A great opportunity to buy in NGASMidterm forecast:
The current trend is uptrend and the forecast is continuation of uptrend.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI support #1 at 52 is not broken, the probability of price decrease would be too low.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 4.755 on 11/30/2018, so more losses to support(s) 4.400, 4.050, 3.800 and minimum to Trend Hunter Buy Zone (3.600 to 3.350) is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 60.
Trading suggestion:
There is possibility of temporary retracement to suggested Buy Zone (3.600 to 3.350). We wait during the retracement, until the price tests the zone, whether approaching, touching or entering the zone.
Beginning of entry zone (3.600)
Ending of entry zone (3.350)
Entry signal:
Signal to enter the market occurs when the price comes to " Buy zone " then forms one of the reversal patterns, whether " Bullish Engulfing ", " Hammer " or " Valley " in other words, NO entry signal when the price comes to the zone BUT after any of reversal patterns is formed in the zone. To learn more about " Entry signal " and the special version of our " Price Action " strategy FOLLOW our lessons :
Take Profit:
TP1= @ 3.800
TP2= @ 4.050
TP3= @ 4.400
TP4= @ 4.550
TP5= @ 4.650
TP6= @ 4.850
TP7= @ 5.000
TP8= Free
NGAS
NATURAL GAS - Your bill will go up !Looks like this Triangle is coming to an end as price is in the support zone of wave ((e)) of wave 4.
So, we should see a bounce towards 5.0 and higher for wave 5.
A break above 4.76 is a good confirmation of bullish move.
Invalidation level is at 3.88 (end of wave ((a))
NGAS: Quarterly target hit rapidly, short squeeze ended...I think $NGAS will trend back down to the 2.88 region once more. Most likely peaked already, although weather being the coldest in years could be a concern, fundamentally speaking (nevertheless, this variable could be already priced in). Short entries should be safe overall, any rally is a short here in my opinion, just risk 0.25% on each attempt.
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
NGAS daily bearish bat pattern yo!The 2618 trade of the Hindsight challenge was AWESOME!!
NGAS finally hit the entry of the bearish bat with a strong gap up on Monday morning Asia session!
With the 3.500 fig combination, I'm willing to wait for 4hr reversal sign here for a short trade!
Let's see how it goes!
How NGAS reacts with harmonic patterns -- hindsight challenge(1)One thing that the analysts in this business will be challenged forever is about hindsight.
Even the simplest single EMA system can look outstanding when it comes to the happened candles.
While, for a mature system trader, what we really focus on is two questions:
1. "Do the patterns match the definition?"
2. "What exactly is the trade? (at least with an entry and a stop loss) "
3. "Is the trade triggered"
One of these 4 trades is a simple hindsight that didn't really match the definition of the pattern,
Let's try to point out which one it is if you know exactly how these trades work yo~!!
2018.07.31HUGE rejection right off of 2.825 (July 11 high). Bearish setups are still in play as I expect a bullish move on Wednesday and EIA report (last two reports were bullish so I expect shorts to cover a bit). As such, I expect a retest of today's highs ~2.81-2.825. I doubt natty will break 2.825 unless EIA report is extremely bullish. Therefore, I'll be looking to go short at either red line (2.825) or upper purple line (~2.813) for a break of the lower purple line and then a test of low 2.7s
GL to all!
UPDATE: very IMPORTANT juncture for USOIL, I expect higherHi guys, thank you for the support! I will have this analysis out each weekend as well as daily updates throughout the week, if you guys like what I'm doing hit the "follow" button and you will get a notification each time I post a video or chart!
Have a great day everyone!
Global-Review / May 11th : Equity risk over ? Volume says no !Hope this idea will inspire some of you !
Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;)
That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users.
If you want to see my chart more closely, click the share button below that video.. You will be able to have access to the chart used in that video.
Indicators used in this forecast are PRO Sinewave BETA & PRO Momentum .
You can check my indicators via my TradingView's Profile : @PRO_Indicators
Kindly,
Phil
If you want to learn more about the basic rules to trade with my indicators here's the educational video link :
Market Review / Apr. 27th : BTCUSD, SPX, NGAS, VIXHope this idea will inspire some of you !
Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;)
That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users.
If you want to see my chart more closely, click the share button below that video.. You will be able to have access to the chart used in that video.
Indicators used in this forecast are PRO Sinewave BETA & PRO Momentum .
You can check my indicators via my TradingView's Profile : @PRO_Indicators
Kindly,
Phil
If you want to learn more about the basic rules to trade with my indicators here's the educational video link :
USOIL vs Nat Gas Portends Ominous Signals for Natural Gas There is a cup and handle developing on the MONTHLY. The blue rectangle is the support in which the cup cannot break to remain valid. This ratio could, of course, break down, but statistically, it will likely rise in value over time.
How could this ratio go as high as the 30s or 40s? Or even higher?
A) Oil would have to go into the 100s while nat gas remains in the 3s.
B) Nat gas goes lower into the single digits while oil rises marginally, maybe high 60s.
B seems most probable to me.
The monthly on natural gas continues to look very weak:
NGAS - D - LONGI have missed several trend within NGAS because it was so erratic recently without a chance to catch the movement, at least with my strategy.
The uptrend I'm waiting for is not yet confirmed and everything is possible, within at this low level NGAS is sitting currently. I do believe that 4H is showing good movement that could lead to strong impulse on daily TF. Weekly and monthly are back to consolidation range since months and this accumulation will lead "probably" to a break to the upside. A bit like my WHEAT trade.
Trade with your own diligence,
GL HF
Aggressive Traders Could Try to Short Natural Gas Now $UNG $NG_FNatural gas broke below the Red and Yellow indicator lines and should be shorted because it is in a downtrend currently
My custom support resistance indicator lines show decent places to enter or exit.
The Blue indicator line serves as a Bullish Trend setter.
If your instrument closes above the Blue line, we think about going Long.
If your instrument closes below the Red line, we think about Shorting.
For Stocks, I prefer to use the Yellow line as my Bearish Trend setter (on Daily charts).
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