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Nifty50

Nifty in search of bottom. As it was expected Nifty plummeted further in search of bottom. Nifty closed at 23085 which is near a fragile support of 23057. It does not look likely that The reasons for the fall are various as explained in the previous posts. Some of reasons being constant selling of FIIs under the guise risk free return available in US debt market in addition to other value buying options emerging in other developing markets. Nifty valuations have seen reasonable correction now buying can emerge slowly in next 1 to 4 weeks as per my understanding. Dollar is at valuations that are hardly justified and once the correction in Dollar starts we will see FIIs returning to Indian markets. The bottom support levels are at 23057, 22800, 22421, 21783, 21294 and finally 20813 region. It will be interesting to see which of these levels emerge as a firm bottom from where Nifty can bounce back. Resistances for Nifty now seem to be at 23359, 23690 (Father Line Resistance), 23938, 24060 (Mother Line Resistance), 24525, 24948, 25379, 25782 and finally 26277. Once previous ATH is crossed we will see new highs in Nifty hopefully within this year in the range of 27 or 28K. As of now little bit of pain still remains in the market. Nifty is already in the EXTREME FEAR ZONE AT 23.30. Long term investors can start value buying. (As per Ticker tape). Extreme fear zone (<30) suggests a good time to open fresh positions as markets are likely to be oversold and might turn upwards. Extreme greed zone (>70) suggests to be cautious in opening fresh positions as markets are overbought and likely to turn downwards. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
ShortFor the past three months, I’ve been closely monitoring the market, anticipating a downturn ever since the formation of the Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern. As predicted, the market has indeed experienced a decline. A decisive close below the 20,080 level would likely trigger an accelerated sell-off, pushing the market towards the next key support zone around 21,900. Looking ahead, there’s a strong possibility of a deeper correction, with a potential drop towards the 19,200 range in the coming weeks or months. This correction could present an opportunity for those who are prepared to enter at more favorable levels. It’s crucial to recognize that the current market environment is a classic trap for speculators. The temptation to jump in and chase market moves, especially during volatile periods, can lead to poor entry points and significant losses. Patience is key; it’s far more advantageous to wait for optimal buying levels rather than succumbing to the urge to act impulsively. The most prudent approach now is to stay disciplined, avoid chasing rallies, and instead look for solid entry points when the market shows signs of stabilizing. Risk management should be a top priority, and investors should always be prepared for potential volatility and unexpected market movements. In these types of conditions, making informed decisions based on solid technical analysis and market structure is critical, rather than getting swayed by short-term noise or emotions. The market will offer opportunities in time, but it’s essential to remember that timing and patience often make the difference between success and failure in volatile markets.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by Shivkumar600
LongThe market has recently experienced a strong rally, successfully completing a W pattern, signaling a bullish reversal. However, given the recent momentum, it is likely that we could see some pullbacks in the near term as the market consolidates. Additionally, the Nifty has shown signs of weakness which could contribute to further corrections. Once a stable bottom is established after this pullback, it would present an ideal opportunity to build long positions. With the broader bullish trend intact and the W pattern indicating a potential continuation, targeting 3800 could be a realistic goal for the next phase of the rally. This target aligns with the measured move from the W pattern, and if the market resumes its upward trajectory, reaching 3800 would seem plausible.
