#nifty50 outlook for upcoming week 14th-18th Oct 2024The Nifty 50 closed the week at 24,964, a 50-point decline from the previous week. While it touched a high of 25,234, it also dipped to a low of 24,694. As predicted last week, the index remained within the range of 25,600 to 24,400.
Looking Ahead: A Cautious Outlook
For the upcoming week, I anticipate a trading range of 25,550 to 24,350. However, the low of 24,694 is a crucial support level. If the Nifty breaches this, the next strong support lies at 24,400-24,350. A breakdown below this level could signal a potential decline towards 23,300.
A Bullish Monthly Perspective
Despite the recent volatility, my monthly outlook for the Nifty remains bullish. Therefore, I will follow a "buy on dips" strategy.
S&P 500: A Positive Sign
As mentioned previously, the S&P 500 has successfully reached its first Fibonacci target of 5820. To initiate the next leg of its upward movement, it needs to sustain above this level. If it can do so, we could see it touch 5899 or even 6012 (a significant level). This positive momentum in the U.S. market could also provide support to Indian equities.
Nifty50tradingplans
Nifty 50 Index (NSE: NIFTY) AnalysisBased on the daily chart for the Nifty 50 Index (NSE: NIFTY), here is the summary and analysis:
Key Levels:
- Current Price: 22,488.65
- 50% Retracement Level: 22,458.10
- 61.8% Retracement Level: 22,324.60
- Target Price: 23,600
Chart Analysis:
1. Upward Trend: The chart shows an overall upward trend, with the index making higher highs and higher lows.
2. Retracement: The index is currently in a retracement phase, falling from its recent high of 22,705.75. The price has retraced to the 50% Fibonacci retracement level and is approaching the 61.8% level.
3. Support Zone: The blue shaded area represents a significant support zone between the 50% and 61.8% retracement levels. This zone could provide strong support and potential for a rebound.
Potential Scenarios:
1. Bullish Scenario:
- If the index finds support at the 50% or 61.8% retracement levels and rebounds, it could continue its upward trend towards the target price of 23,600.
- Confirmation of a bullish trend would come with a strong bounce from the support zone and a move back above the previous high of 22,705.75.
2. Bearish Scenario:
- If the index breaks below the 61.8% retracement level, it could indicate a deeper correction.
- A break below this level could lead to further downside, possibly testing lower support levels not shown in the current chart.
Trading Strategy:
1. Watch for Support: Monitor the price action closely around the 50% and 61.8% retracement levels. Look for signs of a reversal or strong buying interest in this zone.
2. Buy Position: Consider entering a long position if the index shows a strong bounce from the support zone with increasing volume and bullish candlestick patterns.
3. Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss slightly below the 61.8% retracement level to manage risk in case of a further decline.
4. Target: Aim for the target price of 23,600 for the long position.
Conclusion:
- The Nifty 50 Index is currently in a retracement phase within an overall uptrend. The 50% and 61.8% retracement levels are critical support zones to watch. A strong rebound from this zone could lead to a continuation of the upward trend towards the target of 23,600. Conversely, a break below the 61.8% level could signal further downside. Monitoring the price action and volume around these key levels will be crucial for making informed trading decisions.
Nifty Futures Key Trading levels for 6th Oct 2021Nifty Futures Key Trading levels for 6th Oct 2021
Disclaimer: These levels are purely based on Price action/demand and supply zones & and consumed only for educational purpose & should not be taken as buy/sell recommendation. I will not be responsible for any loss/profit incurred if anyone takes trades based on my views. Please consult your Financial Advisor before making any trading decision.
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Nifty Futures Trading Levels for 22nd Sept 2021
Nifty Futures Trading Levels for 22nd Sept 2021
Disclaimer: These levels are purely based on Price action/demand and supply zones & Technical Analysis and consumed only for educational purpose & should not be taken as buy/sell recommendation. I will not be responsible for any loss/profit incurred if anyone takes trades based on my views.
Please consult your Financial Advisor for before making trading decision.
NIFTY FORMING EXTRACTING TRIANGLE On TODAY (15/03/21) NIFTY completed its 4th leg(waveD) of the Great NEO wave's EXTRACTING TRIANGLE pattern
This is a TERMINAL pattern which has 5 legs(marked in yellow) ,
The uplegs (A,C,E) are shorter than previous, and Down legs(B,D)are larger than previous legs.
This phenominal distribution pattern Iis tricky for traders and those understands well can make more Money after it completes its 5 th leg E
GO short in NIFTY near 15138 on 17th march for a target of 14372 (A)=(C)
Neo wave time cycle allows me to find the DATEs of terminus also for easy entry and exit.
For a profitable trade setup it is worth waiting for RIGHT TIME.
SELVAM B
option buying strategist
No wave practioner
TRADERSAI - Experimental Debut for the Indian Markets - NIFTY 50Hey everyone!
After two years of unprecedented growth and consistent performance in the US with daily trading plans on the S&P 500 Index, we are now testing our models on the Indian stock markets with the NIFTY 50 Futures. This is our debut for you all who have been waiting for it!
While we know this would enthrall many readers that have been asking for it, we are cautious about jumping on these trades right away - give these models a few days, see how they perform, and then begin to adapt them to your own trading style and risk appetite. And, please do share your feedback, thoughts, ideas, and suggestions about anything glaring or missing - we are new to the Indian markets and are still trying to learn its idiosyncrasies. Thank you!
Legend:
(i) Use these line crosses on your choice of time frame chart.
Most aggressive - on a 1-minute chart
Moderate - 5 to 15 minute chart
Intraday swing - 30 minute chart
Note that the lower your time frame, the more choppiness and whipsawing you might experience in your results.
(ii) Cross Above (Below) - triggered when the previous close was below (above) the line and the current close is above (below). Aggressive traders may use other criteria such as high crossing the line, close crossing the line without regard to the previous close, etc.
Solid Green Line: Models would go long on a cross above this line
Dotted Green Line: Models would close out a short (buy to close an open short but NOT go long)
Solid Red Line: Models would go short on a cross below this line
Dotted Red Line: Models would close out a long (sell to close an open buy but NOT go short)
This is NOT an investment advice. This is meant for experienced traders to use as another tool to inform and guide their own trading decisions.
Good luck with your trading!