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Nfp

Strifor || GBPUSD-NFPPreferred direction: BUY Comment: The British pound also remains on the buy list. Here, the expected movement for the current NFP is the same as for the euro . Growth is expected towards the level of 1.27000 , where local resistance will occur. The target is not set above this area (quite an aggressive option). But one can consider potential sales when generating a signal. We do not exclude the possibility that a potential downward reversal will already occur at the beginning of next week. Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us! Thank you for like and share your views!
Long
by Strifor
1
Strifor || EURUSD-Week StartingPreferred direction: BUY Comment: At the beginning of the coming week, the buy-priority for the euro remains. The previous week showed nothing in terms of volatility. The coming week is expected to be hot, and reasons for volatility can be found in the economic calendar. As before, the main target for medium-term growth is the level of 1.09000 . Scenario №1 assumes maximum growth from current prices, but we do not exclude scenario №2 with a short-term fall towards the level of 1.07500 . Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us! Thank you for like and share your views!
Long
by Strifor
1
Strifor || AUDUSD-Mid-term viewPreferred direction: BUY Comment: The aggressive behavior of buyers of the American currency forced the prices of the main competitors of the USD to decline at the beginning of the week. This affected the euro and pound to a greater extent, but the currencies of the Pacific region also sank. Nevertheless, we continue to adhere to the buy priority in the medium term, especially since we previously did not exclude another potential drawdown. AUDUSD long is considered according to two main scenarios. Less likely, scenario №2 assumes growth from current prices, while scenario №1 assumes growth after a slight downward drawdown. It should be noted that purchases according to scenario №2 are already active, and continuing to accumulate a long position is a good step for today. Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us! Thank you for like and share your views!
Long
by Strifor
1
NFP preview: Trading S&P or GBPUSD? NFP preview: Trading S&P or GBPUSD? US Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has reiterated on multiple occasions that a tight labor market acts as a deterrent to lowering interest rates. Which is why this month's NFP data release should be interesting. This Friday's Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data is expected to show an addition of 200,000 new jobs. Since Feb 2023, data has consistently hovered between 300K and 150K. Many of these initial readings were subsequently revised downwards. Nevertheless, at the time, they significantly reduced the likelihood of Federal Reserve rate cuts and, most recently, bolstered the dollar. Traders anticipated ~6 rate cuts at the beginning of the year, but now will be content if the Fed reduces rates three times. However, even three rate cuts are dubious, given that most recent US data has exceeded expectations. This Monday, the ISM manufacturing index turned positive for the first time since October 2022. If the NFP data surpasses expectations, GBP/USD could become an attractive trade. In the event of a soft NFP reading, attention could shift to the S&P, which would have a window to rebound before major banks commence reporting their latest earnings. GBP/USD has remained trapped within a rectangular pattern for almost 100 days now, potentially indicating some strong boundaries to take note of for a range trade. The pair currently sits in the lower half of the range. The jobs data on Friday could heavily influence Wall Street's sentiment, potentially determining whether the market remains overall bullish or requires even more of a corrective move. The 5200 level could be pivotal. It has previously acted as resistance and now functions as support. Even if a breakdown occurs below this level, support could be anticipated at the 5100 level or the 50-day SMA.
BLACKBULL:SPX500
by BlackBull_Markets
Strifor || NZDUSD-Mid-term viewPreferred direction: BUY Comment: The New Zealand dollar almost completely copies the situation with the Australian dollar . Here, we also continue to adhere to buy-priority in the medium term. It should be noted that both of these currencies are currently having the best setup for buy among others majors, but even this does not exclude potential short-term weakening. This probability is precisely described on the graph in the framework of scenario №1 , which is more likely at the moment, but scenario №2 is also already in the works. Just like in AUDUSD , we continue to accumulate long positions with a medium-term target at the level of 0.60713. Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us! Thank you for like and share your views!