NSE:LUPINLong
by Shivkumar600
#Nifty50 What Lies Ahead for Nifty & S&p500,13-17th Jan 2025The Nifty Index experienced a sharp decline this week, closing at 23,431, a significant 570 points below the previous week's close. While the index reached a high of 24,089, it ultimately succumbed to selling pressure, finding support at 23,344. As forecasted, the Nifty traded within the predicted range of 24,500 to 23,300. For the upcoming week, I anticipate the index to remain confined within a range of 23,950 to 22,900 . Given the prevailing bearish sentiment, a potential short-term bounce could unfold next week to lure in unsuspecting buyers before a renewed downward move. Historically, whenever the Nifty has breached the support of the 50-week Exponential Moving Average (WEMA50), it has typically undergone a 5-6% correction. Based on the current level of 23,431, the Nifty may find crucial support near the 22,200-22,400 zone. Turning to the US markets, the S&P 500 found support at the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (DEMA100) level of 5,817 and closed at 5,827. The upcoming week will be pivotal. If the S&P 500 successfully defends the 5,807 low, a potential rally towards the 5,926-5,944 range could materialize. However, a weekly close below the 5,800 mark would signal a significant bearish turn for global markets, potentially triggering a deeper correction towards the 5,637 or even 5,504 levels. Wishing readers a very happy Lohri and Makar Sakranti.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by ssudhirsharma11
Nifty looking weak after closing below Mid-channel. Nifty looking very weak after closing below Mid-channel support and 50 weeks EMA Mother line support. Mother line support or the 50 Week EMA was at 23442 and the closing we got is at 23431. If Nifty does not recover quickly and claims the Mid-Channel and 50 Weeks EMA, we might be in for more fall with supports at 23273, 22800 (Major Support Zone). If we get a weekly closing below 22800 we will fall totally into bear territory. In such a scenario bears can drag Nifty further down to 22025, 21294 or even near channel bottom of 20813. 20813 will again be a major Parallel chanel bottom support. Resistances on the upper side will be at 23442, 23938, 24525 and 24948 before we can reclaime 25K levels. Later in the year when we get a closing above 25K levels we may again face the 25782, 26277 previous Nifty peak will be major resistances. Nifty channel top post recovery seems to be at 27255. We may reach there in hopefully by mid or end H2 2025. Value Investors can start looking out for bottom fishing and value buying opportunities specially in the Large and selective mid and small caps. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
NIFTY Best buy opportunity before +20% rise.The Nifty 50 Index (NIFTY) has been trading within a Channel Up every since the June 2022 market bottom of the Inflation Crisis. Last week it broke below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since March 27 2023 and this week touched the bottom of the Channel Up. As long as it closes the 1W candle inside the Channel Up, the trend will technically remain bullish. The standard rally of the previous Bullish Legs has been +20%. As a result, we can remain bullish for now and target 27500 (just below the +20% mark). If it closes a week below the Channel Up, we may very well see further technical correction until it either hits the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) or the 1W RSI gets bearish below 40.00 towards the bottom of its 3-year Rectangle. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NSE:NIFTYLong
by TradingShot
Levels to watch out As of January 2025, the intrinsic value of the stock is estimated to be approximately 4,137.50 per share, based on fundamental analysis and available data. With the current market price hovering around 4,130, the stock is trading just below its intrinsic value, suggesting that it is fairly priced at the moment. For investors seeking attractive entry points, prices around 3,900 could offer a discount to the intrinsic value, presenting an opportunity to buy at a potentially undervalued level. This price range could be seen as a good long-term investment opportunity, assuming the company continues to perform well and the market remains favorable. Furthermore, for those with a more conservative approach or seeking a greater margin of safety, prices near 3,300 could represent a deeper undervaluation.
NSE:HEROMOTOCOLong
by Shivkumar600
Levels to watch out As of January 2025, the intrinsic value of the stock is estimated to be approximately 4,137.50 per share, based on fundamental analysis and available data. With the current market price hovering around 4,130, the stock is trading just below its intrinsic value, suggesting that it is fairly priced at the moment. For investors seeking attractive entry points, prices around 3,900 could offer a discount to the intrinsic value, presenting an opportunity to buy at a potentially undervalued level. This price range could be seen as a good long-term investment opportunity, assuming the company continues to perform well and the market remains favorable. Furthermore, for those with a more conservative approach or seeking a greater margin of safety, prices near 3,300 could represent a deeper undervaluation.
NSE:HEROMOTOCOLong
by Shivkumar600
Another ratio chart : NIFTY 50 vs S&P 500Another ratio chart. Today we look at the performance of India NIFTY50 vs US S&P 500 on a weekly basis. IN this ratio chart all the 50-, 100- and 200-day SMA are below the short term 20 DMA. Prior tops can act as support as indicated by the red arrows. The estimate is that the chart will consolidate here, and the future direction will be determined by the US Dollar. Please watch out for DXY. Will it break above the recent ATH from Oct 2022 of 113 (blue arrow) or breakdown before reaching the top? This will determine the direction of Nifty 50 vs S&P 500.
