Nifty stopped at Mid-Channel resistance of hourly channelNifty today stopped at mid-channel resistance of hourly channel. holding above 50 hours EMA (Mother Line) was a significant step in recovery towards recent high that Nifty made earlier this month. Supports for Nifty 50 remain at 21302 and 21258 (Major support - 50 hours EMA) mother line. If we get a closing next week below 21258 the Nifty can fall further to 21113 or 20980 levels. Trend can change to negative if we get a closing below 20777. Bear can awaken from coma if and only if we get a closing below 20641 (200 Hours EMA)(Father Line). Resistances on the way up will be at 20397, 21483 and previous high around 21593.
Nifty50
Possibility of V shaped recovery for NiftyNifty staged a good recovery. There is a further possibility of V shaped recovery for Nifty if it manages to close above critical resistance level of 21322. If we get a closing above 21322 tomorrow and there is no further bad news regarding COVID or some international factor in the weekend the next resistance levels will be 21418 and 21483. Final resistance before we reach 21600 will be at 21952. Support levels on the lower side for Nifty will be at 21231 (50 Hours EMA), 21113, 20980 recent low and finally channel bottom of 20849. If we get a closing later in the month below 20849 the Nifty can fall to 20172 and 20591. Closing below 20591 will be a trend change to negative. For morning as of now the things are looking good.
Reasonsing the fall support resistance levels of Nifty. Detection of New Covid variant set the panic button rolling. There has to be a reason for overbought market to fall. This news created panic or it was used to create panic. We never know for certain how big this will be. Everyone wants to be cautious.
The markets were overbought on charts. FIIs were sitting on handsome Profits and Christmas time they usually encash the same to book profits. Show it in the account books. Usually they book Profits around this time / year end (Financial year end in the West). Show the profit where ever and if they want to / have to. Hence they book Profit.
Also there is periodic churning and sectoral rotation. Which is necessary in my opinion even for the long term investors. Lot of Large cap stocks did not suffer / did not suffer as much as the small and mid cap stocks. We have been vocal about sectoral rotation towards Large and selective Mid/Small cap stocks since long time.
RSI / MACD (Relative Strength Index/ Moving Averages Convergence and Divergence ) were indicating since last few days that markets are overbought. Hence correction on Technical grounds was also necessary for fresh leg of rally.
What Next? Invest in fundamentally strong stocks which are looking good on chart. Booking losses is also part of the investment journey if required. (Specially if stop losses are hit). When to buy? Do not catch a falling knife. Catch the bouncing ball. Let the stock you like the most confirm their bottom. Bounce from the bottom and then you buy them.
Market is always a mystery. If you look at FII DII numbers today. DII were buying the dip. You never know for sure when the market will turn exactly. This fall should have happened 10/15 days back. But in one day market can cover what it could have done in 10 days. In One day it can come back with a bang tomorrow.
We should always follow the individual chart of the company. Book Profit where every we can periodically at least partial profit booking can be done. No one has gone broke in the world by booking profits. Sectoral rotation at times is also beneficial.
As far as support and resistance levels are concerned.
Nifty Support Levels: 21097, 21032 and 20849 are the supports. (20849 is rather a strong support). If 20849 is broken Nifty can fall further to 200 Hours EMA at 20546.
Resistance Levels: 21236 (Strong resistance) followed by 21322 and 21483. 21593 (high of the current rally will me a major resistance now).
Wait for the bounce do not buy the dip in a hurry.
Positive sentiment dragging Nifty further. Daily Chart of Nifty 50 suggests us that Nifty has hit the resistance zone. The zone between 21505 and 21665 is a resistance zone and has multiple resistances. Nifty continues as on date to be overbought. The reason of Nifty not falling is support from FII buying and multiple technical supports between 21352 and 21246. If 21246 is broken Nifty can fall to 21037 or even 20776 levels. 20776 should be considered a major support. If by chance we see a closing Below 20776 bears will get out of comma and can try to drag Nifty to 20502 or even 20178 levels. This should be the range of Nifty for the next 15 days to 1 month. Momentum of Nifty remains strong as on date and every dip is being bought. Such stage can lead to euphoria and investors getting trapped at higher levels. One needs to be very choosy in selecting the scripts while investing as always but more so in the stage of rally we are currently.
Nifty exactly at Mid-Channel support looking to confirm bottom. Nifty RSI cooled rapidly and the index currently is exactly at Mid-channel support line. This line can act as a support but incase we do not get a green candle to start the day tomorrow the next support for Nifty will be near 21368 strong support followed by 21295 and 21237. If 21237 is broken Nifty can fall further to 21155, 21117 or even 21082. If some negative global news or the fear of New Covid Variant create panic and in case we get a closing below 21082 there is a chance of Bears trying to make a come back. Resistances on the upper side are at 21460, 21498 and finally 21546. The rally can for a top near 21604 if it has not formed a top already.
