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Niftyanalysis

Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View-18-Dec-23 to 22-Dec-23Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View-18-Dec-23 to 22-Dec-23 Nifty closed at 21496( Prev Week close 20520) and touched low & high of 20776 & 21496. Market touched all time high of 21000 last week and then almost to 21500 without any stoppage after a massive run post election results of 3 states and US Fed rate reduction plan, followed by global stock market run. RSI and stochastics levels are in overbought zone ( 85% & 98 % Respectively) . Market currently on a upward movement due to global run, clear immediate resistance for reversal are not available. Already market grown 10% from 19500 level. Two Fibonacci extended resistances are near to 22500 as shown in chart which is 5 % from current level. Market can any time turn to volatile and expected to continue till Q3 results, Feb budget & till elections in 2024 (Apr-May). Feb Temporary budget most likely to favour income tax payers inorder to keep in mind of elections and to concentrate on infra ( Railways & Road). Banks gave good results except HDFC bank due to merger. Nifty IT had a good run in last few days with expectation of growing world economic condition especially US. Capital Goods and other companies posted average results. But in expectation of Q3 results especially bluechip companies market may go upwards to 22500 due to the current scenario. Q3 Results & Policy changes are need to be looked into for next year growth of Nifty. Nifty- Short Term Resistances are at 21750, 22000 ( however no trend line, fibonacci resistance are available) Market is in overbought zone. Profit booking upto 30% was suggested in the last two weeks, Almost i have booked 20% profit has been booked in Equities & Mutual Funds. 75% of ulip shifted from equities to debt funds as we get free switches in ulip. Support at 20500, 20225 ( prev high) Nifty Medium Term & long Term - Market decisively closed above 21000 last week and near to 21500 Can achieve 22500 target if close above 22000 decisively. Support at 20225/ 20000/ 19850 Long Term market range bound between 22500 to 18800 till elections are completed.
NSE:NIFTY
by karthikss
Be cautious while travelling in the Runaway Train (Nifty). Passengers of the Runaway Train (Nifty) need to be cautious now. The current Nifty rally has hit the Euphoria phase. India is watching a Bullet train rally and probably the station is near by. Reasons behind the rally are: 1) Recent Assembly elections considered as Semi Finals before the lok sabha elections of 2024 met the market expectations. 2) US Fed continued a the rate hike Pause and there were some indications of rate cut cycle starting in 2024. 3) Some opinion polls suggesting return of the incumbent government for the Third time in India. Political Stability is what market loves. If we add global factors like rate hike pause that gave a steroid dose to the markets. The question is: What should the investor do now? 1) Book Profit in the risky / mid-cap / Small-cap stocks with weak fundamentals. At least partial profits can be booked. 2) Find avenues where growth is still possible. Choose stocks with strong fundamentals / Monopoly / Strong MOAT. (Some large caps companies fall in this category) 3) Look at the Technicals and Fundamentals of the company you are investing in. 4) Be very choosy. I am an advocate of staying invested in the market come what may but portfolio rotation, some reshuffling profits into fundamentally strong players with vision for growth is need of the hour. As far as support and Resistance levels are concerned the next fibonacci resistance will be at 21607. If the euphoria continues into reminder of the month we may even see the levels of 22180. If the momentum continues further into 2024 I see the rally reaching 22922 or 23000 levels. Supports at the lower level are 21235, 21078. 20795 level will be a strong support level falling below which bears will start breathing again.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty is a Runaway Train on Steroid. As Predicted post FOMC Rate Pause decision and a murmur of rate rate cuts starting in 2024. Nifty got a steroid dose as expected and became a run away train. May be there is some more momentum left in the rally and a good close in the green to end the week will be icing on the cake. The resistances on the upper side of Nifty will be near 21212, 21266 and finally 21312. Closing above 21312 will open the channel going towards 22300+. Supports for Nifty on the lower side will be at 21125, 21074, 21040, 20953 and 20901. Trend can change below 21769. Right now momentum looks good but some consolidation cooling down of Index can also be helpful for the long run.