#Nifty50 analysis for upcoming week 19-23rd Aug 2024#Nifty 50 index concluded the week on a positive note, climbing 174 points to settle at 24,541. The index danced within the anticipated 25,150-23,800 range, as predicted in the previous analysis. For the upcoming week, a similar trajectory is expected, confined between 25,200 and 23,900 . A breakout from either end could ignite significant volatility.
The broader bullish trend persists on both weekly and monthly charts, offering a comforting backdrop. A decisive daily close above 24,700 would be a key indicator, potentially propelling the Nifty towards 24,860, 24,950, or even the all-time high of 25,078. However, breaching the 25,200 level appears challenging at this juncture.
The S&P 500 also mirrored a positive week, gaining 210 points to close at 5,554. Intriguingly, this settlement is near the July 26th high, a level that previously triggered selling pressure. A sustained position above 5,570 could pave the way for a move towards 5,620 or 5,637. A consecutive close above the crucial Fibonacci level of 5,637 would open doors to 5,700, 5,806, and ultimately, 6,142, potentially boosting Indian equities.
The bottom line remains unchanged: as long as the Nifty holds above the 24,000 mark, the bullish outlook prevails.
Nifty50analysis
#nifty50 analysis for upcoming week 12-16th Aug 2024The Nifty index concluded the week at 24,367, shedding 350 points from the previous close. The index touched a high of 24,419 and a low of 23,893. A global market downturn, ignited by the unwinding of yen-funded positions, sent shockwaves through financial markets worldwide.
Looking ahead, the Nifty is projected to oscillate between 25,150-23,800. A breach below the crucial 23,800 support could trigger a deeper correction towards 23,500. On the upside, 24,700 is a key resistance level to watch, representing a potential gap fill. Short-term chart patterns hint at a bullish reversal, supported by the positive outlook on weekly and monthly timeframes. Also remember next week is truncated due to 15th Aug holiday so it will be a 4 day week for Indian markets.
The S&P 500 found support near the DEMA 200. To sustain its upward momentum, the index must hold above 5,400, opening the door to potential targets at 5,433, 5,500, and 5,566. Conversely, a dip below 5,233 could reignite the downtrend, with support levels at 5,180, 5,088 (DEMA 200), and 5,016 exerting downward pressure on global markets.
Prepare for continued market volatility.
#nifty50 analysis for upcoming week 29th July-2nd Aug 2024Nifty roars to new heights, scaling a weekly peak of 24,830, a sizzling 300 points above the prior week's close. This bullish run, marked by a high of 24,861 and a low of 24,074, was anticipated by many. As predicted, the Union Budget unleashed a wave of volatility, with the Nifty diving 2% initially due to increased LTCG, STCG, and the removal of indexation benefits. Yet, the index swiftly recovered, mirroring the market's resilience.
This volatility created golden opportunities for savvy investors. Stocks like IRFC and IRB plunged by 20-30% on budget day, only to rebound sharply, indicating a rush to capitalize on these dips. Nifty has been tightly confined between 25,000 and 23,950, a range it's respected diligently. For the upcoming week, I expect a trading band of 25,400 to 24,300. A breakout from either end promises exciting fireworks.
While the daily chart shows some weakness, the weekly and monthly trends remain robust. A decisive close above 24,900 next week could ignite a rally towards 26,300. However, the looming RBI policy announcement on August 8th casts a shadow, potentially triggering another round of selling. Until then, the bullish undercurrent is likely to persist.
#Nifty50, S&P500 analysis for upcoming week 22-26th July 2024#Nifty50 ended the week flat, hovering within the predicted 25000-23950 range. Buckle up, because next week's Union Budget on July 23rd promises high volatility. Expect a wider trading range of 25250-23800. A breakout from these levels could ignite significant price movement.
Remember my July 6th blog post? It highlighted Nifty's historical correction trend around late July/early August. This year could be no different, offering a potential discount window for savvy investors to enter their favorite stocks at attractive prices. Stay prepared!
