Nfp
GBPUSD LONG PENDINGGBPUSD needs to come down to clear the minor lows and also mitigate the FVG which is conveniently in the Fibonacci discount zone at 1.3250 then we can expect to BUY from there. With the help of fundamentals today we should see that aggressive 80 pip move to that bearish OB marked up there.
BUY GOLDGold is currently in it's fifth and final wave with wave IV ending on march 2021. Fifth wave of gold looks extended hence it's going to take years to reach target. price is currently at wave 2 of (3) of V. wave 3 might begin soon.. probably during or after NFP. stop loss is around 1678. also price is at 50 % of wave 1 of (3) ... 61.8 % is also likely but not much of a big difference... risking 90points for 650points
GOLD LONG TO 1974Here is an alternative scenario to current Gold shorts I am in from 1870. However, this long bias also has a very good chance to play out. I have noticed something interesting about market structure on the Daily timeframe. There seems to be a lot of resting liquidity on Gold sitting around the 1972 region. Since the start of the year, price has been edging lower, in every instance leaving liquidity above every high which still hasn’t been taken out. It’s a POSSIBILITY that this could be taken out some time early in 2022 before the drop starts. I’m still short to 1570, this is just an ALTERNATIVE scenario to keep us protected hence why my long positions are still open hedged against my sells. If we see a strong rejection around 1750-1735, it’s likely this bias could come into fruition hence why I’ll be taking buys.
I will be catching this move on behalf of myself and my Account Management investors. What are your thoughts on Gold? Let me know!
XAUUSD SHORTING ALTERNATIVE FROM 1974GOLD ALTERNATIVE BIAS: I have noticed something interesting about market structure on the Daily timeframe. There seems to be a lot of resting liquidity on Gold sitting around the 1972 region. Since the start of the year, price has been edging lower, in every instance leaving liquidity above every high which still hasn’t been taken out. It’s a POSSIBILITY that this could be taken out some time early in 2022 before the drop starts. I’m still short to 1570, this is just an ALTERNATIVE scenario to keep us protected hence why my long positions are still open hedged against my sells. If we see a strong rejection around 1750-1740, it’s likely this bias could come into fruition hence why I’ll be taking buys.
I am still in Gold shorts targeting 1570 long term for my investors and myself.
GOLD LONG TO 1887Gold is currently trading inside a tight range and near to completion of its final wave (Wave 5) before we see a market reversal back down towards 1828. Another way to confirm that this is wave 5 and we're close to reversal is monitoring price action and the momentum of buys. We can see that price has now slowed down after a very strong uptrend and buyers are failing to push price any higher with the same momentum we had the previous 2 weeks.
Also, with DXY (Dollar Index) gaining strength and trading towards a yearly high, Gold being a negatively correlated market in return should go down. We now have confirmation that Tapering is going ahead over the next few months which will decrease the demand of Gold against the Dollar.
I will be catching this move on behalf of myself and my Account Management investors within my fund.
NZDUSD SHORTWe know that the news report came out last week stating that USD will gain value on NFP Friday.
We have entered a good selling point for NZDUSD, with the current candlesticks failing to break the strong diagonal resistance. We can anticipate a monthly sell. However it is one in which we need to keep our stops tight, because we are strongly aware that the NZD has been doing well from news reports. Short term sell to the 0.70600 region
XAUUSD SHORT TO 1828 (Corrective Wave)I am currently shorting Gold down to 1828. This move down is simply a corrective wave (Wave 4) as we still have one more impulse move to the upside (Wave 5) in order to complete the current bullish structure. After the move down I will be looking for long positions back up towards 1889 in order to fill in the imbalance created from the Gold drop back in June.
I will be catching this move on behalf of myself and my Account Management investors. All my socials are listed below.
EUR/USD - A Major Break LowerThe dollar rallied strongly on Wednesday after data showed inflation rose to a 31-year high in the US.
Coming on the back of Friday's fantastic jobs report and the 20-year high in the quarterly employment cost index the week before, this doesn't bode well for a Fed intent on being patient on raising interest rates.
