Nifty in Downtrend what NEXT?Nifty is continuing the trend, but what happens now? Remember that it is only a correction, this movement can be considered as a correction part of the trend that started from September 30 so far. According to the Elliott wave, if the current correction is falling up to 38% to 68%, then it can be considered as the 4th wave correction of the five wave movement that start from the Sep 30. This is the golden ration you get when you mark the third wave from the 2nd wave using the Fibonacci tool. The big yellow box on the chart is the area where we have the last movement of the 4th wave.
However, big buyers are currently seen playing in the 18300 and 19000 areas. So, we can find another small 5 wave movement started around November 10th. If this down movement is a 4th correction wave of the November 10th, it will not go below 18580 and start its upward journey from above 18580. You can find the retracement area is the small yellow box on the chart.
In that case, the third wave of September 30 is not over yet, and a major downtrend can be expected at any time.
.
Niftyanalysis
Pin Point Prediction Of Nifty For 2-12-22Hello Traders,
This post shows the marking levels prediction done for this day trading . The accuracy you can yourself feel in form of price action. Now what is going to happen tomorrow that I discussed in detail for making your trading easy, can check below.
Yogesh Vats
Nifty Levels & Strategy for 01/Dec/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support & resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared by me here for educational purpose only. Please don’t trust me or anyone for trading/investment purpose as it may lead to financial losses. Focus on learning, how to fish, trust on your own trading skills and please do consult your financial advisor before trading.
NIFTY
Nifty is overbought so avoid wait for a dip & continue to follow uptrend. Overbought does not mean you should sell but consider all time high levels as good level for profit booking. Today, US market is trading in red & SGX Nifty is trading in red & 100+ points down. Tomorrow morning, gap-down should be a buying opportunity with strict SL. Put premium are very low so we should avoid PE writing. Get into short trade only when support levels are broken convincingly.
Please find below scorecard, PCR update & options statistics for your reference:
NIFTY SCORECARD DATED 30/NOV/2022
NIFTY IS UP BY 140 POINTS
Name Price Previous Day Change % Change
Nifty 18758 18618 140.30 0.75%
India VIX 13.81 13.62 0.19 1.41%
OPTION STATISTICS BASED ON 01/DEC/2022 EXPIRY DATA
Max OI (Calls) 19000 (Open Interest: 8442250, CE LTP: 2.35)
Max OI (Puts) 18600 (Open Interest: 10727400, PE LTP: 9.2)
PCR 1.63 (PCR is in overbought zone)
Nifty Calls:
ATM: Short Covering, OTM:Long Buildup, ITM:Short Covering, FAR OTM:Long Liquidation
Nifty Puts:
ATM: Short Buildup, OTM:Short Buildup, ITM:Short Buildup, FAR OTM:Long Liquidation
Pin Point Predictions Of Nifty For 1-12-22Hello Traders,
This post was created yesterday with complete predictions in form of marking and trade idea. You can see the accuracy of marking . If want to more in detail about tomorrow trade direction and set up then can check below. My bit is to make your trading easy.
Yogesh Vats
Nifty Levels & Strategy for 30/Nov/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support & resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared by me here for educational purpose only. Please don’t trust me or anyone for trading/investment purpose as it may lead to financial losses. Focus on learning, how to fish, trust on your own trading skills and please do consult your financial advisor before trading.
NIFTY
Congratulation Nifty traders. Finally, Nifty hit the new lifetime high & we have seen highest ever closing. Nifty opened flat & completely ignore the global market cues. Profit booking was obvious from new lifetime high but Nifty closed above 50 EMA on 15min chart. FII are buying in cash but they adding bearish positions in F&O, Pro traders are also adding bearish positions in F&O. Big players are clearly managing index at higher level. What will happen when FIIs/Pro start selling in cash????? Market may correct very sharply. Retail traders are taking things for granted. VIX is low but it may rise in no time.
Why US market corrected yesterday? Fear of another US FED hike in Dec. This time RBI may have no choice but to go ahead with hike therefore we need to be careful in coming days & work level by level. Gujrat election results may also affect market. OPEC is getting ready for another OIL production cut. OPEC want to manage crude price at higher levels. We should follow trend (buy on dips) but avoid, stay away from buying euphoria & continue to book profit at higher levels. There is no harm is ignoring the last leg of rally.
