NGAS
Natural Gas May Complete a Short Term AB=CD PatternEarly this morning Natural Gas broke the trendline and has begun to consolidate. Thus I am short-term bearish on Natural Gas and looking for sell set-ups.
I usually stay off of the 15 minute for trade ideas but as this is coherent with my short term analysis for this pair I will look to take this trade. The bearish AB=CD pattern may complete around the .5 retracement of this impulse down which would be a nice location for the short.
Once in the trade I will watch the recent bottom around 3.34 to depend whether I will take profit or hold for further targets (3.297 or beyond).
**This is not meant to be a trading signal so please do not use it as one -- I still have very much to learn as a trader and none of my ideas are trading advice. That said I always appreciate any comments and feedback on my charts and ideas!**
NATGAS Weekly - Gap filled below ..on to the one aboveStrong weekly candle filled the larger gap below from Nov 28 as well took back the 200 MA 3.30 (the caveat is there is still a smaller one Nov 21 2.852 - 2.891 but I expect it will wait for shoulder season if it fills since we've moved up for now)
Tested 20MA with a convincing push up = bias remains BULL
50MA crossed above 100MA
20MA closing in on 200MA
Up trend tested Nov 7 higher low 2.546 within pennies of the prior higher low Aug 8 - 2.523 imo qualifies as a double bottom - same Nov7 low was first touch & test test of 100MA support
Targeting gap to 3.67 and will re-assess price action/fundamentals but ultimately think we see $4 touched before shoulder season
Inventories/Production tight & increasing exports/coal converters are the main fundamental drivers but weather always a wild card
GLTA