#NIFTY higher time frame update 6M close was one of the worst for bulls & now we are seeing good follow through on price as well.
it is very much possible we don't have full retracement as I am expecting but I am overall bearish for next couple of years, price have been flowing below yearly pivot point, I usually target S1 in that matter which is lining up with 50% retracement, there is a possibility of cypher I am watching here that will push price back up for a double top kind of structure.
We are here to speculate not predict what will be the outcome. all we can do is to have a plan & act on it when & if levels are hit. will try to keep this idea updated in next few months as price develops further
NIFTY
Review and plan for 21st February 2025Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Few stocks analysed.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Review and plan for 20th February 2025Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Few stocks.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Reverse Hammer in Nifty (confirmation pending) sign of reversal.A reverse hammer pattern is formed in Nifty in the weekly charts. Usually This kind of formation signals trend reversal. For reversal to be successful we need a closing next week above 23044. If this happens investors and traders can breathe a sigh of relief from the on going market correction.
If the reversal is not successful we might see Nifty fall further to 22427 or in the worst case scenario the next supports will be at 22132, 21718 or even 21302 as of now. On the positive side if the reversal is successful we may see Nifty rising to 23383, 23819, 24205 or close to 25K if we get a weekly or monthly close above 23044 level.
Another point which goes in favour of Nifty is that weekly RSI currently is at 39.39. Last time the weekly RSI was this low was in March 23 when it was 38.80. After this point we saw a rally in Nifty which lasted almost 18/19 months. So a further small dip post which we can see a come back in Nifty as per the Relative Strength Index.
Next week and the week after than will be critical for reversal of Nifty. Shadow of the candle neutral to positive this week. We might be near a temporary bottom (confirmation pending).
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Levels to watch out Based on the intrinsic value analysis, Mahindra and Mahindra Ltd. (M&M) is currently overvalued. With an intrinsic value of 1,633 per share and a market price of 2,665, the stock is trading at a premium of about 39%. This suggests that M&M does not present an attractive investment opportunity at these levels.
Given my outlook for the Nifty index to correct in the coming weeks, I believe many stocks, including M&M, are overvalued and may face downward pressure. Investors who chase these stocks by buying into strength or during market dips could be setting themselves up for a bear trap.
Instead, I plan to begin accumulating M&M shares in the range of 1,700 to 2,100. I see potential for new highs in the long-term, but only after the stock has corrected to more reasonable levels.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 20.02.2025Wednesday’s session saw Nifty opening gap-down, touching a low of 22,814.85, before staging a sharp recovery to 23,049.95. However, selling pressure kicked in at higher levels, leading to a close at 22,932.90, down 12 points from the previous close. The Weekly and Daily Trends (50 SMA) remain sideways, reflecting market indecision.
Demand/Support Zones
Near Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 22,620.35 - 22,910.15 (Tested multiple times)
Far Support Level: 21,281.45 (Low of 4th June 2024)
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 20,769.50 - 20,950
Supply/Resistance Zones
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 23,176.15 - 23,235.50
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 23,248.45 - 23,301.75
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (125m): 23,316.30 - 23,409.65
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 23,443.20 - 23,807.30
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 23,976 - 24,196.45
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Weekly): 24,180.80 - 24,792.30
Outlook
For the last four trading sessions, Nifty has been finding support near 22,700 - 22,800, but struggling to close above 23,000. If it crosses 23,000 - 23,050, we may see an up move toward 23,200. However, multiple supply zones between 23,176 - 23,400 could act as resistance, leading to renewed selling pressure.
Mother Line again resisting and Trendline supporting. Something got to give now in a big way as Mother line 50 Hours EMA of 1 hour chart is resisting the up move and trend line formed from the base of recent low is providing support to the Nifty. Few things can happen here which everyone can observe for Educational purpose:
1) If Trend line is broken Nifty will again try to seek support at 3 month or more cyclical points of 22802 or 22722. If 22722 is broken Nifty may find itself again searching for Bottom which can be temporarily near 22451.
2) Second thing that can happen is Nifty can just like last 2 days stay range bound and trapped between trend line supports and resistance in the range of 22722 to 23022 (Mother line of 50 hours EMA).
3) We might get a break out if we get a closing above 23022 (Mother line). In such a scenario the next resistance levels based on cyclical 3 month or older data seem to be near 23108, 23200 or 23283 (200 Hours EMA or the Father line). If we get a closing above Father line 23283 the next resistances can be 23494 or 23804.
