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Natural Gas

Natural gas is stuck, but nearing a move Natural gas has been oscillating in a wide range between $2.34 and $2.60, give or take a few cents. $2.50 support/resistance has been the decision level for a sharp move in either direction. At this point, both extremities have been tested multiple times , weakening both support and resistance. I believe that if natural gas bounces here and tests the higher extremity, it will be broken with ease. However , the longer it stays near the bottom of the range, a break of $2.34 becomes likely and a fall to the $2.20 level materializes. $2.20 is roughly the top of the resistance channel that natural gas has been stuck in since December of last year (highlighted by the green box). That flush might wipe out the remaining stops and a big portion of the bulls that are remaining in natural gas, which could yield a nice bounce and trigger a short squeeze.
NYMEX:NG1!
by Fida4u
1
NATURAL GAS: Short term buy signal may be emerging.Natural Gas is very bearish on the 1D time frame (RSI = 36.041, MACD = -0.435, ADX = 40.625) with the RSI a few days back even oversold as since the December 15th Triple Top it has been falling non-stop. That fall was initiated not just because of the Triple Top but also because of the RSI's Lower Highs (LH), which flashed a Bearish Divergence. The price this month has been ranging sideways within the 2.340 Support and the 2.655 Resistance. Being this time on a Triple Bottom and with the RSI on HL (Higher Lows) we expect a short term rise to start if the price crosses the 4H MA100, which is untouched in 2 months. We will target the 4H MA200 (TP = 3.000). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NYMEX:NG1!
by InvestingScope
8
Decision time for natural gas The daily candle that just opened is forming in a very interesting place. It will encounter some strong resistance around the $2.50 mark, which coincides with the last candle and down trend line since December. If Nat gas manages to push thru and break above $2.50 and close above the down trend line, then game on to +$3. If it fails at $2.50 and heads lower to the recent low at $2.39, it is likely to break much lower and make new lows , around the $2.20 mark.
NYMEX:NG1!
by Fida4u
2
Nat Gas Accumulation TimeWe're coming in to a zone near the $3 mark where we belive it would be prudent to start accumulating long positions in natural gas. Using Elliott Wave anaylsis in conjuction with fundamental analysis we're pretty certain there's a huge upside to natural gas. We're unsure as to whether this will be a wave 3 or a wave C to the upside, but ultimately that doesn't matter as both will provide us with an upside target of at least $10+. Fundamentally there will be a bigger surge in natural gas demand as it has become evident that the world is not ready for renewable energy to support our power needs (if it ever will be able to support us entirely) so 'cleaner' fuels such as natural gas will be used in the immediate and near term to meet the global energy demands. As always with trading we don't need to know everything, we just need to be on the right side of the movements to make money and we're pretty certain this is going to be a huge move to the upside in the coming weeks and months.
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by RAA_Trading
4
WTI Crude Oil / CL1 - Accumulation Before Global ConflictA lot of fundamentals say that oil should be going up. A lot of Twitteratti and furus say that oil should be going up. Yet, it's not. Oil hasn't been bullish since literally June . The only reason sentiment is still confusedly bullish like this is because WTI isn't (yet) trading like bonds. People say that OPEC+ cutting production was some kind of battle with Washington and that the Biden Administration are doing some green energy nonsense saboteuring the country by selling off the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR), because Joe Biden is senile. That's not what's happening. Are you high? The United States is going to endanger its energy reserves while it's in a war with Russia? Don't be fooled by appearances. You need to start exercising critical thinking. In my view, what has transpired is pretty simple: 1. The Biden Administration said they would refill the SPR at $80 2. When WTI fell to $76, instead of refilling it, they sold more of the SPR 3. They keep selling more of the SPR on this bounce at $80 and 90 4. The average price the SPR was filled at, the last time I looked, was $60 So why did OPEC+ cut production? Because they're smart money and they realized the United States is short on oil. The U.S. and its vassals (including Canada) are by far the largest producers of oil in the world. It's their market, especially while Russia is out of the picture, and whoever makes the market sets the price. So OPEC+ understands that oil is going down and cuts production accordingly. When the Biden Administration refills the SPR, that's the bottom, WTI will bounce hard, and OPEC will increase production again. This is a lot of words to tell you that oil is going to make new lows, not new highs. This call that I made at the beginning of September is still definitely in play. WTI Crude / CL - An Intervention: Saving Blind Bulls There are some really important factors to look at in the longer timeframe charts. Consider that we're almost all the way through October and yet WTI, while it's in a bearish market shift, has not made a monthly low: This is even more obvious on the Weekly, where a gap is revealed: This ~$80 January gap range has now been traded extensively but has not produced the requisite re-continuation of a bull run needed, which means that lower prices are on the way. The reason is, $120 was not the top. A big number like $180 or $220 is incoming, probably in 2023, but before then comes manipulation and accumulation, frankly speaking, probably in the $50 range. Whether bulls want to hear that or not or want to believe that or not, that's how it goes. Not very many people believed Natural Gas was going to go from $10 to $4.9 either, but it did. Natural Gas / NG - It's Officially a Bear. Now, Hold My Beer The big wild card right now is actually not the conflict between the Russian Federation and NATO/Washington via Ukraine as a proxy. Even less is it whether the Federal Reserve keeps clowning around with interest rates. Xi Jinping was just crowned leader of the notorious Chinese Communist Party for an unprecedented third term and has consolidated the Politburo with only his own people. But more concerningly, the man who should be fulfilling his historic role to collapse the CCP from within a la Gorbachev instead was quoted by ABC as having made communism and the deteriorating CCP "absolutely central to China's development and future." This amounts to an abject disaster in Xi Jinping's life, a disaster for the Chinese people, and a disaster for the human race. If man won't do something about the problem of the Chinese Communist Party and its campaign of organ harvesting Falun Gong, then Heaven will. The CCP may or may not attack Taiwan. That's a major wildcard in this call. Personally, I don't think the Party has enough stability while being sacked by Wuhan Pneumonia and hit by economic problems to really dare do it. Yet, the more imminent a possible attack on Taiwan is, or the more imminent a major escalation with Russia is, the more violently the US oil market makers will dump WTI/Brent to where they want it to be so they can accumulate and refill the SPR. How you want to trade it and what you want to do is up to you. But I believe we see a number like $89 on WTI this week and I intend to go long on bear ETFs with a target under $50 imminent by January. Oil is something that is going to make a violent and impressive new high, but those cowboys are not going to let early money and dumb money come along for the ride particularly easily. Be careful. Humanity has officially entered the most dangerous moment, and at a period where we're already in the proverbial "Triple Overtime." What you believe can happen and what is actually happening, in reality, are often two different things.
