Sell off continues in Nifty. Strong Sell off continued in Nifty with major sectors like PSU and Private Banks, Public Sector companies, Small and Mid-Cap seeing no respite in mass sell off. In one way the sell off will cool down the RSI. Lot of these companies are seeing a cuts like hot knife cuts through butter slab. Amongst the fallen the companies which have given good results or seemingly decent results will be the first to bounce back. Saving grace was today Nifty giving a close just above 200 Hours EMA and just above or at par with mid-channel support.
Nifty Resistances from here will be at 21698, 21758 to 21796 (Strong Resistance Zone), followed by another important resistance at 21851. Above 21851 closing Bulls will be back to calling shots.
Nifty Supports from here on will be at 21613 (Very important support just round the corner, 200 Hours EMA), 21549 and 21459. A closing below 21459 will make the bears more powerful and will drive Nifty towards the support levels of 21351 and 21285. Bottom of the current channel is near 21100 below which market will be in total control of bears.
If we can get a proper closing above 21613 tomorrow that is if this level is not broken we can see a fight back of bears tomorrow or later in the week.
Niftyhourly
Trendline resistance 21800 works again to pull Nifty downTrendline resistance 21800 works again to pull Nifty down. This only shows that the strength of rally decreasing with extreme increase in volatility. There was a news of situation escalating in Middle East and US striving to take some action against the mess created by some disruptive forces in the Red sea. With this news there was selling and profit booking seen specially from the FIIs and Retail investors however DII remain net buyers and gave support to the market near 21500. How much support they can provide going deeper into the week is the question.
Nifty Supports will be at: 21500, 21448 (Major Support 200 hours EMA), 21258 and finally 21152. Below 21152 bears will start licking their fingers.
Nifty Resistances are ate: 21562 (Major resistance 50 hours EMA), 21660, 21723 (Major trendline resistance) and 21800-21820 range.
Market becomes a ruthless teacher today. Market today was in ferocious ruthless form today. Overheated RSI sometimes stays overheated for few days or weeks and sometimes like today cools off in a day. Yesterday the RSI was above 70 and today it is below 30 on the hourly chart. 21550 is a good support zone from where we can see recovery but it is less likely possible point of reversal. The possible point of reversal can be 21450 and 21397. If 21397 is broken the next supports levels will be at 2133, 21188 or 20999. On the upper side the resistances will be at 21687, 21754, 21796 and 21847. It looks like the start might be negative but later in the afternoon or Friday Nifty can try to stage a recovery.
Nifty has taken support at 50EMA and can go towards new ATHIt looks Like RSI on Nifty Hourly chart has cooled down and is set for another rally. Once the Nifty and if the Nifty is able to cross 20946 and close above it on hourly candle, we may see Nift rise towards 21026, 21125 or even 21254 within a short span of time. Supports for Nifty on the lower side are 20867, 20813 and 20763.
Nifty Respected our Mother Father Small Child Theory. Nifty on a third attempt today broke the Parallel chanel top and closed comfortably above 50 hours EMA (19568)(Mamma Line). If Nifty sustains above 19568 tomorrow it will turn positive again. In such a scenario the next resistances will be at 19645 and 19684. Crossing and closing above 19684 will open the possibility of Nifty 19798 and 19850+. Supports for Nifty on the lower side are at 19528, 19465 (Pappa Line) and 19423.
Look at the chart and think about our Mother, Father and Small Child theory which says. The small child (Candle sticks) run around like a small child set free in a garden or a play ground. Keeps coming back to Mother line (50 EMA again and again). In case of making new highs or difficult circumstances it comes to meet Pappa line (200 EMA). In case they give 'ashirvaad' or permission to fly it runs away from them with freedom. In case they dont give permission the helpless child will remain below their shadow. Mummy and Papa are strongest supports and strongest resistance for the small child. (small child being the candle sticks, 50 EMA being soft Mamma Line and 200 EMA being Strong Pappa line.
Now again look at the chart. There was a gap down on 2nd August...Mother brought the child under her shadow and told her husband..."The child is becoming very naughty please take care of him for a while...". Pappa has to oblige.
Only 4th August the child was set free by Pappa line after the child pleaded for Freedom but Mamma line this time very disturbed did not allow freedom to the child till 7th August. Again on 8th August Mamma caught hold of the child and gave possession back to Pappa. Today morning Papa again told the child (supported him but also scolded "don't be too mischievous go and play" so the child from then on was set free..). Papa also instructed the mother..."Let the child play". This time in late after noon Mamma has obliged and the child is set free to play again. If the child behaves properly this time and stays above Mamma line...It will fly/run further...
