NIFTY
Nifty stopped at Mid-Channel resistance of hourly channelNifty today stopped at mid-channel resistance of hourly channel. holding above 50 hours EMA (Mother Line) was a significant step in recovery towards recent high that Nifty made earlier this month. Supports for Nifty 50 remain at 21302 and 21258 (Major support - 50 hours EMA) mother line. If we get a closing next week below 21258 the Nifty can fall further to 21113 or 20980 levels. Trend can change to negative if we get a closing below 20777. Bear can awaken from coma if and only if we get a closing below 20641 (200 Hours EMA)(Father Line). Resistances on the way up will be at 20397, 21483 and previous high around 21593.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels -21/12/2023Nifty will be gap up opening in today's session. After opening nifty sustain above 21130 level and then possible upside rally up to 21250 level in today's session. in case nifty trades below 21080 level then the downside target can go up to the 20960 level.
Reasonsing the fall support resistance levels of Nifty. Detection of New Covid variant set the panic button rolling. There has to be a reason for overbought market to fall. This news created panic or it was used to create panic. We never know for certain how big this will be. Everyone wants to be cautious.
The markets were overbought on charts. FIIs were sitting on handsome Profits and Christmas time they usually encash the same to book profits. Show it in the account books. Usually they book Profits around this time / year end (Financial year end in the West). Show the profit where ever and if they want to / have to. Hence they book Profit.
Also there is periodic churning and sectoral rotation. Which is necessary in my opinion even for the long term investors. Lot of Large cap stocks did not suffer / did not suffer as much as the small and mid cap stocks. We have been vocal about sectoral rotation towards Large and selective Mid/Small cap stocks since long time.
RSI / MACD (Relative Strength Index/ Moving Averages Convergence and Divergence ) were indicating since last few days that markets are overbought. Hence correction on Technical grounds was also necessary for fresh leg of rally.
What Next? Invest in fundamentally strong stocks which are looking good on chart. Booking losses is also part of the investment journey if required. (Specially if stop losses are hit). When to buy? Do not catch a falling knife. Catch the bouncing ball. Let the stock you like the most confirm their bottom. Bounce from the bottom and then you buy them.
Market is always a mystery. If you look at FII DII numbers today. DII were buying the dip. You never know for sure when the market will turn exactly. This fall should have happened 10/15 days back. But in one day market can cover what it could have done in 10 days. In One day it can come back with a bang tomorrow.
We should always follow the individual chart of the company. Book Profit where every we can periodically at least partial profit booking can be done. No one has gone broke in the world by booking profits. Sectoral rotation at times is also beneficial.
As far as support and resistance levels are concerned.
Nifty Support Levels: 21097, 21032 and 20849 are the supports. (20849 is rather a strong support). If 20849 is broken Nifty can fall further to 200 Hours EMA at 20546.
Resistance Levels: 21236 (Strong resistance) followed by 21322 and 21483. 21593 (high of the current rally will me a major resistance now).
Wait for the bounce do not buy the dip in a hurry.
Revesal day! - plan for 21st December 2023Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
NIFTY Hit our long-term target. What's next?The Nifty 50 Index (NIFTY) gave us an excellent bottom buy opportunity last time we looked into it (November 03) and hit on Thursday our 21000 target (see chart below):
We've been receiving a lot of messages on what's next for this index. Well if we turn the Channel Up into the logarithmic scale, we can see that the price is almost on its Top (Higher Highs trend-line). The 1D MACD is about to form a Bearish Cross and the 1D RSI is pulling back aggressively after being extremely overbought at 85.00.
Technically this is a sell signal and even though the shortest decline within the 18-month Channel Up has been -3.74%, we see more similarities with the September 13 2022 top, hence we will aim for the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level at 20500, initially at least, where contact should be made with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). If the price breaks below the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), we will short again and target the bottom of the Channel Up at 19300, which will also be a -11.03% decline, similar with the strongest one on March 20 2023.
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IDFC Limited 3rd December, 2023 (Language Hindi)In Idfc Limited we have seen the brief history of idfc limited Its level and its movement till now We have mark few levels These levels are 120 above closing with confirmation closing.
177 and 115 for stop loss And for a short term target, 125 and 128.
this setup is only for informational and knowledge purpose. Please do your own research before taking any action trade.
NIFTY prediction for today 20 Dec 23As we discussed, nifty will be forming a double top. It has completed the double top, and 21500 worked a nice resistance. Now, for today, 21500 will be acting as a nice deciding line. If it breaks above and consolidates upside, then it might go higher; otherwise, 21500 might work as a turning reversal point for Nifty.
Reasons:
DOUBLE Top formation is already completed. In the last 30 minutes, there was a lot of pressure from sellers with great power. (Bearish)
Ascending triangle pattern completion is there, which shows the trend might continue.
OI has PCR 0.99, is bullish, and 21400 has quite nice additional PE writing. (bullish)
RSI is 40-60, which means it is mostly sideways.
Price > EMAs(13,50,200) shows bulls are still having market control. (Bullish)
21300 will be providing a nice price action support point.
If it breaks to the upside, 21650 will provide a nice target point.
Verdict:
If it breaks to the upside, Sideways or Bearish might go bullish.
Plan of action:
Observe 15-minute candles and be on the selling side. Follow the analysis.
Review, plan for 20th December & New pattern explained!Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Positive sentiment dragging Nifty further. Daily Chart of Nifty 50 suggests us that Nifty has hit the resistance zone. The zone between 21505 and 21665 is a resistance zone and has multiple resistances. Nifty continues as on date to be overbought. The reason of Nifty not falling is support from FII buying and multiple technical supports between 21352 and 21246. If 21246 is broken Nifty can fall to 21037 or even 20776 levels. 20776 should be considered a major support. If by chance we see a closing Below 20776 bears will get out of comma and can try to drag Nifty to 20502 or even 20178 levels. This should be the range of Nifty for the next 15 days to 1 month. Momentum of Nifty remains strong as on date and every dip is being bought. Such stage can lead to euphoria and investors getting trapped at higher levels. One needs to be very choosy in selecting the scripts while investing as always but more so in the stage of rally we are currently.
Nifty exactly at Mid-Channel support looking to confirm bottom. Nifty RSI cooled rapidly and the index currently is exactly at Mid-channel support line. This line can act as a support but incase we do not get a green candle to start the day tomorrow the next support for Nifty will be near 21368 strong support followed by 21295 and 21237. If 21237 is broken Nifty can fall further to 21155, 21117 or even 21082. If some negative global news or the fear of New Covid Variant create panic and in case we get a closing below 21082 there is a chance of Bears trying to make a come back. Resistances on the upper side are at 21460, 21498 and finally 21546. The rally can for a top near 21604 if it has not formed a top already.
Plan fr 19th December 2023Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Nifty BankNifty FinNifty MidcapNifty Levels for 18 Dec 2023
I am sharing crucial NSE:NIFTY NSE:BANKNIFTY NSE:FINNIFTY1! NSE:MIDCPNIFTY1!
levels that serve as significant support and resistance points for intraday trading. To execute trades based on these levels, wait for a 15-minute candle closing above them. You can employ both breakout and reversal strategies in your trading approach.
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Stay tuned for daily updates, comprehensive market analyses, and real-time trading scenarios. Witness firsthand our journey from novice to expert in the trading world. My sole objective is to empower you with the knowledge and skills needed to navigate the intricacies of financial markets successfully.
Identified through price action, major support and resistance levels are marked with lines as resistances and supports. If the price breaches a support or resistance, it is likely to move towards the next corresponding level.
Important Note: These levels are intended for intraday trading purposes only.
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#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels -18/12/2023Nifty will be gap up opening in today's session. After opening nifty sustain above 21450 level and then possible upside rally up to 21570 level in today's session. in case nifty trades below 21400 level then the downside target can go up to the 21280 level.
Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View-18-Dec-23 to 22-Dec-23Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View-18-Dec-23 to 22-Dec-23
Nifty closed at 21496( Prev Week close 20520) and touched low & high of 20776 & 21496.
Market touched all time high of 21000 last week and then almost to 21500 without any stoppage after a massive run post election results of 3 states and US Fed rate reduction plan, followed by global stock market run.
RSI and stochastics levels are in overbought zone ( 85% & 98 % Respectively) .
Market currently on a upward movement due to global run, clear immediate resistance for reversal are not available.
Already market grown 10% from 19500 level.
Two Fibonacci extended resistances are near to 22500 as shown in chart which is 5 % from current level.
Market can any time turn to volatile and expected to continue till Q3 results, Feb budget & till elections in 2024 (Apr-May).
Feb Temporary budget most likely to favour income tax payers inorder to keep in mind of elections and to concentrate on infra ( Railways & Road).
Banks gave good results except HDFC bank due to merger. Nifty IT had a good run in last few days with expectation of growing world economic condition especially US. Capital Goods and other companies posted average results. But in expectation of Q3 results especially bluechip companies market may go upwards to 22500 due to the current scenario.
Q3 Results & Policy changes are need to be looked into for next year growth of Nifty.
Nifty- Short Term
Resistances are at 21750, 22000 ( however no trend line, fibonacci resistance are available)
Market is in overbought zone. Profit booking upto 30% was suggested in the last two weeks, Almost i have booked 20% profit has been booked in Equities & Mutual Funds. 75% of ulip shifted from equities to debt funds as we get free switches in ulip.
Support at 20500, 20225 ( prev high)
Nifty Medium Term & long Term -
Market decisively closed above 21000 last week and near to 21500
Can achieve 22500 target if close above 22000 decisively.
Support at 20225/ 20000/ 19850
Long Term
market range bound between 22500 to 18800 till elections are completed.
$INDY: Update - Buy signal in monthly scale here...🚨🚨🚨
If you are not exposed to India, now is a good time to join.
📢
Train is leaving the station here, monthly suggests immediate upside in the order of 8-10% in the coming quarter, which will likely trigger a breakout away from the long term consolidation here, to trace my expected path long term...
This can be the beginning of a huge long term advance, quarterly chart is very close to triggering a trend signal, so the reward to risk in this idea could be astronomical.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
Be cautious while travelling in the Runaway Train (Nifty). Passengers of the Runaway Train (Nifty) need to be cautious now. The current Nifty rally has hit the Euphoria phase. India is watching a Bullet train rally and probably the station is near by. Reasons behind the rally are:
1) Recent Assembly elections considered as Semi Finals before the lok sabha elections of 2024 met the market expectations.
2) US Fed continued a the rate hike Pause and there were some indications of rate cut cycle starting in 2024.
3) Some opinion polls suggesting return of the incumbent government for the Third time in India.
Political Stability is what market loves. If we add global factors like rate hike pause that gave a steroid dose to the markets.
The question is: What should the investor do now?
1) Book Profit in the risky / mid-cap / Small-cap stocks with weak fundamentals. At least partial profits can be booked.
2) Find avenues where growth is still possible. Choose stocks with strong fundamentals / Monopoly / Strong MOAT. (Some large caps companies fall in this category)
3) Look at the Technicals and Fundamentals of the company you are investing in.
4) Be very choosy.
I am an advocate of staying invested in the market come what may but portfolio rotation, some reshuffling profits into fundamentally strong players with vision for growth is need of the hour.
As far as support and Resistance levels are concerned the next fibonacci resistance will be at 21607. If the euphoria continues into reminder of the month we may even see the levels of 22180. If the momentum continues further into 2024 I see the rally reaching 22922 or 23000 levels. Supports at the lower level are 21235, 21078. 20795 level will be a strong support level falling below which bears will start breathing again.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels -15/12/2023Nifty will be gap down opening in today's session. After opening nifty start trading below 21180 level and then possible downside rally up to 21060 in today's session. in case nifty trades above 21210 level then the upside target can go up to the 21330 level.