BUY RUMOUR SELL THE FACT AND BUY THE FACT Feel free to interpret it. Fundamentally Indeces is still very fragile fundamentaly. Good R:R short.
Japan 225
Looking for a strong move higher in Japan, in wave ((3)).Looking for a strong move higher in Japan, in wave ((3)). Ivelin Z.
Elliott Wave View: Nikkei (NKD) Searching for SupportNikkei Futures (NKD) is presently at the 100% – 161.8% Fibonacci extension from February 16, 2021 high and the Index is searching for support. Short Term view suggests that the decline from November 16, 2021 high is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse structure. Down from November 16, 2021 high, wave 1 ended at 27390 and rally in wave 2 ended at 29420. The Index then resumed lower in wave 3 towards 26050 and wave 4 bounce ended at 27897. Wave 5 is now in progress with internal subdivision as another impulse in lesser degree.
Down from wave 4, wave (i) ended at 26845 and rally in wave (ii) ended at 27555. Index then resumed lower in wave (iii) towards 26550 and rally in wave (iv) ended at 27025. Index is expected to complete wave (v) soon and this should complete wave ((i)) in higher degree. Afterwards, Index should rally in wave ((ii)) to correct cycle from February 10, 2022 high before the decline resumes. Near term, as far as pivot at 27897 high stays intact, expect rally to fail in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further downside. Potential target for wave 5 lower is 123.6 – 161.8% external retracement of wave 4 at 24905 – 25615 area.
Swing trade opportunityNice and simple, back to 26xxx
Good luck
blah blah extra stuff so tv will let me post
Nikkei225 Channel BreakIn this update we review the recent price action in the Nikkei225 futures contract and we identify the next high probability trading opportunity and price objectives to target.
Delusional, reflexive herd bounceDoesn't really matter what market pair you are looking at, pretty much all equities and assets are looking to make a reflexive bounce. The highlighted portion is a 200 day linear regression channel and we could make a bounce towards the middle of the channel until monetary policy changes come to fruition starting in March.
The market was willing to sell on the pure notion of a policy change, it didn't even require any actual changes, with the exception of the FED buying slightly less junk.
Imagine what happens when the tightening policy comes into effect in one month, and the junk buying halts.
Imagine how many will be sucked back into the market only to chase their losses.
It doesn't really make sense for the market to dump more here, -*even though it could*-, because the downside/upside risk:reward is pretty much equal here and it seems like the easier, short-term option is to curl towards an area of lesser resistance in order to amplify our future expectations.
The "Brecher Ledge"The more horizontal the trendline, and the more touches of price to that trendline, the more ominous. Many times, a decisive break of the line, leads to a move equal to the previous range. That would be over 3000 points!
$nikkei k.i.s.s analysis looks like Nikkei likes a lot to trade in a range/to form channels
there are two possibilities in my humble opinion:
red path is the safest one: wait for the retest of the support and after that give it a try.
green path: if you believe that the stock market worldwide will have a sharp turnaround, combined with the support confluences.
if I add value to your trading path, please like this post and follow me :)
The Nikkei Close to Breaking DownThe Nikkei is close to decisively breaking the 4 and 1 hour trendlines. This could lead to at least a 500 point sell-off. Good support is the next line at 27500.
NIKKEI Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
Are we building for a deeper selloff or a bounceAsian markets remain looking heavy as the HSI and Nikkei Daily timeframes press lower. The US has been more resilient to negative news and remains focused on inflation and interest rates. The question is how much of the good news ie/ strong economy and bounce from pandemic lows has been factored in to price action in the US. If the US start to take a hit, then other markets will follow....so are Asian shares markets flagging what is to come. Check out the video for a more detailed look at key levels for major US, Asian and Australian Indexes.
Remember to check out the website www.tradethestructure.com and leave a comment a thumbs up for the video.
GBP JPY Sell to 151.450GBP JPY Has made some retrograde in the last 30 days. probably the sellers are still on their way to 149.300 -149.100.
