Nifty ended the day just below 200 Hours EMA.The rampant run that Nifty started after making a base near 17255 has seen it make a high of 17799 and correct from there to close below 200 Hour's EMA at 17711(200 Hour's EMA is at 17716). Close above 17716 would have been great for the momentum to continue. Now that Nifty has closed below 200 Hour's EMA, Nifty probably will need a support to start next leg of Bull run. If by chance due to global factors Nifty can open with a gap above 200 Hour's EMA it can continue the bull run again with same momentum. Hourly RSI is at 65.7 which has corrected from 3 weeks high of 74.83. This also indicates need of little bit of consolidation before further bull run. Current squeezing pattern indicates peak 18100 or 18400 if the momentum continues.
Important Supports: 17681, 17559, 17435 and finally 17255.
Important Resistances: 17716, 17802, 17923 and finally 18007.
Niftyanalysis
Morning Mantra - 6th March 2023Dear All,
We have got 2 positive takeaways from last Friday. One was a beautiful bounce back from the level of 17300, and the other was observing the hammer formation on the weekly chart of Nifty.
Well, as we had already stated in the Friday's Morning Mantra that this time after observing a closing of above 17300 level, we can expect to witness a sharp recovery in the Market. Likewise, we did observe the same on the last Friday itself.
Furthermore, now the level of 17800 will once again work as a strong resistance level for the Market. Above which, the levels of 18170 and 18400 will be the crucial ones.
Besides, with the support of 17300, following the Cherry Picking strategy will be the best methodology as of now.
Regards,
Alok Daiya
(SEBI Registered Research Analyst)
Nifty 06 Mar 23 to 10 Mar 23 Short ,Medium and Long TermNifty 06 Mar 23 to 10 Mar 23 Short ,Medium and Long Term
Nifty 17300 /17200 support provided last week acted very well.
Nifty closed at 17594 ( Prev close 17465 )
Nifty touched a high of 17638 and low of 17273.
RSI, stochastic and MACD are in recovery zone.
Nifty short term - Will be upwards but need to cross the crucial resistance as mentioned below.
Nifty Resistance at 17650/17712 (Inclined Trend line - Shown in green color)
If it crosses 17712 in the week the other resistances to break 17819(0.5 fib old)/17900/18000(Aug high)
Nifty Support at 17435(dark red color horizontal line) /17368 MA200 /17355(new low) /17200
Nifty Medium Term
Nifty will be range bound in medium term from 17200 to 18268. Like previous week, this support levels are shown in Green & Red thick Horizontal lines.
Nifty need to break decisively above 18268 to reach 18800-18900 in Medium term and Support at 17000
Nifty Resistance 18109(sep high) / 18122(0.5 fib new) /18268 (Dec22 end Jan23 high)
Long term
Target 19500/20500 possible if it breaks above 18268
In case if it falls below 17000, then next support is at 16793, which will act as major long term support.
As mentioned in last week market corrected and reversed back from oversold zone, after a few dip. Nifty IT and NIFTY 50 Equal weight Mutual funds can be accumulated for long term.
Nifty Bank call was given for last two weeks to buy after touching low 39638 and it rose more than 4% (to 41251) last week and surpassed nifty. Still bank nifty will increase once it crosses 41300 and then to 41950/42850 in medium term.
Nifty IT 29857 also sustaining above 50 MA. Have potential to move upto 31850 in coming weeks if nifty is sustaining & crossing crucial resistances.
niftyDISCLIMER
All the information shared in this chart is provided for strictly educational purposes only. This chart is sharing information are based on the theory of technical analysis. This is not an offer to buy or sell stocks, futures, options, commodity, forex, interests or any other trading security. Back test yourself before jump into live market consult your financial adviser and use proper risk management.
Morning Mantra - 3rd March 2023Dear All,
Once again the level of 17300 worked beautifully, yesterday. Well, this can be a good opportunity for us, as a level of strong support for upcoming rally.
Today is the last trading day of this week, and we are quite positive to witness a bullish reversal candle on the weekly chart.
If Nifty gives a closing of above 17300 today, then we can expect a sharp recovery in the Market in the upcoming weeks.
In the meanwhile, continue being stock specific and can follow the cherry picking strategy for now.
Regards,
Alok Daiya
(SEBI Registered Research Analyst)
support zone established can Nifty fly again tomorrow?Looks like Nifty found a good support again today near 17306 range. If Nifty can hold it tomorrow certainly it can again try to leap ahead tomorrow.
Important Supports: 17306, 17259 and finally 17103.
Important Resistances: 17469 (Tough One To Conquer) and equally tough resistance of 17582.
lot of resistance to cross before bulls can sniff a chanceLot of resistances ahead for Nifty to cross. Today was just a good beginning today. May be there will be some consolidation tomorrow.
The supports for Nifty are near: 17393, 17352 and 17255.
The Resistances for Nifty are near: 17468, 17520, 17553 and finally 200 days EMA at 17584.
Morning Mantra - 2nd March 2023Dear All,
Thankfully Nifty supported the bulls once again, as it made a perfect bounce back from the support level of 17300, yesterday.
