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NIFTY

Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View-08-Jan-24 to 12-Jan-24Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View-08-Jan-24 to 12-Jan-24 Nifty closed at 21710 (Prev Close 21726) and touched low & high of 21839 & 21490. RSI and stochastics levels ( 69% & 85 % Respectively). Stochastics above 80 and still in overbought zone. Market was almost flat last week. Could not take decisive close above 21800-21850. Fibonacci extended resistance is near to 22500 as shown in chart which is 5 % from current level. nifty need to decisively close above 21800-21900 Zone in order to move to next target 22000/22500. Profit booking upto 30% was suggested in the last month, Almost i have booked 20% profit in Equities & Mutual Funds. 100% of ulip shifted from equities to balanced funds & money market as we get free switches in ulip. Market can any time expected to turn volatile and it will continue till Q3 results, Feb budget & till elections in 2024 (Apr-May). Company Earning per share (EPS) are near to maximum level, expected policy / budgetary push to move up further in 2024. Individual stock pick will be the key in 2024. In Feb, Temporary budget most likely to favour income tax payers inorder to keep in mind of elections and to concentrate on infra (Railways & Road). Infra Stocks, undervalued bluechip stocks can be considered. Nifty IT had a good run in last month with expectation of growing world economic condition especially US. Nifty IT expected to post flat results in Q3. But in expectation of Q3 results especially bluechip companies, certain bank stocks market may go upwards to 22500 due to the current scenario. Q3 Results & Policy changes are need to be looked into for next year growth of Nifty. Nifty- Short Term ( Neutral) Resistances are at 21800-21850 , 22000 ( however no trend line, fibonacci resistance are available). Support at 21260 ( MA 21 ) ,21000, 20900 Nifty Medium Term & long Term - Market decisively closed above 21000 last week and near to 21500 Can achieve 22500 target if close above 21900 decisively. Support at 20500 ( Fib Support) , 20225 ( prev high), 20000 ( Fib Resistance) Long Term market range bound between 22500 to 18800 expected till mid of 2024.
NSE:NIFTY
by karthikss
Nifty Long Term Analysis, Observations and Conclusion. Nifty Long Term Outlook: (Little Long message but must read analysis for all connected to stock market). Nifty seems to be moving pretty solidly since 2019 in the long term channel shown in the chart. We have also intersected the chart with fibonacci supports and resistances for the Nifty. The candlesticks used are monthly. The Channel starts from Mid 2019 and extends upto 2026. Top considered for Fibonacci retracement is the pre-covid high and bottom is Covid low. This comprehensive chart gives us various scenarios to study. The same are depicted as under: a) Nifty is trying to sustain above the mid channel resistance. If the same can be sustained most part of 2024 will be engulfed by the bull run, barring some significantly negative macro or micro event. b) Considering there is a political stability in the country at least for next 2 to 3 years the best case scenario for Nifty in couple of years time seems to be near 30K+ and worst case scenario seems to be near 24K+. c) Next long term Fibonacci resistances seem to be near 22268 and 24305 respectively. d) Fibonacci supports for Nifty seem to be near 20389 and 18687. e) 50 months EMA for Nifty right now is at 16468 this should be a major support (Mostly Nifty can go there only if there is some global catastrophe or some unlikely event like party expected to win Lok Sabha 2024 loses hands down etc. Observations: 1) Mid and Small cap have been relatively doing well in recent past coming 2 years can be good for Large cap stocks. 2) It seems that there will be overall growth but secots like Pharma/Healthcare, Infrastructure, FMCG, Capital Goods, Banking and Financials might fare better than IT and Defense have had a long run and might relax a bit for a while. 3) New themes like Clean Energy, Aero-space some other breakthrough technology can disrupt the market space completely. 4) India with it's assertive foreign policy can create and consolidate it's place in global manufacturing. 5) Over all situation seems to be investor friendly. India is in the sweet spot of Global economy. History says that 2 to 5 Trillion USD journey for any of the global economy has had potential to unleash wealth creation for the investors. Conclusion: We feel those who can lean Techno-Funda Investing / Know Techno-Funda investing will benefit the most during this wealth creation phase. Question: So how many of you want to learn Techno-funda Analysis and become Aatmanirbhar?
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Its a Doji formed in Nifty with a positive shadow. As discussed in the morning in the video/ previous messages, the area around 21500 can be a major support area and so it proved to be. Nifty stayed aloft the whole day but closed below the next resistance of 21686 . If we get an opening above 21686 or if we get few hourly candles above 21686 and the Nifty sustains there for a couple of hours further journey can begin with resistances at 21839. Next resistance will be at 22005 and finally channel top of 22363. Supports on the lower side remain at 21555, 21500 and 21242.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Gapped But Not Forgotten - NIFTYAs I posted earlier in my previous post yesterday, FINNIFTY went to cover the unfilled zone on the marked levels today, successfully hitting the marked zone. Coming to the chart of NIFTY, it can be seen there are some old dues for this index to clear as well, which can be expected as early as tomorrow since the unfilled zone of 550-480 can be seen just below todays closing which shall see some activity as per previous moves. The covering of these gaps ups (& downs) has never been more exciting as a options buyer where such sharp moves can be seen forming consecutively.
