Can The Major Support Zone Save Nifty From Falling Further?There is a triple Support zone that has been reached by Nifty. The Zone between today's low that is 23870 and 23692 has multiple supports of a trend line and Father Line of 200 day's EMA. Let us see if we have a revival from here. If that will be the case the next resistance zones will be 24019, 24175, 24416(Major Mother Line Resistance of 50 day's EMA) and 24529 (Major Trend Line Resistance).
If the support of 23870 is broken we will have to rely upon 23962 that is the major 200 day's EMa of Father line. If we get a closing below 23692 or the Father line. Bears will become more powerful and we may see them control the game. In such a scenario the supports will be at 23350, 23088 and 22828. So very critical weekly closing tomorrow. Shadow of the candle for tomorrow is neutral to negative.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Niftyindia
As Expected Mother Line resistance has come into playAs we had expected in Yesterday's message the closing below Mother line yesterday meant that Mother line resistance was supposed to come into play today and it did. Nifty made a high of 24394 and ominous mother line resistance was near by as can be seen in the chart and Nifty got rejected from there. Now Nifty is tossed into bottom searching mode. Today's low that is 24149.85 was a support zone and we saw a closing above it at 24198 which is the silver lining in the cloud. If 24150 is respected tomorrow we can start seeing some range bound upside. If the support of 24150 is not respected and we get a closing below this level the further supports for Nifty will be at 23904, 23803 or Strong Father line support at 23689. If 23689 is broken we can see a low of 23291 or so as of now.
On the positive side if the support of 24150 is respected by Nifty the resistances on the upside will be near 24311, 24435 (Strong Mother line resistance), 24627, 24793 or even 24960. 24960 is a strong resistance to cross but if and when it is crossed we can see more upside as Bulls will start calling shots above this level.
Thus the most critical supports are 24150 and 23689. Most critical resistances will be 24435 as of now.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Mother Line supported Nifty to bounce back from day's low. Nifty made a high of 24677 but then felt heat of the resistance and fell over 167 points until Mother Line supported Nifty to bounce back from day's low. Nifty closed flat to slightly negative at 24610. Closing -8.95 points in the negative. Closing above Mother line again is a positive sign with indices like Realty, IT, PSU Banks, Metal, Finance, MNC, FMCG, services ending in the positive. The laggard indices were PSE, Auto, Pharma, Consumption, Capital Goods, meida, infra and Energy.
Nifty Supports remain at: 24584, 24501 (Mother line support of 50 Hours EMA), 24328 (Father Line support of 200 Hours EMA), 24172 (Mid channel support), 24005 and finally 23869 closing below which bears can take control of Nifty.
Nifty Resistances remain at: 24641, 24693, 24759, 24858 and finally 24981 (Chanel top resistance) Above 24981 closing there can be another massive bullish breakout in Nifty.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Long Term Nifty Outlook with Macro and Micro Economic commentaryNifty after making a new high is in volatile consolidation and correction mode. FIIs are selling big on every rally and DIIs and Retail are seeing this opportunity to consolidate their position in Indian market. Amidst all the volatility Nifty managed to close the month at 24131.
Every investor is seeking answer to one question which when will FII return to Indian market. There are too answers to this. Simple answer is they will return eventually sooner rather than later.
A more based answer is that when opportunity to earn more return elsewhere will diminish and there will be sort of global stability. Right now Ukraine and Russia conflict has opened another chapter of uncertainties. Stimulus package from China to stabilize its economy is also in an ongoing phase. Iran and Israel conflict is also contributed to environment of global uncertainties. On the other hand Maharashtra Election result has tried or is trying its best to comfort DII and retail investors.
Bond yield in US and surge in crypto post US election and China stimulus has provided a temporary oppenturnity for FIIs to make big money elsewhere. These are the Macro and Micro economic changes which led to FIIs searching better greener pastures elsewhere. Thus when the dust settles a bit and Indian companies again start giving attractive Q on Q results, FIIs will come back.
Results this quarter from India Inc in a traditionally weaker Quarter were a little below par. GDP growth was seen at 5.4% which is again slightly below par which can send Nifty into further consolidation mode. So there will be recovery from here but pointing out the timeline is a tough call even for seasoned economists.
