NG1: Will We See a Rebound or a Breakout?🔍 Analyzing NG1: We are approaching a critical support level that could determine our next move. Option 1: A rebound from this level could present a strong buying opportunity, indicating a potential uptrend. Option 2: If we break below this support, the next level could act as a key pivot point, prompting a reevaluation of our strategy. I’m closely monitoring for long entry opportunities to capitalize on any bullish reversals. Let's stay sharp!
Natural Gas
NATGAS Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on NATGAS and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 2.628 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 2.778
Safe Stop Loss - 2.529
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NATGAS Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
NATGAS looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 2.831 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 2.922
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NG1! SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
NG1! uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 2.420 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the NG1! pair.
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Natural Gas Faces Key Resistance at 3.000 – Bearish SetupNatural Gas futures are currently at a critical juncture, with various technical indicators pointing to a potential bearish trend. Traders and analysts are closely watching the price action as it hovers near a significant resistance level, and the upcoming week could provide further clarity on the direction of the market. While technical signals suggest a downside, broader market dynamics such as supply-demand factors and geopolitical tensions could influence price movements.
Based on a comprehensive technical analysis of Natural Gas futures, the commodity is facing a significant resistance level around 3.000, aligning with a strong downward trendline. This suggests a potential bearish movement in the upcoming week, with a key target of 2.527 in sight.
A critical observation on the RSI (Relative Strength Index) front indicates further bearish pressure. The multiple RSI analysis, particularly focusing on the 7-period RSI, reveals that it is extending a large distance from other RSI levels, reinforcing a downward bias. This divergence in the RSI suggests that momentum is clearly favoring the bears, pointing to a potential price decline.
Additionally, the weekly chart provides further evidence of a bearish setup. A well-established trendline highlights continued resistance to upward movement. Furthermore, the formation of a double-top pattern on the weekly chart adds to the bearish sentiment, as this is typically a reversal pattern that indicates a shift from bullish to bearish conditions.
In conclusion, technical indicators, including the downward trendline, RSI divergence, and the double-top pattern, all suggest that Natural Gas may see further downside, with a target of 2.527 looking increasingly likely. However, supply and demand dynamics and geopolitical events, such as Middle East tensions, could influence the market and potentially alter this technical outlook. Traders should closely monitor these factors, as any disruption in supply chains or changes in demand may trigger a shift in price direction.
Really as Simple as it seems- Very simple case for NG bulls on a long (2-5 year) basis. Macro trend simplified with nothing more than trendlines
- Shorter term bear play will be described in another post
- NG appears to be making a Jesse Livermore accumulation megaphone pattern as it did in the 90s/2000s
1) red long term downtrend line broken to the upside and retested beautifully.
2) weekly chart shows higher highs and higher lows beginning to develop on a longer time frame after the nasty drop from 2021 highs to lows which bottomed in the 2$ vicinity.
3) Shorter term black trendline still providing resistance upon the 3rd test. Confirmation of a breakout here is yet to be seen (this was where the short play revolves around)
4) major resistance around the upper red horizontal line at roughly 3.19. Lesser resistance just below red horizontal line.
Conclusion: NG has been and continues to be extremely cheap historically.
As NG resolves these resistance zones it appears a 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-8 megaphone pattern will generate as NG eventually reaches the 12-14$ area within the next few years.
Natural Gas expected to tag lower trendline and upper trendline of megaphone pattern accordingly with seasonality and resistance levels along the way.
Volatility is expected as the cylinder widens and price action becomes more erratic, though long term, the trend is bullish, but the Widowmaker is not for the faint of heart. Scaling in, and buying near lower trendline tags is likely most likely to increase probability of maximum profit.
Natural Gas at Key Resistance: Rejection or Breakout?Hey traders! Natural Gas (GAZ) is currently testing a strong resistance level. There’s a chance we could see a rejection here, with the price pulling back toward the support level. If this happens, we could also see a gap fill at the support, making it a potential target zone.
Here’s the setup I’m watching:
Resistance Level: Price is testing resistance; we could see a rejection soon.
Support Level: A pullback could take us down to support, with a potential gap fill in that area.
Target Zone: Watch for price action around support as a potential entry point.
Stay sharp and trade wisely!
Natgas - Pending RSI Failure SwingThis is an idea of what to look out for if natgas continues to rally into overbought RSI territory and tops out as it did in May and June of 2024 (current year). Look out for overbought RSI divergence followed by a failure swing as shown and outlined in further detail in the idea linked below, probably confirmed by MACD divergence as well. Look out for an approximately 40-day duration of top formation once RSI enters overbought territory, plus or minus 20 days. Be prepared for a max draw down of 2.14% if you short the close of the day the failure swing is confirmed. The previous gain was 29.16%. Due to the high draw down %, it may make sense to short a QG micro which is 1/4 of an NG contract, possibly adding more on the way down at your discretion. The trade entry may happen later this year, approximately mid November.
Also something to watch out for is a much sharper rise with a much shorter RSI failure swing pattern as was formed at the start of the year 2024 (current year), also shown on the chart. The drawdown was much smaller and the target much greater (50% gain) but the short duration made the failure swing more suspect. It’s better if more than just 5 days form the top and a deeper valley is formed.
This is all very hypothetical, but these are the types of swing trades I watch for and it’s good for me, if no one else, to note these potential trades as they approach. Please feel free to ask questions.
Previous failure swing idea with additional explanation:
30% to 60% Upside Coming for Natty (Divergence Strategy)A powerful monthly bullish divergence just confirmed on natty.
We see that the CCI had a monthly close which confirmed the bullish divergence setup. In this video I review how to determine targets with this strategy, and how to determine your risk.
I anticipate a minimum 30% rally from current prices for natty, possibly heading up 60% from here. This doesn't mean this market won't have a pullback in the meantime. In my opinion, pullbacks are for buying until these price targets are reached.
If you have any questions about this strategy, feel free to shoot me a message.
Have a great week.
NATGAS Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for NATGAS is below:
The market is trading on 2.921 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 2.748
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NATGAS Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on NATGAS and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 2.456 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 2.388
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NATGAS Will Go Down! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NATGAS is going up
From the horizontal support
Of 2.275$ just as I predicted
And now the price is approaching
A horizontal resistance of 2.529$
From where we will be expecting
A local bearish correction
Sell!
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