If Mother Line Support will hold, we might see a C&H formation. Although we saw a negative closing today, the chart suggests that if Mother line support will hold we might see a reversal and a Cup and Handle Formation in the near future. Cup and Handle formation is a great pattern which can help us reach the previous high and surpass it. If it happens or not only time can tell.
Supports For Nifty right now remain at: 25035, 24930 (Important Mother Line Support of Daily chart), 24759 and 24503. If 24503 is broken then there will be overall weakness in the market and we can see Nifty plummeting to 24097 (Father Line Support of Daily chart). Just below 24907 there will also be the mid channel support of 23929. (Just in case we reach there).
Resistances For Nifty Remain at: 25248, 25400, 25613 and 25915 seems to be the channel top as of now.
Nifty is delicately placed and the support of 24930 and Resistance of 25248 are the key levels to be watched. Above 25248 Bulls become strong. Below 24930 Bears become strong. Right now we are in no man's land with shadow of the candle slightly negative. If we see a bounce tomorrow or from the Mother line the shadow will has potential to turn positive later in the day tomorrow or next week.
Short term Outlook: Neutral to negative.
Medium Term Outlook: Neutral to Positive.
Long Term Outlook: Positive.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NIFTY
Review and plan for 17th July 2025 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Technical Analysis Forecast for NIFTY50 (25,191) (UTC+4) 1:11PM
1. Candlestick Patterns
Recent Structure:
If NIFTY50 closed near 25,191 with a long upper wick (shooting star/gravestone doji), it signals rejection at higher levels → bearish reversal potential.
A bullish engulfing/marubozu candle would indicate strength → upside continuation.
Key Observation: Watch for confirmation candles. A close below 25,000 invalidates bullishness.
2. Harmonic Patterns
Potential Setups:
Bullish Bat Pattern: If 25,191 aligns with the 0.886 retracement of a prior up-move (e.g., 24,800 → 25,191), it suggests a reversal zone for longs.
Bearish Crab: If 25,191 is the 1.618 extension of a prior swing, expect resistance → pullback to 24,900-25,000.
Action: Validate with Fibonacci levels. Break above 25,250 negates bearish harmonics.
3. Elliott Wave Theory
Wave Count:
Scenario 1 (Bullish): If in Wave 3 (impulse), 25,191 could extend to 25,500 (Wave 3 = 1.618x Wave 1).
Scenario 2 (Bearish): If in Wave B (corrective), 25,191 may peak → Wave C drop to 24,600 (Wave A = Wave C).
Confirmation: A break below 24,950 supports Wave C; hold above 25,100 favors Wave 3.
4. Wyckoff Method
Phase Analysis:
Distribution?: If volume spiked at 25,191 without further upside, it suggests "upthrust" (smart money exiting) → downside to 24,700 (accumulation zone).
Re-accumulation?: If consolidating near 25,191 on low volume, expect breakout toward 25,400.
Key Sign: Watch for springs (false breakdowns) or upthrusts (false breakouts).
5. W.D. Gann Theory
Price & Time Squaring:
25,191 is near 25,200 (a Gann square number). Close above 25,200 opens 25,500 (next resistance).
Time Cycle: July 15–20 is a potential turning window (watch for reversals).
Gann Angle: Trade above 1x1 angle (e.g., 45° from June low) = bullish momentum.
6. Indicator Synthesis (RSI + BB + VWAP)
RSI (14-period):
>70: Overbought → pullback likely if diverging (e.g., price highs ↑, RSI ↓).
<50: Loss of momentum → risk of deeper correction.
Bollinger Bands (20,2):
Price near upper band → overextended → mean-reversion to middle band (25,000) possible.
"Squeeze" (narrow bands) → impending volatility breakout.
VWAP (Daily):
Price above VWAP = intraday bullish bias. A dip to VWAP (~24,950) is a buy opportunity.
Price below VWAP = bearish control → sell rallies.
Intraday/Swing Outlook
Bullish Case (Hold above 25,100):
Target: 25,400 (Elliott Wave 3 + Gann resistance).
Trigger: Bullish candle close + RSI holding 60.
Bearish Case (Break below 25,000):
Target: 24,700 (Wyckoff accumulation + BB lower band).
Trigger: Bearish harmonic confirmation + RSI divergence.
Key Levels
Type Level Significance
Support 25,000 Psychological + BB middle band
24,700 Wyckoff accumulation zone
Resistance 25,191-25,200 Current price + Gann square
25,400 Elliott Wave 3 target
Trading Strategy
Intraday:
Long if holds 25,050-25,100 with RSI >50. Stop loss: 24,950. Target: 25,250.
Short if breaks 25,000 on high volume. Stop loss: 25,150. Target: 24,800.
Swing:
Wait for daily close above 25,200 (bullish) or below 24,950 (bearish).
Hedge with options: Buy 25,200 Calls + 25,000 Puts for volatility breakout.
