NIFTY did a MACD Bearish Cross. 1-month correction very likely.The Nifty 50 Index (NIFTY) gave us an excellent bottom buy opportunity on November 03 2023 (see chart below) easily hitting our 21000 target and transitioning into a longer term Channel Up:
Right now the index is coming off the strongest 1W red week since October 23 2023, the first pull-back after a series of 4 straight green weeks. This week will complete a MACD Bearish Cross on the 1W time-frame, the first such formation since September 25 2023 and before that, December 26 2022.
Naturally this is a technically bearish pattern and being so rare suggests that it shouldn't be taken lightly, even though we have been on this Channel Up since June 2022. More specifically, those 2 MACD Bearish Cross occurences delivered monthly corrections of -6.75% and -7.45% respectively, so an average of -7% pull-back. Both also hit the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level from the Channel's last Higher Low.
As a result, assuming a minimum correction of -6.75%, we are now turning bearish on NIFTY, targeting 21100. That may make contact, or at least come very close to the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line).
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NIFTY
Nifty bounced back but right now facing mid-channel resistance.Nifty bounced back but pretty well after confirming a near term bottom around 21710. right now facing mid-channel resistance. Daily closing firmly above 50 days EMA is another positive sign. Right now Nifty will face or is facing mid channel resistance which is near Friday's high of 22180. Nifty next week crossing and closing above 22180 will ensure that Nifty has closed not only above mid channel resistance but also trend line resistance which is in the same range. This dual resistance can be little stiff to cross. If it is crossed and held, next resistances will be at 22301, 22449 and finally 22526. In case the hurdle of Mid-channel resistance is not crossed the support levels for Nifty will be at 21877 (50 days EMA), 21710 and finally 21544. Shadow of the candle is neutral with positive bias indicating consolidation in the range or a further up move.
Nifty Entering a Resistance zone after a making a good comeback.After making a low of 21710 yesterday has made a good comeback in one and a half session closing the day at 22011. Now Nifty is staring into a strong resistance zone. The resistance zone starts from the high of today. i.e. 22080 and ends at 22206. This zone consists of trend line resistance and mid channel resistance as well. Closing this week above 22206 will send a strong signal to the buyers who might return enmass post crossing this level. The next resistances after crossing 22206 will be near 22301, 22449 and 22526. On the lower side if these resistances act too strongly Nifty has a support at 22080, 21868 (50 days EMA) or mother line support, and 21710 which was the recent low. Below 21710 closing if at all it happens there can be further blood bath.
Nifty took a trend line support while trying to form a bottom.Nifty took a trend line support at 21710 while trying to form a bottom. If the bottom is confirmed tomorrow and we get a few positive candles while closing the day or week above 22042 some bullishness can return to the market. In case the level of 21710 is broken the next support level is near 21524. In case we get a closing this week above 22042. Further resistance levels will be seen at 22204, 22299 and 22454. Shadow of the candle for tomorrow looks firmly positive as of now.
Nifty key levels for 21th March | Expiry TradeStay ahead of the curve with our daily Nifty key levels!
NSE:NIFTY key levels for tomorrow.
We booked profit of 120 points in Nifty today.
Overview:
Here are the key levels to watch for potential entry and exit points in
BANKNIFTY
Resistance Levels:
- Refer the Red line on the chart
Support Levels:
- Refer the Green line on the chart
Trading Strategy:
- Long Position:
Consider initiating long positions near support levels only after reversal confirmation for potential upside movement.
- Short Position:
Consider initiating short positions near resistance levels only after reversal confirmation for potential downside movement.
Risk Management:
- Always use stop-loss orders to protect against adverse market movements.
- Consider position sizing based on risk tolerance and account equity.
Disclaimer:
These levels are provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Thanks
Nifty Analysis and the levels where the buck might stop. In this video we have discussed the short to medium term outlook for Indian markets. We have also tried to analyse the micro and macro factors affecting the recent downturn. Also in the video we have explained how to use the tool called 'Parallel channel' to guesstimate levels of indices or stocks.