Nifty Not able to break Channel top smells Weakness.Another attempt by Nifty today to break the channel top was unsuccessful. Nifty made a high of 19634 which was channel top and from there we saw pressure build and resistance work. The resistance pushed Nifty downwards and the support of 19533 was activated and it worked well. Nifty staged mini recovery from that level and closed the day at 19570, which is just below 50 hours EMA. Unable to conquer the channel top and ending below critical resistance has activated Bears and they will try again to push nifty down. 19533 to 19520 and then 19459 to 19423 can again be support zones for Nifty as of now. A closing below 19423 will empower the Bears more and they can further drag Nifty towards it's final support of 19296.
Absolutely critical support levels for Nifty in range. Nifty will have three supports in range which will be like last refuge for bears. One is the low of today which already gave support in the closing hours to Nifty. i.e. 19292. Belos 19292 we have the support zone between 19202 and 19239 hopefully Nifty will bounce from this zone. If not...bears will start coming into action with a lot of energy. Lot of resistances for Nifty on the upper side. Prime Resistance being 19408 to 19438 zone. above 19438 the zone til 19604 will see a tough fight between bulls and bears. Above 19608 bull will again take control of the market.
Nifty Trying to break channel it was flowing in since 3 monthsNifty since Mid April 23 has been smoothly flowing in the drawn hourly channel. Now it has taken steps today to break this channel. Breaking an hourly channel of Three months is a very tough challenge. Relative strength index is also approaching near it's sell zone. Perhaps little bit of more effort can take Nifty towards 19800, 19900 or perhaps magic figure of 20K. For reaching 19800 or even 20000 levels Nifty has to sustain above 19700 levels in this coming week. Supports on the lower side for Nifty are near 19575, 19481 and 19316.
Channel Top Resistance Approaching For NiftyNifty has yet again reached the region from where channel top is near by. Channel top resistance can be in the range of today's peak that is 19595 to somewhere in the range of 19661. Supports for Nifty in case of fall will remain near 19464, 19422 (50 Hours EMA), 19360 (Mid-channel support), 19233 and final major support is near 19133. Closing below 19037 and channel bottom around 19000 will awaken the bares and will have potential to change the trend.
Higher High, Higher Low Pattern in Nifty. 50 Hours EMA is supporHigher High, Higher Low Pattern in Nifty. As soon as a new high is made lot of Profit booking is taking place due to which Spot-Nifty tends to come down but 50 Hours EMA is supporting the higher high, higher low pattern. If 50 Hours EMA is broken we may see some un-widing. If we see unwinding in Nifty the supports that will be activated will be 19393 (50 hours EMA), 19296 with mid channel support near by, 19233, 19133 and finally 19003. Below 19003 bears will be activated. Resistances on the upper side are 19477, 19514 and finally 19567.
Nifty has taken support at 50 Hours EMANifty has plunged as expected but during the last hour of the day took fantastic support at 50 Hours EMA. This support will again help Nifty to have another go at the resistance range of 19450 to 19525 zone. Before reaching this zone Nifty has to cross important resistance of 19419. Supports at 19359 and 19296 are strong ones.
Resistance of ATH Zone works again today and stops Nifty.Resistance of ATH Zone works again today and stops Nifty. As expected the resistance zone between 19437 and 19523 again got activated. Nifty made a high of 19515.1 and returned closing the day at 19439.4. End was just above 19437 which should act as a support no.1 for tomorrow. Further supports will be at 19419, 19399, 19337, 19296 and 19232. Again 19500 to 19523 will act as resistance zone. Crossing and closing above 19525 will open the doors for 19600 or even 19700. All eyes on the Speech of FOMC member Bullard tonight.
Supports and Resistances for Nifty from current levels.Hourly chart of Nifty suggests support for Nifty in the zone of 19268 and 19232. If 19232 is broken the next support will be near 19065. Below 19065 Nifty is vulnerable and can fall to the levels of 18859 or 18651. Below 18651 bears will awaken from Coma they are in currently. Trend changes to negative below 18651 closing. Resistance on the upper side for Nifty are near 19411. 19506 to 19551 will be a major resistance for Nifty as that is the top of current channel.
Momentum with Nifty, but it is approaching over-bought zone.Momentum is with Nifty, but it has reached or will soon reach the Zone which might be very close to the overbought zone. Relative Strength Index cooldown / consolidation might also be required for Nifty to scale further highs. If not tomorrow then later next week. RSI will do some catching up and Profit booking at higher levels like we saw towards the end of Wednesday can also surprise. Beware of the Bull trap in some shares with weak fundamentals which might also rise as if they are genuine dark horses. 19000-19020 is the resistance zone now. Top of the channel for current let of the rally can be 19080 to 19200 range. Support for Nifty is near 18945, 18887.6, 18839 and 18796. Bear right now are on Oxygen. Some signs of life can return only if Nifty closes below 18602. Till that time Bulls will be in firm control.