Conclusion
25,191 is a pivotal level. The confluence of:
Harmonic resistance + Gann square at 25,200,
RSI near overbought territory,
Price testing BB upper band,
suggests short-term consolidation/pullback is likely. However, a daily close above 25,200 ignites bullish momentum toward 25,500. Trade the breakout/breakdown with confirmation.
*Disclaimer: This analysis is time-sensitive (as of July 15, 2025). Monitor real-time volume/price action for validation.*
For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade.
I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work.
Regards,
Shunya Trade
⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
Review and plan for 15th July 2025Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Intraday ideas.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Nifty has taken support at 25K but can the support hold?Nifty today took a meaningful support at 25001 and bounced close to 25082. However ending the was in the negative by 67.55 points. RSI today went as low as 13.52 indication of oversold market. IT was a major drag after result that market did not like.
Now the resistances in front of Nifty are at 25106, Father Line Resistance at 25106, 25234, Mother Line Resistance at 25297, 25403 and finally 25543. Supports for Nifty remain at 25K, 24866 Chanel Bottom support and finally 24752. Below 24752 Bears can totally take control of the market if we reach there.
Things are in balance right now with Mid-cap, Small-cap starting to see some buying. If IT can hold the levels we will see growth from here. If IT index further caves in and other indices do not support we can see a down side. Shadow of the candle right now is neutral to negative.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Glenmark Pharma – Historic 16-Year Cup & Handle Breakout!Glenmark has completed a massive Cup and Handle pattern after nearly 16 years, breaking past its 2008 all-time high with a powerful volume spike. This is a textbook long-term breakout, potentially signaling the start of a major multi-year bullish trend in the pharma sector.
Review and plan for 14th July 2025 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Results - analysed.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Will NIFTY make a price correction?
My first scenario is still valid and I think it is more likely to happen. It seems that Wave-g has ended from the second pattern and I think NIFTY50 will decline at least to the price range of the X-wave and there we need to check the waves again to see what pattern is forming. To confirm this scenario, a break below the key level of 25000 is very important.
I have also proposed a second scenario that this correction may be an X-wave and after that the price can eventually grow to 25680-26133 and spend time there to complete the third pattern. This scenario is also valid as long as the price remains above the level of 25000.
The price correction that is forming can be a double combination pattern like triangle - X - diametric or triangle - X - triangle.
Good luck
NEoWave Chart
Good luck
NEoWave Chart
Review and plan for 11th July 2025 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Analysis of "what i traded today".
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Nifty approaching Mid-channel support zone now. Nifty after a 120 point negative closing is entering an important support zone. This support zone has 3 layers. The First of the support lies at 25322 which is just above the mid-channel. The second for Nifty is near 25222 which is just below the mid channel support.
There is a possibility of bounce either from the current level or either of these 2 levels. If we get a closing below 25322 then there is a possibility that bears might try to pull Nifty down towards 25167 which is the Father line or 200 Hours EMA.
The resistances for Nifty remain at 25404, 25437 which is the Mother line or 50 hours EMA. Post that there are resistances at 25477, 25551 and 25641. Closing above 25641 is required for Nifty to fly towards 26K levels.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NIFTY Eyes 25,410: Setup in ActionIn this update, I’m revisiting the setup I shared earlier that points towards NIFTY’s next potential target at 25,410. The analysis covers the key levels, price action structure, and the factors supporting this move. This setup is based on clear technical confirmations and disciplined risk management — not just speculation.
Please remember to follow your own plan and manage your trades responsibly. This is for educational purposes and not financial advice. Let’s see how the price action unfolds!
Review and plan for 10th July 2025 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Swing ideas.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Range Bound consolidation going on in the market. Range bound consolidation is going on in the market. As you can see in the chart there is consolidation going on before a substantial up or down move happens. Mostly it looks like Tariff negation deadline will be extended or India might end up getting the tariff deal sealed. all eyes on Trump and TCS results tomorrow. TCS has been reeling close to an year now after making a high of 4592 everything depends on the result tomorrow. The result can give direction to the market as TCS has good weightage (Around 6.09% in Nifty and 7.43% in BSE Sensex). TCS has 21.93% Weightage in Nifty IT index so the result tomorrow is a must watch. It can give direction to the It index as well.
Supports for Nifty remain at 25413 and 25243. If by chance this level is broken Nifty can fall further towards Mother line which is at 24862 or in worst case scenario towards Father line of daily chart at 24030.
Resistances for Nifty remain at: 25531 and 25710 Closing above which Nifty becomes very strong. After we get a closing above 25710 Nifty can swiftly move towards 25888 or even 26K+ levels.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
BSE - BUY THE FEAR, SELL THE GREED !"Buy the fear, sell on greed" is an investment strategy that means you should buy assets when most investors are scared and selling (during periods of fear), and sell those assets when most investors are excited and buying (during periods of greed).