Please find below scorecard, PCR update & options statistics for your reference:
NIFTY SCORECARD DATED 29/NOV/2022
NIFTY IS UP BY 55 POINTS
Name Price Previous Day Change % Change
Nifty 18618 18563 55.30 0.30%
India VIX 13.62 13.57 0.05 0.37%
OPTION STATISTICS BASED ON 01/DEC/2022 EXPIRY DATA
Max OI (Calls) 19000 (Open Interest: 7732900, CE LTP: 1.65)
Max OI (Puts) 18500 (Open Interest: 10184950, PE LTP: 23.75)
PCR 1.22 (PCR is in buying Zone)
Nifty Calls:
ATM: Long Liquidation, OTM:Short Buildup, ITM:Short Covering, FAR OTM:Long Liquidation
Nifty Puts:
ATM: Short Buildup, OTM:Long Liquidation, ITM:Short Buildup, FAR OTM:Short Buildup
Nifty Important levels and trade plan for Wednesday, 30th NovembFor tomorrow, no trade zone will be between 18634 and 18601.
Any price action between this zone in 15-minute time frame, for upside, can go for bullish trade. Initial target will be 18678 from where we may expect a pullback, after crossing this level, 18735 and 18788 will be the next levels of targets.
For downside, can go for bearish trade with continuation, initial target will be 18546, can expect a reversal form here. But after crossing this level, we may see a good fall in Nifty in coming days. 18645 can be the second level of support in this trend. In case of gap down opening up to 18546, we may plan a reversal trade for upside and similarly, for gap up opening up to 18678 a reversal trade can be planned.
OI data is bullish, with strong presence of open interests in PE side at 18500 level, but some OI build-up is visible, in CE side, compared to yesterday’s data.
**All support/resistance levels depend on PDH/PDL, breaking either side may change the levels plotted*
**Time of plotting the levels and planning 29th November, 9:05 PM**
***Personal opinion, not a trading advice***
Pin Point predictions Of Nifty For 30-11-22Hello traders,
This post shows the marking Prediction done for today's trading. You can see price reacted on the se marked levels. For detailed analysis to understand with my prediction for tomorrow , can check it below. This will definitely make your trading easy.
Nifty Levels & Strategy for 29/Nov/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support & resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared by me here for educational purpose only. Please don’t trust me or anyone for trading/investment purpose as it may lead to financial losses. Focus on learning, how to fish, trust on your own trading skills and please do consult your financial advisor before trading.
NIFTY
Once again gap-down was bought (heavy put writing) instantly amid global issues. Nifty took support at 100 EMA on 15min chart. Later Nifty moved up & almost touched the lifetime high. Evening star (negative pattern) worked perfectly & profit booking near all time high was quite obvious. Short covering in calls shows mild bullishness in Nifty. Who is making money????? As usual, option writers are really making good money.
Avoid buying euphoria amid ongoing global issues near lifetime high, retails traders should continue wait patiently for good trade setup for identifying buying/selling opportunities. Retail traders must hedge their overnight positions. Right now US markets are trading in red. Please review the data in morning & before finalizing your trading plan. Please find below scorecard, PCR update & options statistics for your reference:
NIFTY SCORECARD DATED 28/NOV/2022
NIFTY IS UP BY 50 POINTS
Name Price Previous Day Change % Change
Nifty 18563 18513 50.00 0.27%
India VIX 13.57 13.33 0.23 1.74%
OPTION STATISTICS BASED ON 01/DEC/2022 EXPIRY DATA
Max OI (Calls) 19000 (Open Interest: 7775300, CE LTP: 2.25)
Max OI (Puts) 18500 (Open Interest: 10581700, PE LTP: 49)
PCR 1.21 (PCR is in buying Zone)
Nifty Calls:
ATM: Short Covering, OTM:Short Buildup, ITM:Short Covering, FAR OTM:Long Liquidation
Nifty Puts:
ATM: Short Buildup, OTM:Short Buildup, ITM:Short Buildup, FAR OTM:Short Buildup
Nifty Important levels and trade plan for Tuesday, 29th NovemberIn daily time frame Nifty was in continuous uptrend until last Thursday, and made a pause candle in last Friday, and we are expecting a correction, and today we have got the correction in first half with gap down opening, and now may expect continuation of the uptrend, which Nifty indicated with the strong bullish engulfing candle today in daily time frame and touched all-time high.
