Plan for 15th March 2024Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
NIFTY
Nifty Intraday Trade Setup for 14 March , 2024Yesterday, the Nifty 50 index experienced a free fall. The question is whether this downward trend will continue today, especially on expiry day. Every day in the stock market is unique, and to succeed as traders, we must avoid being biased by previous movements. It's crucial to follow the levels.
Currently, the Nifty is trading flat, suggesting a higher likelihood of a flat opening today.
Intraday Range: 22,050 to 21,900
Long above 22,050 for the target of 22,120/22,150
Short below 21,900, and its target is 21,860/21800
Reversal Broadening Wedge pattern in Nifty 50 indexNIFTY 50 INDEX
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 On 1 Hour Time Frame Nifty Index Showing Reversal of Broadening Wedge Pattern.
📈 It can give movement upto the Reversal Final target of Above 22600+.
📈 There have chances of breakout of Resistance level too.
📈 After breakout of Resistance level this nifty index can gives strong upside rally upto Above 23150+.
📈 Can Go Long in this nifty index by placing a stop loss Below 21650-.
Probable Support Zone For Nifty approaching. The Zone between 21905 and 21779 can be a support Zone for Nifty as it tried to make a recovery from the area near 50 days EMA which was near 21839. If by chance 21779 is broken the next supports for Nifty will be only in the region of 21614, 21284 or even 20971. Worst case scenario can be 20412 which is a 200 days EMA and the channel bottom. So further steep downside is possible if Nifty does not bounce from today's low that is 21905, 21839 (Mother line 50 day's EMA) or 21779. On the upper side in case of resurgence of Nifty next resistances can be near 22132, 22311 and 22511. It looks like recovery above 22511 will take some consolidation. Even if Nifty resurges which it will in a few days/weeks time Small and Mid cap sectow will go through a long consolidation phase. This phase will give an oppertunity to do some proper bottom fishing in these indices for the long term. In the short to medium term the index that will get the preference will be Large Cap index.
NIFTY Prediction for tomorrow 11 Mar (Monday)Hello traders, As we discussed in our last analysis, the market took resistance from the Resistance zone, and the result was sideways.
If we look at the chart data now:
The market is taking resistance at the resistance trendline (Why this resistance looks like my last bank nifty analysis). The market is taking support at 22430. the market has touched this trendline multiple times, which makes it easier to break to the upside.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 1.11 shows a bullish market structure. If we look at the CE and PE activity, there is a huge amount of CE and PE writing on both sides. That indicates the market is going to be sideways. 22500 is Max-Pain.
FII and DII data do not show much of the information except that the market might open a small gap-down.
I am expecting the market to get consolidated.
Case 1: Market is sideways in orange region.
Case 2: Market breaks to upside till 22650. (Fib 1.414)
Reasons:
Price > EMA indicates the bullish nature of the market. but price >> ema(200) shows market need some reversion.
Price taking resistance at resistance trendline. (Sideways)
RSI is 40-60, showing a sideways market structure. If it breaks 60 to the upside. The market can give targets till 22650, which is also the Fib 1.414 level.
PCR = 1.11 (1.34 to 1.11) shows Bears are actively adding positions, which might force the market to be sideways. (Sideways)
Verdict: Sideways or Bullish
Plan of action:
Case 1: Short straddle 22500 (Hedge with 20 premium)
Case 2: Sell 22500 PE (Hedge with 20 premium PE)
Plan for 13th March 2024 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels -12/03/2024Nifty will be gap up opening in today's session. After opening nifty sustain above 22340 level and then possible upside rally up to 22460 level in today's session. in case nifty trades below 22300 level then the downside target can go up to the 22180 level.
Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View- 11-Mar-24 to 15-Mar-24Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View- 11-Mar-24 to 15-Mar-24
Nifty closed at 22493(22378) and touched low & high of 22224 & 22522
RSI and stochastics levels are same in this week (65% & 96% Respectively). Stochastics is in overbought zone.
Market touched a new high on last short trading session on Saturday to 22522, which crossed the Fib resistance and trend line resistance near to 22350. RBI issued warning on excessive rally on Mid & Small Cap to control liquidity. Hence extreme caution need to be applied.
Nifty IT 37099 (37593 ) -To continue hold. Nifty IT touched new high of 38550 15 days before. Major support at 34918 /34000. Target can be 40000.
Nifty bank 47853 (47297) -To continue buy on dips. Nifty Bank touched 48160 high last week and dipped. initial Target 48618 ( all time high). if it cross this resistance decisively.
support is at 44598 if breaks major support at 43650 ( Fib Support). Purchase on Dips.
Refer to detailed comments in the bottom.