Now coming to the Technical chart, Support and resistance levels. We can not say for sure if the bottom has already been made when earlier this month which was 23263 was the exact bottom or not but it will be an important level going below which we can see free fall in Nifty. So that will be a level to watch. On Daily candlestick chart there is currently a Cup shaped recovery in progress. There are clear trend lines suggesting that top of the channel is somewhere between 28K or 30K in the long run. Base support of the trend line includes 23263 hence that level is of prime importance. Mother line major resistance going forward will be 24367. Father Line major support will be at 23572.
Supports for Nifty remain at: 23890, 23263 to 23230 zone, 22783, 22369, 21845 and 21310.
Resistances for Nifty Remain at: Zone between 24367 to 24570, 25214, 25653 and 26277.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Massive Gap-up on expected lines, Which way will Nifty go now?After Maharashtra results as expected Nifty gave a gap up opening and sustained above an important level to close the day but can the rally sustain or will it fizzle out. If Nifty can consolidate in the range and cross the important resistance of 24360 while holding the ground above 200 hours EMA of Father line at 24213 we can see a really very bullish rally in Nifty.
The supports for Nifty remain at 24213, 24135, 23948 and finally 23821. Below 23821 which is the 50 Hours EMA or the Mother line the rally may Fizzle out and bears will again dominate the scene. Resistnace for Nifty remain at 24369 important trend line resistance, 24530, 24673 and 24893 before we gain 25K levels and we can move ahead. Above 25K we will be in a predominantly Bullish territory again.
To know more about Mother and Father lines, trend lines and supports and resistances mentioned in the message and to find them on your own in addition to knowing more about Techno-Funda investing in a nutshell you can read my book The Happy Candles way to Wealth creation available on Kindle and Google Playbook in E-version and on Paperback edition on Amazon. It is one of the highest rated books in that category.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Escalation in Russia, Ukraine war spoils the Nifty recovery Nifty was doing quiet well and had a strong momentum going forward. On the daily chart it had gone substantially above 200 days EMA (23541) and reached 23780. Three of things happened after that.
1) There was a massive escalation in Russia Ukraine war where Putin approved use of Nuclear weapons if required. At the same time news of Ukraine hitting Russia with ATACMS US made Long Range missile. (Bloomberg reports). This is a massive event with long global consequences. Which might be parting 'gift' from Biden to Trump. (Probably to create a difficult situation for incoming Trump).
2) Nifty hit 50 hours EMA or Mother line at 23770. As all who read my posts regularly, those who have watched my videos, taken training from me and Those who have read my Mother, Father and Small Child theory know the consequences of the same. The mother line acted on and pushed the Nifty down towards the doldrums again where it closed the day below (200 days EMA or Father line at 23541) at 23518. This is a massive jolt and only time can tell if Nifty can stage a recovery again on 21st November 2024, Thursday. As we have a holiday due to Maharashtra elections tomorrow. To know more about one of the most accurate Mother, Father and small child theory which makes your equity investment easy read my book The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation available on Amazon in paperback edition. The same is available on Kidnle and Google Play book in E-Version.
3) Third possible thing was Bulls would not want to carry long positions with impending Maharashtra election results. The election is tough to predict with political mess in Maharashtra. Elections in India are anyway difficult to predict now a days.
These reasons led to massive fall of 262 points. This fall can disharten the bulls as well making the upward recovery difficult again. Positive closing in Green is the only good thing that we can take forward from today's action.
Supports for Nifty remain at 23350, 23110, 22796, 22499, 21890 and finally 21313. Below 22796 is a pure bear territory.
Resistances for Nifty remain at 23629, 23770 (Major Mother line Resistance which blocked the up move today), Post that there will be Father line resistance of 200 Hours EMA at 24311. After 24311 closing or weekly closing bear can take a back seat and Bulls will have capacity to pull Nifty above 25012 or even 25351 and above.
Disclaimer:
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Nifty at cross road of critical support. Nifty this week gave a closing at 23532 a fraction below 200 days EMA or Father line which was at 23542. It will be imperative for Nifty to close above it within next week for bulls to get out of jail. Closing above 23542 will not be enough as there are many more hurdles to cross for Nifty once it scrambles above 200 days EMA.