Moreover, on a positive note, we had also witnessed a beautiful recovery of approx 150 points from Tuesday’s (28th February, 2023) closing of 17303.
Well for now, we are still with our words, that 17800 will once again be a strong level of Resistance for the Index.
Besides, till 17800, we will continue to consider 17300 as the support level on closing basis.
So, continue being stock specific as of now.
Regards,
Alok Daiya
(SEBI Registered Research Analyst)
Morning Mantra - 20th February 2023Dear All,
It is from back to back 3 weeks, that we have been witnessing the positive green candles on the chart of Nifty.
So overall, we can state that as of now, there’s a close fight going on between the levels of 18170 and 17800.
Therefore, from here, either a breakout of 18170 or a breakdown from 17800, will decide the new trend for the market.
Furthermore, above 18170, 18400 will be our next level of target. Whereas, on the other hand, a closing of below 17800 will once again activate the level of 17320 as a support.
In the meanwhile, continue being stock specific and keep following the Cherry Picking strategy.
Regards,
Alok Daiya
Morning Mantra - 1st March 2023Dear All,
On observing yesterday's Market momentum, we could see that Nifty had made a positive opening at around 17383. Although, it was towards the later half of the day that some selling pressure was observed, and Nifty made a low of 17255.
However, just as we have been stating, on a positive note, Nifty supported the bull side by ultimately giving us a closing of above 17300. So, once again we had witnessed the effectiveness of the 17300-17320 levels.
Furthermore, we are still hopeful for the Market, until the index is above 17300 on closing basis.
In the meanwhile, continue being stock specific until the announcement.
Regards,
Alok Daiya
(SEBI Registered Research Analyst)
Nifty in most critical support zone. Nifty is looking weak and desolate. Volumes have dried and important supports have been broken. Usually rallies and up moves happen only at the times when no one expects them to happen. The good thing right now is Nifty is respecting the support zone near 17252 and 17353. As long as the last for is held we can look for a positive move to happen as Nifty Relative Strength Index is indicating an up-move. RSI is at the level which is as low as September 2022.
Nifty Supports: 17353, 17252 (Important Fibonacci Support) and finally 16747.
Nifty Resistances: 17565 to 17586 (Strong resistance) (200 days EMA and Fibonacci level resistance). Above this zone important resistance will be 50 days EMA at 17864.
Morning Mantra - 28th February 2023Dear All,
Yesterday was a wonderful day for the Market!
Wonderful in the sense that it was quite predicted about the level of 17320 or 17300 to be a major level of support for Nifty, as of now. Fortunately, we got to witness the same, as Nifty took a wonderful support at around the level of 17300 and had ultimately given us a closing of 17400 approx, yesterday.
So, as of now, just like we had stated yesterday itself that if Nifty takes a wonderful support at 17300, then we can witness a positive bounce back towards 17800, which will again be a strong resistance level for us.
Until then, continue being stock specific and keep an eye on few stocks for some cherry picking.
Regards,
Alok Daiya
(SEBI Registered Research Analyst)
Morning Mantra - 27th February 2023Dear All,
Finally, once again we had witnessed the importance of the 17800 level in the last week. Wherein, as expected after breaking through this level, Nifty showed us a sharp downfall as it made a low of 17421, on the previous trading day.
Besides, just as we had stated in the previous week itself, that Nifty is getting reading for the level of 17320 once again. The same level which was the support level of Nifty, 2-3 weeks ago. Similarly, we can now state that Nifty's range has somehow shifted to 17320-17800 once again.
Although we do not want you to panic, but if Nifty breaks this level of 17320 then we can see a further sharp downfall towards the level 16800.
So, for the strong side of Market sentiments, the bulls have to at least sustain this crucial level of 17320, for now.
In the Meanwhile, continue being stock specific till the next announcement.
Regards,
Alok Daiya
(SEBI Registered Research Analyst)
Nifty 27 Feb 23 to 3 Mar 23 Short ,Medium and Long TermNifty 27 Feb 23 to 3 Mar 23 Short ,Medium and Long Term
Nifty closed at 17465 ( Prev close 17944)
Nifty touched a high of 17989 and fallen to low of 17429 last week.
Market may further move sidewards for few more weeks for decisive movement either upwards or downwards.
RSI stochastic and MACD are in negative zone and in oversold position and also there is no sign of reversal at immediate present, hence market may further fall to 17300-17180.
Nifty short term
Nifty corrected from 17900 to 17450 level. it may further correct to 17300/17200 as mentioned below.
Nifty Support at 17435(dark red color horizontal line) /17368 MA200 /17355(new low) /17200
Nifty Resistance at 17555/17716/17819(0.5 fib old)/17900/18000(Aug high) /18109(sep high) / 18122(0.5 fib new) /18268 (Dec22 end Jan23 high)
Nifty Medium Term
Nifty will be range bound in medium term from 17200 to 18268. Like previous week, this support levels are shown in Green & Red thick Horizontal lines.
Nifty need to break decisively above 18268 to reach 18800-18900 in Medium term and Support at 17000
Long term
Target 19500/20500 possible if it breaks above 18268
In case if it falls below 17000, then next support is at 16793, which will act as major long term support.
