Natural Gas SHORT: December is ComingFriday I started selling my position in NGAS. Whilst I do expect further movement up, I think that there may be a possibility for some profit in the short side. That's because the upper BB did not seem to widen when the price reached it. This is a very common sign of NGAS reversing. Furthermore, the STOCH RSI look like not much upside is available. The MACD is still bearish but soon to reverse. I WILL NOT BE TAKING A SHORT position right now, but will wait for signs of reversal (retrace). There have been times when NGAS exploded after reaching a resistance. Thus, I will adding to short from 3.2-3.18 and only if indicators signal a selloff.
Ngaslong
UPDATE: NGAS ShortWARNING: Tomorrow is a massively important day for short holders. Firstly it is important to note that there is very big spread between December ($3.066) and current contracts. Furthermore, tomorrow invontory data is released. If you see December contracts gapping down tomorrow that is a very bearish sign and could indicate that there is a short opportunity regarding the data. If we don't see a spread close, then we should all be extremely careful and exit immediately if data is positive as it will mean that NGAS will ride back to first resistance and trend higher for the days to come. At which point a short could be a possible trade to ride it back down.
Natural Gas Long OpportunityBull flag forming on NG1! daily chart.
Price consolidated in that pattern between 2 weekly zones and when it finally broke, bull momentum slowed and profit taking occurred.
I expect a retest on the upper channel before a charge to the 3.0 level.
This is one of those text book flag-retest setup
Opportunities to swing trade this commodity have been far and apart but a bull move seems to be what the market is signalling.
How I shall trade this:
1. I will be placing a buy Limit at the 2.75 area with an initial target at 2.90
2. A slightly smaller aggressive entry above the high of the Monday close with at target at 3.00
Happy Trading!