If the Nifty is not able to cross above the 200 day's EMA by any chance next week the down side supports for Nifty will be at 23360, 23054 and 22819. Out of these 3 levels, 22819 is the most important support as it is the channel bottom support. This current channel in which Nifty is travelling initiates from May 22. Which means it is a pretty solid final support below which there can be a free fall into intense bear territory. In this case bears can drag Nifty further down to 21840 or 21264 levels.
On the positive side the resistances for Nifty remain at 23864, 24265, 24565 (Major resistance 50 days EMA) followed by 24796 and 25436 levels. Above 25436 we can see a pure Bull Market again.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
30 Months Channel of Nifty suggesting Father line supportThe 30 month channel in which Nifty is travelling seems to suggest that we are near 3 critical support zones. We might see a bottom formation within this week or the next week beginning. Perhaps the pain of retail investors might end soon with chances of sectoral rotation. Let us have a look at medium to long term outlook.
As we have indicated time and again Nifty comes to meet the father line and take ashirwaad of father once in a while this is that phase. Last time Nifty came to take father line support was in October 2023. It has been more than one year now and it was imperative for Nifty to meet the Father line. FIIs helped in the process by selling enmass.
Three Major Supports for Nifty are:
1) 200 day EMA or Father line at 23542.
2) High before Lok Sabha Election Results 23352.
3) Parallel Channel Bottom near 22845.
Either of these 3 levels can be the come back zones.
Three Major Resistances for Nifty going forward will be:
1) 24040 Critical short term trend line resistance.
2) Major Mother line (50 days EMA) Resistance at 24608.
3) Shoulder of the Head and Shoulder Breakdown from where the free fall started 25436.
4) Other important resistances will be at 26277 (Previous All Time High)
5) Channel Top resistance will be in the zone of 27037 to 27705.
To Know more about Parallel Channel and Mother, Father and Small Child theory mentioned in the above message. Do read my book (The Happy Candles Way to Wealth Creation) available in E-version on Google Play books and Kindle. Paperback Edition is available on Amazon.
Downward parallel channel still governing NiftyThe downward channel still governing Nifty and crushing it at every giving opportunity through continuous selling pressure from mainly FIIs. However Bollinger Bands is starting to suggest that Nifty might be oversold. Supports for Nifty now remain near 23822, 23611, 23380 and 23197. Resistance for Nifty remains at 23968, 24088, 24167, 24388 and 24548. Every bounce so far has been utilised by FIIs to sell. DIIs however are on a continuous buying trail. This fall for long term investors with a horizon of 12 to 24 months can be utilized for wealth creation as Some of the large caps and Selective Mid and small caps are now started to reach mouth watering levels.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Nifty is trapped between Mother line and trend line resistance. Nifty is trapped between Mother line and trend line resistance. The comeback that Nifty made from lows of the day was good. Today's low was 24004 from there the Nifty closed at 24141. The resistance on the way up for Nifty currently seem to be at 24221 (Mother line 50 Hours EMA), 24339, 24541, 24587 (Major Father line resistance 200 hours EMA) and 24700. Supports for Nifty remain at 24086, 24004 and finally 23816. 23816 is a major major support right now holding it from a major few hundred or even a thousand point fall. All is good till we do not get a closing below this point. Shadow of the candle right now looks neutral to positive.
To know more about stop losses, trailing stop losses, Profit booking and investment, financial awareness in general, process of investment in Equity or Mother, Father and small child theory read my book The Happy Candles Way to wealth creation. Many People who have read it consider it as hand book and perfect guide to equity investment. You can read reviews of the book or purchase the same from Amazon. The book is available on Amazon in Kindle and paperback version. I am sure you are going to find it of massive use. Once you have read the book, I assure you that you will become a next level investor.