18646 giving a great support can the rally re-launch from here?18646 giving a great support can the rally re-launch from here is the question now. Usually when index or the stock finds a proper support and investors feels confident about the support, there is a possibility of restart or re-launch of the rally from that region. Whether rally will be successful like the previous phase will remain the question. However if the rally re-starts the next resistance will be near 50 Hours EMa that is 18733. Crossing 18733 the most important ATH resistance zone of 18795 to 18887.6 awaits Nifty. Supports at the lower side remain at 18646, 18562 and finally the bears wake up if 18421 is broken.
Nifty Dives below 50 hours EMA After Failing to Conquer ATH. Nifty Nose-Dived below 50 hours EMA After Failing to Conquer All Time High which was within the touching distance. The factors responsible for the fall can be attributed to Hawkish stance of FED before July FOMC. Hawkish stance of global Central banks and Profit booking near all time high. Relative Strength Index of Nifty (RSI) also needed some cooling down.
50 Hours EMA is working as an important resistance now and today low of 18647 will be important support for Monday. If the support at 18647 is broken Nifty can languish upto bottom of current channel and 200 Hours EMA which is near 18554. If Nifty closes below 18554 final support for Bulls is near 18421 closing below which bears will spring back to life.
Nifty in touching distance of All Time HighNifty is within touching distance of all time high. The final resistance zone is between 18865 and 18887.6. It is a difficult but conquerable resistance zone. Supports on the lower side are near 18700, 18639, 18555 and finally 18461. Below 18461 closing the channel will be broken and the trend can become weak.
Nifty at Mid-Channel Key Support Zone. Can it aim for ATH?Mid-Channel Key Support Zone for Nifty. Can it aim for All time high taking support from here? It is quite possible. Key resistances will be 18717, 18798, 18831 and finally All time high 18887.6. Key supports for Nifty 18672 (Major support which should not be broken). 18639, 18555 and 18512. It is mostly matter of time when Nifty will reach all time high, rather than will it reach all time high.
18768 to 18778 proving to be resistance once again. The Ten point range between 18768 to 18778 proving to be resistance once again. Nifty however closed above the strong support of 18728. Other supports for Nifty are 18656 to 18639 zone (Strong Support). Below this area Nifty has support only near 18555, 18465 and 18417. Resistances for Nifty on the upper side if it crosses the zone of 18768 to 18778 are near 18831 and 18887.6 (Previous All Time High).
Gap-up above Mid-Channel line & sustaining above it is a big +veGap-up above Mid-Channel line & sustaining above it is a big positive which most probably will take is to the channel top or near the channel top. Right now the resistances in front of NIFTY are at 18728 and 18778. Supports for Nifty are now same Mid-Channel line 18639, 18555 and 18465. Things look Bullish, positive and vibrant as of now...Looks like Nifty will try to give it a shot to reach All Time High...
Importance of mid channel line in parallel channel tool. Last 3 weeks or so we saw the Importance of mid channel line in parallel channel tool. Thrice Mid channel line supported the Nifty and Nifty bounced from there. When a support is taken multiple times mostly it becomes weak. This led to fall of Nifty below Mid channel line. Once the price is below the line which was a support. The line becomes a resistance. Mid channel line is now a resistance and the same line is stopping Nifty from going ahead since couple of sessions. It was an important lesson hence explaining at depth.
Nifty Resistance remain at: 18624, 18678, 18722 and 18778.
Nifty Supports present at: 18555, 18512, 18465, 18402 and finally 18371.
Again Mid-Channel Line and 50 hours EMA rescue Nifty again.Again today 'Mid-Channel Line' coming to rescue Nifty on hourly chart. Mid channel line and 50 hours EMA where both near each other and formed a dual support for Nifty and rescued it from falling further. Falling below 18581 will decrease the strength of rally and in this case the Nifty can fall more towards 18495 and 18433. it looks line Final support for ongoing bull run is near 18336. Resistances for Nifty are near 18649, 18690, 18721 and 18778.
Nifty Closed above imp resistance, holding above it important. Yesterday we had given 18721 as an important resistance for Spot nifty. Today it has closed just above it which is a good sign. It was not a strong close but it was a good close. Key Resistances now are 18778, 18824 and previous All time high of 18887.6. Supports for the Nifty will be at 18721 it is a weak support as of now. 18683, 18639 and 18572. Relative Strength Index of Nifty is above 73 and the chart is going in the area again where Nifty will soon if not tomorrow require a little bit of consolidation or cooling down.