Nifty50 Wkly Anlysis – Strong Reversal, But Volatility AheadThe Indian stock market closed the week on an interesting note. The Nifty 50 index ended at 22,828, just 70 points lower than last week's close, after forming a significant bullish reversal from a low of 21,743 to a high of 22,923.
As we mentioned in last week's market outlook, a base formation was underway—and this week's price action confirmed it. With the next week being truncated due to market holidays on Monday and Friday, traders should expect increased volatility and sideways movement.
Key Technical Levels:
Support: 22,200 – This is 50% of this week's candle; a break may bring bearish momentum.
Resistance: 23,400 – A close above this could ignite a rally toward 23,900, 24,100, and possibly 24,414.
On the global front, the S&P 500 respected the 4,800 support level, rebounding sharply to close at 5,363. However, underlying market weakness remains, so it's a sell-on-rise situation in U.S. equities.
Pro Tip:
Indian investors should keep an eye out for quality, fundamentally strong stocks. Any correction in the market may offer excellent long-term buying opportunities.
Nifty50technicalanalysis
Nifty Outlook: Bulls vs Bears - Key Levels to Watch Next Week
Nifty closed at 22,552, up by around 330 points from last week's close, hitting a high of 22,633 and a low of 21,964. As anticipated last week, the index found support at the 100-day WEMA around the 22,000 level, triggering a bounce. Looking ahead, next week is crucial, as the market is at a crossroads. While the monthly and weekly timeframes continue to show bearish signals, the bulls are actively trying to take control and push the market higher.
Here’s what to watch for:
Key Resistance: If Nifty manages to stay above 22,800 next week, we could see a short-covering rally, driving the index towards the 23,000 to 23,050 range. However, beyond these levels, the bulls may face significant challenges in taking the market further up.
Critical Support: On the downside, 22,000 remains a major support level. A break below this level could signal a fresh downtrend, possibly leading the market towards 19,500.
Next week is expected to be volatile, given the short trading week due to the holiday on Friday. This could lead to profit-taking from long traders, which might put downward pressure on the market. Keep a close eye on this week's low of 21,964. If it breaks, the market may open up to sharp declines.
Meanwhile, the S&P 500 has found support at the 50-day WEMA and closed at 5,770. On the weekly timeframe, it looks like the S&P 500 is forming a W pattern, with potential upside towards 5,850-5,890 next week before any pullback. If the S&P rallies as expected, it could provide a boost to Indian markets as well.
Next week is set to be decisive. Will the bulls overcome the bearish pressure, or will the market succumb to further selling? Stay alert, as the battle between bulls and bears continues.