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Nfpday

Gold battles recovery point on US NFP DayGold extends early week recovery from March tops to poke 50-EMA ahead of the key US employment data. The expected recovery in the headline Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), coupled with the forecasts of downbeat Unemployment Rate, keep weighing on the metal prices. However, firmer RSI and MACD’s teasing of bulls may propel gold prices in case of a negative surprise from the stated jobs report. It should, however, be noted that a clear upside break of $1,780 immediate hurdle needs to cross the $1,817-20 area comprising the previous support line and 200-EMA to consolidate the previous month’s losses and regain the $1,800 threshold. Meanwhile, a downside break of the recent low near $1,750 has hopes to bounce off mid-April lows near $1,723, not to forget mentioning the immediate support close to $1,763. In a case where gold remains depressed below $1,723, the $1,700 psychological magnet may test the bears ahead of directing them to the double bottoms marked March around $1,677. Overall, gold sellers seem tired and hence any surprises from the US data should be reacted with wider moves.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MTradingGlobal
Gold gains with low NFP dataHello Traders TGIF, After having our profits shorting XAUUSD, Today low nonfarm payroll data showed US Economy is not ready to reach expected rebound. Gold seemed to finish its correction period and ready to gain momentum to reach my long term targets. Price should stay above 4H MA50 priced 1895 right now. I opened my long position at 1875 and my short term target is 1945. I will follow up the price action until market close. Trade safe and have fun! Remember to like and comment what you think. Have a lovely weekend.
TVC:GOLDLong
by gorkemaydogan
Understanding the NFP EU PumpHere are some questions I put out to my community group the other day followed by the answers. The reasoning being the move has been annotated on the chart. Why did price slowly decline prior to NFP? - Price had to decline slightly before NFP to mitigate the impulsive move created earlier in the day. - Price had to stop out break and re-test buyers with a tight stop loss - Price had to lure sellers into the market before NFP Why did price reject the exact box marked before skyrocketing? - Price skyrocketed because it had gathered enough liquidity from stopping out the buyers. - It utilised the previous order block to skyrocket to take out the impulsive sellers before NFP.
Education
by AlkalineFX
Nonfarm Payroll, RBA Interest rates – Week aheadBusy week ahead as September kicks in. As New Zealand and the United States elections slowly approach, the Coronavirus pandemic will most likely be the center focus for many parties and how they handle the post Coronavirus world. Here is your week ahead. Tuesday, 1st September – Germany’s Inflation and Unemployment rate Like most of Europe, Germany is experiencing an uptick in cases as a reopening of Europe too early takes its toll. However, this has not stopped protesters storming the German Government building in Berlin alongside Germany’s total cases ticked over 243,000. With prices of oil slowly increasing, analysts expect inflation to increase slightly by 0.1%. Furthermore, with Germany’s unemployment benefit allowing unemployed citizens to claim up to 67% of their previous wage, analysts predict no change in the unemployment rate at 6.4% in the week ahead. Tuesday, 1st September and Wednesday 2nd September – Reserve bank of Australia Interest Rate Decision and Australia’s Year over Year GDP. Australia continues to fight a hard battle with the Coronavirus, after their original strategy of having no lockdown has lead to massive spikes in Melbourne, Victoria. Australia recorded 123 new cases of the Coronavirus – all in the state of Victoria. Denita Wawn, Master Builders Australia’s Chief Executive, stated that “Our industry is facing a bath… Private sector investment is evaporating, and the government must step in to save businesses and jobs,” conveying how dire the situation is in Australia. However, the Reverse Bank of Australia is expected to hold interest rates at 0.25%. Any deviation from this consensus is most likely to move the Australian dollar significantly. Furthermore, Melbourne’s sustained lockdown has seen forecasts of GDP growth to drop to -5.3%, down 6.7% GDP growth of 1.4% in the previous quarter. Tuesday 1st September – Italy’s Markit PMI. One of the country’s worst-hit with the Coronavirus, Italy, has recorded over 268,000 cases with cases continue to spike, with newly registered cases yesterday just over 1,200. Italy is predicted to be one of the first to get a grant from the Bloc’s 750 Billion Euro grant as it suffers from worsening GDP growth pre-Coronavirus. Italy is set to release Manufacturing PMI’s to 52, slightly higher from 51.9 last month. Tuesday 1st September – Euro core inflation rate Year over Year Europe is currently experiencing a resurgence in Coronavirus cases as an early lifting of lockdowns just before Summer has forced a spike across Europe. However, many countries are against a second lockdown due to the Economic calamity it will bring. Analysts predict a drop in the inflation growth rate to 0.9%, down from 1.2% in July. Non-farm payroll – Friday, 4th September The United States continues to post daily double-digit Coronavirus cases as their total case count tops 6 Million. As elections approach in just over a month, President Donald Trump continues to let the economy open to win over voters. Non-farm payrolls are predicted to be just over 1.4 million, down from a previous 1.73 million print. As usual, we have many critical economic events that traders need to watch out for to avoid being whipsawed by the market in the week ahead. Trade Cautiously.
SP:SPX
by BlackBull_Markets