NSE:NIFTY
by nikhilchhabra
Nifty live prediction for today 3rd Jan 24As we have discussed, Nifty has been moving upwards in the channel. Now, it has broken down to the lower channel, which shows a bearishness in the NIFTY behavior. There is a high probability that it will now continue in the lower channel as a bearish trend. OI data also confirms its bearish nature with PCR = 0.70. it will be bearish for now. Reasons: It has entered the bearish channel side. Now, fall might be sharp. (Bearish) Price < EMAs that show the bearishness in the market. also it has given crossover(ema(13,50)) which always shows reversal of the trend. RSI = 40 shows the weak bulls and might enter <40 that will be the start of heavy bearishness. if we see the OI data PCR = 0.70 which shows bearishness in the market. 21500 will be acting as a nice support level to the downside. Upside 21600 will be acting as a nice resistance zone; OI data also confirms that. Verdict: Bearish Plan of action: Sell 21550 CE and hedge it with a small CE premium.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by finnova_
Weakness can continue if important levels breached. Two key levels for Nifty to hold on in this market weakness triggered by some global events and Profit booking are 21555 and 21450. Closing below 21450 can lead to further weakness and Nifty can fall to the levels of 21242, 20951 or even 20768. The worst case scenario visible as of now seems to be 20592. In case 20592 is breached Bears will start calling the shots and pull Nifty back levels of 19809 are possible but not probable. (Major Negative News). In case Nifty takes support at 21555 or 21450, form a bottom and bounce resistance will be near 21751, 21839. Closing above 21839 will open the door towards channel top area which can lead Nifty to 22K or even 22363 levels.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View-01-Jan-24 to 05-Jan-24Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View-01-Jan-24 to 05-Jan-24 Nifty closed at 21726 ( Prev Week Close 21349) and touched low & high of 21238 & 21800. RSI and stochastics levels ( 78% & 95 % Respectively) . Stochastics in overbought zone after a short runup last week Market had a little rally due to global market upward movement last week as expected and touched high of 21800 but with a small dip on the last day of last week. On new year day market was almost flat and couldnt move beyond 21800-21850 which to be considered as resistance to market. Fibonacci extended resistance is near to 22500 as shown in chart which is 5 % from current level. Since there is a upward movement in global market, nifty likely move up temporarily to 21800-21850 / 22000 though Market is still in overbought zone. Profit booking upto 30% was suggested in the last month, Almost i have booked 20% profit in Equities & Mutual Funds. 100% of ulip shifted from equities to balanced funds & money market as we get free switches in ulip. Market can any time expected to turn volatile and it will continue till Q3 results, Feb budget & till elections in 2024 (Apr-May). Company Earning per share (EPS) are near to maximum level, expected policy / budgetary push to move up further in 2024. Individual stock pick will be the key in 2024. In Feb, Temporary budget most likely to favour income tax payers inorder to keep in mind of elections and to concentrate on infra (Railways & Road). Nifty IT had a good run in last few days with expectation of growing world economic condition especially US. But in expectation of Q3 results especially bluechip companies, certain bank stocks market may go upwards to 22500 due to the current scenario. Q3 Results & Policy changes are need to be looked into for next year growth of Nifty. Nifty- Short Term ( Neutral) Resistances are at 21800-21850 , 22000 ( however no trend line, fibonacci resistance are available). Support at 21260 ( MA 21 ) ,20000 ( Fib Resistance) , 20500 ( Fib Support) , 20225 ( prev high) Nifty Medium Term & long Term - Market decisively closed above 21000 last week and near to 21500 Can achieve 22500 target if close above 22000 decisively. Support at 20225/ 20000/ 19850 Long Term market range bound between 22500 to 18800 till elections are completed.
NSE:NIFTY
by karthikss
21800 to 21840 is zone which is proving to be strong resistance.Another Dangerous Doji formed today. If yesterday's Doji candle was indecisive, today's Doji was little negative in nature as the closing was substantially low compared to where the index was before just an hour or 2 before closing. Mainly the news of Earthquake in Japan and the magnitude of destruction could be one of the reason of sudden weakness. Support for Nifty will be at 21682, 21471 and 21242. Resistance on the upper side for Nifty will be at 21802 and 21840. Crossing and closing above 21840 can give Nifty a free run towards 21900 or even 22000. But indecisiveness is causing a negative shadow.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty facing a trendline resistance near 21800.Nifty is facing a trendline resistance near 21800. 22000 seems to be the top for the current hourly parallel channel with a strong resistance near 21800 and 21891. There are various levels of support for the Nifty from the current level are 21676, 21597, 21526 (Strong Support 50 hours EMA), 21397 and 21239 (Channel bottom). Either 20995 or 20883 can be the turning point or reversal points closing below which current bull rally can end.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty Moving Swiftly taking the support of trend-line. Nifty Moving Swiftly taking the support of trend-line making a HHHL pattern (Higher High, Higher Low). Nifty might face little bit of a technical resistance between today's high 21675 and 21690. Closing above 21690 will open the gates towards 21799 and finally 22K levels. The road towards 22K after Crossing 21799 might not be as smooth as things have been till now. Supports for Nifty remain at 21599, 21476 and 21373 (Very important and strong support). closing below 21373 can take Nifty upto 21112 or even below 20K levels. Resistances on the way up for Nifty will be at the zone between 21675 and 21690. Major channel top resistance is near 21799.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Aditya Birla Capital Ltd At Discount 8-)Key Points Diversified Portfolio The co. has a portfolio across Lending, Insurance, Asset management, and Other services which caters to a wide range of customer segments, needs, channels, and geographies. Company is almost debt free. Company has delivered good profit growth of 31.4% CAGR over last 5 years Company's median sales growth is 26.0% of last 10 years Market Cap ₹ 42,022 Cr. Current Price ₹ 162 High / Low ₹ 199 / 133 Stock P/E 251 Book Value ₹ 51.0 Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE 1.84 % ROE 1.41 % Face Value ₹ 10.0
NSE:ABCAPITALLong
by MrSardarKhan