Nifty in a mild resistance zone after making a new ATH. Nifty in a mild resistance zone after making a new ATH. After making a new ATH at 22529.95. As it did not close successfully above the previous all time high that is 22526 it has become a mild resistance. Momentum is good for it to make a new ATH tomorrow but the resistance may act again if it is not a gap up opening above the same level. In case of Nifty not able to cross and close above the hurdle the supports will be at 22434 and 22350. 22214 to 22252 is a strong support zone as of now. Resistance zone will be 22500 to 22529. If that resistance is successfully taken down the next resistance will be near 22597, 22690 and finally 22787. Shadow of the candle is looking neutral but the momentum can be helpful.
Nifty50
Nifty Looking Strong But final few hurdles before making an ATH.Nifty looking strong and my rise riding on the current momentum wave but the hurdles it needs to cross (The Resistances in the way) are 22350, 22449, 22526. The New high that Nifty can make in the current bull run can be in the range of 22597, 22690, 22787 or higher. In case some of the resistance does not allow Nifty to progress further the supports for Nifty will be at 22252, 22132 and 22070. Momentum is looking good and the shadow of the candle is Positive but there can be selling pressure on FIIs and some DIIs as the election time comes near and near. Also Fresh financial year can bring fresh strategy for FII, HNIs and DIIs.
Grasim trade setupBroadning decending wedge is a bullish pattern
2 probabilities, one is beariah as we can see a divergence in RSI. Second one is bullish as this pattern is a bullish pattern.
Once the wedge is broken upside we get to see those targets .. or if it continues in the range we get to see the bottom support line as target but remember if it continues downside and did not break the lower low get ready for a breakout.
First hurdle 22080 crossed; Second hurdle around 22180-22200.We had depicted 22080 and 22180 as 2 hurdles for Nifty crossing which there can be a bullish rally. first hurdle was crossed today ut Second hurdle in the range of 22180 and 22200 remains. Today Nifty made a high of 22193 and returned from the same area due to the resistance zone indicated earlier. Crossing and closing the week above 22200 tomorrow will increase the chances of Bulls getting into rally mode. If the resistance in the region is not crossed and Nifty does not cross and close above today's high, there are chances that some supports will be tested again.
Nifty Supports Remain at: 22080, 21852, 21806 and finally 21710. Below 21710 Bears will get a firm grip of the market.
Nifty Resistances: 22193 (today's high), 22301, 22449 and finally 22526.
Trend line and deep resistance zone blocking Nifty progressThe resistance zone between 22081 and 22180 is blocking Nifty progress currently. Once Nifty closes above 22180 bulls can call shots in the market and take it further. After crossing and closing above 22180 further resistances will be near 22301, 22449 and 22526. On the lower side supports for Nifty are near 21882, 21710 and 21544. Nifty is interestingly placed for rest of the week. Shadow of the candle right now is neutral.
Nifty bounced back but right now facing mid-channel resistance.Nifty bounced back but pretty well after confirming a near term bottom around 21710. right now facing mid-channel resistance. Daily closing firmly above 50 days EMA is another positive sign. Right now Nifty will face or is facing mid channel resistance which is near Friday's high of 22180. Nifty next week crossing and closing above 22180 will ensure that Nifty has closed not only above mid channel resistance but also trend line resistance which is in the same range. This dual resistance can be little stiff to cross. If it is crossed and held, next resistances will be at 22301, 22449 and finally 22526. In case the hurdle of Mid-channel resistance is not crossed the support levels for Nifty will be at 21877 (50 days EMA), 21710 and finally 21544. Shadow of the candle is neutral with positive bias indicating consolidation in the range or a further up move.
Nifty Entering a Resistance zone after a making a good comeback.After making a low of 21710 yesterday has made a good comeback in one and a half session closing the day at 22011. Now Nifty is staring into a strong resistance zone. The resistance zone starts from the high of today. i.e. 22080 and ends at 22206. This zone consists of trend line resistance and mid channel resistance as well. Closing this week above 22206 will send a strong signal to the buyers who might return enmass post crossing this level. The next resistances after crossing 22206 will be near 22301, 22449 and 22526. On the lower side if these resistances act too strongly Nifty has a support at 22080, 21868 (50 days EMA) or mother line support, and 21710 which was the recent low. Below 21710 closing if at all it happens there can be further blood bath.
