FX Morning Meeting & Top Trade Ideas for July 08🌐 MORNING MEETING - MARKET PREVIEW - JULY 08
🔴 USD INDEX
The US dollar retreated from highs after the FOMC minutes release with the UST 2y-10y curve continuing its bull flattening. The falling yields suggest that the US dollar could see some selling pressure, at least against low-yielding currencies. However, with risk aversion present in the markets ahead of the weekend, downsides in the USD may be limited. USD bulls could continue to flex their muscles against risk currencies. Today's US Unemployment Claims are expected slightly lower than in the previous month (345k vs 364k expected).
🔴 GLOBAL STOCK MARKETS
Morning traders, global markets entered a broad risk-off mode after the FOMC minutes showed that the Fed is not as hawkish as previously expected. Asian markets closed lower (Hang Seng is down 2.90%), and European markets followed their Asian peers with losses that exceed 1%. US futures are also down ahead of the NY open.
🔴 CURRENCY STRENGTH
Surprise surprise, the risk-off scissors are here! JPY and CHF are the strongest, while AUD, NZD and CAD are racing who will print the biggest loss.
🔴 ECONOMIC CALENDAR
Early in the morning London time, RBA's Lowe held a webinar speech about monetary policy, but didn't deliver anything the markets don't already know.
The remaining calendar is light with key reports being the US unemployment claims and crude oil inventories.
Inventories have fallen more than anticipated for six previous periods, which is helpful to have on mind.
🔴 TOP TRADE IDEAS FOR JULY 08
- Long USD against high-yielders - While falling UST yields could pose a bearish risk for USD, risk-off may still support the currency.
- Long low-yielders - If technicals allow
Japan 225
Nikkei Options Strategy for coming monthsThis is an idea for trading INDEX:NKY options.
In recent months, Nikkei index did experienced some volatile moments, however, they were all short-term momentum that they were unable to be met with trends that lasted for months or even weeks.
The author of this article believes that this trend to continue.
So, I suggest opening an Iron Condor spread which captures the prices between the lines drawn.
Elliott Wave Analysis: NIKKEI Remains BullishHello traders and investors!
Today we will talk about Japanese Index NIKKEI 225 in which we see very clear bullish pattern.
As you can see, NIKKEI made an A-B-C corrective decline from the highs and the main reason why we think it's a correction within uptrend is because of a triangle within wave B in the middle. We know that triangles cannot occur in wave 2, so it must be wave B as part of an A-B-C correction.
The Next very important evidence that A-B-C correction is completed is recent five waves up from the lows and we know that a five-wave reversal indicates a change in trend, so NIKKEI will probably stay in the uptrend.
However, in EW theory, after every five waves, a three-wave pullback follows, so before we will see a continuation higher, be aware of a corrective slow down with ideal support in the 28800 - 28300 zone. Of course, pullbacks could be even deeper, so count remains valid as long as the price is trading above 27400 May lows.
Be humble and trade smart!
If you like what we do, then please like and share the idea!
Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
NI225 29161.58 + 0.74 % LONG IDEA * PRICE ACTION OVERVIEWHELLO EVERYONE
HOPE EVERYONE IS DOING GOOD HAVING A GOOD ONE, READY FOR THE MARKET THIS WEEK, HERE'S A LOOK AT NIKKEI 225 FROM THE MONTHLY CHART.
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY OR IF YOU LIKE THIS ONE
SMASH THAT LIKE BUTTON & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
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* Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
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| * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - INTRA-DAY TRAD
Keep it simple and buy ToyotaNot much to say here other than Toyota is 100x better than Tesla in everything. Personally I don't believe that a company who has a CEO like Elon will ever be successful, so I'd rather buy the most successful company out there that just had a major breakout. Definitely one of the most bullish stocks out there.