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty holding above 20900 is a good sign but one dip is overdue Nifty holding above 20900 is a good sign but one dip towards 20500 or 19900 is overdue now. The RSI is indicating overbought zone requiring a time consolidation or correction. In case of correction the supports for Nifty will be around 20851, 20708, 20506 (Strong Support), 20259 or 19903 (Major Support). If Nifty manages to close below 19903 this month Bears can write their own comeback story. Resistances on the upper side are at 21026, 21292 and 21436. Long Term Target for Nifty in 2024 will be 22746.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View-11-Dec-23 to 15-Dec-23Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View-11-Dec-23 to 15-Dec-23 Nifty closed at 20520 (Prev Week close 20227) and touched low & high of 21006 & 20520. Market touched all time high of 21000 last week after a massive run post election results of 3 states. RSI and stochastics levels nearing the overbought zone ( 83% & 97 % Respectively) . Nifty- Short Term Resistance at 21082 ( Fib Resistance 1.618) and 21170 ( Calculated diff in % from dec 22 high 18906 to Mar 23 Low 16833). These above two resistances are critical as market in overbought zone. Market is in overbought zone. Profit booking upto 30% was suggested in the last week, Almost i have booked 10-15% profit has been booked in Equities & Mutual Funds. 50% of ulip shifted from equities to debt funds as we get free switches in ulip. Support at 20500, 20225 ( prev high) Nifty Medium Term & long Term - Market need to decisively close above 21170 to achieve 21500/22000/22500 target. Support at 19345, 19230, 19164, 19000 Long Term market range bound between 21170 to 18800 till elections are completed. Comment : Market Volatality expected to continue till Q3 results, Feb budget & till elections in 2024 (Apr-May). Banks gave good results except HDFC bank due to merger. Capital Goods and other companies posted average to average results. most of the stock screening shows to buy banks and NBFCs. only few stocks from capital goods and other stocks are showing promising results. pharma stocks gave outstanding returns and it is just starting. Stock Pick based on the Q2 result and projected growth of the stock is necessary. Q3 Results & Policy change need to be looked into for next year growth of Nifty.
NSE:NIFTY
by karthikss
H & S Breakout in Nifty, Feels like Euphoria Phase of Bull-run.Head and Shoulder like Pattern in formed in Nifty. Currently Nifty looks like overbought. RSI is also above 80 and it feels like Euphoria Phase of Bull-run is activated. For how long the continuous bull run can persist is difficult to say as market can remain irrational more than investors can remain rational. To have a sustainable growth a little bit of correction or consolidation would be good but you never know. Bull-run is called a Bull-Run for a reason. Major fibonacci resistance for Nifty is near 20920. Supports for Nifty are near 20695, 20518, 20222 and 19736.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View-04-Nov-23 to 08-Dec-23Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View-04-Nov-23 to 08-Dec-23 Nifty closed at 20227( Prev Week close 19794) and touched low & high of 19807 & 20295. Market Decisively crossed the 20000 and crossed the all time high (20218) and touched 20295. Pre poll survey result and GDP Q2 growth boosted the market. Monday will be gap up opening due to the state elections results. Current government having confidence in sailing through next year parliament elections. Hence one of the major risk expected is almost resolved. Market expected to move up to 20500 initially. RSI and stochastics levels nearing the overbought zone ( 75% & 97 % Respectively). Nifty- Short Term Resistance at 20450-20600 zone marked with blue circle. Those are trend line resitances and also the 20500 Target ( Red Horizontal Line) resistance is dervied from % of difference between pre covid peak ( 12400 ) and covid low (7500 ) and that % is applied from the 12400 ( Pre covid peak) is calculated to 20500. As Market near to overbought zone a downward movement to 20000 / 19850 is possible in coming weeks. Market is in overbought zone.Complete 30% Profit booking as specified before around 20450- 20600 and better to be with cash. Support at 20000, 19850, 19691 & 19528 Nifty Medium Term & long Term - Market need to decisively close above 20570 to reach 21000 target. Support at 19345, 19230, 19164, 19000 Long Term market range bound between 21000 to 18800 till elections are completed. Comment : Market Volatality expected to continue till Q3 results, Feb budget & till elections in 2024 (Apr-May). Banks gave good results except HDFC bank due to merger. Capital Goods and other companies posted average to average results. most of the stock screening shows to buy banks and NBFCs. only few stocks from capital goods and other stocks are showing promising results. pharma stocks gave outstanding returns and it is just starting. Stock Pick based on the Q2 result and projected growth of the stock is necessary. Q3 Results & Policy change need to be looked into for next year growth of Nifty.