NSE:NIFTY
by RabishankarBiswal
Prospects of Further downside in Nifty hanging by the thread. Pretty bad closing by Nifty today which has further downside in Nifty hanging by the thread. As you can see we are near the bottom of the pennant structure. If the downside is broken by any chance possibility of further downside can not be ruled out. However if the support of today's low is maintained possibility of upside will open up. Silver lining in the cloud is DII being on buying side and RSI has take an upward turn with closing above yellow line. The supports for Nifty now are at 23463 Bollinger lower band support, 23380 and 23365 (Final Support). Resistances on the upper side for Nifty are at 23682 (Bollinger mid band), 23722 (Mother line resistance), 23787 (Bollinger upper band), 23889 and finally 23980 (Father line resistance). Above 23980 closing the door for further up side will open. With Medium term targets being at 24073, 24103, 24232, 24302 and finally 24401. Above 24401 closing Bulls can jump back to business. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
LongThe intrinsic value of Reliance Industries is currently estimated at ₹2,481, while the stock is trading significantly lower at ₹1,250. This presents a compelling opportunity for long-term investors, I am long at ₹1,220. Given the strong market capitalization of Reliance and its impressive track record of growth and performance over the years, these current levels appear to be an attractive entry point. As the company continues to expand its footprint in sectors like telecommunications, energy, retail, and digital services, the stock is poised for substantial long-term appreciation. For investors looking to build or add to their positions, the current price levels offer a promising opportunity to accumulate shares at a discount to its intrinsic value, with a potential upside towards ₹2,481 in the medium to long term.
NSE:RELIANCELong
by Shivkumar600
longThe outlook for this automotive giant looks extremely promising, especially with the future of the electric vehicle (EV) market in the next 5 years. As EV adoption continues to accelerate globally, this company is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for sustainable transportation solutions. I am currently long at 750 and have a plan to add more to my position if the market pulls back from its current levels. Should we see a dip, I believe it presents a valuable opportunity to accumulate more shares at favorable prices. With the increasing shift toward electric vehicles, the company’s strong market presence and technological advancements should drive substantial growth. Holding for new highs over the next several months and years seems a solid strategy, as the long-term potential remains strong in an evolving, green-focused automotive landscape.
NSE:TATAMOTORSLong
by Shivkumar600
longThe market has recently bounced from the 50% retracement level, presenting a great opportunity for investors to enter long positions. This pullback has created an attractive entry point for those looking to position themselves for future gains. I am currently long at 2,700, with a positive outlook for the coming months and years. If the market experiences any further drops from the current levels, the 2,400 range also provides a solid entry opportunity. This level could act as strong support, offering an ideal spot to accumulate more positions at favorable prices.
NSE:COLPALLong
by Shivkumar600
long Investors should monitor these key levels as potential entry points for long positions, especially if you're positioning for the next bull run. It’s crucial to time your buys carefully and maintain a balanced approach when building long positions. Start accumulating gradually as these levels offer a good risk-to-reward ratio, but be mindful of the market's volatility. Personally, I’m long at 4,700 and looking for further opportunities to scale in as the market develops. Keep an eye on price action around these zones and consider dollar-cost averaging to manage risk effectively.