Nifty took a trend line support while trying to form a bottom.Nifty took a trend line support at 21710 while trying to form a bottom. If the bottom is confirmed tomorrow and we get a few positive candles while closing the day or week above 22042 some bullishness can return to the market. In case the level of 21710 is broken the next support level is near 21524. In case we get a closing this week above 22042. Further resistance levels will be seen at 22204, 22299 and 22454. Shadow of the candle for tomorrow looks firmly positive as of now.
Nifty Analysis and the levels where the buck might stop. In this video we have discussed the short to medium term outlook for Indian markets. We have also tried to analyse the micro and macro factors affecting the recent downturn. Also in the video we have explained how to use the tool called 'Parallel channel' to guesstimate levels of indices or stocks.
Double Bottom Kind of structure is forming in Nifty. Double Bottom Kind of structure is forming in Nifty but still it is delicately placed. If the levels of 22037 and 21912 are held which are a support zone and if the resistance zone of 50 and 200 Hours EMA which are at 22072 and 22144 are broken on the upper side we can see strength.
Thus the support Zones for Nifty are at: 22037 and 21912. Below 21912 bears will strengthen their grip.
The Strong Resistance Zones that Nifty needs to cross for Bulls to start taking control is the zone between 22072 and 22144.
Other Resistances if this zone is crossed will be at : 22206, 22301, 22361, 22445 and finally 22525.
NIFTY 50 Nifty shows negative traits in daily timeframe, firstly it activated 5 Ema trade and secondly it give the breakdown of trend line. As we all know market faces the many hindrance i.e. international tension, electoral bond issue, few days back SEBI chief says "we are in bubble"
all these traits try to make negative impact in the market.
Good Fightback by bulls but need a confirmation candle tomorrow.We saw a good fightback by Bulls today as the Nifty bounced back from just close to 50 days EMA but to ensure that this was the temporary bottom we need a confirmation candle to close the week. The Resistance for Nifty will remain at 22204 and 22311 followed by 22500 range. Supports for Nifty will remain at 21851, 21779 and 21614. Below 21614 again the bears will take over. Shadow of the candle today is very dull but slightly positive however as it is a weekly closing candle due to Friday bears will also try to close the Nifty in their favour. Nifty is again interestingly poised.
Probable Support Zone For Nifty approaching. The Zone between 21905 and 21779 can be a support Zone for Nifty as it tried to make a recovery from the area near 50 days EMA which was near 21839. If by chance 21779 is broken the next supports for Nifty will be only in the region of 21614, 21284 or even 20971. Worst case scenario can be 20412 which is a 200 days EMA and the channel bottom. So further steep downside is possible if Nifty does not bounce from today's low that is 21905, 21839 (Mother line 50 day's EMA) or 21779. On the upper side in case of resurgence of Nifty next resistances can be near 22132, 22311 and 22511. It looks like recovery above 22511 will take some consolidation. Even if Nifty resurges which it will in a few days/weeks time Small and Mid cap sectow will go through a long consolidation phase. This phase will give an oppertunity to do some proper bottom fishing in these indices for the long term. In the short to medium term the index that will get the preference will be Large Cap index.
NIFTY 50 120 MINS CHARTThe Structure looks good to us, waiting for this instrument to correct and then give us these opportunities as shown on this instrument (Price Chart).
Note: Its my view only and its for educational purpose only. Only who has got knowledge about this strategy, will understand what to be done on this setup. its purely based on my technical analysis only (strategies). we don't focus on the short term moves, we look for only for Bullish or Bearish Impulsive moves on the setups after a good price action is formed as per the strategy. we never get into corrective moves. because it will test our patience and also it will be a bullish or a bearish trap. and try trade the big moves.
we do not get into bullish or bearish traps. We anticipate and get into only big bullish or bearish moves (Impulsive Moves). Just ride the Bullish or Bearish Impulsive Move. Learn & Know the Complete Market Cycle.
Buy Low and Sell High Concept. Buy at Cheaper Price and Sell at Expensive Price.
Keep it simple, keep it Unique.
please keep your comments useful & respectful.
Thanks for your support.....
Tradelikemee Academy
Sanjay K G
Top 3 Intraday Trading StrategiesTo get success in intraday trading, requires dedication, hard work, patience, quick wit, and immense knowledge. Successful day trading involves 10% execution and 90% patience.