Nifty 22493- Short Term (Up) & medium term (Neutral)
As mentioned in for the past two week, Fibonacci extended resistance ( target) is near to 22819 which is the % of difference between Oct21 Peak -Jun22 Low from Oct 21 peak. nifty next target 22819 (Fib Resistance)/23000.
Short term Support - 22116 (MA 21), 21554 (Fib Support ),20877 Fib Support as shown in the chart.
Medium term Support at 20225 (prev high), 20000 ( Fib Resistance)
Nifty Medium Term & long Term - Can buy at 20800 -21000 level in case of dip
Target Fibonacci extended resistance is near to 22819 which is the % of difference between Oct21 Peak -Jun22 Low from Oct 21 peak. nifty will move to next target 22819 (Fib Resistance)/22500.
Support at 20225 (prev high), 20000 ( Fib Resistance)
Long Term
Market expected range bound between 23000 to 18800 expected in 2024.
Q3 results are average except bank & Nbfc stocks, further up move will have target of 23150 ( Trend Line), 23500 ( Fib Resistance).
Comments :
Positive Lok Sabha Election result expectation, Global trend sustaining the market above 22000.
Only way Market will start grow higher by reduction of interest rate by RBI on a staggered manner till it reaches 5%. US fed rate reduction also expected from Jun 2024. Market may correct if any global news till 19500 as there is strong multiple fib support.
Earlier last 2-3 months, purchasing/holding Nifty IT at lower levels proved effective as the Nifty IT index as it moved up by 20%. Nifty IT posted flat or negative results in Q3. But to a surprise Nifty IT moved up 4-5% up as US economy is recovering. Nifty IT touched new high on 16-Feb-24 (38477). Target 40000.
Similarly despite nifty bank results for Q3 were good as expected, Nifty Bank index was down by 10% last three-Four weeks. Nifty Bank Index was suggested to buy two weeks before. Nifty Bank Stocks / Bank Index can be purchased whenever it falls down. HDFC bank is now in buyable range, can be further bought if it further dips for Medium to Long Term. Nifty Bank ( 46554) tried to move above key resistances. Continue to buy on dips.
As expected, stocks other than Banks have posted mixed results. Market can any time expected to turn volatile till elections in 2024 (Apr-May). Company Earning per share (EPS) are near to maximum level, expected policy / budgetary push to move up further in 2024. Individual stock pick will be the key in 2024.
Review and plan for 11th March 2024Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Nifty showing strong undercurrent of positive bias. Although various local and global Micro news and trends were indicative of Nifty rally fizzling out or making a top a strong undercurrent due to strong Macro factors is continuously providing undercurrent of positive bias to the Nifty and it keeps bouncing after every attempt to sell off. It will be interesting to see how much the Bull-Run can sustain further with elections and pre-election buzz starting to make itself more and more visible. Nifty supports remain at: 22436, 22325, 22263, 22129 and finally 22018. Nifty Resistances will be near: 22523, 22688 and finally 22854 which looks like a top of the current channel.
Shadow of the candles turning a shade negativeNifty is fluctuating between Trend line 1 and Trend line 2 in the below chart. Trend line 1 forms the resistance and trend line 2 forms the support of Nifty. There is also a line in the middle of the two lines which will provide additional minor support for Nifty. The support for Nifty from here will be present at 22293, 22241 (50 Hours EMA support), 22061 and finally 221974. Below 21974 bears will try to seize the momentum of Nifty. Resistance for Nifty will be at 22433, 22469, 22512, 22604 and 22719 (Trend top resistance). Right now Nifty is in little bit of a correction/consolidation mode after hitting the trend top.
Review and plan for 7th March 2024 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Nifty moving in squeezing between two trend lines. As you can see from the chart Nifty is continuously making higher highs and higher lows. There is a trend line 1 which is continuously supporting the Nifty. There is another trendline 2 which stops the Nifty while it is growing. As of now the trend is normal bullish within the trend line but if the trend line is broken on either side we will have a decisive move.
As of now Supports for Nifty are at: 22357, 22293, 22207, 22061 and finally 21947.
As of now Nifty Resistances are at: 22433 (Strong Trend line resistance), 22469, 22512, 22604 and trend top resistance near 22719.
Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View- 04-Mar-24 to 08-Mar-24Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View- 04-Mar-24 to 08-Mar-24
Nifty closed at 22378 (22212) and touched low & high of 21860 & 22297
RSI and stochastics levels reduced this week (63% & 97% Respectively). Stochastics is in overbought zone.
Market touched a new high on last short trading session on Saturday to 22416, which crossed the Fib resistance and trend line resistance 22350 and closed at 22378.
Nifty IT 37593 (38045 ) -To continue hold. Nifty IT touched new high of 38477 10 days before. Major support at 34918 /34000. Target can be 40000.