For tomorrow, CPR is spread in the range between 18545 and 18491, and for us it will be our no trade zone for tomorrow, and for us trading strategy for tomorrow will be simple. In case of flat to slight gap down, to slight gap up opening, will go for bullish trade for any candle in 5-minute time frame closing over no trade zone, 18615, 18372, 18741, 18794 can be our targets for tomorrow. Here up to 18615, our quantise will be limited and stop losses will be tight, and above 18615, can go with full quantity.
For a gap up opening up to 18615, may expect a reversal, and we can plan accordingly, but any opening above this level, Nifty may continue its uptrend, but may be the move will be slower.
Now, bearish trade can only be initiated, with Nifty below 18491, with continuation, and target in this side will be 18419 and 18366.
OI Data is bullish today with huge OI present in 18500 level in PE side, and having no considerable resistance showing up to 19000 level.
**All support/resistance levels depend on PDH/PDL, breaking either side may change the levels plotted*
**Time of plotting the levels and planning 28th November, 9:10 PM**
***Personal opinion, not a trading advice***
NIFTY 50 Weekly Forecast Analysis 28 Nov-2 Dec 2022 NIFTY 50 Weekly Forecast Analysis 28 Nov-2 Dec 2022
We can see that this week, the current implied volatility is around 1.85% , same as last week.
According to ATR calculations, we are currently on the 51th percentile, while with INDIA VIX we are on 12th percentile.
Based on this data, we can expect on average, the movement from open to close of the weekly candle to be :
In case of bullish - 1.82%
In case of bearish - 1.55%
With the current IV calculation, we have currently 24.3% that the close of the weekly candle is going to finish either above
or below the next channel:
TOP: 18771
BOT: 18090
At the same time, taking into consideration the high/low touch calculation from the previous values, we can expect for this week:
26% chance that we are going to touch the previous low of the weekly candle of 18125
78% chance that we are going to touch the previous high of the weekly candle of 18535(already hit)
Lastly from a technical analysis point of view, currently 80% of the moving averages rating, are insinuating we are in a BULLISH trend.
Nifty Key Levels and Zones For Intraday [28th Nov 2022]Long opportunity above 18535 or 18450
Shorting opportunity below 18520 for the risky traders as Nifty is extremely for the time being. Keep tight stop loss
Strong buying zone is at around 18400.
Look for price rejection like Hammer or Shooting Star near the support and resistance area and then enter into a trade.
View is for intraday only
Nifty Important levels and trade plan for Monday, 28th NovemberIn Daily time frame Nifty is bullish, and we may expect a pause in this uptrend in coming days, before continuing the same trend. So, in coming days, we may expect to see a downside corrective move in Nifty and in 75 minute time frame a double top and a divergence in RSI is supporting the same statement.
Now based on Nifty price action, plotted some important levels for tomorrow, but support levels may change if Nifty breaks the PDH, in that case new support levels need to be plotted.
Here for tomorrow, we may avoid to trade between, 18521 and 18480, and for low risk taker the lower side of this range will be 18449.
Here for tomorrow, we will have to be careful with the upside moves, above 18521 it is bullish trade, but we need to wait for a proper price action, Similarly, below 18480 or 18449 it is a bearish trade, and can wait for a price action in 15-minute time frame for this trade.
For upside- 18597 and 18681 will be the target levels, and for downside 18407 and 18359 will be the levels of importance.
For next week, CPR is quite wide, so we may expect a sideways move in the this week.
**All support/resistance levels depend on PDH/PDL, breaking either side may change the levels plotted*
**Time of plotting the levels and planning 26th November, 10:30 AM**
***Personal opinion, not a trading advice***
Nifty Analysis: A Bullish Scenario 🚀Hi 👋
There are always two potentially predominant scenarios possible in the stock market – Bullish and Bearish . Most people involved in the stock market like to read and appreciate the positive side of the market, that is bullish . This is because they always ‘Buy’ and never sell. They don't even sell to take profit 😉
This idea is representing the bullish scenario of the market. I have used minimal tools – Support and Resistance ; Fib Time Zones; Fib Extensions and a self-developed technique to weigh weaker and stronger sides (bulls & bears) of the market.