Meanwhile, the #S&P500 failed to breach a crucial resistance level (5638) and dipped 3% from its high. If it breaks below this week's low (5509), support levels at 5430/5368/5293 could be tested. A decline in the S&P 500 could also exert pressure on the Indian market.
Nifty 50 Index (NSE: NIFTY) AnalysisBased on the daily chart for the Nifty 50 Index (NSE: NIFTY), here is the summary and analysis:
Key Levels:
- Current Price: 22,488.65
- 50% Retracement Level: 22,458.10
- 61.8% Retracement Level: 22,324.60
- Target Price: 23,600
Chart Analysis:
1. Upward Trend: The chart shows an overall upward trend, with the index making higher highs and higher lows.
2. Retracement: The index is currently in a retracement phase, falling from its recent high of 22,705.75. The price has retraced to the 50% Fibonacci retracement level and is approaching the 61.8% level.
3. Support Zone: The blue shaded area represents a significant support zone between the 50% and 61.8% retracement levels. This zone could provide strong support and potential for a rebound.
Potential Scenarios:
1. Bullish Scenario:
- If the index finds support at the 50% or 61.8% retracement levels and rebounds, it could continue its upward trend towards the target price of 23,600.
- Confirmation of a bullish trend would come with a strong bounce from the support zone and a move back above the previous high of 22,705.75.
2. Bearish Scenario:
- If the index breaks below the 61.8% retracement level, it could indicate a deeper correction.
- A break below this level could lead to further downside, possibly testing lower support levels not shown in the current chart.
Trading Strategy:
1. Watch for Support: Monitor the price action closely around the 50% and 61.8% retracement levels. Look for signs of a reversal or strong buying interest in this zone.
2. Buy Position: Consider entering a long position if the index shows a strong bounce from the support zone with increasing volume and bullish candlestick patterns.
3. Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss slightly below the 61.8% retracement level to manage risk in case of a further decline.
4. Target: Aim for the target price of 23,600 for the long position.
Conclusion:
- The Nifty 50 Index is currently in a retracement phase within an overall uptrend. The 50% and 61.8% retracement levels are critical support zones to watch. A strong rebound from this zone could lead to a continuation of the upward trend towards the target of 23,600. Conversely, a break below the 61.8% level could signal further downside. Monitoring the price action and volume around these key levels will be crucial for making informed trading decisions.
NIFTY Prediction Levels, Whats Next?Here is an interesting chart of NIFTY in 15 min time frame.
I am currently in a nice profitable SHORT position. However, markets are very unpredictable around the election results, so I may lose all profits thats currently unrealized. I am willing to take that risk after coming from a 1300+ points BankNifty points gain and 600+ nifty points gain.
Let's see the firework thats gonna start soon in the market.
Disclaimer: Because election results are very near, please be careful with your position sizing.
All the best.
Technical Analysis: NIFTY 50's Recent Shifts and Future ProspectHello, TradingView community! Today, we're diving into a detailed technical analysis of the NSE:NIFTY index, which has shown some interesting movements lately. We'll break down the technical signals, look at the potential implications, and discuss what to watch out for in the coming days.
🔍 Overview of Recent Trends
The NIFTY 50 has been following a well-defined upward trend channel over the past several months, making consistent gains each time it hit the upper boundary. However, recent patterns suggest a change in dynamics, which we need to scrutinize closely.
🔁 Current Technical Setup
Most notably, the NIFTY 50 recently deviated from its usual pattern by not reaching the upper boundary of the trend channel before reversing its direction towards the lower boundary. This could be an early sign of weakening bullish momentum.
📉 Significance of the Double Top Pattern
The formation of a potential Double top, a classic bearish reversal indicator, adds weight to concerns about a bearish shift. While this pattern is not yet confirmed—since we haven't seen a definitive breakdown below the neckline—it's a development that warrants attention.
