Nifty on a record breaking spree approaches another channel top.Nifty again had a breathless run today and closed at 26216 after making a new all time high of 26250. the scope of growing further looks limited but with lot of large caps picking up pace and rotation from mid cap and small cap stocks towards large caps is helping the Nifty move further. FIIs and DIIs are both on a buying again probably indicating a move towards large caps. Heroes of the day today were Maruti Suzuki, Grasim and Tata Motors along with Bajaj Twins, M&M and Shriram Finance. Large cap banks did not much much but are not relenting as well. The parallel Channel indicates the channel top near 26443 with resistances at 26250 and 26338. Supports for Nifty is near 26029. Again the zone between 25865 and 25812 will be the most significant support as this zone contains the mid channel support along with Mother line support. The rally can turn bearish (Looks less likely as of now but you never say never) below 25282. Shadow of the candles look neutral to positive as of now.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Nifty50
After making new ATH is it the time for consolidation?Three things can happen from here which usually happen when a new milestone is hit. Either Nifty can consolidate for a while, Either it can test supports till it find it's feet or it can fly ahead further. We should be prepared for either of the three happening. The best way for doing it is look forward to get new highs with feet on the ground. Feet on the ground will be having stop losses and trailing stop losses for your trade in place. Support level for Nifty are at 25863, 25668, Mother line (50 hours EMA) support of 25639, 25528, 25336 or even 200 hours EMA which is at 25170. The support zone between 25668 and 25639 is pretty strong. Resistances on the upper side are 26011 and 26114. Shadow of the candle is neutral to positive.
Swing Trade Set UPA simple, Swing Trade Set UP. Often it is simple trade setup that make lots of money. This is one such set up. Here trend is captured with alignment of MA's . 3 MAs are plotted EMA-10, EAM-21 and SMA 50. To pick the trend, first condition is EMA-10 > EMA-21 > SMA 50. Second condition is price above all these MAs. In the chart it is marked wherever this occurred.
Now to make entry you have to wait till the stock out performs the Index. It can be captured through plotting a indicator named RS or Relative strength. use Bench mark index as #NIFTY50 or #CNX500.
You can see that there are areas where MAs aligned but RS was negative and trend failed. But when all these aligned price moved up nicely. You can exit the trade on deceive break of EMA 21 or SMA 50.
Try this on many charts and lean the nuance before making actual trade.
Nifty starting to enter the over heated zone. Nifty starting to enter the overheated zone. May not be overbought as of now but certainly it is close to that. Right from here or after going a little higher, Nifty can take a plunge in search of the immediate support or bottom. For now, the resistances for Nifty are at Today's high of 25956. Post That Nifty can face resistances at 26071, 26204 and 26432. Supports for Nifty remain at 25853, 25611, 25343 and 25106 final support for Nifty will be at 24808.
HDFC BANKTechnicals:
1) HDFC Bank share was in a range for almost 3.8 years.
2) Despite seven previous attempts, the price failed to close above the trend line, but on the eighth attempt, it successfully closed above it.
DISCLAIMER: Strictly for discussion purposes only, not for making investment decisions.
Fibonacci resistance acts up but can it stop Nifty?With lot of large caps picking up pace and delivering this week, Nifty has broke a lot of shackles and had a free run specially on Friday. Can it gallop further is the question.
Nifty certainly can as large caps are acting up to the task. Companies like M&M, Kotak Mahindra, HDFC Bank, Bajaj Twins and even Maruti Suzuki and lot of other large caps are supporting it. On Friday PSUs, Mid-cap, Small-caps and other sectors such as defence which had become laggards are also trying to turn positive but word of caution here is that important fibonacci resistance level of 25852 has come into play now. The same is also the trend top. This means 25852 will be difficult to cross. If at all that is crossed next Fibonacci resistance will be at 25951. Support levels for Nifty will be at 25684, 25615, 25551 and 25494 levels.
Trade cautiously with proper stop losses and trailing stop losses in place specially in case of Mid and Small cap stocks.
IDEAFORGE TECHNOLOGY LONG TERM VIEWIDEAFORGE TECHNOLOGY LTD is forming a Double Bottom Pattern and a channel pattern within the double bottom formation as well.
Entry is given at 712
Stop Loss is given at 556
Targets are as follows:
Target 1-886
Target 2-1056
Target 3-1260
Target 4-1345
(These targets will be achieved within 2 years from the date of entry)
NOTE:- This view is purely based on Technical Analysis and is for educational purposes only.
Please consult your Financial Advisor Before taking any trade.
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 20/09/2024BUY ABOVE - 25490
SL - 25410
TARGETS - 25490,25550,25610
SELL BELOW - 25380
SL - 25440
TARGETS - 25310,25240,24190
NO TRADE ZONE - 25380 to 25490
Previous Day High - 25610
Previous Day Low - 25380
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
After making a new high Nifty finds temporary bottom. There was an immense bout of profit booking specially in the mid and small cap stocks decimation happened in PSU stocks. Many of these stocks are near important support levels now. Many seem to have taken support today. Nifty itself took support today near 25376. Looks like this was a strong support below which is another important mother line support of 25322. To know more about Mother, Father and Small Child theory read my book available on Amazon in Kindle and paperback version. Below 25322 the important support levels will be 25278, 25134 and 25008. However as support of 25376 has been taken for now things look little rosy to start the day with resistance levels will be 25485, 25533, 25611 and channel top now is at 25712.