Disclaimer:
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Nifty Medium to Long Term Outlook. Nifty on a weekly chart seems to be in the consolidation mode. With important geopolitical events that happened around the globe and India Nifty is trying to find a firm footing from where it can launch ahead. The events like Ukraine and Russia conflict, Israel and Iran++ conflict, Indian election results, Haryana assembly elections, US elections proved very volatile for the market. Upcoming events like China stimulus package and Maharashtra Elections will also be key for the direction of Nifty while moving ahead.
Best case Scenario for Nifty right now following the Parallel channel seems to be 27796 towards the mid and end of First quarter of 2025. (We would have to be a pure optimist to think it can reach close to 28K in the next 5/6 months but you never say never).
Median Scenario can keep Nifty range bound and we might find it exactly in the zone that it is right now that is between 24K and 25K.
Worst case scenario for Nifty seems to be between 20 and 21K as of now.(This is a less likely scenario but you never say never).
Major Support Levels for Nifty are at: 23816, 23211(Major Support 50 Weeks EMA-Mother Line), 22711, 21813, 21343 and 20858 (Channel Bottom Support).
Major Resistance levels for Nifty are : 24589, 25241, 25796, 26277, 27120 and 27796 (Channel Top Resistance).
To learn more about Parallel Channels and Mother, Father and Small Child theory read my book. The Happy Candles Way to Wealth Creation Available on Amazon in paper back and Kindle version. The book is now available on Google Play books in E-version too.
Disclaimer: The views are personal and request you not to take positions based on the above data. The chart and the levels given in the message are purely for the purpose of education.
Most Global Markets Welcome Donald TrumpMarkets breathed a sigh of relief it seems on the victory of Donald Trump and rallied crossing important trend line hurdle. Now 2 important resistance remain to be conquered before Bulls can claim victory over bears. The next likely resistance levels that bulls will face will be at 24537 and Mother line resistance at 24748. (50 days EMA). Once that is crossed the next likely resistance will be at 25000 and 25217. Supports for Nifty on the lower side seem to be at 24333, 24170, 23816 and finally Father line at 23519 (200 days EMA). Below 23519 in unlikely circumstances the Nifty will fall again in Bear clutch and bear can potentially drag it down to 23201 or 22820. (currently this looks unlikely). Shadow of the candle right now is neutral to positive.
FIIs continue to weigh in on Nifty Index. Unblemished sell off from FIIs has dampened the festive mood of investors in the Indian markets. Looks like there was not much support for DIIs today as Retails investors might be busy with Diwali festival so FIIs today had a clear upper hand. There are signs of bottom formation and Higher high higher low pattern is formed on Nifty. Unless we have a closing below 24172 or 24069 levels, I think the things will hold. If we get a closing below 24K bears and FIIs can push Nifty further down to 23.8K or 23.2K levels. Thus supports for Nifty are at 24172, 24142 and 24069 levels. Resistances for Nifty remains at 24242, 24370, 24395, 24505, 24601, 24702 and finally 24811 levels.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
U shape recovery on cards for Nifty. There is a chance of U shape recovery on Nifty if it is able to beat Mother and father line resistance. Today we saw a swift recovery by Nifty after making a low of 24140. Nifty closed at 24466. That was a recovery of 326 points which is quite remarkable. The only negative point was the close which is 2 points below the Mother line resistance of 50 Hours EMA at 24468. With this close if we can get an opening above Mother line tomorrow and if Nifty sustains above it we can see further swift recovery till Father line of 200 Hours EMA which is at 24887 with a trend line resistance at 24613.
Nifty Resistances remain at: 24468 (Strong Mother Line Resistance) , 24613(Strong Trend Line Resistance), 24887 (strong Father Line resistance), 24917 and 25204. Above 25204 Bulls can come back aggressively.
Nifty Supports Remain at: 24349, 24173 and 24073. Below 24073 Bears can get very aggressive in dragging the market downwards.
To know more about Mother, Father and Small child theory and it's correlation to stock price and 50 and 200 days EMA read my book. The Happy Candles Way to wealth creation available on Amazon in Paperback and Kindle version.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Technical bounce in Nifty today, recovery can be a long processToday what we saw can be called as technical recovery by Nifty in the process of bottom formation. Actual recovery can still be a long process. Bulls can be back inn business only if we get a closing above mother line of 50 days EMA that is at 24898. 24898 is a critical level because mid channel resistance for the current parallel channel as well as Mother line. Whether Nifty can weather the storm and move ahead is only a question which time will answer in the short term. Long term investors can see current situation as partial entry zone for large and mid-caps which have given a good result this quarter or are giving a good result.