The central bank has repeatedly stated its belief that inflation is transitory. It may have to amend this language soon as it's neither fading fast nor remaining remotely close to target, which makes the central bank's argument harder for investors to believe.
Markets aren't waiting for guidance. Today's data may have been the final straw and they're pricing in more rate hikes next year. The dollar has broken higher, pushing EURUSD to its lowest level since July last year.
The next test for the pair falls around 1.14, where the bottom of the channel coincides with prior support and resistance. Below here 1.12 will be a major support level.
If the pair corrects, 1.15-1.1550 is the obvious first test with it having been such a key level of support this past month.
USDJPY Bull Scenario - STRONG NFP Data expected tomorow Hello Traders
Here is a new BUY Scenario, USD/JPY Consolidating, Yen bulls but may quickly turnaround tomorrow in the event of strong NFP data.
- Yen shows signs of long-term vulnerability.
- Focus on upcoming Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data.
- Possible bullish continuation pattern - 114.00 level key.
Forecast : Strong NFP may push USD up, No big drop until 115.600
💹USD/JPY BUY STOP
✅ Entry @113.600 or above
✅TP-1# 113.800
✅TP-2# 114.000
✅TP-3# 114.200
✅SL# 112.900
JamdeJam will not accept any liability for loss or damage as a result of
reliance on the information contained within this channel including
data, quotes, charts and buy/sell signals
USDJPY Going UP Strongly - Positive Nonfarm Payrolls Forecast Hello Traders
Here is a new BUY Scenario, October's Nonfarm Payrolls are set to show an increase of 425K after two disappointments.
- Yen shows signs of long-term vulnerability.
- Focus on upcoming Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data.
- Possible bullish continuation pattern - 114.00 level key.
My Forecast : Strong NFP may push USD up, No big drop until 115.600
💹USD/JPY BUY STOP
✅ Entry @114.000 or above
✅TP-1# 114.200
✅TP-2# 114.400
✅TP-3# 114.600
✅SL# 113.400
JamdeJam will not accept any liability for loss or damage as a result of
reliance on the information contained within this channel including
data, quotes, charts and buy/sell signals
XAUUSD TO 1796On Friday we saw Gold price shoot higher on the back of NFP data creating a weekly high. We have an unmitigated zone between 1806-1794 which still has to be filled before a further move up towards 1872. I am expecting a correction now, since the new impulse, Wave 1 of the Elliot Wave Theory is about to complete around 1823-1827.
This is a HIGH RISK TRADE as market was extremely bullish towards the end of last week. I will be catching this move on behalf of myself and my Account Management investors.
XAUUSD 1D TF : 06.Nov.2021 (Update)Well, as we see, the price was finally able to break its dynamic and static resistance at the same time and close above the $ 1817 level, we expect the price to rise to the $ 1827 level after a retest and then to $ 1833 if the channel midline resistance breaks ... failure of these levels will not be easy ....
Follow our other analysis & Feel free to ask any questions you have, we are here to help.
⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ...
👤 Arman Shaban : @Ar_M_An_4
📅 06.Nov.2021
⚠️(DYOR)
XAUUSD 1H TF : 06.Nov.2021 (Update)The price hit the target nicely and corrected to the level of $ 1785 and then reacted positively to our static range, which was also an important Breakeven, and started growing again ... The result of this analysis was +80 pips yield . The main analysis will be updated with the start of the new trading week.
Follow our other analysis & Feel free to ask any questions you have, we are here to help.
⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ...
👤 Arman Shaban : @Ar_M_An_4
📅 06.Nov.2021
⚠️(DYOR)
XAUUSD 2H TF : 06.Nov.2021The analysis we did of gold yesterday was very accurate and I hope you used it
As you can see all targets are reached exactly as i predicted for you last day ...
Results : +80 Pips for Sell Position + 330 Pips for Buy position ...
Follow our other analysis & Feel free to ask any questions you have, we are here to help.
⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ...