Review and plan for 20th March 2024Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Double Bottom Kind of structure is forming in Nifty. Double Bottom Kind of structure is forming in Nifty but still it is delicately placed. If the levels of 22037 and 21912 are held which are a support zone and if the resistance zone of 50 and 200 Hours EMA which are at 22072 and 22144 are broken on the upper side we can see strength.
Thus the support Zones for Nifty are at: 22037 and 21912. Below 21912 bears will strengthen their grip.
The Strong Resistance Zones that Nifty needs to cross for Bulls to start taking control is the zone between 22072 and 22144.
Other Resistances if this zone is crossed will be at : 22206, 22301, 22361, 22445 and finally 22525.
Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View- 19-Mar-24 to 22-Mar-24Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View- 19-Mar-24 to 22-Mar-24
Nifty closed at 22023(22493) and touched low & high of 21905 & 22524
RSI and stochastics levels are same in this week (47% & 21% Respectively). Stochastics is in oversold zone.
Market touched a new high last week Monday 22524. RBI issued warning on excessive rally on Mid & Small Cap to control liquidity. Hence Mid & Small Cap corrected last week. Market waiting for to take clear position (to go up or down). Market closed almost flat on first day of this week i.e 18-Mar-24.
Nifty IT 37517 (37099) -To continue hold. Nifty IT touched new high of 38550 20 days before. Major support at 34918 /34000. Target can be 40000.
Nifty bank 46591 (47853) -To continue buy on dips. Nifty Bank last week dipped. initial Target 48618 ( all time high). if it cross this resistance decisively.
support is at 44598 if breaks major support at 43650 ( Fib Support). Purchase on Dips.
Nifty Bank last week high was 47864 and dipped to low to 46316.
Refer to detailed comments in the bottom.
Nifty 22023- Short & medium term (Neutral)
Nifty is undecisive state at present and will be rangebound. As mentioned for the past three weeks, Fibonacci extended resistance ( target) is near to 22819 which is the % of difference between Oct21 Peak -Jun22 Low from Oct 21 peak. nifty next target 22819 (Fib Resistance)/23000.
Short term Support - 21900, 21554 (Fib Support),20877 Fib Support as shown in the chart.
Medium term Support at 20225 (prev high), 20000 ( Fib Resistance)
Long Term
Market expected range bound between 23000 to 18800 expected in 2024.
Q3 results are average except bank & Nbfc stocks, further up move will have target of 23150 ( Trend Line), 23500 ( Fib Resistance).
Comments :
Positive Lok Sabha Election result expectation, Global trend sustaining the market above 22000.
Recent Electoral bonds, CAA implementation news couldnt make the market down. Hence market is in good buy whenever there is a dip. Post Elections, only way Market will start grow higher by reduction of interest rate by RBI on a staggered manner till it reaches 5%. US fed rate reduction also expected from Jun 2024. Market may correct if any global news till 19500 as there is strong multiple fib support.
Earlier last 2-3 months, purchasing/holding Nifty IT at lower levels proved effective as the Nifty IT index as it moved up by 20%. Nifty IT posted flat or negative results in Q3. But to a surprise Nifty IT moved up 4-5% up as US economy is recovering. Nifty IT touched new high on 16-Feb-24 (38477). Target 40000.
Similarly despite nifty bank results for Q3 were good as expected, Nifty Bank index was down by 10% last three-Four weeks. Nifty Bank Index was suggested to buy two weeks before. Nifty Bank Stocks / Bank Index can be purchased whenever it falls down. HDFC bank is now in buyable range, can be further bought if it further dips for Medium to Long Term. Nifty Bank ( 46554) tried to move above key resistances. Continue to buy on dips.
As expected, stocks other than Banks have posted mixed results. Market can any time expected to turn volatile till elections in 2024 (Apr-May). Company Earning per share (EPS) are near to maximum level, expected policy / budgetary push to move up further in 2024. Individual stock pick will be the key in 2024.
Review and plan for 19th March 2024Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels -18/03/2024Nifty will be gap down opening in today's session. After opening nifty start trading below 21980 level and then possible downside rally up to 21860 in today's session. in case nifty trades above 22010 level then the upside target can go up to the 22130 level.