Why does this work?
⦁ When fear dominates the market, prices often drop below their true value because people panic and sell at low prices. This creates opportunities for disciplined investors to buy quality assets at a discount.
⦁ When greed takes over, prices often rise above their real worth because people are eager to buy, hoping for quick gains. This is usually a good time to sell, as the risk of a downturn increases.
How do emotions affect markets?
⦁ Fear leads to panic selling, causing prices to fall further and often locking in losses for those who sell at the bottom.
⦁ Greed leads to speculative buying, driving prices higher and sometimes creating bubbles that eventually burst.
Why is it hard to follow?
⦁ While the idea is simple, it is emotionally difficult to buy when everyone else is pessimistic and selling, or to sell when everyone else is optimistic and buying. Most people act on emotion rather than logic, which is why few consistently succeed with this approach.
Practical example:
During a market crash, negative news and panic cause many to sell at low prices. A disciplined investor who buys during this fear can benefit when the market recovers. Conversely, when markets are booming and everyone is rushing to buy, selling at this point can help lock in gains before a potential correction.
Key takeaway:
This strategy is about removing emotion from investing decisions and taking a contrarian approach—buying when others are fearful and selling when others are greedy—rather than following the crowd. This approach has been used by successful investors like Warren Buffett to achieve long-term success by focusing on value and maintaining emotional discipline.
Review and plan for 9th July 2025Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Closing above 25544 should be first step for Nifty to break freeNifty today closed in positive but still it might not be free enough to crate further bull run. the first step that Nifty needs to take to get out of this range bound trade zone or consolidation is to get a closing above 25544.
Further to this step it my find resistances at 25597, 25672. Once we close above 25672 the possibility that Bulls can regaining 26K levels and go even higher becomes stronger.
The Supports for Nifty currently remain at 25471, 25437 which is Mother line or 50 Hours EMA, 25344, 25219 and finally 25125. 25125 is the Father line support or 200 hours EMA. Closing below 25215 will empower Bears to drag Nifty further down wards.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Review and plan for 8th July 2025Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Swing ideas.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Review and plan for 7th July 2025 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Swing ideas.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Good Closing by Nifty: Trump Tariff decision awaits us next weekNifty closed the week at 25461 well after gaining 130 points from Friday low of 25331. Overall Nifty closed 55 point positive from Thursday closing. This was a very smart recovery of Nifty from the lows of the day but we are heading towards Trump Tariff deadline of 9th July. That has potential to shake the market and move it any direction so investors should keep an eye on the developments and keep their stop losses and trailing stop losses in place. Overall Nifty is on the path to V shaped recovery as indicated in the chart. If everything works out in favour of India in the negotiation the 816 point gap from previous all time high will be bridged sooner than later. Once we reach the Previous All-time high the recovery will be complete. But we have to be cautiously optimistic.
Nifty supports currently remain at: 25331, 25072, 24843, 24481. If 24481 is broken than Bears will try to drag Nifty towards 23840 (Which is the Mother line of Weekly Chart).
Nifty Resistances currently remain at: 25666 (Trend line Resistance), 25870, 26075, 26277 (Previous All time high).
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
India vs ChinaYear to date, NIFTY has underperformed China - but not recently. Nifty outperformed HSCEI by nearly 20% pts between mid-Mar to mid-Apr and the over the last 2 months, gave back nearly half of these gains! What happened next?
The pullback appears to be a "flag" pattern - typically a bullish continuation - if this breakout holds (stays above 2.9 for NIFTY/HSCEI), Then the measuring implication is a whopping 3.5 - an outperformance of 18-20% pts.
Long Nifty/ HSCEI, currently ay 2.95; stops at 2.85
Review and plan for 4th July 2025 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Swing ideas.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Nifty facing strong resistance between 25587 and 25500. Nifty today again failed to hold levels above 25500 as it made a high of 25587 and closed at 25405. Closing almost 182 point from its high today and 48 points down from yesterday. This is a worrying sign even if just slightly as for moving towards 26K we need a strong closing of the week at least above the Mother line. Nifty closed just below Motherline today which is showing some weakness in the rally which seems to be losing direction. The fear of Tariffs seems to be taking toll on Bulls whereas bears are currently gaining strength. The closing we get tomorrow will indicate a definitive direction to Nifty.
The Supports for Nifty currently remain at: 25385, 25299, 25177 (strong trend line support) and finally we will have Father line support of Hourly candles which is at 25050. Closing 25050 below will have potential to drag Nifty further down towards 24700 which is again a strong Channel bottom support.
The Resistances for Nifty currently remain at: 25416 (Mother line Resistance), 25470, The zone between 25500 and 25587 is a strong Trend line resistance. A closing above 25587 will have potential to take Nifty towards 25603, 25679 or even 25759 (Which is again a strong Channel top resistance).
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.