"Top and Bottom Analysis" NIKKEI 225 by ThinkingAntsOk4H CHART EXPLANATION:
Main Items we Observe on the Chart:
-Price has broken the ascending trendline
-Currently, price is on a support zone
-We will wait for a corrective structure on the support zone before taking any trade
Based on this if the price breaks down with a close candlestick below 20718.0 we expect a continuation of the downward movement towards 19964.0
MULTI TIMEFRAME VISION:
-Weekly :
-Daily:
Japan 225
Nikkei: Long term Buy Opportunity.The index is approaching the 20,970 1W Support creating optimal conditions for a long term buy towards the 23,000 Resistance. Nikkei is on an uptrend since the December bottom (1M MACD = 405.550, RSI = 50.348) and only a breach of the 20,360 Support can distress that. The Golden Cross (MA50 over MA200) may come later to confirm that. We are long on NI225 with TP = 23,000.
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Elliott Wave View: Impulsive Decline in NikkeiOur Elliott Wave view on Nikkei suggests the rally to May 4, 2019 high (22505) ended wave w. This ended cycle from December 26, 2018 low and the Index is in the process of at least doing a larger 3 waves pullback. Short Term, decline in Nikkei from May 4, 2019 high is unfolding as an Elliott Wave impulse structure. Down from 22505, wave 1 ended at 21935 and wave 2 ended at 22245. Wave 3 ended at 21080 low.
Expect wave 4 bounce to fail in 3, 7, or 11 swing as far as wave 2 pivot at 22245 stays intact. Possible target for wave 4 is 23.6 – 38.2 retracement of wave 3 at 21539 – 21672. Alternatively, Index can end the entire 5 waves from May 4, 2019 high already. In this case, it should do a larger 3 waves bounce to correct the cycle from May 4 high before the decline resumes. We don’t like buying the Index and expect further downside in the Index to complete a 5 waves down.
NI225 (Nikkei) - Market Crash Cycles | Indices | Macro Trends*Please support this idea with a LIKE if it helps you. Thanks!
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NI225 has been labeled within a Grand Super-Cycle degree wave B (pink), which has been unfolding ever since the Tokyo Stock Bubble back in 1990.
Structure - Flat Formation
1990 bubble peak and down until Apr 2003 bottoms - Super-Cycle (w) (purple)
2003 bottoms up until 2007 tops - Cycle wave a (turquoise)
2007 tops and down until 2008 lows - Cycle wave b (turquoise)
2008 lows and up until present times - Cycle wave C (turquoise), the final leg of Super-Cycle (X) (purple)
Cycle wave C (turquoise)
Pattern - Ending Diagonal
Sequence - 5-Wave Sequence, with Primary Waves 1 2 3 4 5 (green) decomposed as Intermediate (A)(B)(C) (blue)
Current Position
Primary Wave 5 (green)
Next expected swing
Bearish sequence in Intermediate (B) (blue)
Market Crash Forecast
Support granted at or around the 21000.00 mark and then a bull run towards the 27000.00 levels, where Super-Cycle (X) (purple) is expected to complete
Super-Cycle Waves (a)(b)(c) (red) would reflect the next Larger Degree Recession or even a Depression
Structure change:
Breach of the lower trend-line of the Ending Diagonal could reflect the fact that the Market Crash already started.
SHORT NIKKEI approaching resistance, potential drop!Apr 30
NIKKEI is approaching our first resistance at 22346.7 (100% Fibonacci extension , 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ) where a strong drop to our major support at 21472.4 (horizontal overlap support, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement , 100% Fibonacci extension ).
Stochastic is also approaching resistance and seeing a bearish divergence where we might see a corresponding drop in price.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
BTCUSD 1month target max 5600$BTC 1 month down and 1 month recovery idea.
There has been a sharp upward trend for one week already.
(STRICT) STOP LOSS=3800~3900$ (daily close)
LONG idea TARGET=5600$ (with follow-through, 6000$ possible)
FINAL TARGET=3000$ in two month.
This idea was inspired by the Japanese market NIKKEI 225 bubble.
NIKKEI approaching resistance, potential drop!NIKKEI is approaching our first resistance at 22346.7 (100% Fibonacci extension , 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ) where a strong drop to our major support at 21472.4 (horizontal overlap support, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement , 100% Fibonacci extension ).
Stochastic is also approaching resistance and seeing a bearish divergence where we might see a corresponding drop in price.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
SHORT NIKKEI approaching resistance, potential drop!NIKKEI is approaching our first resistance at 22346.7 (100% Fibonacci extension , 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ) where a strong drop to our major support at 21472.4 (horizontal overlap support, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement , 100% Fibonacci extension ).
Stochastic is also approaching resistance and seeing a bearish divergence where we might see a corresponding drop in price.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
The price of the NIKKEI is above the key resistanceThe price of the NIKKEI is above the key resistance formed by the two EMAs (20 and 200 periods) daily and by 38.2% of the Fibonacci retracement. With this weekly closing above 22070 points, it is very likely that the price goes directly to the target. The next is in the area about 22900 points. Coinciding with 23.6% of the Fibonacci retracement.
This level will be very important from now to the next few weeks. In fact, if it is reached, it will be a watershed between a continuation of this short-term uptrend with the absolute maximum goals, or a rejection which will cause a retracement of over 1300 points.
Basically, it seems that the first hypothesis is the most probable. The Bank of Japan kept its monetary policy unchanged (it confirmed the deposit rate at -0.1% and the Japanese government bond yield target of 10 years around zero) and has committed to keeping interest rates very low at least until the spring of 2020. The BoJ also announced its new inflation forecasts. Noting that the 2% target will not be reached before 2022, despite years of ultra-accommodating monetary policy. This will keep the Japanese index stable. It should maintain a lateral/bullish trend in the short and medium therm.