Supports for Nifty remain at: 23865, 23684, 23464 (Father line Strong support 200 days EMA) and 23626 (Strong Parallel Channel Bottom Support).
Resistances for Nifty Remain at: 24492 (Today's high and strong Trend line resistance), 24679, 24898 (Strong Mid-channel and Mother line resistance of 50 days EMA), 25221 and 25623.
Strong momentum and positive action has potential to take Nifty back to 26K+ levels. As on date even after strong resilience shown by Nifty FIIs are still on the selling side as they were net sellers of Equity worth Rs.3228 Crores. DIIs and Retail investors have been on the buying side at every dip. This is what is not allowing the Nifty to fall currently beyond 200 days EMA. Let us see who given in first. Very interesting tussle going on between FIIs and DIIs + Retail investors combination. Shadow of the candle for tomorrow is neutral to slightly positive but it is hanging by a thin thread. (Approach for long term should be cautious but positive. Approach for short term is still very cautious as we are not out of deep waters).
Today we received first signals of bottom formation. Today Nifty gave first indication of bottom formation after a long time. Will the bottom hold is a question which only time can answer. Nifty staged good recovery of 107 points from the day's low that was a positive sign. MMI (Market mood index) for Nifty on Ticker tape shows that Nifty is currently in the Extreme Fear zone of 26.5. Usually good money is made when you buy in extreme fear zone and sell in extreme greed zone. The supports for Nifty for the next week remain at 24102, 24703, 23366 and 22821. Resistances for Nifty for the next week remain at 24408, 24547, 24714, 24996 and 25338. Above 25338 Bulls can come back into full action mode and can take Nifty towards 25656 in the best case scenario.
The Critical Mother and Father resistance for the hourly chart are at 24547 and 24966. Critical Mid channel resistance is near 25338. Channel Bottom support is in the zone of 24102 to 24072.
To know more about Parallel channel and my Mother, Father and Small child theory read my book The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation available on Amazon in Kindle and Paper back version. You will learn a lot about Fundamental analysis, Candle Sticks analytics, Profit booking and behavioural finance from the book. The book is currently one of the highest rated books on Amazon in the financial analysis and strategy category. I assure you it will be worth every money spent.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Very weak candle more pain may be in store for Nifty. Today we saw a confirmation of a pattern similar to head and shoulders pattern. The pattern is not exactly the classic head and shoulder but it is similar which can yield similar break down results meaning more pain might be in store if next 2 support levels are broken. The low of August 5 that is 24055 will be vital zone for Nifty to take support and make a comeback. There are 2 weak supports before we reach that level. These supports are near support previous to that at 24407 and 24113. If by chance 24055 is broken the next support is there near 23811 followed by 200 days EMA (Father line) at 23428. Below this level there is pure bear territory as this chart is drawn on daily candle sticks. On the upper side the resistances that Nifty will now face are at 24711 (Strong resistance along with a trend line resistance). If this resistance will be crossed the next resistance is at 24879. By chance we get a closing above this level Mid channel resistance and Mother line resistance of 50 days EMA awaits us near 24995 and 25231 respectively. The Macros of Israel Vs Iran++, US Elections and China stimulus are the major factors affecting FII outflow. Indian Growth story remains intact sectoral churning near the bottom is a real possibility. Overbought sectors of Defense and PSU in addition to some Mid and Small caps are taking most of the beating. At some point their PE will become attractive and at some point their dividend yield will also attract investors. whether that point has arrived or will arrive soon is yet to be known. There are no signals of bottom formation as of now and Shadow of the candle remains negative.
Baby steps taken by Nifty towards road to recovery. Today we saw Nifty take first baby steps towards road to recovery. Nifty was seen rising from channel bottom in the hourly chart. One must note that formidable Mother and Father resistance are yet to be conquered. Nifty today was blocked by Mother line which is at 25140. Father line which is at 25262 is waiting to resist further progress of Nifty.