NI225 Has made +3.55 % Last 30 days, By moving from 28583.83 to 29601.83, targeting 30500 Japanese yen are doing well right now, I am waiting for GDP Annualised news, with the previous: 1.3 the forecastings: -0.8
I expect high volatility to the downtrend continues, the price will continue to 151.400 - 151.600 support area.
152.600 is my sell open position now
I made a sell pending order at 153.250 just in case the pairs make some reversal moves.
targeting the 151.500 area as you can see in the chart,
always risk management will help you to protect your position.
Asian Markets melting down and do not look healthy longer termThe Nikkei and Hang Seng along with my local ASX200 are well under pressure today and may see further downside in coming sessions. In the video I take a look at the daily charts for my major Indexes and discuss where I see the risk and how I will look to trade any downside if this weakness continues.
NIKKEI 225 Index Target Price 29974.90Nikkei 225 Index
Trend: Up
Level: EMA 10, EMA 20, Diagonal, Horizontal
GBPJPY LONGMany currencies look strong against the #yen. I have previously posted the $USDJPY chart, which shows that 119+ could be in the making. $GBPJPY presented here, much like $EURJPY, although the $GBP is looking a little stronger against the #yen. Notes on the chart. If this plays out and the yen continues to weaken, this will provide the Nikkei (Japan 225) a tailwind.
USD JPY going to 112.100we have seen today big movement from bears at 114.23 resistance area and a good increase of NI225 index by staying above 200 moving average. 113.45 is an easy support area to break; by the breaking volume, we will see 112.047 - 112.247 support area start to attract bulls to enter the market. also, we will see some major news that will push the pair to high volatility. now we have stayed under the 200 moving average with high volume preparing for the bearish forcing the price down. you can see I already have a sell position at 113.781 with a hedge order at 114.031 just in case the market reverse in a short time before visiting our target 112.047 - 112.247
VDJP Daily - Good RR to accumulate I've been liking this ETF for a while - weekly set up very bullish with inverse h&s and bull flag. The move higher was initially very aggressive and I used it as an opportunity to take some profits. This pull back to the trend line is exactly what I have been waiting (&hoping for). Will use as an opportunity to keep averaging in
Nikkei 225 Bullish run ahead!!Earlier we have seen breakout from the Bullish flag
Resistance from poles high and now retesting
Follow the fibo levels
Guide = arrows
Stocks - HSI Leads DownIdea for Indices:
- HSI is in something like an island top reversal. Was expecting a bounce to 20 DMA, but only seems to be getting 9 DMA and looking on the verge of collapse.
- This "bull flag" that it was in previously resolving in this way is a huge clue... as this pattern exists right now in so many important markets globally.
- China has already popped their bubble and will lead down, liquidity flows will be HSI > NKY > DAX > NDX > SPX. The deflationary wave is coming IMO.
Next leg down for HSI likely 19 or 21k. This may not translate fully to US markets, but at least should see the bottom of the risk range, so NDX 14k for this initial move. 7-15% correction from the top on US markets.
GLHF
- DPT
NiKKEI 225 (NI225) Potentially nearing '2B' reversal pattern.NiKKEI 225 (NI225) Potentially nearing '2B' reversal pattern.
Once prices breaks down below red line, potential confirmation of '2B' top reversal pattern completion.
Nikkei double top projecting 15% drop in the coming months This double top in the Nikkei would suggest about a -15% drop from current levels if it plays out. Break of the neckline and being long JPY (short XXXJPY) would be a way to play this like short EURJPY or NZDJPY
VDJP Weekly - Starting to accumulate againFollowing the successful break of the bull flag and the quick follow through, there is no surprise that we are seeing a pullback on this ETF. I am starting to average back in after slowly taking profits from 27.50 (prior high) and above. There is no sign of a bottom here, but I am happy with the current price and will buy more if we move lower. The long term weekly picture is still positive as long as we stay above 24.50. I would still like to see 31/32 as a full target here.