This is what short term outlook of Nifty looks like.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Review and plan for 19th February 2025 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Result - action analysis.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Nifty stopped by Trendline and Mid-Channel Resistance. Nifty again today was stopped by the trendline and mid channel resistance inside the falling channel. A closing above mid-channel around 22967 will enable some strength to Nifty. However closing above the Mid-Channel will not be enough as there are 50 hours resistance line or the Mother line of hourly chart nearby as well. This Mother line is at 23043. The next resistance if we get a closing above 23043 will be near 23200. After this hurdle is crossed the next hurdle is near 23307. 23307 is the Father line of hourly chart. Post crossing this area the channel top will be near 23494. Supports for Nifty right now are at 22802, 22745. If 22745 is broken channel bottom support is near 22451 and post that trend bottom support near 22114. The closing was negative today but shadow of the candle is neutral to positive. Which can be considered a possible sign of reversal. However it is to early to call it a clear reversal until we get a closing above 23494.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Levels to watch out We've seen this cycle play out repeatedly—FOMO, driving retail investors to pile into rallies, only for many to get trapped as markets turn. It's the same story: retailers get caught in the hype, while brokers rake in commissions. Unfortunately, it's the retail investors who often pay the price.
Right now, the market is in a correction phase, and we can expect volatility with choppy or downward movements in the coming months. This could present a good opportunity for long-term investors to buy the dip.
Personally, I’ll be eyeing potential buying opportunities around the 360 and 280 price levels. In the long-term, I believe these levels could set up for strong gains as the market eventually recovers and reaches new highs. Patience is key—don’t get swept up in the short-term noise.
Review and plan for 18th February 2025Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Few interesting charts.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Great 234 point comeback by Nifty from lows of the day. Nifty made a great comeback of 234 points from lows of the day that is 22725 to close at 22959. The momentum has to carry forward tomorrow in order for any rally to sustain. Only when we get a closing above Mother and Father line Bulls can take a sigh of relief. Mother line and Father line are at 23530 and 23587 respectively. Before we reach there there are cyclical resistances 3 months or older at 22984, 23229 and 23435. Supports for Nifty will be at 22725, 22438 and 22159. If we get a weekly closing below 22159 the next supports will be at 21810 and 21302 only. So despite a good closing we are not out of danger zone as of now. Shadow of the candle is neutral as of now.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Review and plan for 17th February 2025 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 17.02.2025Friday’s session saw Nifty opening with a gap-up, but it failed to sustain the momentum. After hitting a high of 23,133.70, it reversed sharply, making a low of 22,774.85, testing the Daily Demand Zone (22,642.60 - 22,910.15) for the third time. A partial recovery followed, but Nifty still closed at 22,929.25, losing 102 points from the previous close. The Weekly Trend (50 SMA) and Daily Trend (50 SMA) remain sideways, signaling indecision.
Demand/Support Zones
Near Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 22,642.60 - 22,910.15 (Tested multiple times)
Far Support Level: 21,281.45 (Low of 4th June 2024)
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 20,769.50 - 20,950
Supply/Resistance Zones
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 23,248.45 - 23,301.75
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (125m): 23,316.30 - 23,409.65
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 23,443.20 - 23,807.30
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 23,976 - 24,196.45
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Weekly): 24,180.80 - 24,792.30
Outlook
Nifty’s repeated tests of the daily demand zone suggest that buyers are still active, but a break below 22,640 - 22,600 could trigger further downside toward 21,281. On the upside, a move above 23,250 - 23,300 could open the door for a push toward 23,800 - 24,000.
Nifty did well to hold on to crucial support. Can it hold ?Nifty did well today to bounce back from the lows of the day at 22774 to close at 22929. Holding this support is key. Under the pressure of relentless selling the market is in bear grip as of now. This is a good time to identify long term investment opportunities. Gaining immediate profits and fast recovery looks little difficult as of now. (You can not be 100% sure about the tops and bottoms of the market.) Next few months will give ample opportunities to average/add on bounce only. Mother father line supports and Resistances are the key to any investment during the bear phase of market. Patience of investors will be tested in the coming few weeks and months. Reshuffling your portfolios in favour of Fundamentally strong stocks that are going or still above 50 and 200 weeks EMA or Mother father line will be key. This is a stock pickers market. The forth that had build up post COVID rally is being cleared. Corrections are healthy sign for long term investors. Stock market is a place where money is transferred from the impatient to the patient. Pain will remain in the market for a short to medium term but hopefully great time and great rally awaits us in medium to long term. This next few weeks and probably months will test the new investors. Those who have seen a few Bull and Bear cycles know that good times do return eventually on the browsers.
Nifty Supports remain at: 22758, 22159, 21810 and finally 21302.
