Markets rally as missiles fly | how long can risk be ignored? Markets may be underpricing Israel and Iran risk.
Despite continued fighting—including high-impact strikes and rising casualties—global equities moved higher to start the week.
U.S. indices led the advance, with the Nasdaq gaining 1.5%, followed by the S&P 500 and Dow. Earlier in the session, European and Asian markets also closed higher, with Germany’s DAX up 0.8% and Japan’s Nikkei rising 1.3%. Now Asian markets are set to open for the second trading day of the week.
Tensions escalated further on Monday as Israel launched drone strikes on Iran’s state-run IRINN television headquarters in Tehran, interrupting a live broadcast. Additional Israeli attacks hit the South Pars gas field. In retaliation, Iran launched a fresh wave of missile attacks into Israel, killing at least five people.
Japan 225
Nikkei 225 H1 | Swing-high resistance at 61.8% Fibo retracementThe Nikkei 225 (JPN225) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 38,245.01 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 38,500.00 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 37,855.58 which is an overlap support.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USDJPY 1W tf forecast until August 2025 Current midterm bias is bullish. 150,64 and 142,78 are extreme levels to be respected by the price action. One more week of red week of sideways movement will actually form a reversal pattern followed by a strong upward spike. A powerful breakout to 148,27 is to be retested at 145,34 - healthy retest. July will show an organic growth topping at 149.66 in the beginning of August 2025
NI225: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse NI225 together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 37,817.93 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
NI225: Next Move Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse NI225 together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 37,698.86 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 37,589.11.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Japanese Yield Surged to Record High 3.2% - Nikkei OutlookAre Japanese markets still a buy after rising 170% since the pandemic, surpassing their roaring 1980s levels?
The reason why Japanese stocks have become some of the best-performing equities in Asia is largely due to the falling yen — a depreciation of around 60%. A weaker yen boosts Japan’s major exporters (like Toyota, Sony, and Panasonic), as their overseas earnings convert into higher yen profits.
But what’s the downside? - Inflation
Yes, they wanted inflation, below 2% yoy will be ideal, but not at this rate of growth at 3.5%.
Another key reason for the stock rally starting in 2020 was that, just like the U.S., the Bank of Japan (BOJ) unleashed massive monetary stimulus, flooding markets with liquidity during the pandemic.
Although the yen has fallen sharply, it seems to have stalled since 2024, that was when the BOJ started raising interest rates from –0.1% to the current +0.5%.
With inflation continuing to rise, the BOJ will likely maintain a hawkish stance on interest rates.
This could cause the yen to strengthen or push USD/JPY lower.
I am also observing a potential head and shoulders formation on the USD/JPY. And if the yen strengthens, this may cause the Japanese stocks to meet its road block.
Nikkei 225 performance since the post WWII to its roaring 80s, to its collapsed, and now rebounded.
Even though prices have breached the 80s level in 2023, it could represent a false breakout, as prices continue to fall back below that historic resistance the last 2 years.
My assessment: The Japanese stocks are still testing their 80s high — a major psychological level.
With money printing, the yen weakened; and a weaker currency fueled inflation.
With inflation, yields and interest rates rise, borrowing costs are increasing across the different tenures — and that’s not good news for stocks.
The 30-year yield is now at around 3% — a level surpassing the deflationary years and that’s something most Japanese would not have imagined just a few years ago.
With a raising interest rate and a stronger yen, let’s see how this will impact the Nikkei 225.
Since the BOJ began raising interest rates at the beginning of 2024, the market has literally stalled within a wide 10,000-point range.
And there is a key support level at 30,000, we can see it was a resistance in the past.
Currently, the BOJ is trying their best in managing the yen and inflation very carefully, to maintain financial system stability. Based on this sentiment, I believe the market will likely continue moving within this wide range — though it may gradually narrow over time.
Make sure to keep monitoring the direction of the Japanese yen, yields, and inflation.
If the yen strengthens too quickly, or if yields and inflation rise too sharply, it could push the market to break below this range and start trending downward.
And if it is all well, market will likely to continue its upward momentum.
Another key factor I am watching closely is tariffs.
The direction of the Japanese stock markets will also be influence by the tariff agreements ultimately with US, and as well as how quickly they can forge potential trading partnerships and alliances — just like other nations, they are racing against time.
Micro Nikkei Futures
Ticker: MNI
Minimum fluctuation:
5.00 index points = ¥250
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com
www.cmegroup.com
NIKKEI 1W forecast until end of July 2025Broadening wedge formation on the table - a lot of sideways movement within the range of 38,758 and 36,607
Upward momentum will last for a couple of weeks more. The most likely top is 38,758
Starting from second half of June 2025 we may see a start of correction strong, but healthy. Correction/rest bottom is expected in mid July at 37,075 and should not fall deeper than 36,607
Second half of July the index would probably try to climb up to 58,758 with doubtful success.