Let is discuss them one by one 👇
🚀 Fib Time Zones
Fib zones are helpful in analyzing market cycles but in my experience fib zones have always been a hit and miss experiment, as there is no concrete way in which fib zones can perfectly match the market cycles. Theoretically we match previous highs to project the next peek or we match previous lows to project the next trough in a market cycle.
On this chart I matched the highs of Feb 2021 and Oct 2021 and found that it perfectly projected June 2022 low (marked by Fib zone 3). If this projection is correct and continues then there could be a high (I am saying ‘high’ because we are discussing bullish scenario) near Mid Feb 2023 (Marked as Fib zone 4). This may hold true as long as market trades and sustains above all-time highs.
🚀 Support and Resistance
When I say all-time highs (ATH), it means 18600 ( ish ) levels. Normally these levels stand as strong resistance, because sellers get active taking profits or shorting near those levels. As of now those levels have not been tested by Nifty (spot).
Secondly, there was 18100 level which acted as strong resistance in Apr 2022 and Sep 2022. However, the reaction in Sep was much less compared to the reaction in Apr , which is good for bulls. In Nov, market breakout of this resistance and also tested it once in the later half of Nov.
The test was held, means buyers had an upper hand, and previous resistance (18100) acted as support. Eventually, market resumed the trend established from Jun 2022 lows.
I would personally like to see the market break and sustain above ATH (18600 or so) for it to achieve our projected targets.
🚀 Fib Extension
Fib extension is an effective tool to project markets next move or targets. There are different methods used by different traders or investors or mentioned by different authors in their writeups. Most popular ones being 1:1 extension, 1:2 extension and the ones that conform to the Elliot wave principles.
Measured move:
If I measure the move from Jun low to Sep high and project it for a 1:1 target, it gives us 19650 as the target. This can be taken as a medium-term bullish target for the market.
Elliot:
According to Elliot , 3rd wave can not be the smallest. If I take move from Jun to Sep 2022 as wave1 and late Sep correction as wave 2 then wave3 should be larger than wave1, that means beyond 19650.
Wave3 extension can go up to (1.618 x wave1) or higher. If I take 1.618 extension then wave 3 targets for 21450 (quite ambitious though). We can take it as a longer-term target for investors.
Cup & Handle
Thirdly, if you look carefully there is a cup and handle continuation pattern. This can be made by joining Apr high, Jun low, Sep high and Sep low. The blue Support and Resistance line shown on the chart would be the neckline for this pattern (and is breached positively). The target for this pattern comes out to be = 18114 + 15183 = 21045.
This gives us a zone from 21000 to 21500 as a target for long term investors.
Will the market hit the long-term target on Mid-Feb 2023 Fib zone? Or will it hit the short-term target 19650 at that time? This question should remain open for discussion in the comment section.
🚀 (Bravo) Momentum Technique
There is nothing much fancy in this technique than the Price and Time based analysis. I analyze price waves through the lens of time to measure momentum of the market.
Technical charts are drawn by taking Time on X-axis and Price on Y-axis and this helps in tracking the price moves. I take help of these price moves in identifying bullish and bearish trends.
As a general rule of thumb if the price is taking less time recovering a bearish move then there is bullish momentum. This means bulls are still stronger than bears. The opposite is also true. If price is taking more time to recover a corrective wave then bulls might soon lose ground.
To make it simple, I have drawn red and green rectangles. The red rectangles encase bearish waves and the green ones encase bullish waves. There are two important things that you need to observe – height and width of the rectangles.
Normally height of two adjacent rectangles ( bearish and bullish recovery waves) would be the same. So, it the width that is more important. The width represents the number of days the market takes to complete a wave.
As long as the width of green rectangles is less than red ones, the momentum would be bullish . Normally we see bullish momentum in an uptrend, so there are greater chances that the trend would stay on the upside.
The opposite is true in case of downtrend.
You can see in the chart that although the market was making lower lows from Oct2021 to Jun2022, the width of green rectangles is less compared to red ones. Or you can say that market had been taking lesser number of sessions to recover a down move. This means that bulls were more active and were interested in accumulation at the lower levels (see number of sessions/bars under each rectangle ).