Flag and Pole Breakout is not taking of as on date. Since Flag and pole breakout there are chances that even though 50 bps rate cut has been announced by US FED there are chances of Nifty trying to retest some supports. Today Nifty tested 50 hours EMA Mother line. But there is a chance that it may test the support again. If Mother line 25282 does not support again like today there is a chance of Nifty testing further supports which are near 25203, 25135 or even 25027. Resistances on the upper side will be near 25407, 25485, 25533 and 25607. As of now shadow of the candle is negative or red in colour. But if 50 EMA gives support the things can turn positive again. Expect some volatility in the coming days.
NIFTY INTRADAY ANALYSIS FOR 19/09/2024BUY ABOVE - 25380
SL - 25310
TARGETS - 25440,25500,25580
SELL BELOW - 25310
SL - 25380
TARGETS - 25240,24190,24130
NO TRADE ZONE - 25310 to 25380
Previous Day High - 25500
Previous Day Low - 25310
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement
HAPPY TRADING 👍
NIFTY Podcast 17 Sep 2024Today, only 1 trade was taken.
- Initially the market was sideways, as 5m candles closed both below and above Opening Price - 25409
- The OI data was positive, but 2 departments were Bullish, so after taking look at the closer look at the strikes 25400 and 25450, the Put Writers increased, which gave us confidence to take the trade.
- The risk to reward wasn't 1:1, instead the target was Thick line, and with 5 points buffer the target was 25441
Notes:
- In such sideways market, it would be better to take Short Selling Price Action strategy to aim for 1% target and 1% stoploss.
Flag formation in Nifty indicates some strength but be cautious Flag formation in Nifty indicates some strength but be cautious as there might be chances of profit booking at higher levels. The Fibonacci levels drawn based on previous peaks indicate the next resistance between 25449 and 25493. If 25493 is crossed and we get a closing above it there is a possibility of a rally upto 25600 or 25698 levels. This will be a resistance which will be very tough to conquer for now. The support for nifty in case the Flag and pole formation break out fails will be at 25333 and 25270. Mother line support of 50 hours EMA will be at 25193 which is also the mid channel support. Making it a strong dual support.
NIfty50 outlook for upcoming week 16-20th Sept 2024#nifty50 Stellar Climb:
The Nifty index has reached a new all-time high weekly close of 25,356, surpassing its previous peak of 25,433. Despite a bearish engulfing candle last week, the Nifty managed to rebound, thanks to a strong performance in the US market. As predicted, the index remained within the anticipated range of 25,500 to 24,150.
Looking Ahead:
For the coming week, I expect the Nifty to remain within the range of 25,810 to 24,750 . If the index can successfully break above the crucial Fibonacci level of 25,810 , it could potentially test 25,965 , although this may be challenging. However, below 24,750, the DEMA50 support level at 24,624 could act as a strong demand zone.
Global Market Outlook:
The S&P 500 rallied this week, driven by better-than-expected inflation data and expectations of interest rate cuts. The index closed at 5,626, just below the important Fibonacci level of 5,637. On a weekly timeframe, the S&P 500 is showing signs of forming a W pattern. If it can close above 5,637 for consecutive days, it could open the door to a significant uptrend, targeting 5,806, 5,900, and even 6,005. Such a move could propel the global market, including India's Nifty, towards new all-time high levels of 25,800 or 25,950.
However, if the S&P 500 falls below 5,535, there could be selling pressure, leading to potential support levels at 5,493, 5,390, and 5,270.
Things look rosy but keep an eye on 2 major global events. Nifty was in consolidation mode on Friday after making a new high on thursday. It seems to have found a temporary support at 25292. If this support is broken there are further supports at 25133, 24910, 24753 and finally Mother line support of 24602. If 24602 is broken bear will be seen in an active mode. however shadow of the candle as of now seems to be neutral to positive. The resistances for Nifty on the upper side are at 25433 and 25537. Channel top seems to be near 25653 and trend top or the medium term target seems to be at 26335. However Nifty will take some time, correction and consolidation before we reach there in all probability. All eyes from across the globe will be on US Fed action on 18th September. If there is no fed rate cut or only 25bps rate cut announced. Bears can attack the market from all sides, so keep a track of this most important global event next week. This is a make or break global event. Also we should be watchful of events around Russia Vs Ukraine as there was a news that US can give a green signal to long range precision made in US missiles to be used by Ukraine. If this happens it can escalate the matter into a massive global event with negative impact on global markets. Although everything seems rosy as of now. Keep a keen eye on these to major events next week or in the coming days. To guard your profit keep trailing stop losses. To protect your capital use stop loss.
Fresh Bullish Breakout in Nifty after consolidation. Nifty consolidated for a while tested new bottom near 24753 Nifty has today taken down all the resistances and made a new all time high of 25433. Nifty could not hold on to 25.4K+ levels today so the immediate resistance for Nifty will be today's high that is 25433. The next resistance is near 24537. Channel top seems to be near 25653. The door are now open for 26K+ long term target. As of now the long term target as per the trend line seems to be near 26355 with supports at 25293, 24910 and recent bottom formed near 24753. Below this level Mother line support will be near 24571 below which the trend can change bearish.