Japan 225
NIKKEI Elliott Wave Analysis for Tuesday 17/10/2023In the higher time frame, the primary expectation is that wave (4) has finished after a WXY correction. We had a strong reaction from the reversal areas. However, in the lower time frame, we are missing one more swing up to identify an impulse and the potential start of wave (5). If we do not get the additional swing up, we might still have further corrective price action as a wave (4).
NIKKEI Elliott Wave Analysis for Monday 16/10/2023 (+ Higher TF)In the higher time frame, the primary expectation is that wave (4) has finished after a WXY correction. We had a strong reaction from the reversal areas. However, in the lower time frame, we are missing one more swing up to identify an impulse and the potential start of wave (5). If we do not get the additional swing up, we might still have further corrective price action as a wave (4).
NIKKEI Elliott Wave Analysis for Tuesday 10/10/2023The primary expectation is that wave (4) has finished after a WXY correction. We are in the areas from where we can reverse. We are looking at two scenarios on the lower timeframe. The first scenario identifies a complete structure. In the second scenario, two more swings are missing. A failure of both scenarios on the lower timeframe is an indication of a bearish scenario in the higher timeframe
NIKKEI Elliott Wave Analysis for Monday 09/10/2023 (+ Higher TF)The primary expectation is that wave (4) has finished after a WXY correction. We are in the areas from where we can reverse. We are looking at two scenarios on the lower timeframe. The first scenario identifies a complete structure. In the second scenario, two more swings are missing. A failure of both scenarios on the lower timeframe is an indication of a bearish scenario in the higher timeframe.
NIKKEI Elliott Wave Analysis for Friday 06/10/2023The NIKKEI is doing a wave (4) correction as a WXY. Currently, we are working on the Y leg as another wxy structure. We are in the areas from where we can reverse. We are looking at two scenarios on the lower timeframe. The first scenario identifies a complete structure. In the second scenario, two more swings are missing.
NIKKEI Elliott Wave Analysis for Thursday 05/10/2023The NIKKEI is doing a wave (4) correction as a WXY. Currently, we are working on the Y leg as another wxy structure. We are in the areas from where we can reverse. We are looking at two scenarios on the lower timeframe. The first scenario identifies a complete structure. In the second scenario, two more swings are missing.
SELL USDJPY H4 WedgeUSD/JPY - H4 Chart - Rising Wedge Pattern formation
Price need to Break the Trendline and Retest wedge Pattern and
after strong Reversal formation, we take entry.
Always wait for strong Conformation in Short term for entry. 👈👈👈
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FRED Are Done Raising Rates -- Raise Rates? Japan Collapses.
Japanese Currency Strength is back to 1987 levels
Japan is the main source of YCC for the USA buying down bond Yields
If USA raises rates any more Japan will be in free fall collapse (hyperinflation)
They need to pause at worst start reducing rates.
My guess?
Money printer is coming back and will come back fast to save the Yen, this is not just a "Asian currency" this is the single weak point for the entire US bond system if the Yen goes the US bond yields go ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
Japan cannot tap out and raise rates, Japan cannot ditch the Yen and adopt the US Dollar, Japan is in some serious trouble here.
All Japan can do is continue to issue "Stimulus Packs" that is making the M3 go parabolic that leads to serious inflation. Now what happens when a country issues unlimited Stimulus Packs and cannot raise interest rates?
NIKKEI: Bull Flag broken upwards. Target 34,000Nikkei crossed over its late three month Channel Down pattern which according to the almost +30% rise that preceded it, may be the Bull Flag that technically follows and transitions into the next rally. The 1D technical outlook already turned bullish (RSI = 58.030, MACD = 173.400, ADX = 33.840) and as the 2021 fractal, targets the R1, or at least a little under it (TP = 34,000).
See how the 1D MA100 supported the downtrend on the August 17th bottom and shortly after a Bullish Cross on the 1D MACD followed.
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NI225 Local Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NI225 broke out of the
Opening wedge pattern and
Went up but the path above
Is now blocked by the resistance
Level of 33,757 and I doubt that
It will be broken with the fist
Attempt so a local correction
From the level is to be expected
Sell!
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NIKKEI INDEX, Holding Important Levels, This Is Possible Now!Hello Traders Investors And Community, welcome to this important analysis about the NIKKEI 4-hour timeframe perspective, recent events occurred, the current formation-structure, what is possible within this environment, what we can expect when the proper scenario has confirmed rightly. In the last weeks almost all major world indices seem to recover from the heavy corona-breakdowns marked this year but the big question now will be if these recoveries are sustainable or if there are coming bigger pull-backs when not a continuation of the bear-action established this year ahead. In the NIKKEI I found some interesting and meaningful signs how further development will proceed which will have an impact on the outcome.
As you can examine when looking at my chart is that the NIKKEI is building up this triangular-formation marked with the orange triangle in my chart which is building coherently up by the falling resistance line you can watch marked in light-blue and the lower boundary of the rising channel the NIKKEI is forming here. Not only these levels building the symmetrical triangular formation which can break either to the up or downside here but also the confirmed touches of the lower and upper boundary and the several touched of the 60-EMA marked in red which is a significant factor in this range holding the overall trend to the upside, when this EMA is broken to the downside it will cause great bearish pressure, therefore, it is highly necessary to hold this EMA.