Long
by Strifor
1
🔥 XAU/USD - new ATH recorded , What's NEXT ? (READ THE CAPTION)Important Caption : By examining the gold chart, we can see that the price faced selling pressure after entering the supply range of $2212 to $2222 and was able to fall to $2202. After the price reached this level, it faced demand pressure and was able to It grew up to $2236 and recorded a new ATH and finally closed at $2233 on the last trading day of last week! Today, due to the fact that the majority of the market was closed, but the price increased again to $2265! Now the price is trading in the range of $2248 and we have to see when we can finally see more correction of gold! Gold is breaking records these days! In addition, this week we will have the NFP statistics, which can have an important impact on the gold trend! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by ArmanShabanTrading
7
GBP/USD edges lower, UK employment nextThe British pound has started the trading week in negative territory. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2807, down 0.39%. The pound has posted six straight winning days and climbed 1.56% last week against the US dollar. The UK releases the employment report on Tuesday. The labor market has remained resilient even with the steep rise in interest rates, and the new measure for employment data has indicated that the labour market is stronger than previously thought. For instance, the unemployment rate in the fourth quarter of 2023 stood at 3.8%, compared to 4.2% under the old measure. The unemployment rate is expected to remain steady at 3.8% in the first quarter. We could see a large drop in job growth, with an estimate of 10,000 for Q4, compared to 72,000 in Q3. Wage growth has been dropping steadily and is expected to tick lower to 5.7% y/y including bonuses, down from 5.8% in the third quarter. The Bank of England will be keeping a close eye on the employment release. The BoE meets on March 21 and Governor Bailey has eased up on his pushback against rate cut expectations. If Tuesday’s employment numbers are stronger than expected, it will likely raise the odds of a rate cut later this year. In the US, Friday’s employment release was a mix. Job growth remained strong as nonfarm payrolls rose 275,000, easily beating the market estimate of 200,000 and the downwardly revised 229,000 in January. However, the unemployment rate surprised by climbing to 3.9% after holding at 3.7% for three consecutive months, which was also the market estimate. This was the highest unemployment rate in two years and points to softer labor market conditions. The rise in the unemployment rate has raised the odds of a rate cut in June by the Federal Reserve. Currently, the likelihood of a cut is 71%, compared to 64% just one week ago, according to the CME’s FedWatch tool. There is resistance at 1.2902 and 1.2945 GBP/USD pushed below support at 1.2852 and is testing support at 1.2809
by OANDA
Special Guest Intro / March NFP Top-Down Analysis 🎨Hello Traders! Today we were fortunate enough to have the ShrewdCatFx Illustrator make an appearance on the Air. Yes, it is that time of the month for NFP data! 0:0 Special Guest & Monthly Timeframe/NFP Expectations 2:32 Weekly Timeframe 3:43 Daily Timeframe 6:20 4Hr timeframe 8:27 1Hr Timeframe Numbers are expected to decrease over the prior period but growth is expected overall as 198K jobs are forecasted to have been created in February. The figure from ADP on Wednesday missed expectations slightly as 149K was expected and 140K was the actual figure. If the data tomorrow is better/more than 198K, then I'm anticipating a partial retracement of the increase we've observed so far this week. (Up 120 Pips this week) If the Data is close to what is forecasted (198K) or falls short of that number, then I anticpate a strong continuation move to the upside towards 1.09729 Daily Level and 1.09828 4Hr Zone. We may even moon towards the Monthly level 1.105. Otherwise, favorable numbers will cause a retracement (as previously mentioned) back towards 1.09039 4Hr Zone and 1.08834 Daily Level.
by ShrewdCatfx
THE KOG REPORT - NFP 08/03/24 The KOG REPORT – NFP This is our view for NFP, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price. For today’s NFP we’re going to keep the chart and idea clean and only look for extreme levels. Our daily bias and weekly bias targets are complete, yesterday we posted a higher level for our team and that was also completed this morning. So now, we have the following levels in mind: Resistance levels: 2173-5 and above that 2180-85. These levels we feel if price attacks could give us a reaction in price if rejected and not broken. For that reason, a test on the level is potentially available but we wouldn’t really want to long up into these levels unless we get a very deep pullback! Support levels: 2150-47 unless broken can take us up into those levels before a reaction, however, with the volume that enters the markets, it can make this a difficult trade. Hence, the levels below 2140-44 can then bring us back into the order region to then start a small range. Below that have 2130, which if attacked is our ideal level for a tap and bounce, but only for the scalp. Price breaks above the higher resistance, we're not interested and will come back next week. We’re very likely not going to be trading this event, rather watching and letting the price settle before we decide on our move. It can be volatile and extreme and we need you to understand, if they break above that 2085 level they’re going to complete the structure without any pullbacks. New traders and those less experienced, please stay out of the markets, money in your account is a position in the markets! Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
OANDA:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
7
Pre-NFP AnalysisMarch 8th Non Farm Employment Change Scenarios DXY: Look for reaction at 103 resistance level. Strong NFP (>250k) : DXY break through and climb to 103.70 Weak NFP (<140k): DXY reject and drop to 201.10 NZDUSD: Sell 0.6155 SL 30 TP 80 (DXY strength) AUDUSD: Buy 0.6655 SL 25 TP 70 (DXY weakness) USDJPY: Sell 147.50 SL 40 TP 145 (DXY weakness) GBPUSD: Sell 1.2765 SL 25 TP 60 (DXY strength) EURUSD: Buy 1.0905 SL 30 TP 75 or Buy 1.10 SL 30 TP 80 (DXY weakness) USDCHF: Sell 0.8765 SL 20 TP 40 (DXY weakness) USDCAD: Buy 1.3455 SL 25 TP 85 (DXY strength) Gold: Could retrace down to 2126, bounce higher to 2175
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
Strifor || USDJPY-NFP SetupPreferred direction: BUY Comment: Despite the local strengthening of the Japanese yen , this currency pair is still considered more favorable to the buyer, especially in the long term. All events within the specified prospects will develop around level 150 and above. As for shorter-term prospects, it is also unlikely that the instrument will go down towards level 144 , where the next significant support is located.  On the eve of the NFP , we are considering a strengthening of the US dollar , and a return of the price to the level of 150 . It should be noted that the deal is not for one day, so today on the NFP , buyers will most likely only lay down this growth, and we will see its continuation next week. Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us! Thank you for like and share your views!