👤 Arman Shaban : @Ar_M_An_4
📅 06.Nov.2021
⚠️(DYOR)
Pound's woes continueThe British pound has extended its losses in the Friday session. GBP/USD is currently trading at 1.3445, down 0.41% on the day.
It's been a miserable week for the British pound, which is down 1.76% this week. The driver behind the pound's slide was the BoE meeting, as policy makers caught the markets off guard when they opted to maintain the cash rate at 0.10%. Governor Andrew Bailey had strongly hinted that that bank would raise rates at this week's meeting, but in the end, the MPC voted 7-2 to stay put, with Bailey among the majority. Bailey noted that the decision had been a "close call", but the markets reacted sharply, with the pound plunging 2.2% since the BoE's surprise non-move.
The BoE has said it will raise rates in the "coming months", but is clearly under pressure to make a move soon, and it could be faced with a credibility issue if it chooses to sit on the sidelines at the December meeting. The fact that the BoE is still running a QE scheme while talking about raising rates is also a potential source of confusion for the markets, as the two programmes are inconsistent with each other. In contradistinction, the Fed has no plans to raise rates before it winds up its bond purchase program.
Attention now shifts to the US, with the release of nonfarm payrolls later today. The consensus stands at around 450 thousand jobs added, and a reading above the 500 thousand level will reignite talk of an accelerated taper programme and possibly the Fed bringing forward guidance on a rate hike. That would likely give the US dollar a boost. Conversely, a print below 350 thousand will dampen rate expectations and likely weigh on the greenback.
GBP/USD continues to break support levels as it falls lower. The pair is testing support at 1.3471. Below, there is monthly support at 1.3253
There is resistance at 1.3570 and 1.3632
How to trade at NFP? Usually, average hourly earnings don't print positive. I have seen very few times NFP and Hourly earnings published positive together in the last 13 years.
When companies hire more people, it's expected that they don't want to pay more and overtime. But, on the other side, companies don't recruit new people, and then they pay more overtime to their existing workers.
That's why most of the time, we see Either NFP prints post or hourly earnings.
Hourly earning is essential for the following CPI report. I mean, inflation reports are related to hourly earnings.
NFP is the main report; there is no doubt. But in some cases, hourly earnings and unemployment play a significant role than the NFP. Moreover, especially when central banks want to raise rates, in the meantime inflation is essential.
Central banks need more than 2% inflation to raise bank rates. In that case, hourly earnings are more important than NFP.
So, it is expected that NFP will print positively than the previous report today, and hourly earnings may not fulfill its forecast. But last CPI reports were positive, So, it won't be wrong as well.
What to do while you are trading NFP?
When central banks are not hiking bank rates market always follows NFP. Whatever the other's reports are. If NFP print is upbeat, we should buy the USD.
But keep in mind, though NFP reports are printed positive, hourly earnings and unemployment may drop.
It is essential to keep in mind always that the market follows NFP eventually, not initially.
So, if other reports print negative, The USD will become weak first. Then, after 5 minutes or 15 minutes, the USD will follow NFP from any swing area.
On the other hand, If other reports prints positive but NFP report prints negative. In that cases, the USD will spike to the upside, but ultimately it will drop.
Just keep in mind the situation that central banks are in rate-hiking mode or not. So give priority hourly earnings reports when the central banks are in rate-hiking mode. And usually, give priority NFP reports every time.
How To Handle Technically While Trading NFP?
If you want to handle the market at NFP, you should know swing trading and the uses of Fibonacci retracement and Fibonacci extension.
Use 5 minutes candle. For example, the market closed with 5 minutes bearish candle, NFP printed negative, and other reports printed positive. So, the USD will spike to the upside first.
So, if you are good at swing trade, you can sell from the swing area. Otherwise, you should use Fibonacci tools.
If the market closed with a bearish candle, that means it will correct to the upside nearly 50% fibo area. So, go short from fibo 50% area and use Fibonacci extension tolls to set your take profit area at 61.8%.
Just do opposite things if NFP prints positive and other reports prints negative.