📊 Intersection with the 100-day SMA
The recent drop of -1.5% in the NIFTY 50 brought it down to the lower boundary of the trend channel, which coincidentally aligns with the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). This SMA has historically served as a strong support level, often triggering rebounds.
🔄 Potential Outcomes
Bounce Back: If the 100-day SMA and the lower boundary of the trend channel hold up, there's potential for the NIFTY 50 to rebound towards the mid or upper boundary of the channel.
Bearish Reversal: A decisive close below the 100-day SMA & Neckline of Double Top could indicate a more significant Bearish Trend or the start of a consolidation phase.
🌐 Broader Market Context
Quarterly Earnings: The index is feeling the pressure from non-impressive Q4 results for 2024. Lackluster corporate earnings can dampen investor sentiment and lead to a reevaluation of stock valuations.
Volatility Index Rise: The NSE:INDIAVIX , which measures market volatility, is on the rise. This indicates increased uncertainty among investors, as they price in a higher potential for market swings.
FII Activity: There has been significant selling by foreign institutional investors (FIIs), contributing to downward pressure on the index. FII flows are crucial as they represent substantial investment volumes and can influence market direction.
US Federal Reserve's Stance: The hawkish stance of the US Federal Reserve, signaling potential interest rate hikes, is also a critical factor. Higher US interest rates can lead to capital outflows from emerging markets like India as investors seek higher returns in US assets.
These points illustrate how external factors are intricately linked with the movements of the NIFTY 50 index and should be considered when analyzing its future direction.
📈 Trading Strategy Recommendations
For those actively monitoring the NIFTY 50, it's crucial to keep a close eye on the 100-day SMA and the lower trend line of uptrend channel. These areas serve as critical junctures that could determine the market's short-term direction.
"In the world of Market, it's not about how much you know, but how well you understand what you know and how you apply it in uncertain times."
To conclude, while the NIFTY 50 presents an intriguing technical setup, traders should proceed with caution given the current uncertainties and the index's recent behavior.
This analysis is intended to enhance understanding and encourage informed decision-making. Keep watching these indicators and adapt your strategies accordingly to navigate through these potentially choppy waters.
Lastly, thank you for your support, your likes, Follows & comments. Feel free to ask if you have any questions.
Nifty50 Daily Chart Analysis as of February 23, 2024 Nifty50 Daily Chart Analysis as of February 23, 2024
Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor and this is not financial advice. Please do your own research before making any investment decisions.
Overall:
The Nifty 50 closed at 22,213 on February 23, 2024, marginally down by 0.02% from the previous day's close.
Despite the minor dip, the index has been on an upward trajectory since February 19th, gaining around 1.3% in the last five days.
This positive movement suggests a potential bullish trend, supported by a healthy recovery from the 21-day EMA and higher highs formation.
Key Technical Indicators / Technical Analysis:
The Nifty 50 is in an overall uptrend.
Moving Averages: The Nifty 50 is currently trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating a possible uptrend in the near future.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is currently at 53.8, indicating that the index is neither overbought nor oversold. This suggests that there could be further upside potential.
MACD: The MACD is currently above the signal line, indicating a bullish momentum. The MACD indicator is positive, indicating a potential continuation of the uptrend in the medium to long term.
The Nifty 50 is currently trading above its 20-day and 50-day exponential moving averages (EMAs), indicating a bullish trend.
Key observations:
The Nifty has been following a trendline since January 20, 2024, suggesting a potential upside.
The 22,150-22,200 range remains a major resistance zone, while 21,000 is a crucial support level.
A breach above 22,300 could lead to further gains towards 22,500 and 22,600.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance: The immediate hurdle for the Nifty 50 is seen at 22,300, followed by 22,500.
Immediate Support: The immediate support is at 22,000, with a crucial level at 21,875, which coincides with the 20-day EMA and Thursday's low.
Expert Opinions:
Several technical analysts believe that the Nifty 50 has formed a bullish reversal pattern on the daily chart, suggesting a potential move above 22,500.