NSE:BRITANNIALong
by Shivkumar600
Parallel Channel hourly candles suggests Nifty is delicate zone.Parallel Channel of Nifty suggest that we are in delicate zone with shadow of the candle being positive. Nifty has thrice taken support on the channel bottom as you can see in the chart. A strong support zone for Nifty is seeing strong buying emerging near the channel bottom. This strong support zone is between 23509 and 23263. The Three important resistances however are not allowing Nifty to grow further. These 3 resistance are: 1) Mother line resistance near 23775. 2) Father and trend line combine resistance near 24010. 3) Third important resistance for Nifty to conquer will be near 24288 which is the mid channel resistance. When we will get a closing above 24288 the Bull can breath a little easy and try and push Nifty upwards towards 24510, 24779 or even above 25K. The zone between 25033 and 25200 will again be a tough zone to conquer as the Nifty will again hit the top of the parallel channel. Conclusion: All is good till we do not get a closing below 23K levels. Below 23K levels weekly closing Bears will have position to overpower the market and drag Nifty further down. For long term investors this is good opportunity to invest big go long and hold on. Today ONGC, Reliance, ITC, Asian Paints, Dr Reddy, Wipro and TCS are the few large cap stocks which saw buying. The laggards for Nifty today were Apollo Hospitals, Trent, Shriram Finance, Bajaj Auto, ultratech and few other Large cap stocks. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Fibonacci Support & Resistances for Nifty (Medium term outlook).Important Fibonacci support for Nifty drawn on daily line chart of Nifty is at 23349. Below 23349 closing bears can have a field day and can create havoc but that looks less likely as of now. The closing today is 23207 which is just above 200 days EMA or the father line which is a good sign. Father line was at 23700. On the upside the Fibonacci resistance for Nifty seem to be at 23902, 24170 (Important Mother line Resistance) 24236, 24467, 24780 and finally Fibonacci Golden ratio from the current levels is at 25185. It will take some doing from the Bulls to close above this level. This presents the medium time frame outlook for the Nifty. RSI indicator also seems to have taken an upward swing but mid level is yet to be crossed for that indicator. MACD indicator suggests that Moving averages are fighting hard to converge and bring back some bullish momentum into the market to infuse some life into the Bull who are trying to come out of comma. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Support, Resistance and Bollinger Band suggest limited downside.I have just drawn Supports, Resistance, Mother, Father lines and added Bollinger band to Nifty chart. The indication is limited downside for now in Nifty unless the Chinese Virus is overplayed in the market by the bears and other forces. My discussion with medical fraternity and other knowledgeable people suggest that the threat of HPMV is overplayed and mortality rates might not be as high as COVID in the recent virus outbreak. This is the information I have however I advise utmost caution would wish you to verify the information with friends in the medical field in your knowhow. Currently Bollinger band is not suggesting a heavy downside. However things will be more clear by end of this week as the market plays out. Not more than 2 to 5% (max) down side is visible to me in the short term unless there is a global catastrophe of massive order. RSI has taken a turn hopefully soon it will embark towards bullishness. Supports for Nifty Remains at: 23249, 23466, 23555. Below 23249 flood gates for further downside can open. Resistances for Nifty: 23720, 23795, 23855 (Mother line or 50 Hours EMA), 23942 (Mid-Bollinger band level), 24061 (Father line or 200 Hours EMA), 24146, 24231 and finally 24326 (Bollinger band top). Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
1
Nifty50 Trendline Retest – What’s Next for Traders?The Nifty50 is at a decisive point, retesting a key breakout level. Here's my take on the key levels to watch and how traders can approach the market Nifty50 Analysis - 5th January What's Happening? Nifty 50 is at a make-or-break point. It recently broke out of a downward trendline, which is usually a good sign for bulls, but now the index is retesting that breakout. How it reacts at these levels will set the tone for the next move. Key Levels to Watch: - Resistance Zones: - 24,222 - 24,347 - 24,528 - Support Zones: - 23,990 - 23,897 - 23,790 - 23,592 Possible Scenarios: 1. The Bullish Path: If Nifty holds above 24,057 and shows strength, we could see a move to 24,222, and if the momentum is strong enough, it might even test 24,347 or 24,528. 2. The Bearish Path: If the price drops below 23,897, things could get dicey, with the index likely heading toward 23,790 and 23,592. How to Trade This? - For the Bulls: Look for sustained buying above 24,057 to go long. Targets: 24,222, 24,347. Stop loss: Below 23,897. - For the Bears: If the price slips below 23,897, you might want to short. Targets: 23,790, 23,592. Stop loss: Above 24,057. Final Thoughts: This is one of those moments where patience pays off. Let Nifty show its hand before jumping in. Watch those key levels closely, and always trade with a plan (and a stop loss!). NSE:NIFTY Let me know your thoughts on this setup! Do you think bulls will hold, or will bears take over?
NSE:NIFTY
by thetradeforecast
1