To gain expertise in day trading and honing trading skills, it takes a fair amount of time. There are a number of Best Intraday trading strategies available for trading, but the success or failure of the strategy completely depends on the market. Maybe one strategy works in today’s market condition but may not work according to the next day’s market condition. Not only, does the movement of the market, but the intraday trading strategy also depends on the trading styles of the trader. It also varies at different times of the day, depending upon how the market is behaving.
Here, in this post, you will find Effective Day Trading Strategies, which you can use for intraday trading.
Intraday Trading Strategy :
1. News Based : News-based trading is the most traditional form of day trading. This type of trader doesn’t focus on the stock price and volume charts, they wait for information that will drive the prices.
The information may come in the form of a company announcement about earnings or new products; a general economic announcement about interest rates or unemployment; or just a lot of rumors about what may or may not be happening in a given industry.
Traders who do good with news-based trading , usually have some understanding and knowledge of the markets. These types of traders are not expert analysts or fundamental researchers, but they have enough knowledge about what kind of news would be in-favor or what would be taken poorly by marketers. They also pay attention to a few different news sources and also whenever they find the right opportunity, they place the order at the right time.
The downside of news trading is that there may be few and far good events; more often, the hype is already built into the price by the time you watch it. Many news traders turn to the scalp while they wait for something to create a little excitement.
Before you start news-based day trading, one thing you should keep in mind is that, this type of trading strategy is very risky as compared to other strategies. It also gives high returns on investment within a day.
2. Gap + B.B. (S20,2): This strategy is useful when the stock/ Index opens Gap Up or Gap Down.
After the gap, the stock shows a potential reversal sign, which can observe by the place of a candlestick or by a heavy volume event. You can fade the action and go in the opposite direction of the gap with a profit target at the start of the gap.
Rules:
Entry between 9:30 to 10:00.
Exit at stop-loss or at 3:25.
Bollinger band strategy is 20,2
30- minute time frame is required.
Big Profits and Small losses.
No need to trade every day.
Helps to stay away from the Sideway market.
Example for Buy Trade:
In this strategy, the stock should be open with Gap up or Gap down.
The First 30-minute candle should be untouched from the lower band.
As you can see in the above image, the first candle opens with a gap down and it is below the lower band.
The high of 1st candle is also untouched by the lower band.
Go for buy trade when the high of 1st 30-minute candle is a break.
Stop-loss = low of the 1st candle.
Example for Sell Trade:
The stock opens with a gap up and the 1st candle’s low is not touched with the upper Bollinger band.
As the low of the first candle is broken, enter in to sell trade.
Put the stop loss at the high of the first candle.
Note: This strategy gives best result for Nifty and Bank Nifty.
3. Morning ORB: The early morning range breakouts are also known as opening range breakouts. It is like bread-butter for many trades. The trading opening range takes skill and practice until you can turn a profit.
The early morning range breakout help traders to take advantage of the violent action from the flurry of buying and selling orders when the market opens.
Trading Range
The first 20 to 30-minute trading range is suitable for an opening range breakout. While you start trading practice using this strategy, it is recommended to start with a very little amount of capital.
The stock you select for the trade should be within a range, which is smaller than the average daily range of the stock. The upper and lower boundaries of the range can be identified by the high and low of the first 30 or 60 minutes.
Early Morning Range Breakout and Volume
The idea for go short on a break below or going long on a break above resistance is not as easy as you think. First, you need to understand the relationship between volume and price.
Volume and Price must be in harmony. When you short or long a stock, which has happed down or gapped up it must open with heavy volume and then retrace on lighter volume (indicating a lack of buying). Which confirms that sellers/buyers are in control.
Volume Is very important for every type of breakout which confirms the breakout before entry. If the stock price breaks the morning Support/resistance level with low volume, there is a high chance of a false breakout.
The image below explained that high volume during a breakout is likely to push price through key resistance.
In this 15- minute chart, you see that after a break of early morning resistance with high volume, the price starts increasing.
Volume is very tricky so you need to be able to predict the support/resistance levels accurately in order to find out good volume breakouts and set proper profit targets.
Disclaimer: The Intraday Trading Strategies discussed in this post is for education purpose only. We are not responsible for any Profit or Loss you made using these strategies. We hope that you like our blog post on Intraday Trading Strategies.
Weak Closing by Nifty but Mid-channel support approchingNifty gave a weak closing today below 50 EMA (Mother Line). Which indicates that there can be more downside. However there will be support provided by the Mid-Channel support which is near 22263. If this support is broken further supports might be near 22129 (Trend line Support) or Father Line 200 Hours EMA near 22057. Resistances on the upper side for Nifty will be 50 Hours EMA 22337, 22410 and 22462. Shadow of the candles today looks negative today.