35% fall incoming for Nifty?This is just my speculation on how Nifty 50 will perform for the next few months.
As per my technical analysis, if Nifty hits ATH (~19000) in the very near time, then there is a chance for our market to go down from there. Either its 20%(~15000) fall or 35% (~12500).
Why?
1. RSI indicates a divergence.
2. Price will be testing the main resistance for the third time after the covid recession.
3. I just need one more confirmation (red triangle) from the nadaraya indicator as shown in the graph at the top level (ATH maybe), to close my holdings.
As of now, I'm in the side of 20% fall. 35% fall may or may not happen.
And one more to add up, the recent fall in US made it to reach the pre-covid level. Whereas our market haven't gone through a healthy correction yet (to the pre-covid level), which is still a worrying factor.
I expect Reliance and Banking stocks will drag the market down to pre-covid levels. Reliance weekly chart is too week for me, keep watching 2600 level.
P.S : Its not based on Fundamentals!
Nifty is a Runaway Train on Steroid. As Predicted post FOMC Rate Pause decision and a murmur of rate rate cuts starting in 2024. Nifty got a steroid dose as expected and became a run away train. May be there is some more momentum left in the rally and a good close in the green to end the week will be icing on the cake. The resistances on the upper side of Nifty will be near 21212, 21266 and finally 21312. Closing above 21312 will open the channel going towards 22300+. Supports for Nifty on the lower side will be at 21125, 21074, 21040, 20953 and 20901. Trend can change below 21769. Right now momentum looks good but some consolidation cooling down of Index can also be helpful for the long run.
Nifty has taken support at 50EMA and can go towards new ATHIt looks Like RSI on Nifty Hourly chart has cooled down and is set for another rally. Once the Nifty and if the Nifty is able to cross 20946 and close above it on hourly candle, we may see Nift rise towards 21026, 21125 or even 21254 within a short span of time. Supports for Nifty on the lower side are 20867, 20813 and 20763.
Profit booking ahead of FOMC meet was expected. Profit booking in the market ahead of FOMC meet of US Fed was expected. There is a widespread noise of US Fed raising the rates by 25bps in the worst case 50bps. Market has today factored in 25 bps rate hike. However if there is a surprise tomorrow market can tank further. A positive surprise no no rate hike can again reignite the rally. All eyes on US Fed now. Supports for Nifty from this level are at 20867, 20796 to 20708 (will be strong support zone), 20605 and finally 20506. Resistances on the upper side are at 21026(Strong Resistance), 21125 and finally 21254 will be the top of current hourly parallel channel.
Nifty holding above 20900 is a good sign but one dip is overdue Nifty holding above 20900 is a good sign but one dip towards 20500 or 19900 is overdue now. The RSI is indicating overbought zone requiring a time consolidation or correction. In case of correction the supports for Nifty will be around 20851, 20708, 20506 (Strong Support), 20259 or 19903 (Major Support). If Nifty manages to close below 19903 this month Bears can write their own comeback story. Resistances on the upper side are at 21026, 21292 and 21436. Long Term Target for Nifty in 2024 will be 22746.
Long Term Channel for Medium Term RangeThe Channel drawn shows Nifty from the pre-Covid era and covers major global events like Covid fall, post covid Nifty rally, Ukraine war, India-China standoff on border, US Fed rate hike cycle due to global inflation and recent crisis in the Middle East. Amongst all these news Nifty kept on growing and correcting and then growing again proving that the story of India remains intact. The Range in which it looks like Nifty will trade in the coming few months will be optimistically 22K to 18.9K. (18.9K is the worst case scenario in case there is some global mishap of major magnitude).
Nifty Intraday Levels for 8 Dec 2023
I am sharing crucial NSE:NIFTY levels that serve as significant support and resistance points for intraday trading. To execute trades based on these levels, wait for a 15-minute candle closing above them. You can employ both breakout and reversal strategies in your trading approach.
This channel is dedicated to sharing my expertise in trading strategies, technical analysis, and market trends. My goal is to assist you in making well-informed decisions throughout your trading endeavours.
Stay tuned for daily updates, comprehensive market analyses, and real-time trading scenarios. Witness firsthand our journey from novice to expert in the trading world. My sole objective is to empower you with the knowledge and skills needed to navigate the intricacies of financial markets successfully.
Identified through price action, major support and resistance levels are marked with lines as resistances and supports. If the price breaches a support or resistance, it is likely to move towards the next corresponding level.
Important Note: These levels are intended for intraday trading purposes only.
Disclaimer: All information provided on this page is for educational purposes. We are not SEBI Registered. Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for personalised advice before making any investment decisions. We are not responsible for any profits or losses incurred.
Your support and engagement are appreciated. Kindly like, comment, and follow to show encouragement.
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www.tradingview.com
Unlocking Profit Potential: TORNTPHARM Analysis 🚀In the thrilling world of trading, decoding charts can be as exciting as a rollercoaster ride. Buckle up, we're about to unravel the secrets of TORNTPHARM.