NYMEX:CL1!
by LordWrymouth
4
$UNG bounce here back to the neckline. 60-70% upside potentialWhile I shared a previous idea of UNG falling all the way to $2 (and while I still think that's possible over the course of this year), I'm never one to pass up a good counter trend trade. Idea here: I think $UNG is bottoming here. This would setup a counter trend rally back to retest the H&S neckline it broke down from $17-18 range. There's 60%-70% upside in this trade should it materialize over the coming months. The first thing I'd watch for is a reversal in price action and then you can jump in. I set an alert for this price level and when my alerts hit, I jump into the trade. I'm in from $10.36. Let's see how it materializes over the coming weeks/months.
AMEX:UNGLong
by benjihyam
2
head and sholdersIn my analysis, I have identified that the natural gas market appears to have formed a head and shoulders pattern. This is a technical chart pattern that is often used to predict a reversal in the trend of an asset. The pattern is formed by three distinct peaks, with the middle peak (the "head") being the highest and the two other peaks (the "shoulders") being lower. The "neckline" of the pattern is determined by connecting the lows of the two shoulders. In this case, I have identified the head of the pattern to have occurred on August 22nd, 2022, when the price of natural gas reached $34.50. The right shoulder of the pattern occurred on December 28th, 2022, with the price reaching around $17. Based on this pattern, I am predicting that the price of natural gas will drop to around $4.20. This prediction is based on the idea that the head and shoulders pattern is a bearish reversal pattern, indicating that the price will move in the opposite direction of the previous trend. It is important to note that this is a prediction and not a guarantee of future performance.
AMEX:UNGShort
by PetrifiedForrest
Natural Gas Analysis and ForecastBearish pressure is expected to persist in the coming days or week due to increased natural gas production following a June explosion that shut down a Texas LNG facility. The facility is expected to take at least two weeks to become operational again, but bullish pressure may return once it does as well as if winter conditions return in late January or early February. If the 3.500 level is broken, prices may increase to the range of 4.500-5.000 before a possible drop again. NYMEX:NG1!
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by ProTradeSignals
3
EWT – Is Natural Gas Prepared for a Reversal?In our previous article, we discussed impulsive wave C and its continuation. On 20 January 2023 , Price achieved our all given targets. Click here - ----------------------------------------------------- Timeframe : MCX Natural gas has accomplished the corrective wave B and started falling for impulsive wave C. Price has given a reversal from previous wave C, but it is no conclusive evidence that it has completed wave c. When it comes to confirmation, Traders should watch the level of 313 . If the price breaks out the 313 , it will enter into the parallel channel. Traders can buy for the following targets: 321 – 340 – 366 . Don’t forget prices are moving outside the channel, which is a negative point for traders. Bearish continuation is possible if the price sustains below wave (4). I will update further information soon.
MCX:NATURALGAS1!
by forextidings
2
NATURAL GAS Astounding multi-year Cycles showing sell's not overThis is not the first time we look into Natural Gas (NG1!) and its long-term patterns. We have coined its Multi-year Cycles Theory in the past and it is time to extend on it a little on the 1W time-frame. Typically investors ask us for 1D analysis such as the following we published 2 months ago (November 24 2022) and helped us identify the conditions that would fulfil the long-term bearish reversal we expected: As you see NG delivered the expected drop since it closed below its 1W MA100 and even hit and closed below the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). Based on this multi-decade blueprint, this is a strong bearish continuation signal. As the chart shows, NG technically makes 4 year Cycles (bottom-to-bottom, top-to-top), which failed only one time in 30 years. Based on this, there is still significant time and range for the price to drop. The first stop is the (grey) High Volatility Zone, where the price typically trades for a longer-than-usual period of time. We need to keep an eye on the RSI on the 1M time-frame and its Higher Lows trend-line. If its holds, expect a bounce, in a similar fashion as the Lower Highs from May 2009 to February 2016. If they break, we expect first the 1.600 level to be tested as a Support and potentially under conditions (which we will analyze extensively if this time comes), the prices Lower Lows trend-line. Keep in mind that the RSI is always helpful and in recent months in particular, as its Bearish Divergence on Lower Highs (against the price's Higher Highs) from September 2021 to August 2022 projected the peak. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NYMEX:NG1!Short
by TradingShot
4