However, some experts caution that the 22,300 level could be a significant short-term obstacle and recommend waiting for a confirmation breakout before taking any aggressive positions.
Overall, the technical analysis of the Nifty 50 Daily Chart as of February 23, 2024, suggests a cautiously optimistic outlook. While the index faces some immediate hurdles, the overall trend appears to be bullish. Investors should carefully consider their risk tolerance and investment goals before making any trading decisions.
Important to remember:
This information is based on past data and should not be considered financial advice.
Market conditions can change rapidly, and it is important to do your own research before making any investment decisions.
I hope this information is helpful. Please let me know if you have any other questions.
Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor and this information should not be considered financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
NIFTY 50 Analysis For Feb 23rd!Hello Traders,
Here is a Brief Overview About The Analysis of NIFTY 50 For Feb 23rd,
There Are Total of 3 Support Zones Which You Need To Look For And Same 2 Resistance Zones And To Be Mentioned One Grey Area And We Have 3 Imbalance Zones!
The Horizontal Lines From Volume To Volume And OI To OI Indicates The Market Range in Between For That Particular Day!
The Blue Arrow Path Showing The Direction of The NIFTY 50 For That Day.
Note : Those Levels Are For That Particular Day Only.
Please Note That The Only Purpose of The Information On This Page is Purely Educational.
We Are Not Registered with SEBI; Therefore, Before Making Any Financial Decisions OR Investing, Please Consult with A SEBI-Qualified Financial Advisor. We Don't Have Any Responsibility For Your Profits OR Losses.
I Would Welcome Your Participation And Support in the Form of Likes, Comments, And Follow us to Offer Some Encouragement.
Thank You.
NIFTY 50 Analysis For Feb 22nd!Hello Traders,
Here is a Brief Overview About The Analysis of NIFTY 50 For Feb 22nd,
There Are Total of 3 Support Zones Which You Need To Look For And Same 2 Resistance Zones And To Be Mentioned One Grey Area And We Have 5 Imbalance Zones!
The Horizontal Lines From Volume To Volume And OI To OI Indicates The Market Range in Between For That Particular Day!
The Blue And Red Arrow Path Showing The Direction of The NIFTY 50 For That Day.
Note : Those Levels Are For That Particular Day Only.
Please Note That The Only Purpose of The Information On This Page is Purely Educational.
We Are Not Registered with SEBI; Therefore, Before Making Any Financial Decisions OR Investing, Please Consult with A SEBI-Qualified Financial Advisor. We Don't Have Any Responsibility For Your Profits OR Losses.
I Would Welcome Your Participation And Support in the Form of Likes, Comments, And Follow us to Offer Some Encouragement.
Thank You.
Nifty 50 Daily Chart Analysis - February 21, 2024Technical Analysis:
Candle Pattern: The daily chart for February 21st shows a "Bearish Engulfing" pattern. This indicates a potential reversal in the upward trend, as the current day's candle completely engulfs the previous day's price range.
Moving Averages: All major moving averages are still bullish, but the recent candle suggests a possible slowdown in the upward momentum.
Support and Resistance:
Immediate support: 21,920
Key support: 21,600
Resistance: 22,450 - 22,500
Indicators:
RSI: Currently at 67, nearing overbought territory, suggesting a potential pullback.
MACD: Still bullish, but the histogram shows a weakening momentum.
Key Observations:
The Nifty 50 has been consolidating near the recent highs for the past few days.
The Bearish Engulfing pattern suggests a potential pullback in the near term.
Overbought technical indicators also suggest a potential correction.
However, the long-term trend remains upward, supported by bullish moving averages.
Other Observations:
The market opened higher but faced selling pressure later in the day, leading to the Bearish Engulfing pattern.
FII activity shows some reduction in short positions, suggesting cautious optimism.
The IPO of Purv Flexipack on February 27th could potentially impact market volatility.
