JinDao_Tai
EURUSD before NFP Yesterday this pair broke below 0,9980 confirming the downside move. Today is the first Friday of the month and we have NFP coming out. There will be volatility during the news and we could see further confirmation to the downside. The levels below the parity will act as resistance and we will expect that price should reject them and eventually form a new low. Once we break below 0,9900 we should see 0,9800 next! Stops should be above 1,0090 in case of price rejecting the mentioned levels.
by ForexTrendline
5
Could today’s NFP confirm the USD breakout? Hello all, welcome to today’s update. Today’s video focuses on the USD index after buyers made another strong move in yesterday’s NY session. In today’s video, we run over the price current price action and trend structure after buyers made a breakout yesterday, clearing 109 resistance that held buyers back during this week. The USD continues its fantastic run in 2022 as Fed policy maintains buyer demand. Price jumped to new 2022 highs yesterday and continues to track nicely on its current fast trend. Attention moves to today’s US employment data, as this could maintain the run or lead to a pullback as traders will be waiting to see if we see another hot payroll figure. The last several releases have beaten expectations and come in hotter, so if we do see this pattern continue, will this be the confirmation for yesterday’s resistance break? We think a lower figure will most likely have a negative effect on the USD index and could cause a failed break. Attention could also be on major risk currencies like the EUR, AUD and GBP as they sold off yesterday, and if we see another push higher on the USD today, this could continue their pain. Tonight’s US employment data will be released at 10:30 pm AEST / 8:30 am ET. Thanks for stopping by to check out our latest analysis. Enjoy the rest of your day and your weekend.
EIGHTCAP:USDX
by Eightcap
DXY monthly forecast ahead of NFP At August’s close, the USD can be said to have performed exceedingly well against its trading partners. The DXY climbed 3.2% over the month. Now it heads into a very important Non Farm Payrolls result, and investors will be looking for clues as to the USD’s next move. The Non Farm Payroll data for August is released on September 2, 2022, and is perhaps more eagerly anticipated than normal. The reasons for this are detailed in Monday's market review Pound and gold head lower before NFP data. The worst performing USD pair over the past month has been the Pakistani rupee (USD/PKR), which fell by more than 8.0%. But this movement against the USD was far from the norm. The movements of other currencies include: GBP/USD, fell by 5.2% NZD/USD, fell by 2.9% EUR/USD, fell by 2.1% AUD/USD, fell by 1.9% USD/INR, rose by 1.4% USD/RUB, rose by 1.7% USD/CAD, rose by 2.1% USD/CHF, rose by 2.5% USD/JPY, rose by 5.3% We can look at the DXY chart on the monthly timeframe to try to ascertain whether the USD can sustain this upside momentum. Thus far, technical analysis is maybe suggesting that the US dollar still has plenty of space to move toward the upside. The monthly candle’s 107.500 resistance area, which is now broken, opens traders to scope out higher levels of resistance including 110.00 and 116.500. The former of which the Dollar index is currently butting up against. Further afield, traders may want to keep the 2-decade high of 120.000 in the back of their mind. Such a lofty prediction is seemingly backed-up by an upcoming US Federal Reserve interest rate decision. On the other hand, traders should be wary as well. The price could also create a monthly pullback as the Williams %R indicator is currently planted in the extreme upper range above 20%, which indicates that the price might be in overbought territory.
