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NIFTY

Nifty eyeing Trendline breakout amidst uncertainty. Amidst uncertainty on Geo-Political front Nifty gave up 242 points it had gained earlier in the day. Also it bounced 108 points from the day's low to close 12 points in positive at 24346.7 in a highly volatile Friday. Reliance remains start of the week after posting stellar results earlier in the week. The Trendline resistance zone between 24365 and 24589 remains difficult to conquer for Nifty. Once we get a closing above 24589 can the bulls try to pull Nifty further up towards 24910 and 25K+ levels. Incase the trend line resistance is not crossed successfully the support for Nifty remains at 24048, 23852 and 23343. As of now it looks that the level of 23343 which is the Mother line of Weekly candle chart (strong Support) can be breached only if there is flare up of incidents on the Border or elsewhere. The situation at Indo-Pak Border remains delicate and tense that might be one reason why investors did not carry long positions into the weekend and Nifty lost most of it's gains. Right now a lot depends on what happens between the 2 nations and surrounding region. Investment in large cap companies remains the safest option looking at the uncertainty. Even in the case of flare-up at the border these companies will be the first to bounce back after situation normalises. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
2
Nifty trying to break trendline resistance. As depicted yesterday we are near the trendline resistance. These trendline resistance like Mother and Father resistances are not easy to break but once broken they become a massive support zone. Nifty as we saw today is trying to break this trendline resistance which is there near 24359. Once this resistance will be crossed and we get a closing above the same we can see Nifty move swiftly towards 24538 and 24816. After closing above 24816 Nifty can move towards capturing 25K level back. Supports for Nifty remain at 23980 and 23708. Below 23708 we have the Mother and Father line support near 23365 and 23424. To know more about Mother Father and Small Child theory. To learn it to master it. Read my book. The Happy Candles Way To Wealth Creation available on Amazon in Paperback and Kindle version. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty on the verge of Trendline Breakout. There is a major possibility of a Trendline Breakout amidst the rumblings on conflict with enemy nations. The main reason for Market rally today was Superb results posted by Reliance and a rally in PSU, Capital goods and defense related stocks. A lot of stocks that were oversold in the knee-jerk reaction on Friday also tried to catch-up. As the situation on the border remains tense we can have a sudden major decline as a reaction to the Geo-Political proceedings. Thus investors are asked to remains cautious and not to carry heavy derivative positions overnight. Even in the eventuality of a war actually happening one think of remaining invested in companies that can bounce back faster once the situation de-escalates. Major Supports for Nifty on daily chart now remain at: 23988, 23708, 23415 (Major Father line support), 23325 (Major Mother Line Support) in case of Mother and Father line failing Bears can drag Nifty further down to 22875, 22142 and 21844. Major Resistances For Nifty remain at: 24359 (Major Trend line resistance), 24538, 24816 (Is another major resistance on Fibonacci scale), If we get a closing above 24816 Nifty can easily flow towards 25183, 25399 and 25603. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Despite Geo-Political tensions, Nifty closes above Mother line. It was quite remarkable for Nifty to close above the Mother line (50 Hours EMA) despite the Geo-Political tensions and brewing storm of escalations at border. This shows the character of not only Indian market but the resilience of India as a nation. In yesterday's post itself we had mentioned that strong technical resistance has been reached. Add the tension and intent of India to fight against terrorism so it was a perfect recipe for a major fall. Which may happen if things escalate further next week but recovering from 23847 and to close above 24K at 24039 shows that when things will be back to normal the indices will bounce back. Resistance for Nifty now remain at 24096, 24335 and 24504. Supports for Nifty remain at 23914 (Major Mother line support) of 50 Hours EMA, 23800, 23530 and finally 23363. While Long term players, FII, HNI and DII look at such opportunities to invest for Retail trader it becomes very difficult to control their emotions in such an environment of Geo-political pressure and then we saw a huge fall in the market. The opportunity was seized by both DII and FII with both hands as both turned net buyers for Rs.6492+ Crores. So traders / investors should always avoid knee jerk reactions. Who knows what happens during the weekend the support and resistance levels to watch out for are already mentioned in the message. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty has hit a channel top with geopolitical events unravellingNifty was swiftly recovering after the Tariff war induced fall. On technical front Nifty has hit a channel top In the hourly line chart. Chanel tops are not easy to conquer and we saw Nifty retrieving today from there. Adding pressure to the rally is the Geo-Political situation after the Dastardly Pahalgam Terrorist Attack. If there is any action by India like Balakot (Swift and fast) any way it will be denied by Pakistan so nothing much will happen to Index. If there is only Political/Geopolitical long term steps taken again it will have less effect on the market. Market may decline drastically only if there is a full blown war between the 2 countries or more than 2 countries. (Possibility of that happening is less but we never know). Not much is in our hand if such a scenario arises. FIIs were seen buying big today so that is something to watchout in the coming days. Technical Supports for Nifty remain at: 24096, 23882 (Mother Line Support), 23800 and 23316 (Father Line Support). (Mid channel support is also around 23300) so this zone presents a strong support zone. Technical Resistances Remain at: 24335 (Major Channel Top Resistance), 24504, 24656 and 24785. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
2