NIKKEI 225 28941.45 - 0.4% MONTHLY OVERVIEWHELLO EVERYONE
HOPE EVERYONE IS DOING GOOD HAVING A GOOD ONE IN THE MARKET THIS WEEK, HERE'S A LOOK AT THE NIKKEI 225 OVER VIEW BASICALLY FOR DIRECTION, OVERALL PERSPECTIVE & DIRECTION OF THE INDEX.
* follow your entry rules on entries
* significant moves with the bears change the plan.
lets see how it goes.
many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules.
HAPPY TRADING EVERYONE & LET YOUR WINS RUN...
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ENTRY & SL - FOLLOW YOUR RULES
RISK-MANAGEMENT
PERIOD - SWING TRADE
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If this idea helps with your trading plan kindly leave a like definitely appreciate it.
Nikkei's multiyear rising expanding wedge and probable outcomeI have the chart depiction of Nikkei's multiyear rising expanding wedge and outcome laid out here. In my understanding, the Dow, SnP 500 and all the rest of indexes worldwide will mirror this to the final lows in March 2022 and probably beyond. The standard price targets in that rising expanding wedge pattern along with possible cycle date timings are shown no matter of any timescales in the chart. That's about 56% decline from around the high of 30,700+. German DAX 30 shows expanding megaphone in the same range of years which is targeting all the way to 3,600 in coming years (end of 2023) if the megaphone pattern fully plays out in this large context. I know that it certainly does in smaller scales for the declines up to 30%. That will be one heck of a decline to witness in anybody's lifetime.
Nikkei soon 5,10,20,25y long correction?Why i posted this chart, because i want to compare it with the BTCUSD 1M chart. I think BTC is similar as Nikkei in the early days, than 25y of corrections and sideways. I am asking myself can this also happen to Bitcoin?
Second thing is, it looks like Stocks - Nikkei will also enter into the bearmarket soon, like BTC. How long will last until uptrend again? What does that mean for Bitcoin? Will they put profits into Bitcoin?
NI225 Breakout anticipation I see ascending triangle so have placed buy stop above resistance because I'm anticipating the resistance level to be broken, I have a hedge order to reduce drawdown and a buy limit to scale in if it goes against me too.
USD/JPY correlation also supports this breakout idea as its showing a descending triangle
Nikkei225 - Great trade Opportunity! Nikkei 225 - Great Trade Opportunity!
What a great set up, right? I've been shorting NI225 for while. If you're subscriber of our weekly newsletter, you probably got in earlier at a better risk/reward! If you are subscriber - Thanks I appreciate it and if you aren't you're missing out! I post my analysis late on Trading View for great trade ideas...Subscribe now - Link will be down in the comment section (It's FREE & always will be) We will be changing the privacy settings soon for ONLY subscribers to see our content!
Now let's dive into the exciting Technical aspects:
Longer Term pattern: Triangle
Shorter Term Pattern: Bear Flag / Wedge
Key Support & Resistance Areas: 28000 - 28400
Key Tip: You could go to towards lower time frames to get a better price.
All the best,
Trade Journal
(Just a trade idea, not a recommendation)
NIKKEI225 SellPrice has broken out of the weekly uptrend and is descending towards the weekly support zone.
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Nikkei: Contrarian LongAt first glance, I was excited that the Nikkei futures were forming a 3 hump pattern similar to the one formed in February 2020 before the big dump.
then, I started noticing difference in volume / flow (CMF). Back then, the bearish divergence was quite clear, and now it's not all that clear. In fact, that sudden CMF increase looks a bit like bullish divergence similar to what we saw on the Nasdaq a few weeks ago.
Targeting a long from the 28000 area. If we don't get that low, I probably won't enter the trade.
NIKKEI225 going longTVC:NI225 is in a descending channel, but in a bigger timeframe it looks like a bullish flag to me. Besides that, it hit key Fibonacci levels rebounded from there. I am bullish until above 30000.
The fundamentals are still bullish for me as the opening-up party just begun. However expect wild swings, as the speculators tried to "price-in" the opening up with leveraged positions, so both long and short squeezes are ahead of us, so try this idea with small positions.