Long
by Strifor
1
Strifor || AUDUSD-NFP SetupPreferred direction: SELL Comment: The Australian dollar is also expected to undergo a downward correction, as we suppose. Against the background of today's NFP , the instrument may even grow towards the level of 0.66659 , but in the medium term, it is unlikely that the buyer will be able to gain a foothold. Perhaps not today, then at the beginning of next week, against the backdrop of depleted purchasing power, the price will tend to the level of 0.65500. There are assumptions about a fall to support 0.65010 , where a very large accumulation of long positions is located, and a re-test of this area very much suggests itself. However, this is another story, for now, we limit ourselves to the target at the level of 0.65500 . Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us! Thank you for like and share your views!
Short
by Strifor
1
Strifor || GBPUSD-NFP SetupPreferred direction: SELL Comment: As part of the upcoming strengthening of the American currency , as well as the upcoming NFP , we expect a fall in the GBPUSD currency pair. At the moment, the process of eliminating sellers is being completed, and in the very near future, the market will begin to actively buy at market prices. Thus, this will provide an opportunity for the limit buyer to fix long positions and drop the price. In addition, the area near the level of 1.28000 is a serious obstacle for the buyer, and within the framework of a long-term retest of the indicated resistance, it is most likely that the instrument will go for a correction. Scenario №2 assumes more medium-term parameters of the trade, if the preliminary upward movement turns out to be significantly greater than what we expect. We place the downside target at the level of 1.27100 , slightly above the liquid area at the level of 1.27000. Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us! Thank you for like and share your views!
Short
by Strifor
1
Strifor || EURUSD-NFP SetupPreferred direction: SELL Comment: Our previous setups for currency pairs worked out perfectly, especially EURUSD . On the eve of the NFP , as well as for gold, we expect a fall in the euro. At the time of publication, the instrument may strengthen towards the level of 1.10000 ( scenario №2 ), so one should count on this in any case. At the moment, scenario №1 is being considered more, but it must be said that both scenarios will be at work. That is, we are working in the format of "step-by-step" accumulating positions. We place the target for this trade at the level of 1.08500 , there is a potential for a fall to 1.08000 . Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us! Thank you for like and share your views!
Short
by Strifor
1
Strifor || GOLD-NFP SetupPreferred direction: SELL Comment: By the end of the week, all long trades on metals have been fixed, and on the eve of the NFP , we expect a fall in gold . It should be noted that a slight increase is still possible even without the NFP data, where, against the background of volatility, the price may rise above the current new historical maximum. However, this growth is nothing. Therefore, we're coming to NFP with two scenarios that differ in the range of potential false upward movement. Most likely, we won’t see the price above $2200 . Both scenarios are on the chart, where the overall target for the fall is located at the level of $2120. It should also be said that there is no point in delaying sales, since the medium-term buyer is strong. Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us! Thank you for like and share your views!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Strifor
1
GOLD MAY RETEST $2080 NEXT WITH NFP AND UNEMPLOYEMENTGold has experienced remarkable growth lately following a breakout in the supply zone. The impulses have completed the 5th wave, signaling a potential downward shift, especially with the anticipation of positive NFP data. We foresee a retracement towards the highlighted supply zone, notably around the $2080 mark, a significant price level. Testing both the upper boundary of the channel and the 1.68% Fibonacci retracement, we have reasonable expectations for a forthcoming bearish movement.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ChampsMoneyConcepts
USDJPY: Thoughts and Analysis (Pattern discussion)Today's focus: USDJPY Pattern – Consolidation (Bullish?) Support – 149.84 Resistance – 150.81, 151.745 Hi, traders; thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at the USDJPY on the daily chart. Simple story today: will the current price consolidation break higher (with trend) or break lower, setting off distribution? We find it's important to break down patterns in the process and not just after they confirm or start to confirm so you can map out an action plan depending on what happens next with price. Due to the situation with the BOJ, moves higher could set off intervention worries, and we also have Fed testimony and NFP this week for the USD. Good trading.
by Eightcap