Since Market is in oversold zone, after a few dip, it is likely to move towards 17550-17800.
Buy on dips once fallen. Nifty IT and NIFTY 50 Equal weight Mutual funds can be accumulated for long term.
Nifty Bank 39909 can be accumulated level of 38600 for long term.
Morning Mantra - 24th February 2023Dear All,
Yesterday, we had once again observed Nifty’s movement towards the level of 17320. Wherein, Nifty had made a low of 17455.40 and had ultimately given us a closing of 17511.25
Moreover, since today is the last trading day of this week, it will be better if Nifty touches the level of or around 17320, today itself. Otherwise, we might get to witness some panic in the Market in the forthcoming week.
Whereas, in the meanwhile, it will be suggested to keep patience and to be stock specific.
Levels : 18170-17800-17320
Regards,
Alok Daiya
(SEBI Registered Research Analyst)
niftyDISCLIMER
All the information shared in this chart is provided for strictly educational purposes only. This chart is sharing information are based on the theory of technical analysis. This is not an offer to buy or sell stocks, futures, options, commodity, forex, interests or any other trading security. Back test yourself before jump into live market consult your financial adviser and use proper risk management.
Morning Mantra - 22nd February 2023Dear All,
It was a 2nd consecutive day yesterday, where we had observed Nifty taking a beautiful support at around 17800 once again.
Besides, we had also seen a beautiful opening from Nifty yesterday. However, after reaching the level of 17920, the index had somehow failed to sustain the level and so consequently we got to witness a closing of just above 17800, once again.
Nonetheless, we are still with our words that the level of 17800 will once again be a very crucial level for the Market to finally decide its trend. Moreover, we are still quite positive for the upper level of 18170 as the level of Resistance in Nifty, until it is above 17800.
Also, in the meanwhile, continue being stock specific.
Regards,
Alok Daiya
Morning Mantra - 21st February 2023Dear All,
Once again Nifty had shown us the magic of the crucial support level of 17800, yesterday. As it made a low of 17818.40 and then had ultimately given us a closing of 17844.60
Well, as we had already mentioned that there’s a close fight going on between levels of 18170 and 17800. So, for now, an either side breakout or breakdown has become very necessary for the new trend identification.
However, until then, continue being stock specific.
Regards,
Alok Daiya
Nifty 20 Feb 23 to 24 FEB 23 Short ,Medium and Long TermNifty 20 Feb 23 to 24 FEB 23 Short ,Medium and Long Term
Nifty closed at 17944 ( Prev close 17856)
Neutral Strategy was given for Last two weeks and buy on dip for Medium Term & Long Term Investors for the past few weeks and to continue the same.
Nifty touched a low of 17721 last week.
Market may further move sidewards for few more weeks for decisive movement either upwards or downwards.
RSI and MACD are in positive zone but Stochastic is near to over bought zone.
Nifty short term
Nifty will be in range bound from 17700 to 18268 in short term and
Nifty support at 17819(0.5 fib old) /17785(feb22 high) /17716. The support for the last weeks is from a inclined red color trend line shown in the chart apart from the previous high and Fibonnacci Supports mentioned above.
Nifty Resistance will be at 17900/18000(Aug high) /18109(sep high) / 18122(0.5 fib new) /18268 (Dec22 end Jan23 high) /18355(Jan22 High).
Nifty will be range bound in medium term from 17300 to 18268. Like previous week, this support levels are shown in Green & Red thick Horizontal lines.
Medium term target
Nifty need to break decisively above 18268 to reach 18800-18900 in Medium term.
support at 17566/17435(dark red color horizontal line) /17355(new low) /17314 MA200.
Long term
Target 19500/20500 still in intact.
In case if it falls below 17300, then next support is at 16800, which will act as major long term support.
Morning Mantra - 17th February 2023Dear All,
Just as we had stated yesterday, about being very near to the level of 18170. Similarly, we did witness a high of 18134.75 in Nifty, yesterday itself.
Also, finally today is the last trading day of this week, and it is indeed expected to be a crucial one.
As so far, we have been fortunate enough to be witnessing a consistent closing of above 17800 for the past 4 trading days. Wherein, if we witness a closing of above 17800 even today, then our support level can be shifted from 17320 to 17800 in the upcoming week.
So, altogether, today’s closing will play a very significant role in deciding a direction of Nifty’s momentum for the upcoming week.
Whereas, in the meanwhile, continue being specific and keep following the Cherry Picking strategy.
Regards,
Alok Daiya
Morning Mantra - 16th February 2023Dear All,
Finally we got to witness a beautiful breakout in Nifty, yesterday.
Wherein, just as we have been repeatedly stating the level of 17800, similarly Nifty has shown us a beautiful and an expected bounce back therefrom.
Furthermore, we are now very near to the level of 18170. Provided we keep witnessing a strong and a consistent closing of above 17800 throughout this week.
Also, as per the current circumstances, we can see our support level of 17320 to be shifting to 17800 very soon.
Above 18170, 18400 will be our next target.
In the meanwhile, continue staying stock specific and keep following the Cherry Picking strategy.
Regards,
Alok Daiya