NSE:NIFTY
by karthikss
Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View-27-Nov-23 to 01-Dec-23Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View-27-Nov-23 to 01-Dec-23 Nifty closed at 19794(19870) and touched low & high of 19671 & 19873 Last week Market was near to the resistance provided i.e 19856 level. RSI and stochastics levels nearing the overbought zone. Nifty- Short Term Resistance at 19875(last week high), 19923( Fib Resistance), 19996 (Prev High Shown in Green Color) supports at 19528 (Fib Resistance), 19365 (Fib Resistance), 19330 ( Prev.Low shown in Green Color) Nifty Medium Term & long Term - Market need to decisively close above 20000 to reach 20218( prev high) & 20500 target. Resistance 20000/ 20200 ( Prev. HIgh)/ 20500 Support at 19228 ( Prev low). Long Term market range bound between 20500 to 18800 till elections are completed. Oct 23 & NOv-23 Comment : There will be up/down in india atleast till Mar Apr. 19800- 20500 it will be g it will raise up due to elections. Global Situations( War) still ongoing. crude pricehave recovered from steep and lowered to 80$. Same thing happened in 2014, crude price trend, economy related issues till Pre poll survey-Election/ May 2014 and the crude fell after that drastically and economy of all countries started recovering, hence expect more volatality in markets till pre poll survey. As far as results are concerned little average except banks. Companies are affected by interest rates and to move a notch above the sequential previous Quarter ( i.e results are flattening). Q2 & Q3 Results Pre Budget in Feb and followed by q4 results also will give a path. This also will lead to high volatality in coming weeks. Market going to be highly volatile, please read the comments at bottom. As mentioned before ( past 1 month) continue to book 30% profit in the high valued stocks invest in value stocks. Banks gave good results except HDFC bank due to merger. Capital Goods and other companies posted average to average results. most of the stock screening shows to buy banks and NBFCs. only few stocks from capital goods and other stocks are showing promising results. pharma stocks gave outstanding returns and it is just starting. Stock Pick based on the Q2 result and projected growth of the stock is necessary.
NSE:NIFTY
by karthikss
Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View-20-Nov-23 to 24-Nov-23Nifty Short , Medium & Long Term View-20-Nov-23 to 24-Nov-23 Nifty closed at 9870 (19525) and touched low & high of 19413 & 19870 Market crossed the inclined resistance line provided at 19550 decisively and moving towards 19800-20000. 19528 Resistance and 19692 Fibonacci resistance provided worked well day before yday&yday. Again if it crosses 20000 then 20500 is a big resistance as mentioned above. RSI and stochastics levels nearing the overbought zone. Nifty- Short Term Resistance at 19856(Prev. High shown in red color line), 19923( Fib Resistance), 19996 (Prev High Shown in Green Color) supports at 19528 (Fib Resistance), 19365 (Fib Resistance), 19330 ( Prev.Low shown in Green Color) Nifty Medium Term & long Term - Market need to decisively close above 20000 to reach 20500 target. Resistance 20000/ 20200 ( Prev. HIgh)/ 20500 Support at 19228 ( Prev low). Long Term market range bound between 20500 to 18800 till elections are completed. Oct 23 & NOv-23 Comment : There will be up/down in india atleast till Mar Apr. 19800- 20500 it will be g it will raise up due to elections. Global Situations( War) still ongoing. crude pricehave recovered from steep and lowered to 80$. Same thing happened in 2014, crude price trend, economy related issues till Pre poll survey-Election/ May 2014 and the crude fell after that drastically and economy of all countries started recovering, hence expect more volatality in markets till pre poll survey. As far as results are concerned little average except banks. Companies are affected by interest rates and to move a notch above the sequential previous Quarter ( i.e results are flattening). Q2 & Q3 Results Pre Budget in Feb and followed by q4 results also will give a path. This also will lead to high volatality in coming weeks. Market going to be highly volatile, please read the comments at bottom. As mentioned before ( past 1 month) continue to book 30% profit in the high valued stocks invest in value stocks. Banks gave good results except HDFC bank due to merger. Capital Goods and other companies posted average to average results. most of the stock screening shows to buy banks and NBFCs. only few stocks from capital goods and other stocks are showing promising results. pharma stocks gave outstanding returns and it is just starting. Stock Pick based on the Q2 result and projected growth of the stock is necessary.
