GJLet's stay watching because where price currently is (190.90) is a level to watch. We close below here, have a rejection, confirmation candles then we know we are looking to stay going down.
1hr has already given us 1 confluence, we need 3 before we enter. It is forming a second one but has not confirmed it yet.
RISKY TRADE IDEA, enter the market with sells but closely monitoring the SL you place in because this move is not yet complete.
I will stay watching and waiting for the perfect entry.
Ngwanemoney
US30We are on track and going very nicely to what we wanted before we go with the market. Keep holding that patience and stop those fingers from executing any trades.
As we move lower, think of possible moves which could invalidate the forecast:
Bull momentum taking over
New rejection level
Fake outs to the downside
Major news announcements
Wrong psychology
Wait, hold, plan, wait some more
N1Good thing we were patient and stayed out.
Following the previous post, I had not set out an idea. This was just placed and not taken.
Now we have a better idea as to where and what to do:
We waiting for the retest on the rectangle and confirmation of bull movement before we set out our buy stops and market entries to go with the bull run.
UJWe are still holding and waiting before actually placing this order. We need more confirmation, especially that of high volatility and high impulsive energy before we are certain.
Wait for the break of the current channel.
Waiting for retest
Enter
- Those are the rules for this idea before we even enter.
It looks tempting and a break of 151.200 looks like the magic price but its just a level to watch not to trade on.
Always remember these forecasts / ideas / predictions are all mine not ours, not for you. This is my way of journaling and keeping record for myself and own trades, anyone that follows this advice, idea or sentiment is by your own risk and own decision.
GJIf you had taken the trade idea early you would be stopped out.
Momentum is slow
191.57 we had a double rejection (Double Top)
Don't be bias and stick to a direction, stick to market movement and direction.
Wait for the close of the next hour and candlestick confirmation (Evening star, dojis, rejections) in order to determine whether we are stay up or faking before going down.
USStraight forward, this is bullish and has no reason to stop being bullish. HH and HL are the indications of the strength of this trend. Within the channel is where the action is. Current price we bearish.
For now stay away from the trade idea but rather on the movement of price. We melting downwards, which resembles the supply but not the demand because it could still be up. For now hold and wait for consolidation before wanting to enter sells.
LET CONSOLIDATION BE MIMUMUM 5-10 CANDLES, this is a better confluence as this will give us a price squeeze and better direction predictions.
Trade Idea : Buy Limit
SL - 38680
Entry - 38835
TP - 40010
N1Sum of the averages within the blue boxes and that is still what I am seeing. I had a great long last week but was taken out by the SL in profit, yet it went the full direction of the forecast.
We seeing a flag forming that is slightly bearish, which would allow us to place buy stops just above and a SL below the flag low, but this is the high price Nas has ever hit. So from my own observation and backtesting, before it goes through a high again. It will drop and gain momentum and spend 3-5 days pushing further up or collapsing before finally going in the obvious direction you had set out.
Trade Idea : NONE sit your ass in that chair and stay patient
UJHad a beautiful setup with this last week, added entries along the way. Had a buy limit which wasn't triggered but the forecast was correct. Our aim is to be the best meteorologists out there.
Current price is consolidated, which indicates that we are about to have an impulse (demand order). This will help us determine which direction we set our orders. Opening will also help give us perspective on where and what we need to look out for.
But we did get a double top, so we should expect a bear run but it is not certain or guaranteed yet. If we close below 150.500 then we can start looking for entries.
TRADE IDEA : wait for price first Sell Stop
SL - 151.25
Entry - 150.45
TP -146.5
GjNEW WEEK NEW POSSIBILITIES
This week is strong and yet not so strong, past week we hit our targets for GJ. This week no lie, I am slightly confused. My mental and psychological health are up for question but I understand my duty as a responsible fund manager.
191.00 Strong price of Significance.
I've understood from textbook studying with current pattern and candlestick formation we will see a further price drop.
We are going from strong bearish momentum, finding balance and about to continue distributing the to the rest of the demand.
Getting in right after the open is a bad idea as it will probably hit SL before going through our forecast.
Trade Idea: Sell Stop
Stop Loss -
Entry - 190.500
Take Profit - 188.150
RR - 1:5
US30Late trigger but it was amazing forecast and mid analysis.
Here we are now looking to scale in and do more. Move SL into profits we do not run a non profit.
37600 - 37630 (Area of significance)
- bounce and rejection, with candlestick confirmation is a move up
- impulsive candlesticks down and rejection means we are drowning price again.
US100Analysis is off, but forecast was right.
Here we are learning and doing better each day. Had I opened up my laptop yesterday, I would have possibly seen an opportunity to enter the bull run.
That's the lesson we learn as being managers of funds.
Break of 16640 will be where we start looking for more opportunities.
GJWe clearly have an early tendency, meaning we need more confluences before entering.
Following the wave and awaiting a new entry chance in order to fully succeed here.
Stay watching 183.5
- rejection candles and impulsive bearish candle means we keep sinking
- break above, close and rejection above here we are moving up
US30This big boys came to play with NFP but was equally sorted out without regret.
4H
-Serious Doji
- Hanging man as the closing candle
* Evening Star
1H
* 3 touches on either side of the channel
* Bearish channel confirmation
* Rection and close under 37500
- 37400 can be the next resting place
- 37300 is the next significant level should it fall
15Min
- Price in a squeeze, we should be expecting a breakout next (one that will be very impulsive)
- 37327 area around where double/triple bottom happened
- 37520 break = Shoot up (bullish momentum)
GJWas about to put a buy limit at 183.45 but then I looked left and looked at what happens after price kisses 184.35.
4H
- Movement up has a lot of traffic (candlesticks)
- HH's & HL's
* Evening star giving us that last touch
- bounce on 183.5 is crucial point for next move
- Close below 183.24, with a followed reject we know we are going down
1H
* H&S
- break of neckline(183.5) will give us another confluence
* RR is in our favour for this POSSIBLE trade
UJI have no reason to be bias but you can obviously see the appeal.
4H
* High (146.00), tested twice
*Low (140.200), triple bottom
1H
* Trend = Bearish (Zoom Out)
* Rejection of 146.00
* 1 more confluence and we place sell stops and market execution
15Min
- just wait for market open and candlestick close
- this trade is very profitable, inline with our plan
- wait for it to come to us
NAS100Bounced off 16200, which was last a support in DEC 2023 and a resistance (High) in NOV 2023. Therefore level of significance
4H
* Bullish engulfing candle of the low
- doji followed and a possible hanging man
- dive deeper for more info
1H
* Bounce 3 times at 16425 : which usually is the beginning of an expected breakout
- there's a potential 4th touch
- next directional move will determine our stance
- close above 16250, could be a change in direction
- close below 16200 with a rejection (new high) of this level will be continuation to the downside.
15Min
* compact candles, from impulsive break.
- will impulsively open
Verdict
- The possible trade there is highly risky, bad RR and just placed with no expectation
- WILL NOT BE TAKING THE TRADE
- Waiting for better information on the market