Natural Gas short: FakeyThe uptrend of NGAS in the past week was a completely irrational move fueled by good news for oil. Other than that, inventories were slighly below forecasts and weather neutral. Furthemore, this rally is starting to experience exchaustion with huge spreads between bid and ask which leads to gaps--mostly to the downside. Thus, I believe that panic selling will follow; and as we know panic selling of NGAS is an amazing opportunity to short. I entered short at $3.5 and will hold till STOCH RSI bottoms, where I will try to long as I think NGAS has potential upside.
NGAS
Changing weatherNatgas has been on a great run because of the cold area over Canada that may enter the USA. However last two days it has become less like to enter the plains. As natgas is overbought, calendar spreads showing relative weakness, and larger than normal volumes in inverse etfs, all these factors support my opinion of warmer weather next week. aka lower natgas prices.
NGAS : Short this to 2.4, Where thy winter ?WXY pullback
Can be expected to touch the top. Start shorting from the red region.
I dont care about winter/weather or this or that.
I trade wave counts and patterns.
if you have fundamental issues pls dont take this trade,
and rest of you who do short, enjoy the ride with me.
I will be posting update on lower tf.
Enjoy Trading !
Natural Gas SHORT: December is ComingFriday I started selling my position in NGAS. Whilst I do expect further movement up, I think that there may be a possibility for some profit in the short side. That's because the upper BB did not seem to widen when the price reached it. This is a very common sign of NGAS reversing. Furthermore, the STOCH RSI look like not much upside is available. The MACD is still bearish but soon to reverse. I WILL NOT BE TAKING A SHORT position right now, but will wait for signs of reversal (retrace). There have been times when NGAS exploded after reaching a resistance. Thus, I will adding to short from 3.2-3.18 and only if indicators signal a selloff.
NGAS:Sell at 0.618RET and 1.618EXTThe 0.618RET of previous decline is at 3.04 and the 1.618EXT of previous rise is at 3.07 level.
Meanwhile the prevous structure also works at this zone.
So it is good to sell short at 3.04-3.10 levels when price action gives the bearish signals in the PRZ.
SL:above 3.15
TP1:2.80
TP2:2.68 and further more
NGAS:Bearish AB=CD Pattern and 0.618RETThe bearish AB=CD pattern is completing at 2.92 level and the 0.618RET of the previous decline is at the same level.
Meanwhile the previous structure works at 2.9-3.0 levels.
So it may be good to sell at 2.9-3.0 levels when price action gives the signal in the PRZ.
SL:above 3.02
TP1:2.8
TP2:2.7 and forther more
NGAS:Bearish Bat PatternThe potential bearish Bat pattern is completing at 2.83 and the 1.618EXT of AB is at 2.85.
Meanwhile the previous strcuture also works at this zone.
So it is good to sell short at 2.80-2.85 levels when price atcion is good at the PRZ.
SL:above 2.88
TP1:2.72
TP2:2.63 and further more
Natural Gas Short: Only for 1 dayI will be sorting Natural Gas for only 1 day (12/14/2016) I don't think Natural Gas has a clear direction right now, but I do think it is still in limbo, just at a lower level than expected. Thus I do forecast a drop back from the 10DMA levels of 2.737 to erase today's (11/14/2016) gains, but no movement lower, at least not this week.
NGAS:Buy at 2618 PatternThe market has borken through the point of last drop and the double bottom has formed.
Meanwhile the market is pulling back the neck line which is also the 0.618 retracement of the previous rise.
So it is good to buy at 2.60-2.63 levels when bullish candles appear.
SL:below 2.55
TP1:2.73
TP2:2.78 and further more