Nifty showing strong undercurrent of positive bias. Although various local and global Micro news and trends were indicative of Nifty rally fizzling out or making a top a strong undercurrent due to strong Macro factors is continuously providing undercurrent of positive bias to the Nifty and it keeps bouncing after every attempt to sell off. It will be interesting to see how much the Bull-Run can sustain further with elections and pre-election buzz starting to make itself more and more visible. Nifty supports remain at: 22436, 22325, 22263, 22129 and finally 22018. Nifty Resistances will be near: 22523, 22688 and finally 22854 which looks like a top of the current channel.
Navigating Volatility: Positional Strategies for MarchWork religiously irrespective of temporary failures, have risk management systems in place
As a seasoned derivatives trader with over a decade of experience, I find myself continuously drawn to the dynamic nature of the market. Inspired by familial ties and fueled by a passion for challenge, my journey into this realm began with humble internships and has evolved into a successful career within reputable broking firms. Today, I stand firm in my enthusiasm for derivatives, where each trading session offers renewed excitement and abundant opportunities for growth.
Futures and options are highly volatile so one should not assume that they know everything from day one. My journey has seen a fair amount of ups and downs, but it has all been a great learning experience at the end of the day.
The most important thing is that I have been willing to learn something new every day. I also make sure to have risk management systems in place before taking a position. This makes losses bearable and the victories more joyous.
Advice to women who want financial freedom and are very excited to enter the derivative field?
Continue working your way religiously irrespective of temporary failures. Maintain discipline and do a lot of preparation before entering the markets. Learn to embrace the fact that one bad day or one wrong trade does not define the rest of the year, if you have been disciplined.
Expect the Nifty 50 climbing above 23,000 in March after reading options data?
As per my analysis, I was looking at Nifty targets till 22,500 – 22,800 first. Any further correction or upside will be re-evaluated then.
Top two positional bets for March and why?
Since volatility is at its peak now, a good balance approach is important. Hence, my first pick would be as a defence play:
Buy Dabur India with a support at Rs 525-520 zones and look for upside targets till Rs 585/600.
Buy Glenmark Pharma with a support of Rs 920 and target of Rs 1,020/1,035.
Nifty or Bank Nifty strategy for next week?
FIIs net long position as on date is at 40 percent, which is quite steady. If it crosses 45 percent, then a strong short covering rally can come which will propel markets to a new highs and Nifty can test 23,000.
Bank Nifty is also on a strong momentum and can move towards 49,500/50,000 zones from here. We have been recommending largecap private banks and PSUs to our clients on a regular basis, and I still feel Axis Bank and SBI can see further meaningful upside from here in the March series.
The other sectors participating strongly now are chemicals, FMCG, technology, energy. So, I retain my view to go long in Tata Power, Reliance Industries, SRF, GNFC, Infosys, and Birlasoft.
For option traders, Bull Call spread on Nifty monthly expiry with 22,500 CE buy and 23,100 CE sell can be done (do not forget to keep stop losses as per risk appetite).
A Bull Call spread comprises buying one Call option with a lower strike price and simultaneously selling a Call option with a higher strike price.
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Implementing a stop-loss strategy to mitigate potential losses in case of adverse market movements.
Position Sizing: Adhering to proper position sizing principles to ensure risk is managed effectively and in line with overall portfolio objectives.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, my journey into derivatives has been marked by challenges, opportunities, and unwavering passion. As I continue to navigate the intricacies of this dynamic realm, I remain committed to embracing the unpredictability of each trading day, knowing that therein lies the potential for continued success and growth.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Traders should conduct their own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Shadow of the candles turning a shade negativeNifty is fluctuating between Trend line 1 and Trend line 2 in the below chart. Trend line 1 forms the resistance and trend line 2 forms the support of Nifty. There is also a line in the middle of the two lines which will provide additional minor support for Nifty. The support for Nifty from here will be present at 22293, 22241 (50 Hours EMA support), 22061 and finally 221974. Below 21974 bears will try to seize the momentum of Nifty. Resistance for Nifty will be at 22433, 22469, 22512, 22604 and 22719 (Trend top resistance). Right now Nifty is in little bit of a correction/consolidation mode after hitting the trend top.