📊 Current Positioning of TORNTPHARM
Currently, TORNTPHARM is perched near the 75-minute zone (LTF). On the intermediate timeframe (ITF), it basks in the daily demand zone, close to the daily 20EMA, with an upward trend. Zooming out to the higher timeframe (HTF), the weekly chart reveals it's in a weekly demand zone after reaching all-time highs.
The 75-minute demand zone is of the RBR type – Rally Base Rally. Plan your entry just above this zone, set the stop loss below, and target the 75-minute supply zone. The risk-to-reward ratio is an impressive 1:5.
🔍 Interpreting the Time Frames
LTF (Lower Time Frame): Timeframe for executing trades.
ITF (Intermediate Time Frame): Where we identify the overall trend.
HTF (Higher Time Frame): Timeframe for location analysis.
Lastly, remember, this analysis is for educational purposes only, and I am not a SEBI registered analyst
Much needed consolidation for Nifty at the top.Nifty is giving a much needed consolidation at the top before shifting gears and moving towards 21K or even 22K in the short to medium term. The Relative Strength Index of Nifty is still 82 which indicates things are pretty hot to handle still and need of more cooling down. Little bit of consolidation/correction would be ideal for a strong rally. But as said earlier market can remain irrational more than a an investor can remain rational. Closing of the week tomorrow will be important. Supports on the lower side remain at 20852 (Strong support), 20715, 20518 and 20315. Resistance on the upper side are at 20961, 21068, 21132 and 21183.
Nifty is Overbought currently in need of consolidation.With 21K in touching distance, Nifty is Overbought currently in need of consolidation or I dare say, little correction. However there is also a Hammer candle formation towards the top also indicates there might be some strength left in the rally on the back of Fresh spree of FII buying. Resistances on the upper side before we reach 21K is today's high 20961. With the closing that we received earlier this week. The long term channel towards 22K+ is also open now. Supports on the lower side are near 20852, 20715, 20518 and 20315.
NIFTY Important levels for today 6 Dec 2023
NSE:NIFTY Important levels for today 6 Dec 2023
I am sharing crucial NIFTY levels that serve as significant support and resistance points for intraday trading. To execute trades based on these levels, wait for a 15-minute candle closing above them. You can employ both breakout and reversal strategies in your trading approach.
This channel is dedicated to sharing my expertise in trading strategies, technical analysis, and market trends. My goal is to assist you in making well-informed decisions throughout your trading endeavours.
Stay tuned for daily updates, comprehensive market analyses, and real-time trading scenarios. Witness firsthand our journey from novice to expert in the trading world. My sole objective is to empower you with the knowledge and skills needed to navigate the intricacies of financial markets successfully.
Identified through price action, major support and resistance levels are marked with lines as resistances and supports. If the price breaches a support or resistance, it is likely to move towards the next corresponding level.
Important Note: These levels are intended for intraday trading purposes only.
Disclaimer: All information provided on this page is for educational purposes. We are not SEBI Registered. Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for personalised advice before making any investment decisions. We are not responsible for any profits or losses incurred.
Your support and engagement are appreciated. Kindly like, comment, and follow to show encouragement.
Navigating Infosys: A Trade Insight
Currently, Infosys is making its way down to a 15-minute Demand Zone. Let's unpack this potential trade:
Zone Quality Check 🕒:
The 15-minute Demand Zone Infosys is approaching exhibits notable strength, characterized by a robust follow-through. This suggests a compelling setup for potential trades.
Intermediate Frame Exploration 🔄:
Zooming out to the 75-minute Intermediate Time Frame (ITF), Infosys finds itself comfortably within the zone, with the trend pointing upward. This aligns well with the broader context.
Daily Location Analysis 📊:
Shifting to the daily timeframe, which acts as our higher time frame (HTF) for location analysis, we find Infosys trading in an affordable area. This positioning enhances the appeal of the trade execution.
Trade Execution Plan 🎯:
Here's the plan:
- Entry: Enter at the 15-minute Demand Zone or slightly above AROUND 1445.
- Stop Loss: Place it below the 15-minute Demand Zone.
- Target: Aim for a minimum risk-to-reward ratio of 1:3.
🚀 Trade Insight:
This trade aligns well with the strength of the 15-minute Demand Zone, the upward trend in the 75-minute timeframe, and Infosys' affordable position on the daily chart.
📝 Note: This analysis is for educational purposes only. I'm not a SEBI registered analyst.
Trade Smart, Execute Confidently! 💹✨
After a Mega Breakout Nifty Faces Major Fibonacci Resistance. After a Mega Breakout Nifty Faces Major Fibonacci Resistance in the coming days. This resistance is at 20720. Once we get a closing above 20720 channel going towards 22000 will open. Since Nifty may face consolidation / Profit booking in the coming days the supports for Nifty will remain near 20518 and 20021. 19659 will be the level closing below which bull run might end.