Huge symmetrical triangle on Natural GasThis is a big one, I want this chart in my history. Giant flag/symmetrical triangle.
Warmer Dec than expected and we break down hard! But this is a bullish pattern and continues upwards. Lots of ways to play it, might be wise to just wait for a resolution/breakout first instead of front running.
NG
$NG Natural Gas - You missed a Spot! Pullback Long OpportunityNG just tore through a long term downtrend line, and horizontal resistance.
... but there cannot be inefficiencies in the market, aka "gaps"
They eventually get filled. Judging by the heavy selloff on the Daily:
We will fill it sooner, rather than later.
Entry in the Gold Box around 3.38
Exit around 5.70's
NATURAL GAS LONG-TERM OUTLOOK TO GO 'SHORT'I usually short term trade/swing trade so often trade support and resistance no matter market trend, this would be on 1H (1 hour) time view and below, long-term views will be depicted on the 4H (4 hours) and 1D (1day) view, like this chart.
Looking at the long-term analysis on the 4H and 1D view of natural gas, it looks like it has more or less finished an upside and headed downward some. There was possible revisit to 3.02-3.07, but market seems to be done going up for now. This is strongly supported by the evening doji star depicted on the 1D view which is a solid indication of market to head down.
I would say anywhere now is a good area to short the market, or you can look at 1HR view (intended for short-term trade) for a more suitable entry point to go short. Suitable entry point being when many indicators are corresponding a short for the 1HR view.
I suggest looking a 2.828 and 2.757 as possible exit points when shorting.
Please remember to look at what indicators are telling you if you can understand some, as they would likely help you determine whether to get in trade for a confirmed downfall. Also, do set stop losses but be generous with how much room you allow for this due to candle wicks.
All comments and questions welcome, if curious about indicators I use then feel free to inquire.
NG short @ Daily SupportPretty simple -- if price drops through the green box, I'm looking for shorts on the 15m/H1 depending on the time of day.
NG doesn't move as nicely as more contracts, but you'll still see strong moves at the right areas. The more it compresses BEFORE attempting a breakout short, the more I like the trade idea.
Targets hit. Near the 1W support, resuming the uptrend. Long.TP = 2.840 hit as the 1D Channel Down (MACD = -0.013, B/BP = -0.0240) on Natural Gas aggressively expanded to a 2.752 Lower Low. Since this value was too close to our second TP = 2.740, we decided to close all shorts as the RSI = 45.438, STOCHRSI = 53.580, CCI = -33.7393, Highs/Lows = 0 turned neutral. As NG1! is trading near the 1W 2.696 support, we are starting to build up our long position for the expected 3.020 Resistance test, having tough a more moderate TP = 2.978. If the 2.696 support is tested, we will open the second and last long of this estimated bullish 1D leg.
Potential Trade Idea: Long Heating Oil/Short NatGasRecently our Unum Trading Desk analyst, Lester Davids identified a potential pairs trade on Heating Oil and Nat Gas.
"I am bullish on NatGas with a medium term view. We recently saw a break of the downward trend with an inverse head and shoulder developing. In the short term though, we could see a pullback following the breakout. On that basis, one could be short NG and Long Heating Oil."
We decided to wait for a better entry level on the medium term trade, rather than playing the ultra-short term reversal. It is now approaching our entry point.
On the NG chart:
"NG is approaching incline support around the $2.77 level. We also have horizontal support near $2.74. Potential buy/long opportunity. Keep on the watchlist for possible entry."
For the pair we want to LONG NG and SHORT Heating Oil.
If you want more details on the trade email tradingdesk@unum.co.za
Targets hit. Now Bullish reversal in full progress. Long.The previous 2.779, 2.747 Targets have been hit as the downtrend on Natural Gas was completed on 1D with a near full test of the 2.696 support. 1D is now bullish again on RSI = 55.894, Highs/Lows = 0.0630, BBP @ 0.0800) having just crossed the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement (2.837). With such momentum, we expect the 0.500 to be next (2.879). We are long with TP = 2.978 (0.786 Fibonacci).
Bullish 0.5 Fib Retrace Natural Gas2.7 level support established in May. Respected on 7/19 and a quick retest today. Unless it dumps into close today, I consider this a daily reversal candle. I expect a 50% retrace of the most recent downswing for a ~5% gain in the next 1-3 weeks.
Entry: 2.731
Target: 2.863
Stop: 2.648
Bullish target reached, now pulling back to gather momentum forNG has reached our previous TP = 2.900 and now faces the Resistance of the High extreme line. 4H is a Channel Up but has reached near overbought levels (RSI = 69.332, STOCHRSI = 92.540, Williams = -19.847) with 2.881 its support/ Higher Low. This is expected to break and move to the Higher Low of the proper 1D Channel Up (RSI = 65.173, Highs/Lows = 0.0691) near 2.779. The 2.779 - 2.830 area is a buy zone for the next bullish leg to 3.000 (TP). If it makes also a low "extreme" near 2.747 it shouldn't alarm us since it's been also done on March 26.
Medium term Uptrend on Natural GasThe price is on a 1D Channel Up (RSI = 57.179, Highs/Lows = 0.011). As seen on the chart a Higher Low needs to be price and we have two scenarios for that: soft support at 2.765 and hard support at 2.740. We will use both spots as long entries for a potential Higher High TP = 2.900.
Natural gas one possibilityThis is the weekly chart of the natural gas. you can see the long term trendlines.
It may test the one of trendlines. If it does, it'll be a possible long opportunity.
I'll stay cautious with this idea, because it can just bounce before reaching the trendline. I would never go short with rising global demand.