NI225: Local Bullish Bias! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse NI225 together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 37,966.80 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 38,197.40. Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Japanese Markets: Still a Buy?Are Japanese markets still a buy after rising 170% since the pandemic, surpassing their roaring 1980s levels?
The reason why Japanese stocks have become some of the best-performing equities in Asia is largely due to the falling yen — a depreciation of around 60%. A weaker yen boosts Japan’s major exporters, as their overseas earnings convert into higher yen profits.
But what’s the downside? Inflation. (expand)
Yes, they wanted inflation, below 2% yoy will be ideal, but not at this rate of growth at 3.5%.
Micro Nikkei Futures
Ticker: MNI
Minimum fluctuation:
5.00 index points = ¥250
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com
www.cmegroup.com
Nikkei H4 | Falling toward a multi-swing-low supportNikkei (JPN225) is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 36,688.39 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 35,300.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 38,831.79 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
"JP225 / NIKKEI" Index CFD Market Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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NI225: Target Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse NI225 together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 37,160.17 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 36,963.23 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
NI225: Bulls Are Winning! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse NI225 together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 37,753.72 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 37,983.91 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Are you shorting the bounce or waiting for confirmation?Japan’s Q1 GDP came in worse than expected: -0.2% QoQ (-0.7% annualized). Weak consumption, soft exports, and a fading external boost despite a weak yen isn't a great combo for Asia’s largest export economy.
The Nikkei 225 reacted immediately, and the H4 chart is starting to reflect deeper structural pressure.
🔍 Technical Outlook:
- Price reversed from the high of 38,745.
- Price is testing the 50 SMA and could enter the Ichimoku cloud.
- The cloud is signalling a twist, which could be a sign of momentum fading and the trend weakening or reversing.
📊 Projection:
If the price closes below the 50 SMA and breaks through the cloud, further downside could be expected, with the target levels at
- 36,800 (last consolidation zone), and
- 35,570 (38.2% fibonacci retracement level and 200 SMA).
Alternatively, if the bulls defend the cloud, we could see the price climb to the resistance level of 40,500
This is a classic macro meets technicals moment. A weak data print is lining up against the possibility of a technical rollover.
NI225 CORRECTION AHEAD|SHORT|
✅NIKKEI has been growing recently
And the index seems locally overbought
So as the pair is approaching a horizontal resistance of 38,216
Price decline is to be expected
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NI225: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse NI225 together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 37,503.33 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 37,094.95 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
NI225: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse NI225 together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 36,830.69 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 36,249.62..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Nikkei Futures (NKD/Nikkei 225) Inverse Cup and HandleNikkei futures have setup an inverse cup and handle on the daily. A somewhat rare pattern as most of them turn into double bottoms or sideways consolidation. Maximum downside target for the pattern is 21,000
- Global macro trends continue to worsen
- BOJ stuck between saving the Yen and helping the dollar
- Japan economic fundamentals may allow BOJ to allow inflation to run hot
- Possible US recession could spread around the world
- Yen carry trade still in play although most likely only blows up in catastrophic situation
- Japan has seen the benefit of US monetary and fiscal policy, Trump admin likely to try to pressure Japan into spending money on US goods such as food and weapons
Overall sentiment on NKD is that it has followed US markets especially the Nasdaq for some time. DXY moving up takes pressure off the Yen carry but could be a sign of now US firms taking profit on a very large run up in the past few weeks. Regardless of outcome, volatility is expected.
NI225: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse NI225 together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 35,720.94 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
NI225: Move Down Expected! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse NI225together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 34,730.28 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 34,106.69..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
NI225: Strong Growth Ahead! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse NI225 together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 33.585.58 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 34.793.45.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
NIKKEI Long From A Massive Support! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NIKKEI stock index has
Lost almost 27% from the ATH
Which means it is clearly oversold
And the index is about to retest
A massive horizontal support level
Of 30,000 which is a great spot
For going long on the index
And even if the support gets
Broken I would still hold the
Position expecting a rebound
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
"Goooo...!!! Get to the safe-haven choppa!"And there we go... Market participants are in panic mode as tariff show kicks off. Everyone is trying to find a safe-haven like CHF and JPY. However, gold and silver are not the ones, where you need to be now.
Let's dig in!
TVC:GOLD
MARKETSCOM:USDCHF
MARKETSCOM:USDJPY
MARKETSCOM:JAPAN225
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.