This signals a positive momentum in an uptrend and hence higher chances of the trend to resume.
This method is useful for investors as well as traders. Investors can apply it on higher timeframes and traders on a lower-timeframes, for analyzing, confirming and riding trends.
I hope you learnt something new from this post.
Now do me a favor and hit 🚀 so that I can push myself to write more.
Your thoughts are welcomed in the comment section 👇
Have a great life 👍
📢 Disclaimer: The views are personal and for educational purpose only. It should not be considered as an investment or trading advice. Please apply your own due diligence before investing your hard earned money.
NIFTY50 is looking Bullish.
🤑 Nifty is likely to be Bullish till it's above 18360.
❓ Reason: Because Nifty is above the Trailing SL of ATM Machine Indicator on Hourly Chart.
🚧 Upside Hurdles: 18490, 18615, 18700.
🌈 Advice: 1.) Take reversal trade near these levels, or 2.) Wait for Breakout and Sustainability.
🍏 Positional Trend is Positive.
🍏 Long Term Trend is Positive.
📢 Disclaimer: We are NISM Certified so we don't hold any position in Nifty Future or Options as per SEBI guidelines. Take trades as per your own technical analysis, we are just educating you. We are not using any type of indicators for finding out of levels.
🙏🏻 Come to Learn, Go to Earn🙏🏻
✅ We are NISM Certified. ✅
☔If you find us useful, Please help the helpless near you.☔
☺Happy to Help.☺
#ohotrading #ohotrading1 #stockmarket #NIFTY50 #november22 @ohotrading #sharemarket #nifty #today #atmmachine #homework
Nifty Levels & Strategy for 25/Nov/2022Dear traders, I have identified chart levels based on my analysis, major support & resistance levels. Please note that I am not a SEBI registered member. Information shared by me here for educational purpose only. Please don’t trust me or anyone for trading/investment purpose as it may lead to financial losses. Focus on learning, how to fish, trust on your own trading skills and please do consult your financial advisor before trading.
NIFTY
Nifty continued it's journey in forward direction & now looking all set for making new lifetime high. Nifty started action with gap-up , mild profit booking, breakout above open price, consolidation through out the day & finally break-out above 18400. Bulls have clearly dominated the show. Volatility is quite low. US Dollar Index has corrected significantly. Brent crude is trading around $85 which is quite good for India. All factors are positive. We have seen significantly rally from lower levels. Is it really a bear market rally?????
New longs in ATM/OTM/ITM calls & Put writing in all types is clearly indicating strength towards long side. Today option buyers who waited patiently for breakout or breakdown opportunity were rewarded. Retail traders need wait patiently for good quality setup & simply replicate profit making trades again & again. Retail traders should continue to trade with caution near new lifetime high, buy on dips with hedge & book limited profit at higher level or loss at lower level. Please find below scorecard, PCR update & options statistics for your reference:
NIFTY SCORECARD DATED 24/NOV/2022
NIFTY IS UP BY 217 POINTS
Name Price Previous Day Change % Change
Nifty 18484 18267 216.85 1.19%
India VIX 13.48 14.04 -0.56 -4.02%
OPTION STATISTICS BASED ON 01/DEC/2022 EXPIRY DATA
Max OI (Calls) 18300 (Open Interest: 3969050, CE LTP: 272)
Max OI (Puts) 18300 (Open Interest: 6962750, PE LTP: 32.75)
PCR 1.28 (PCR is in buying Zone)
Nifty Calls:
ATM: Long Buildup, OTM:Long Buildup, ITM:Long Buildup, FAR OTM:Short Buildup
Nifty Puts:
ATM: Short Buildup, OTM:Short Buildup, ITM:Short Buildup, FAR OTM:Short Buildup
Nifty Kel Levels and Zones For Intraday [25th Nov 2022]Nifty today runs a lot. What an expiry!
For tomorrow, Nifty may pause and take support near 18440, and 18400. Buy on dips strategy must be adopted as the short-term trend is bullish.
Strong support is at around 18330 labels.
A break of 18300 will signify a trend reversal. So, Nifty will remain bullish above 18300.
The view is entirely for scalping or intraday trading only.