NIKKEI approaching resistance, potential drop! NIKKEI is approaching our first resistance at 22346.7 (100% Fibonacci extension, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement) where a strong drop to our major support at 21472.4 (horizontal overlap support, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, 100% Fibonacci extension).
Stochastic is also approaching resistance and seeing a bearish divergence where we might see a corresponding drop in price.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
NIKKEI approaching resistance, potential drop! NIKKEI is approaching our first resistance at 22346.7 (100% Fibonacci extension, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement) where a strong drop to our major support at 21472.4 (horizontal overlap support, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, 100% Fibonacci extension).
Stochastic is also approaching resistance and seeing a bearish divergence where we might see a corresponding drop in price.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
NIKKEI approaching resistance, potential drop! NIKKEI is approaching our first resistance at 22346.7 (100% Fibonacci extension, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement) where a strong drop to our major support at 21472.4 (horizontal overlap support, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, 100% Fibonacci extension).
Stochastic is also approaching resistance and seeing a bearish divergence where we might see a corresponding drop in price.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
NIKKEI approaching resistance, potential drop! NIKKEI is approaching our first resistance at 22320.0 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement ,100% Fibonacci extension) where a strong drop might occur below this level pushing price down to our major support at 21460.8 (100% fibonacci extension, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support).
Stochastic is approaching resistance as well where we might see a corresponding drop in price.
NIKKEI approaching resistance, potential drop! NIKKEI is approaching our first resistance at 22320.0 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement , 61.8% Fibonacci extension, horizontal overlap resistance) where a strong drop might occur below this level pushing price down to our major support at 20303.4 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing low support).
Stochastic is approaching resistance as well where we might see a corresponding drop in price.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
NIKKEI approaching resistance, potential drop! NIKKEI is approaching our first resistance at 22290.7 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement , 100% Fibonacci extension ) where a strong drop might occur below this level pushing price down to our major support at 21472.4 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement , 100% Fibonacci extension , horizontal pullback support).
Stochastic is approaching resistance as well where we might see a corresponding drop in price.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
NIKKEI approaching resistance, potential drop! NIKKEI is approaching our first resistance at 22290.7 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement , 100% Fibonacci extension ) where a strong drop might occur below this level pushing price down to our major support at 21472.4 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement , 100% Fibonacci extension , horizontal pullback support).
Stochastic is approaching resistance as well where we might see a corresponding drop in price.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
NIKKEI approaching resistance, potential drop! NIKKEI is approaching our first resistance at 22290.7 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement , 100% Fibonacci extension ) where a strong drop might occur below this level pushing price down to our major support at 21472.4 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement , 100% Fibonacci extension , horizontal pullback support).
Stochastic is approaching resistance as well where we might see a corresponding drop in price.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
NIKKEI approaching resistance, potential drop! NIKKEI is approaching our first resistance at 22290.7 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement , 100% Fibonacci extension ) where a strong drop might occur below this level pushing price down to our major support at 21472.4 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement , 100% Fibonacci extension , horizontal pullback support).
Stochastic is approaching resistance as well where we might see a corresponding drop in price.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
NIKKEI approaching resistance, potential drop! NIKKEI is approaching our first resistance at 22290.7 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement , 100% Fibonacci extension ) where a strong drop might occur below this level pushing price down to our major support at 21472.4 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement , 100% Fibonacci extension , horizontal pullback support).
Stochastic is approaching resistance as well where we might see a corresponding drop in price.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
"Top and Bottom Analysis" NIKKEI (NI225) by ThinkingAnts4H CHART EXPLANATION:
Main items we see on the chart are:
- Price facing a Resistance zone on a possible Double Top Pattern
- Bearish Divergence on MACD
Based on this, if price breaks out the Ascending Trend line below 21300.0, we will be looking for short positions towards the Ascending Wedge Pattern at 20000.0, paying attention to the middle support zones at 20900.0 and 20400.0
MULTI TIMEFRAME VISION:
-Weekly
-Daily
Nikkei approaching resistance, potential drop! Nikkei is approaching our first resistance at 21823.8 (76.4% Fibonacci retracement , horizontal swing high resistance, 61.8% Fibonacci extension ) where a strong drop might occur below this level pushing price down to our major support at 21414.3 (61.8% Fibonacci extension , 50% Fibonacci retracement , Horizontal pullback support).
Stochastic is also approaching resistance where we might see a corresponding drop in price.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
Elliott Wave View: Nikkei Still Missing Wave 5Short Term Elliott Wave view on Nikkei Futures suggests the pullback to 20704 ended wave (2). The Index then resumed higher in wave (3) which ended at 21985. The internal of wave (3) subdivided as an impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from 20704, wave 1 ended at 21415, wave 2 ended at 20985, wave 3 ended at 21765, wave 4 ended at 21490, and wave 5 of (3) ended at 21985. We can also see the internal of wave 1, 3, and 5 all subdivide as an impulse (5 waves) of lesser degree. This is an illustration of fractal within Elliott Wave where each wave consists of smaller waves and the pattern repeats indefinitely.
Wave (4) dips appears complete after a 3 waves pullback ended at 21588+ blue box area. The internal of wave (4) unfolded as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure where wave A ended at 21735, wave B ended at 21835, and wave C ended at 21565. At this stage, Nikkei still needs to break above wave (3) at 21985 to avoid a double correction in wave (4). While dips continue to stay above wave (2) low at 20704, expect Index to extend higher in wave (5). If bounce from the blue box fails to break above (3) high and it breaks the recent low, then structure of wave (4) should become a double three Elliott Wave structure and would be labelled as WXY. We would be able to define the next blue box area for a bounce if the bounce does fail and breaks the recent low.