Taking all these factors into consideration and the fact that NIKKEI has not yet confirmed below the 60-EMA and therefore holding above it and the lower boundary a bullish breakout is more possible than a bearish breakout which will confirm with a 65 % possibility better as the bearish with a 35 % possibility, to make this breakout sustainable it is from high importance that the NIKKEI closes above the upper boundary with a protracted and stable move to confirm it in the right manner. When the breakout happens it can be traded conservatively after a pull-back, although the immediate entry in the triangle is also possible here it should not be kept as the best option as the triangle has still not confirmed so far the conservative trade should be smarter.
In this manner, thank you for watching, support for more market insight, have a great day, and all the best to you!
Trading is about accessing possibilities, not certainties.
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
Nikkei 225 Reaches Psychological Level at 33,000In 2023, Japan's stock market is in a bullish trend (shown by the blue channel) as the country has an ultra-loose monetary policy (unlike other G7 countries that are fighting inflation). As a result, the cheap yen helps Japanese companies, which are largely export-oriented, to develop. According to the Cabinet of Japan, GDP in the second quarter of 2023 increased by 2% compared to the same quarter of the previous year.
The growth of the Japanese stock market from the beginning of the year to today is about 28%. And on Sept. 5, the Nikkei 225 closed above the psychological 33,000 level. Yahoo Finance reports that Kenji Abe, Daiwa Securities equity strategist, predicts the Nikkei could gradually rise to 35,000 after a strong reporting season this summer.
Bearish arguments:
→ the level of 33,000 points can serve as psychological resistance. After the Doji candle on September 6 (which can be interpreted as the uncertainty of market participants in the continuation of growth), the price dropped on the morning of September 7, which confirms the weakening of demand.
→ line (1), built on the highs of summer, can provide resistance.
However, the bullish argument is that the line (1) is an element of the flag technical analysis pattern. If the pattern works, then we should expect its breakdown and the continuation of the trend in 2023. How likely this scenario is can be judged by the depth of the rollback from the line (1), which is already looming on the chart.
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Hyperinflation China (CNY) + Japan (JPY) First to Go!
Chinese real-estate has collapsed
China refuses to update new unemployment metrics (like they've ever told the truth)
China BOC keeps printing to backstop this (parabolic m3/m2)
China forcing peoples money trapped in this death spiral
Japan Real estate is also dead
Japan stocks / Gasoline is going parabolic due to the start of hyperinflation not a booming economy
Japan's BOJ also can't stop printing! what could go wrong?
I've made post about this months ago with warning signs about Japan's stock market going parabolic without anything going on.
This is text book Weimar Germany 1923, why the Chinese stocks going down though? simple the capital is trying everything to exit into US markets.
The CCP has printed so much money and you know what people did with it? they sold it for US Dollars and used it overseas because nobody is buying the bs that China is a booming / powerful economy its completely collapsing you love to see it!.
Japan? their currency is done.
Both these countries have debt to GDP past the point of no return.
Both these countries have PPI / CPI going parabolic past the point of no return.
People have started to panic in China and it will follow in Japan followed by a complete meltdown, but the trick here is there's a chance this will not take out the US markets ironically.
All of this capital will flow back into the USA.
The final take away from this is the US markets see's strength not from "Real growth" but from countries where people have no option to diverse and enter the US market.
"Forecasters recession this recession that" it never equals what the markets actually do.
USDJPY | FRED RATE CUT / BOJ / QE to Infinity Emergency Is here.
Japanese Yen running the risk of entering Hyperinflation like the Argentine Peso thanks to the USA.
JPY Used to purchase US Debt while USA has Inflation problem has caused them to purchase more than expected including the FRED running (System Open Market Account (SOMA) (soft YCC)
China cannot get growth due to US higher rates slowing business growth meaning > Bank Of China has to start rate cutting and essentially do extreme QE or China will collapse.
Japan will be FORCED to not raise interest rates due to them owning the most US Debt (bonds) on low interest rates. Japan is experiencing spike in inflation and currency devaluation as people are figuring this out.
China forced to QE to counter deflation Yuan will collapse.
Japan forced to QE to counter inflation Yen will collapse.
If Japan raises rates the BOJ & institutions have to offload US bonds collapsing the US Bond market as the interest rates will destroy the carry trade.
FRED cannot pause they have no choice to start rate cuts within the next months.
If the FRED does not do this Japan's demise will send the US bond market under forcing QE / YCC by the FRED sending the FRED balance sheet to all time highs.
If the FRED does not do this China could experience a complete society breakdown.
There's a log term H&S on the JPY/USD that was going to eventually be tested leading to a -47% of the JPY currency (they will be forced to QE to locals to deal with currency collapse like Argentina leading to even more devaluation.
NIKKEI225 Adjusted for Japan M3 supply showing more and more strength since the 1980s alerting local people are starting to lose faith in the Japanese Yen.
This is no longer a "get Inflation lower story" it has started a sovereign debt and sovereign currency crisis. If people are unaware how much power and the FRED has in this situation, this could provoke the start of a new Cold War. What happens when the biggest holders of US debt Japan / China implode? the entire US bond system implodes.
Suddenly the countries like El Salvador getting their credit upgraded while the US credit gets downgraded are looking very smart right now.
End Game.
Stock Index Review...Key Levels you need to watch!!We take a look at the Daily charts and price action on our Key Indexes.
It is important to have a longer term view of the price action and risk levels on the key markets so we will discuss our major markets and what we are looking for in the video.
We take a look at the following Key Indexes:-
Nasdaq, DOW, DAX, FTSE, ASX200, Hang Seng and the Nikkei.
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