To know more about stop losses, trailing stop losses, Profit booking and investment, financial awareness in general, process of investment in Equity or Mother, Father and small child theory read my book The Happy Candles Way to wealth creation. Many People who have read it consider it as hand book and perfect guide to equity investment. You can read reviews of the book or purchase the same from Amazon. The book is available on Amazon in Kindle and paperback version. I am sure you are going to find it of massive use. Once you have read the book, I assure you that you will become a next level investor.
If Nifty is able to conquest Mother and Father line, the next resistances will be at 25475, 25644, 25753 and 25875 before Nifty is able to regain 26K levels.
Supports for Nifty will be at 24915 (Important Parallel chanel bottom), 24684 and 24478. In worst case scenario Nifty bottom currently seems to be near 23891. It is less likely that Nifty reaches here unless there is some escalation in Middle East or some other major global event.
Nifty again finds itself at make or break level. Mother father supports drawn on hourly candle are gone. Mid channel support is just breached. Shadow of the candle is negative. RSI finds itself at critical level in a pennant. Nifty is still oversold territory in the hourly chart. When everything seems lost we wait for the confirmation that Nifty can give about it's temporary bottom. The support for nifty as of now seem at 24667 Bollinger band bottom support, 24470, 24216 and finally 23942 level. Resistances for Nifty are at 24935, 25147, 25574 and finally 25740. The recovery might be around the corner we can expect a turnaround but probably towards mid-week, weekend or next week.
Nifty trapped between critical support and resistance.Nifty trapped and delicately placed between critical support and resistance. It is also facing a trendline resistance. More than these two factors the situation in the Middle East is also very delicate. Anything can happen at any point in time. Technical indicators are indicating a breakout or breakdown on either side with minute possibility of further consolidation too. So everything depends on the supports that hold and resistances that give way, if they give way.
Nifty Supports are at: 25745 (Very important support where consolidation is taking place), 25595 Channel bottom support and 25409 is 200 hours EMA support or the father line). Below 25409 bears can be in commanding state.
Nifty Resistances are at: 25829, 25879 (Major Mother line Resistance or 50 hours EMA Resistance), 25991 and 26077 will also be resistances when the Nifty decides to travel upwards.
Strictly do not trade/invest without keeping Stop losses and Trailing stop losses. Stop losses protect your capital and trailing stop losses protect your profits. To know more about stop losses, trailing stop losses, Profit booking and investment in Equity in general or Mother, Father and small child theory read my book The Happy Candles Way to wealth creation. Which is available in Amazon in Kindle and Paperback version.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
After making new ATH is it the time for consolidation?Three things can happen from here which usually happen when a new milestone is hit. Either Nifty can consolidate for a while, Either it can test supports till it find it's feet or it can fly ahead further. We should be prepared for either of the three happening. The best way for doing it is look forward to get new highs with feet on the ground. Feet on the ground will be having stop losses and trailing stop losses for your trade in place. Support level for Nifty are at 25863, 25668, Mother line (50 hours EMA) support of 25639, 25528, 25336 or even 200 hours EMA which is at 25170. The support zone between 25668 and 25639 is pretty strong. Resistances on the upper side are 26011 and 26114. Shadow of the candle is neutral to positive.
Fibonacci resistance acts up but can it stop Nifty?With lot of large caps picking up pace and delivering this week, Nifty has broke a lot of shackles and had a free run specially on Friday. Can it gallop further is the question.
Nifty certainly can as large caps are acting up to the task. Companies like M&M, Kotak Mahindra, HDFC Bank, Bajaj Twins and even Maruti Suzuki and lot of other large caps are supporting it. On Friday PSUs, Mid-cap, Small-caps and other sectors such as defence which had become laggards are also trying to turn positive but word of caution here is that important fibonacci resistance level of 25852 has come into play now. The same is also the trend top. This means 25852 will be difficult to cross. If at all that is crossed next Fibonacci resistance will be at 25951. Support levels for Nifty will be at 25684, 25615, 25551 and 25494 levels.
Trade cautiously with proper stop losses and trailing stop losses in place specially in case of Mid and Small cap stocks.