TVC:DXY
by BlackBull_Markets
AUDUSD Prediction Ahead of NFP Report Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! **AUDUSD - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support! Brian & Kenya Horton, BK Forex Academy
Short
by BKTradingAcademy
9
DXY : Bull or Bear ? Let's See !After last night's analysis of the dollar index, we saw a price drop of 60 pips from exactly the same range ✅ ! Currently, the price has recovered from this drop, but it is still in an important range that today's statistics can determine the trend of the dollar index ! Follow us for more analysis & Feel free to ask any questions you have, we are here to help. ⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ... 👤 Arman Shaban : @ArmanShabanTrading 📅 08.31.2022 ⚠️(DYOR) ❤️ If you apperciate my work , Please like and comment , It Keeps me motivated to do better ❤️
TVC:DXYShort
by ArmanShabanTrading
33
What happened to Gold after NFP?Here is a quick analysis of what happened to Gold after Friday's NFP. Asian and London Session. NFP caused this large drop in the price of Gold on Friday. The close of the second candle after the drop becomes an important price point called A. Price falls again and consolidates in a range at this 1775 level. The first proper breakout happens with a large bullish engulfing which covers the entire span of the ranging box. It is followed by a hanging man, which in this situation tells us that the bears lost their strength. This is followed by the London open which pushes the price back up to A before dropping back down into the box. Another bullish candle pushes back up to A. There is a slight retracement before price breaks above and closes above the line which is the close of A. The red line is the POC (Point of Control). This is the price at which most trading has happened. I inferred several things from this line: -this is a significant support and resistance -many positions are entering here -overall fundamentals support a bullish bias for Gold -therefore, I'm assuming many of these are buys I had a buy from just below the break of the box to just below A after the consolidation.
FX:XAUUSD
by Shanktown
How did the market react after July’s Non-Farm Payrolls? The Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) for July 2022 surprised many as it reported that the US economy added 528,000 jobs, more than twice the consensus forecast. Total NFP employment has now returned to the pre-pandemic level, when 20 million jobs were lost. At the same time, the US Unemployment Rate decreased to 3.5%, the lowest rate since February 2020. Additionally, US Average Hourly Earnings MoM for July jumped by 0.5% for the month and 5.2% over the year ending in July. US stocks ended last week mixed after the strong NFP. While the Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 0.2%, the S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 fell by 0.2% and 0.5% respectively. The weekly closing, however, shows that NASDAQ 100 gained 2.2%, the S&P 500 gained 0.4%, and the Dow Jones lost 0.1%. Gold and silver finished sharply lower, as metal traders took in the jobs and employment reports. XAU/USD fell by almost 0.90%, closing at $1,774 per ounce, while XAG/USD slipped by nearly 1.40% to 19.88 last Friday. The data releases sent the US Dollar Index (DXY) to the upside, helping combat the decline it has experienced over the past few days. The DXY jumped 0.88% to above 106.60. With individual forex pairs, the USD made significant gains, including: EUR/USD fell by 0.67% to 1.01803 GBP/USD fell by 0.75% to 1.20703 AUD/USD fell by 0.84% to 0.69116 NZD/USD fell by 0.91% to 0.62260 The USD/JPY was the biggest mover, booking a 1.57% gain to 135.03. Technical analysis anticipated this move in the USD/JPY, with the DeMarker Indicator below 30, suggesting an oversold bias and prime conditions for a reversal. This uptrend might also continue as the price closed above the 50-EMA. Key areas to the upside might include 135.50, 135.60, 136.00, and 136.60.
by BlackBull_Markets
Dollar Strengthens on NFP DataThe US dollar has gained incredible strength off of the Non Farm Payroll numbers, which came at a headline beat with employment at 3.5%. This suggests that the markets feel that the Fed is now more emboldened to hike rates even further at their September meeting. The DXY is still holding the range established when it started its sideways corrective phase after the pull back from the low 109's. We dipped down into the 105's, and subsequently pivoted back to the 106's, with 107.20 still an upper bound. If we retrace this rally, then expect support at 106.13 or the 105's.
TVC:DXYLong
by quantguy
What Today's Employment Data Means for Stocks and the FedNon Farm Payrolls introduced some volatility in stocks. The numbers came in hot, with a headline beat and unemployment at 3.5% . The S&P 500 had already edged higher, reaching our target of 4178, and establishing value between 4144 and 4178. The NFP data release introduced some volatility, with a small selloff extending past 4122 into the vacuum zone down to 4068. It appears the figures were priced in already, and stocks may be correcting because of that. Also, the strong numbers give the Fed more justification to hike rates in September. If stocks fall further watch for support at 4068, but be mindful of the vacuum zone below to 4009.
FX:SPX500Short
by quantguy