Overall:
The Nifty 50 is currently at a crossroads. While the technical indicators still favor the upward trend, the Bearish Engulfing pattern and overbought conditions raise concerns about a potential pullback. The next few days will be crucial to see if the market can maintain its momentum or succumb to selling pressure.
Important Note:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Nifty 50 Daily Chart Analysis - February 20, 2024Nifty 50 Daily Chart Analysis - February 20, 2024
Current Status:
The Nifty 50 closed at 22,196.95, up 0.34% from the previous day.
The intraday high was 22,215.60, and the low was 22,045.85.
Trend and Moving Averages:
The daily chart suggests a short-term bullish trend. The index recently broke above the 22,000 resistance level, confirming the uptrend.
All major moving averages (50-day, 100-day, 200-day) are sloping upwards, further confirming the bullish trend.
Technical Indicators:
RSI: The RSI indicator is currently at 68.5, indicating the index is slightly overbought. This suggests a potential pullback in the short term.
MACD: The MACD indicator is above the signal line and trending upwards, indicating bullish momentum. However, the histogram bars are starting to shrink, suggesting weakening momentum.
Support and Resistance:
The nearest support level is around 21,600-21,700, followed by 21,300.
There is no immediate resistance level in sight. However, the psychological level of 22,500 could act as a resistance shortly.
Key Observations:
The breakout above 22,000 is a positive signal for the short term.
Overbought technical indicators suggest a potential pullback before further upside.
Lack of immediate resistance allows for potential price appreciation.
Overall:
The Nifty 50 is currently in a good position with a short-term bullish trend. However, investors should be cautious of potential pullbacks due to overbought technical indicators. Monitoring support and resistance levels and key economic data will be crucial for further analysis.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Additional Notes:
This analysis is based on the closing price and technical indicators. Intraday analysis might provide different insights.
It's important to consider fundamental factors along with technical analysis for a comprehensive understanding of the market.
I hope this enhanced analysis is helpful!
Nifty50 Trend Analysis Corrected ChartEverything is same except the sub waves of Wave 3, which is corrected for its degree from minor to intermediate.
It is currently undergoing Wave 4 correction.
Support is around 20860 level which is also at 38.6% Fib level and key support level as highlighted in green dashed line.
Minimum target for Wave 5 can be around 23000 level, can go higher only if upside break out happens.
Maximum target can be 25400 level. Wave 5 is more likely to be extended as Wave 1 & Wave 3 are of equal length.
Use this correction as buying opportunity in specific stocks or sectors where bullish chart patterns are visible. Avoid stocks which have rallied too much.
Do your own due diligence before taking any action.
Peace!!
Nifty50 Trend Analysis as per Wave TheoryIt is currently undergoing Wave 4 correction.
Support is around 20860 level which is also at 38.6% Fib level and key support level as highlighted in green dashed line.
Minimum target for Wave 5 can be around 23000 level, can go higher only if upside break out happens.
Maximum target can be 25400 level. Wave 5 is more likely to be extended as Wave 1 & Wave 3 are of equal length.
Use this correction as buying opportunity in specific stocks or sectors where bullish chart patterns are visible. Avoid stocks which have rallied too much.
Do your own due diligence before taking any action.
Peace!!
📈 Nifty's Current Situation: A Simple BreakdownToday, Nifty, the benchmark index of the Indian market, made a noteworthy move, inching close to its all-time high. Let's break it down: went up by more than 1%, coming close to its all-time high. Here's a closer look:
What's Up with the Market 📊:
Nifty's recent jump got it close to its highest-ever levels. Sounds good, right? But there's a challenge—it's right at a powerful supply zone where the market often faces a tough time.
What the Charts Are Saying 📈:
The quick climb has made Nifty stretch a bit from its average Price (EMA20). History says Nifty usually comes back to EMA20 after a speedy rise. So, brace yourself—a correction might be on the way. Looking deeper, it seems Nifty has a habit of taking a breather near its EMA20 after moving up fast. This time seems no different, hinting at a possible slowdown.