Nifty Monday 18 march - Overview for the day #gifty trading is slightly negative, around 40 points from our closing, a sign of a flat to small gap down. We saw a bounce from hourly support during the Friday trading session, so there is still hope for a bounce or a pullback in the short term.
Harmonic ABCD patterns will be activated at a rate lower than 21,900, and it is a crucial support for nifty this week and the last hope for the bulls, so be careful and do not make the early perception. Focus on the level.
Intraday Range: 21,900 to 22,060
All INDEX key levels for March 18, 2024 #Nifty #BankNiftyAll INDEX key levels for March 18, 2024 #Nifty #BankNifty
Overview:
Today's trading session presented significant opportunities within the Bank Nifty index and we executed the trades based on the levels published yesterday on tradingview and we were able to capture the Fall of 500 points in BankNifty
Here are the key levels to watch for potential entry and exit points in
BANKNIFTY
Resistance Levels:
- Refer the Red line on the chart
Support Levels:
- Refer the Green line on the chart
Trading Strategy:
- Long Position:
Consider initiating long positions near support levels only after reversal confirmation for potential upside movement.
- Short Position:
Consider initiating short positions near resistance levels only after reversal confirmation for potential downside movement.
Risk Management:
- Always use stop-loss orders to protect against adverse market movements.
- Consider position sizing based on risk tolerance and account equity.
Disclaimer:
These levels are provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Thanks
NIFTY - key levels for march 4th weekSo we are analyzing nifty in a Daily time frame. Nifty has broken the trendline support On a daily closing basis with a red big candle. Also, we can see the formation of the head and shoulders pattern. The right shoulder is not yet being formed, but if it gets formed and the pattern gets validated, we can see a further downfall. In an hourly time frame, we can also see the bearish chart pattern i.e. Descending Triangle. Even the RSI indicates divergence which is another indicator, So trade cautiously. Don't make any swing Entries in any of the stocks. I will wait until Nifty closes above 22,200 or 300. I need a bullish closing above those levels. Until then, I won't be making any swing positions. Also, the key important levels are mentioned in the chart. If the support level of 21,900 gets broken. We can see a further downfall. This level has been acting as a key support for almost 50 days. So if this gets broken a downfall can be seen. And it can take us till 21,544. And the strong sell-off can continue. We can see further downfall till 21,150. I would remain bullish above 22200. The chart seems weak, so plan accordingly. Also If buying starts from this level i.e. from the current level, we will wait until it reaches 22,300. Let nifty spend some time near those levels. And if we see further consolidation and breakout near those levels? We can go for some swing positions. So currently it's a break-or-make situation for the nifty.
Review and plan for 18th March 2024Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
NIFTY | BANKNIFTY | NITY IT | SWING TRADING STOCKSIn this video I have analyze few important indices. Nifty, BankNifty and Nifty IT.
Also, in the end i have mentioned two swing trading stocks.
Nifty
I find Nifty is bullish. The previous support is still intact.
BankNifty
I find BankNifty bearish, and can see a fall in BankNifty.
One thing to notice is, Nifty and BankNifty are not working is similar way. Both indices are performing the different way.
Nifty IT
This is the best sector right now. One should look for Nifty IT stocks for good positional entry.
Two swing trading stocks mentioned in the last
1. LTTS
2. CIGNITITEC
NIFTY 50 Nifty shows negative traits in daily timeframe, firstly it activated 5 Ema trade and secondly it give the breakdown of trend line. As we all know market faces the many hindrance i.e. international tension, electoral bond issue, few days back SEBI chief says "we are in bubble"
all these traits try to make negative impact in the market.
Sensex Intraday Setup for Friday 15 March,2024I have posted two charts: the First is to understand the Intraday, and the second is my short-term view. Today is the weekly closing and the day that decides the market trend for next week. 72,500 is the last hope for the Bulls and a very critical zone, so keep an eye on these levels. They can help you play for the maximum today or in the upcoming days.
Intraday Range: 72,900 to 73,400 ( A more comprehensive range and good for the Options sellers who love to sell Options
Long above 73,400 for the target of 73,700/73,900
Short Below: 72,900 for the target to 72,600/72,500
Trade Accordingly