Nifty bank 47297 (46554) -To continue buy on dips. Nifty Bank touched 47424 high last week. Target 48618 ( all time high). Crossed the previous resistance and now can expect to move up.
support is at 44598 if breaks major support at 43650 ( Fib Support). Purchase on Dips.
Refer to detailed comments in the bottom.
Nifty 22378- Short Term ( UP) & medium term ( Neutral )
As mentioned in last week Target Fibonacci extended resistance is near to 22819 which is the % of difference between Oct21 Peak -Jun22 Low from Oct 21 peak. nifty will move to next target 22819 (Fib Resistance)/22500.
Short term Support - 21554 (Fib Support ), 20877 Fib Support as shown in the chart.
Medium Support at 20225 (prev high), 20000 ( Fib Resistance)
Nifty Medium Term & long Term - Can buy at 20800 -21000 level in case of dip for a short run up.
Target Fibonacci extended resistance is near to 22819 which is the % of difference between Oct21 Peak -Jun22 Low from Oct 21 peak. nifty will move to next target 22819 (Fib Resistance)/22500.
Support at 20225 (prev high), 20000 ( Fib Resistance)
Long Term
Market expected range bound between 23000 to 18800 expected in 2024.
Q3 results are average except bank & Nbfc stocks, further up move will have target of 23150 ( Trend Line), 23500 ( Fib Resistance).
Comments :
Political anticipated result expectation, Global trend sustaining the market above 22000.
only way Market will start grow higher by reduction of interest rate by RBI on a staggered manner till it reaches 5%. US fed rate reduction also expected from Jun 2024. Market may correct if any global news till 19500 as there is strong multiple fib support.
Earlier last 2-3 months, purchasing/holding Nifty IT at lower levels proved effective as the Nifty IT index as it moved up by 20%. Nifty IT posted flat or negative results in Q3. But to a surprise Nifty IT moved up 4-5% up as US economy is recovering. Nifty IT touched new high on 16-Feb-24 (38477). Target 40000.
Similarly despite nifty bank results for Q3 were good as expected, Nifty Bank index was down by 10% last three-Four weeks. Nifty Bank Index was suggested to buy two weeks before. Nifty Bank Stocks / Bank Index can be purchased whenever it falls down. HDFC bank is now in buyable range, can be further bought if it further dips for Medium to Long Term. Nifty Bank ( 46554) tried to move above key resistances. Continue to buy on dips.
As expected, stocks other than Banks have posted mixed results. Market can any time expected to turn volatile till elections in 2024 (Apr-May). Company Earning per share (EPS) are near to maximum level, expected policy / budgetary push to move up further in 2024. Individual stock pick will be the key in 2024.
Review and plan for 4th March 2024Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Nifty top: Through Trend Triangle and Fibonacci retracement. Let us try to learn today a dual way of determining a top of the current rally through two methods. The first method used here is Fibonacci retracement.
1) Fibonacci Retracement of Nifty to understand important supports and resistances. What we did here was that we took the past significant peak and valley. Through these points we did a Fibonacci retracement which has given us the following conclusion:
a) The probable top of Nifty seems to be near 23398.
b) Today Nifty has closed above an important Fibonacci support level of 22198. This will be immediate support for Nifty.
c) Other important support for Nifty will be 21084. (Long Term Support)
2) The next thing we can do to determine the possible top is try to connect top of the recent weekly candles and bottoms of recent weekly candles. While doing so can see that probable top of spot Nifty near 24359.
Thus through various models you can try to determine tops of current rally or trend. You can reverse the process and try find of the probable bottom in case of downturn.
Disclaimer: Investment in stocks and mutual funds is subject to market risks, please consult your investment advisor before taking financial decisions. The data provided above is for the purpose of analysis and is purely educational in nature. The names of the stocks or index levels of spot Nifty mentioned in the article are for the purpose of education and analysis only. Purpose of this article is educational. Please do not consider this as a recommendation of any sorts.
NIFTY 50NIFTY 50 Support and Resistance Levels, Its look negative on hourly timeframe.
Nifty try to form double top pattern at there higher levels.
Neckline will play crucial level for support if its break, then we can expect level till the starting point of trendline.
Disclaimer: Its for educational purpose only do your own analysis before taking any position.
Nifty took support at the trendline+200 EMA support as expectedAs it was expected and depicted in our message yesterday Nifty took support at the trendline+200 EMA support making a low of 21860 and closing at 21982 making a high of 22060. We had mentioned as 22053 as resistance in case of bounce. The resistance of Mother line, 50 EMA forced the Nifty down again.(As shown in the encircled portion in the chart). This is how Technical analysis works and helps us with market and related predictions.
Future supports for Nifty: 21860, 21872 (200 Hours EMA), 21824 and 21674.
Future Resistance for Nifty: 22056 (50 Hours EMA), 22152 and 22229.
Review and plan for 29th February 2024 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT