Nifty Next Week: (Short to Medium Term Market Outlook)Nifty is moving swiftly near the channel top. In the short term hourly chart RSI is 58.8 indicating that there might be some strength left in the current rally. However, it is delicately placed between strong resistance and weak supports which indicates correction also might be round the corner. Nifty supports are at 23976 and 23881 both are weak supports. 23777 is a moderate support of 50 hours EMA. (Mother line).
Strong support for Nifty is seen around the region of 23238 which has a dual support of Mid channel and 200 hours EMA. Immediate Resistances for Nifty are at 24130 (Moderate resistance) and there will be a strong resistance near 24322 (Channel top and trend top resistance. It is an interesting scenario where shadow of the candle is absolutely neutral. The dice can turn in any direction keep your stop losses in place. Market mood index indicating is another parameter to judge index and it's direction. Extreme Fear (<30), Fear (30-50), Greed (50-70), and Extreme Greed (>70). Right now the MMI index is at 71.28 indicating we have entered Extreme greed zone. So it is advised to Keep your trailing stop losses also in place.
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Nifty50
Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term view 1Jul-24 to Jul-24Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term view 1Jul-24 to Jul-24
Nifty closed at 23010 (23501) and touched low & high of 23351-24170
Post Election and govt formation market sustained above k5ey resistance at for two weeks after a dip to 21286.
RSI and stochastics levels was marginally down last week (68.5 % & 90% Respectively). Stochastic still in overbought levels.
Retain the statement for almost a month, Market need to cross 24150 as two trend line resistance ( Shown in the Chart), one with low risk can book partial profit and can wait for market to correct to reinvest. Market depends on the new budget and Q1 results expected in Jul 24. Market have high potential to touch Psychological 25000 Mark.
Nifty 24010- Short term (Neutral )
Nifty have resistance at 24280/ support around 22600. Nifty at PE 22.9 crossed 3 year historical average 22.5 hence to be cautious.
Short term support 22600( trendline), 22200 ( Trend Line) and 21700 Trend line Support as shown in the chart.
Medium term resistance 24280 ( Trendline and % of difference between Mar 23 low and Sep 23 high low from Sep23 high shown as vertical line)
medium term Support - 22000
Long Term
Nifty have strong resistance at 25000 ( Trend Line). If market close above 24150 decisively.
Support at 20800 ( Fib Support) 20225 / 20000 ( Fib Resistance),19500 expected in 2024.
Q3 results are average except bank & Nbfc stocks, further up move will have target of 23150 ( Trend Line), 23500 ( Fib Resistance).
All Companies so far posted average results other than Bank & Finance stocks which posted Good results thats why it is evident Nifty Bank have grown better than Nifty, Nifty IT and Nifty Auto in last 2 months.
Nifty bank 52342 (51661)- As proposed from 47250 level nifty bank jumped more than 10%. Caution to be emphasised as nifty bank reached critical resistance. It need to cross and move up decisively this current zone.
Slowly Can consider to book partial profits in Nifty Bank on every rise.
Investment decision in Nifty bank, bank stocks helped in portfolio.
Stock Picking is needed at this crucial nifty, Nifty Bank, Nifty auto, Nifty Pharma stocks.
As insisted for last 3 months Banks & Finanace Stocks are really good and will give good results, as expected Q4 results are good especially for Axis Bank ,ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, SBI ( Buy on dip) and Indus Ind Bank ( Buy on dip).
Following Finance Stocks can be added as it posted good results are Manappuram Finance, suryoday small fin,Motilal Fin, Chola Finance, ICICI Securities. Other stocks like Dr Reddys, Natco Pharma, Cipla, JK Cements, Biocon, Coforge & persistent Sys can add these stocks to portfolio.
There is a possibility of dip to 21000-22000, hence please buy in parcels and every dip of Index and every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term)
The above stocks mentioned are based on analysis of top line & Bottom line performance, hence based on the risk and portfolio mix one can add after analysis.
Comments :
Post Elections, if Market need to grow higher by reduction of interest rate by RBI on a staggered manner till it reaches 5% ( in span of 2-3 years ). US fed rate reduction also expected from Aug/ Sep 2024. Market may correct if any global news till 19500 as there is strong multiple fib support in this range.
Nifty IT 36157 (35086), indices broke the Major support at 33350 and went down upto 32420. Tech stocks revived in last two trading session. Nifty IT Stocks like TCS, Infosys, Wipro gave muted results in Q4 2024. Can be added for short rally as it fell sharply, however strictly for long term and also in portions slowly on each fall ( say 5-10% of total investment in IT stocks). Whenever there is such dips and new lows ( in the last 1 year) We can add slowly considering 2-3 years. It need to break above 35786 ( Fib) to reach 38000 needed to further move up. Future of technology stocks are in high pressure due to AI as it is reflecting in US and Indian technology stocks.
Nifty Short to Medium term outlookNifty is moving swiftly near the channel top. In the short term hourly chart RSI is 58.8 indicating that there might be some strength left in the current rally. However it is delicately placed between strong resistance and weak supports which indicates correction also might be round the corner. Nifty supports are at 23976 and 23881 both are weak supports. 23777 is a moderate support of 50 hours EMA. (Mother line). Strong support for Nifty is seen around the region of 23238 which has a dual support of Mid channel and 200 hours EMA. Immediate Resistances for Nifty are at 24130 (Moderate resistance) and there will be a strong resistance near 24322 (Channel top and trend top resistance. It is an interesting scenario where shadow of the candle is absolutely neutral. The dice can turn in any direction keep your stop losses in place. Market mood index indicating is another parameter to judge index and it's direction. Extreme Fear (<30), Fear (30-50), Greed (50-70), and Extreme Greed (>70). Right now the MMI index is at 71.28 indicating we have entered Extreme greed zone. So it is advised to Keep your trailing stop losses also in place.
Long Term Analysis of Nifty my observations and a conclusion.The chart above is the chart of Nifty 50 since 1991. This chart here tells a few stories. I will tell you my version of these stories or observations you can derive your own conclusions from them:
1) India is a continuous bull market. There are blips due to Micro and Macro reasons but the chart keeps moving forward in the parallel channel. We are in the upper half of the channel since 2005 indicative of an economy that is moving forward and GDP that is continuously growing. There are couple of times when the market went into the lower half of the channel once was during the 2008 Sub-prime crisis and once during the COVID19 global crisis. Lot of countries of the world have still not come out of the trauma but we bounce back each time. This tells us about strength of our nation and our economy.
2) There is lot more room to grow before we hit the channel top resistance. Even in case of some major political event or market correction. We can get the mid channel support and the support of Mother line 50 Months EMA.
3) Relative Strength index is a lagging indicator used by a lot of analyst to check if the market is overbought or oversold. As per my observation over the years. We start to enter the overbought territory once the index is above 70. RSI above 80 is indicative of a market that is overbought. Similarly when the RSI levels are below 30 we enter the oversold territory and When RSI is below 20 we are in the highly oversold territory. Now if you look at the chart carefully each time monthly RSI of Nifty has gone near / above / substantially above 80 levels there has been a correction in the market. Some corrections have been large some not so substantial but inevitably market has corrected. Right now RSI of Nifty is 78.94. The levels to watch out for reversal / Consolidation / correction in my opinion can be anywhere between 79.88 and 91.35. I am not trying to scare you or predict a doomsday scenario, I am just presenting historic data in front of you.
4) Market can remain irrational for period of time beyond human comprehension. Market can remain irrational more than an investor can remain rational. So while we ride the upwave changing sectors and changing our stories and choices shuffling between small and mid and large caps do not forget to put in your stop losses and trailing stop losses. Stop losses are our friends that protect our capital and trailing stop losses are our friends that protect our profits. While we use them it can happen that a stock takes your trailing stop loss and again bounces back to huge upside but it is fine, either we learn or we win. If you have the capital you can invest again. If you will not have the capital it is an irreversible loss.
Conclusion: Stay Positive but be cautious. Use stop losses with discipline and trailing stop losses generously. The chart shows that history repeats. The chart shows that India is a continuous bull market. The chart shows that long term investor will always win if he has discipline and follows a process in stock selection, profit booking and staying vigilant.
SOLARA ACTIVE PHARMA LONG TERM VIEWSolara Active Pharma is forming a rounding bottom formation or W pattern on Monthly TimeFrame.
The Entry and Stoploss would be considered on Candle Closing Basis.
Entry - Above 470
Stoploss - Below 273
Target - 1509
( This Target would be achieved in 2 years max from the date of entry).
NOTE:- This view is purely based on Technical Analysis and is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 28 JUNE 2024BUY ABOVE - 24100
SL - 24010
TARGETS - 24200,24280,24380
SELL BELOW - 24010
SL - 24100
TARGETS - 23900,23800,23740
NO TRADE ZONE - 24010 to 24100
Previous Day High - 24100
Previous Day Low - 23800
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
Emphatic jump by Nifty on the back of IT and few other sectors.24K is done and dusted now what can we expect?
As indicated earlier IT was the index to watch out for this week. There was a cup and handle formation and cup and handle breakout in the sector after lot of consolidation. Few other sectors that were red hot were Energy, Infra and consumption. We had also indicated that Mid and small cap shares will face the brunt of profit booking as there is a sectoral shift towards large caps.
Nifty has given a closing above important Fibonacci level of 23931 and it has opened the door for Nifty to grow towards the targets of 24246 and 24707 if we get a closing above today's high of 24087.
24K closing is done and dusted. Weekly closing tomorrow and more importantly monthly closing above 24K will has potential to give further boost to the market in the medium and long run.
Important support levels to watch out for Nifty will be at 23931, 23750 followed by 23338. Most important Mother line support of 50 days EMA is at 22912 now. Nifty will come back once may be tomorrow / next week or next month. to test one of these support.
A word of caution: Many sectors like Sugar, Electronic manufacturing, Textile, Defense, PSUs,Energy, Infra, Fertilizers (Agro) and Speciality Chemicals, health care and insurance, consumption are expecting good budget which will favour them. Incase the budget is disappointing they will be the first to bear the brunt of the market. So be cautious with your stop losses while you enjoy the upward ride.
India's inclusion in the JPMorgan Index is set to unlock billionBig Win for India: Indian government bonds are now included in JPMorgan's emerging markets index, a first for the world's fastest-growing large economy. This move is expected to trigger significant foreign investments, reshape India's financial landscape, and boost economic growth.
Opening the Doors: The inclusion grants India a 10% share in the index, following the 2020 relaxation of foreign ownership restrictions. Analysts predict an additional $30 billion inflow over the next ten months, potentially raising foreign ownership from 2% to 5%.
Market Reactions: The yield on Indian bonds has already decreased, reflecting rising prices. However, bureaucratic hurdles remain a challenge for some investors.
Positive Outlook: Despite recent political developments, India's economic outlook is strong. S&P Global is considering a credit rating upgrade, and India offers a good yield premium with strong growth and favorable inflation.
Future Potential: India's bond market is poised for further growth with potential inclusion in additional benchmarks like the Bloomberg EM Local Currency Government Index and FTSE Russell.
Managing Volatility: The Reserve Bank of India is confident in its ability to manage potential market volatility due to the country's substantial foreign reserves exceeding $650 billion.
Overall, this inclusion marks a watershed moment for India's financial market, attracting foreign capital, lowering borrowing costs, and propelling economic growth.
Nifty Intraday (26-06-2024)Price Levels: The Nifty is trading at 23,721.90, with the high and low for the session being 23,754.15 and 23,715.30, respectively.
Exponential Moving Average (EMA): A 20-period EMA is plotted on the chart with a value of 23,656.26.
Support and Resistance Levels: The chart displays several horizontal lines indicating key levels:
23,731.65
23,665.85
23,570.05
23,385.50
Trading Signals:
Buy Signal: "Buy Above 23,750; Target Open for 24,000" indicated by a green arrow pointing upward.
Sell Signal: "Sell Below 23,665; Target 23,500" indicated by a red arrow pointing downward.
The chart is likely used for intraday trading strategies, providing specific levels to enter buy or sell positions based on the Nifty 50's price movements.
New High and closing above trend line for Nifty. Nifty at All Time High What is in store next?
What are the support and resistance levels now?:
Nifty has made a new high on the back of rallying major Large caps in Bank Nifty, Financial services and IT stocks. Small cap was stable but Public sector, Mid-caps and Realty stocks were bearing the brunt of Profit booking. We have been indicating a major shift towards large caps since few weeks now.
Important Resistance levels for Nifty now will be today's high of levels for 23754 followed by 23931 important fibonacci resistance. If we get a closing above 23931 that will open the door towards future fibonacci levels of 24246 and 24707. (fibonacci levels are usually calculated from previous top and previous bottom of Nifty here.)
Important support levels for Nifty are at 23338, 23082 and 22825 (50 days EMA, Mother line support). Below 22825 Bears can pull Nifty below 22285 or even 22044 levels in worst case scenario.
IT, Banking, Financials, selective Mid- and small cap can still rally further. Some Green shots in Chemical and Pharma sector too. But keep your stop losses and trailing stop losses in check. Nifty is trying to form a new top or may have formed it so be cautious. RSI is indicating that there might be little more room for growth if we get a closing above levels indicated earlier in the message.
Nifty has taken a good support.Nifty has taken a good support at 23340 and given a closing above 50 hours EMA at 23537. Shadow of the candle for now has turned positive. There is a strong resistance in place near 23548. 23455 (50 Hours EMA) and 23340 are good supports for now. Above 23548 the next resistances can be 23568 and 23667. Let us see if Nifty rally has gained some steam after little bit of consolidation to go above the next 3 strong resistance. There can be some Profit bookings and pressure to sell once these 3 levels come near.
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 25 JUNE 2024BUY ABOVE - 23580
SL - 23500
TARGETS - 23650,23730,23800
SELL BELOW - 23500
SL - 23580
TARGETS - 23430,23370,23300
NO TRADE ZONE - 23500 to 23580
Previous Day High - 23580
Previous Day Low - 23370
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
Nifty Intraday (25-06-2024)The chart you've provided is a 15-minute intraday chart for the Nifty 50 Index. Here are the key details and levels:
Key Levels and Zones:
No Trade Zone: Marked in purple, indicating a range where trading is not recommended.
Buy Above 23560: Target 23650+.
Sell Below 23500: Target 23385.
Observations:
-The chart includes a 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA).
-Support and resistance levels are clearly marked:
-Resistance at 23,632.10.
-Support at 23,432.10 and 23,336.35.
Trading Strategy:
Buy Strategy:
-Enter a long position if the price breaks above 23,560.
-Target a move to at least 23,650 or higher.
Sell Strategy:
-Enter a short position if the price breaks below 23,500.
- Target a move to at least 23,385.
If you need further analysis or another specific task related to this chart, feel free to ask!
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 24/06/2024BUY ABOVE - 23500
SL - 23430
TARGETS - 23580,23650,23730
SELL BELOW - 23430
SL - 23500
TARGETS - 23370,23300,23230
NO TRADE ZONE - 23430 to 23500
Previous Day High - 23650
Previous Day Low - 23430
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - [/b ]All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
Nifty delicately resting near 50 Hours EMA support. Nifty is resting delicately on 50 Hours EMA support. Every rise is seen as an opportunity to book profit at least in selective mid and Small cap companies. Last week we saw a shift of investors retail, FII as well as DII towards large cap banks and Chemicals. This indicates some sectoral shift also. The Fizz of the rally is dying down as Nifty remained range bound making a Doji on weekly chart with high at 23667 and low of 23398. A substantial move on either side is possible only above or below these levels. Mark them as most important levels in the short term. Nifty resistances are at 23568 and 23667. Nifty supports for the next week will be near 23434, 23340, 23155, 22990 and finally 22876. Below 22876 is pure Bear territory.
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 21/06/2024
BUY ABOVE - 23580
SL - 23500
TARGETS - 23650,23730,23800
SELL BELOW - 23500
SL - 23580
TARGETS - 23430,23370,23300
NO TRADE ZONE - 23500 to 23580
Previous Day High - 23650
Previous Day Low - 23430
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
Nifty Facing Strong resistance from a probable temporary top.Nifty Facing is seemingly facing Strong resistance from a probable temporary top. The high of today 23664 will not be easy to cross for now as the shift in the mood seems to be of profit booking. However if you look at FII and DII numbers very both positive and Nifty ended in negative. This can also be an indication of sectoral shift from the big players towards some large caps and other underperforming sectors from some sectors which were popular since last 2 to 3 months. Chemicals, Selective IT and Banking seem to be picking up steam. Resistance at the upper side are at 23579, 23664 and 23751. Supports on the lower side seem to be at 23491, 23364 (Important support) Mother line 50 hours EMA, 23336, 23201, 23050 and finally 22908. Below 22908 bears will take control of the market.
Nifty moving forward on a parabolic curve.Nifty moving forward on a Parabolic curve. With no much negative trigger it is inching slowly towards the channel top shown in the parallel channel. When you lie by a sword you also die by a sword. When you move up on a parabolic curve there is also a possibility of a down side on a parabola it the rounding top is formed. So investors have to be careful about this and trade invest while keeping stop losses and trailing stop losses in proper place. Supports for Nifty currently are at 23491, 23335, 23201, 23050, 22894 and finally 22863 (200 hours EMA, Father line). Resistance on the upper side for Nifty are at 23562, 23579, 23669, 23785 and 23881 levels.
Disclaimer: Spot nifty levels for education purpose only.
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 18/06/2024BUY ABOVE - 23500
SL - 23430
TARGETS - 23600,23700,23800
SELL BELOW - 23370
SL - 23430
TARGETS - 23300,23230,23150
NO TRADE ZONE - 23370 to 23500
Previous Day High - 23500
Previous Day Low - 23370
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
Hyperbolic formation indicating we are on the sword edge. Hyperbolic formation indicating we are on the edge of the sword. Last time when Nifty saw this kind of Hyperbolic formation markets jumped from 22579 to 23338 and then market fell to 21821 and recovered to make an ATH high of 23490. Similar Hyperbolic formation is seen now indicating similar move on cards for Nifty. We are on edge of sorts where there is a feeling of overpriced market as well as upside potential oth looming large on the minds of retail investors, FII and DII. All the 3 are nullifying each others move and keeping the markets range bound. Anything can give way at any juncture. Supports for Nifty are at 23338, 23233 and 23000 range. Below 23000 levels bears will awaken and will try to pull Nifty to 22814 levels where it can get support of 200 hours EMA. On the upper side 23490. If we get a closing above 23490 it will open the doors for 23931 and further 24247 in the long term. Very interesting and rare formation of chart can be seen. Has Bull rally exhausted its steam or can they pull on for one more week or rest of the month is the question which will get the answer in next few sessions. Outlook is cautious but positive with small or medium correction on cards. Some sectors will still remain upbeat even in case of correction. Large portion of your portfolio should be allocated to Large cap now.
Closing below trendline but above Fibonacci levels more upside?Nifty is trying everyday to inch ahead and is almost making new highs but trend line resistance is still stopping it. The positive sign today is that Nifty has closed above Fibonacci level of 23338 but it receded from the highs of 23481 to close at 23398. 23481 now becomes an important resistance before a major resistance of 23515 which for now looks like the trend top. Closing above 23515 will open the targets for 23897. In case we are not able to cross 23481 the supports at lower level are 23338, 23205 and 23060 for now.