Nifty Resistances remain at: 23128, 23259 and 23435. Major hurdles for Bulls remain near Mother line at 23554 and Father line 23594. After a closing above 23838 only Bulls can be back into the game.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Review and plan for 14th February 2025 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Results analysis.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
NIFTY still bearish targeting the 1W MA100 at 22250.The Nifty 50 Index (NIFTY) has been trading within a Channel Down pattern, with its latest Lower High being exactly on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). This caused the rejection that initiated the current Bearish Leg.
As we've already completed a 1D Death Cross, the last two times we saw a similar Channel Down was during December 2022 - March 2023 and October 2021 - June 2022. Both of those patterns hit the 1W MA100 (red trend-line) before forming a bottom and rebound.
The March 2023 in fact, was priced exactly on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. With their 1D RSI sequences also identical, we expect the bearish trend to continue for around another 30 days before the Channel Down bottoms on the 1W MA100 - 0.5 Fib cluster. Our Target is 22250.
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Review and plan for 13th February 2025 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Results.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 12.02.2025Tuesday’s session saw Nifty opening flat, made high of 23,390.05, it failed to hold near demand zones and plunged to a low of 22,986.65. It closed at 23,071.80, losing 310 points from the previous close. The Weekly and Daily Trends (50 SMA) remain sideways, indicating a lack of clear direction.
Demand/Support Zones
Near Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 22,642.60 - 22,910.15 (Tested)
Near Minor Demand/Support Zone (30m): 22,786.90 - 22,843.30
Far Support Level: 21,281.45 (Low of 4th June 2024)
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 20,769.50 - 20,950
Supply/Resistance Zones
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 23,248.45 - 23,301.75
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (125m): 23,316.30 - 23,409.65
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 23,443.20 - 23,807.30
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 23,976 - 24,196.45
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Weekly): 24,180.80 - 24,792.30
Outlook
Nifty’s sharp decline below 23,100 suggests increased bearish momentum. The next key support lies around 22,642 - 22,900, and a break below this zone could push it further down. On the upside, 23,250 - 23,400 remains the immediate resistance.
Review and plan for 12th February 2025 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Review and plan for 11th February 2025 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Result analysis.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 11.02.2025Monday’s session saw Nifty opening negative, making an initial high of 23,568.60, but gradually sliding down into the 75-minute Demand Zone (23,327 - 23,381.60). It touched a day low of 23,316.30 before closing at 23,381.60, marking a 178-point loss from the previous close. The Weekly and Daily Trends (50 SMA) remain sideways, indicating indecisiveness in the market.
Demand/Support Zones
Near Minor Demand/Support Zone (15m): 23,141 - 23,205.70
Far Demand/Support Zone (30m): 22,786.90 - 22,843.30
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 21,791.95 - 22,910.15 (Tested)
Far Support Level: 21,281.45 (Low of 4th June 2024)
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 20,769.50 - 20,950
Supply/Resistance Zones
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (15m): 23,557.80 - 23,591.25
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (15m): 23,644.10 - 23,694.50
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 23,976 - 24,196.45
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 24,601.75 - 24,782.15
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Weekly): 24,180.80 - 24,792.30
Outlook
Nifty is struggling to hold key support levels, with the 23,300 zone acting as a crucial demand area. If this level fails, we could see a deeper correction towards 23,100 - 23,000. On the upside, 23,600 - 23,700 remains a strong resistance zone. A sustained move above 23,700 may indicate bullish momentum, while a break below 23,300 could trigger further downside.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 10.02.2025Friday’s session was highly volatile, with Nifty opening positive and making an initial high of 23,683.90 before dropping to 23,493.60. It then rallied again to a day high of 23,694.50, entering the 5-minute Supply Zone, only to reverse sharply to a low of 23,443.20, taking support at the 15-minute Demand Zone. A partial recovery followed, and Nifty closed at 23,559.95, losing 43 points over the previous close. Both the Weekly & Daily Trends (50 SMA) remain sideways.
Demand/Support Zones
Near Demand/Support Zone (75m): 23,327 - 23,381.60
Far Minor Demand/Support Zone (15m): 23,141 - 23,205.70
Far Demand/Support Zone (30m): 22,786.90 - 22,843.30
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 21,791.95 - 22,910.15 (Tested)
Far Support Level: 21,281.45 (Low of 4th June 2024)
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 20,769.50 - 20,950
Supply/Resistance Zones
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (15m): 23,644.10 - 23,694.50
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 23,976 - 24,196.45
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 24,601.75 - 24,782.15
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Weekly): 24,180.80 - 24,792.30
Outlook
Nifty remains range-bound, facing resistance near 23,700 while finding support at 23,450. A break above 23,700 may lead to a move towards 24,000, while failing to hold above 23,450 could trigger further downside. Stay cautious in this sideways market!