What to Expect 🎯:
In simple terms, be ready for a possible cool-down from the Supply zone. While quick rises catch eyes, a steadier climb is usually better for a strong trend. But here's the twist—if Nifty breaks through this tough Supply zone, we might be in for more highs.
🚨 Watch Your Steps:
Nifty is benchmark index of the Indian market, Since Nifty is close to this tricky zone, it's wise to be careful. Set your safety nets (stop-loss) smartly, based on how much risk you're comfortable with.
Final Words & Reminder 📝:
Interpreting market signs is part skill, part instinct. This guide is here to help you learn, not as professional advice (I'm not a SEBI registered analyst). Just sharing insights for you to learn. Keep it smart out there!
Trade Smart, Navigate Cautiously! 💹✨
Lastly, Thank you for your support! Your likes & comments . Feel free to share your thoughts and feedback in the comment section.
Swing Trading Opportunity in NIFTY | YT Ravi's Trading DeskRefer the chart for Entry,Target and SL.
NIFTY Breakout on 30min/hourly/Daily Timeframe also Closed above 200EMA on a Hourly Timeframe which is a bullish Sign.
NOTE: This trade is only for Equity Swing buy and not to be considered for options trading.
Please do follow Position Sizing and Risk Reward Ratio while planning any trades.
Note: This information is for education purpose only and please do your own research and consult your financial advisor prior to taking any action.
TO CONNECT WITH ME CHECK OUT MY BIO.
If you like this Idea, Please do like my ideas and share it with your friends. check my bio.
Please boost my ideas and send cheers as it acts as a motivation to keep posting my analysis.
Thank you
Nifty 50 for 9/6/2023Hello Traders,
Hope you're well.
Today, buying options, especially Puts, was tough as the market made three peaks and premium prices dropped fast. Even if you were right about the direction, it was hard to hold onto your trade.
Earlier, we pointed out that 19,230 was a good buying area, and it turned out right. We saw a 350-point rise from there. Many expected the market to go below 19,230, but it surprised us by going up to 19,574.50. What's next? Read below.
Support Areas for Nifty 50:
Two buying zones to watch are around 19,482 to 19,452. Wait for the market to hit these levels before buying. Aim for 19,527 and 19,562 with a stop loss below 19,445. Be patient and don't rush into trades. If Nifty goes under 19,440, be prepared for a drop to 19,260.
Resistance Areas for Nifty 50:
The high today was 19,587, a strong resistance. We think the market might return to these levels to shake out sellers and attract new buyers. If Nifty goes above 19,587 and then drops back down, consider buying Put options (PE) with a stop loss at the highest point of that drop. This could result in an 87-point move to 19,500.
Personal Opinion:
While we've given different scenarios, our personal view is that if the market stays above 19,600 for a whole day, it could aim for 20,000 soon. Many traders are still ready to buy Puts, and sentiment remains unchanged.
Please note that I am not a SEBI registered advisor, and these trades are for educational purposes only.
We recommend focusing on intraday trades and avoiding holding positions overnight.
Banknifty - Strong Daily Demand AreaBank Nifty has touched its strong daily demand area which coincides with weekly demand area as well.
This demand area has given a 2700 points run in the recent days. So expecting a good bounce back towards 44500 and 45,000
HDFC has touched its demand area. 1768
Axis has also touched good support area - 929
Kotakbank almost touched its gap based demand area -1776 (1764 is the actual demand area)
ICICI touched daily support area 946
SBI touched its magical number 555
So we can expect a big bull run in Bank nifty which will push Nifty towards 20,000.
OI chart also indicates good support near 43800 and 43700 but it has a resistance at 44, 000 which will cause a short covering rally.
Moreover Bank Nifty was down 6% straight 21 days from 21-July ( so Burry's short news would have factored in already) , so expecting a good short covering rally in Bank Nifty.
Note: This is only for educational purpose.