NSE:NIFTY
by karthikss
Nifty Short-Medium-Long Term View- 13-Nov-23 to 17-Nov-23Nifty Short/Medium/Long Term View- 13-Nov-23 to 17-Nov-23 Nifty closed at 19525(19230 )and touched low & high of 18312and 19550 "Resistance at 19529 ( Fib Resistance) and also inclined resistance show with arrow mark 19550-19450 range" Market exactly followed the resistance provided as mentioned above last week and closed on danteras at resistance ( target) provided at 19550. Market going to be highly volatile, please read the comments at bottom. As mentioned before ( past 1 month) continue to book 30% profit in the high valued stocks and be ready with cash. Banks gave good results except HDFC bank due to merger. Capital Goods and other companies posted average to average results. most of the stock screening shows to buy banks and NBFCs. only few stocks from capital goods and other stocks are showing promising results. pharma stocks gave outstanding returns and it is just starting. Stock Pick based on the Q2 result iand projected growth is necessary. RSI and stochastics levels recoverered from oversold zone in last 2 weeks. Market saw a steep correction 2 weeks before and after hitting the Medium Term Support ( 18800 level) it bounced backto 19550. Nifty- Short Term Nifty need to close deicisively above 19550 and move towards 19800-20000. Resistance at 19692 ( Fib Resistance) Else it will tend to lower down to 19327 support and 19160 ( Fib Support Levels) followed by 19000. Strong Support between 18427 ( Fib 0.5 Resistance) & 18800 Also there is a long term inclined support running from covid low which is around 18400- 18600 shown in the chart. MA 200 is at 18649. Hence buying slowly at these levels for long term can be initiated. Nifty Medium Term & long Term - Market need to decisively close above 20000 to reach 20500 target. Resistance 20000/ 20200 ( Prev. HIgh)/ 20500 below 18427 support, the next supports are at 18274/18000 Oct 23 & NOv-23 Comment : There will be up/down in india atleast till Mar Apr. 19800- 20500 it will be g it will raise up due to elections. Global Situations( War) still ongoing. crude pricehave recovered from steep and lowered to 80$. Same thing happened in 2014, crude price trend, economy related issues till Pre poll survey-Election/ May 2014 and the crude fell after that drastically and economy of all countries started recovering, hence expect more volatality in markets till pre poll survey. As far as results are concerned little average except banks. Companies are affected by interest rates and to move a notch above the sequential previous Quarter ( i.e results are flattening). Q2 & Q3 Results Pre Budget in Feb and followed by q4 results also will give a path. This also will lead to high volatality in coming weeks.
NSE:NIFTY
by karthikss
Nifty consolidating below 50 days EMA. Nifty is consolidating below 50 days EMA. Also note that 50 days EMA is the Mother line so the stock price below the same indicates that 50 EMA is a resistance(To Know what is Mother Father Small Child Theory contact us). Once this resistance is crossed the next resistances for Nifty will be at 19695, 19860, 20047 and finally 20215. Crossing and closing above 20215 will open the gates for Long Term Target or 21000 or by next Diwali even 22000. The supports on the lower side for Nifty remain at 19294, 19075, 18863 and finally 18663. Below 18663 Nifty becomes weak and Bears take control of the same.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
NIFTY Analysis/Prediction for tomorrow Expiry 09-11-2023NSE:NIFTY Analysis/Prediction for tomorrow If market opens flat or Gap-Up 🟢 Buy CE Above 19520 or after 1 PM if market in range ✔️ Target Should be 19635 🔴 Buy PE Below 19400 ✔️ Target Should be 19280 If market opens Gap-Down (Below 19400) 🟢 Avoid CE 🔴 Buy PE near 19420 ✔️ Target Should be 19280 Important Notes: 🚨 Gap-UP & Gap-Down more than 100 points wait for price action. 🚨 Gap-UP & Gap-Down up-to 60 points wait for a pullback. ⚠️ Wait for the 5-minute candle to close for confirmation. ⚠️ Trade Like Either SL or Target. ⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio. Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
NSE:NIFTY
by TheTechNifty