Nifty Trapped between strong support and strong resistance zonesNifty is trapped between strong support and strong resistance zones right now. Resistance zone is between 18639 to 18667. Support zone is between 18561 to 18582. Other supports if this zone is broken will be near 18522, 18507 and 18415. If the Nifty breaks the upper side resistance of 18667 the next resistance levels will be at 18721, 18778 and finally 18887. Trend changes to negative below 18262 closing.
Niftyindia
Nifty Trade Setup (05-June2023)This will be my personal trade Setup, This is not an advice of any kind to initiate trade according to this setup. This is for only for my learning purpose and maintaining my trading journal.
For tomorrow's Setup:
1.) If opens flat in descending triangle and breaks the triangle on upside then will buy for target of Resistance levels 1st at 18574, then 18616.
2.) If opens flat in descending triangle and breaks the triangle on downside and also breaks trendline support then will short for target of Support level of 18419.
3.) If there are any gaps up or down then will look for Resistance or Support and will trade accordingly or only after formation of price action.
Good Closing on Friday, positive to start the new week expected.Due to Good Closing on Friday, positive to start the new week can be expected. We might have a positive gap up start on Friday if there is no negative news on the global or local level during the weekend. The resistances to look forward to are 18600, 18662 and finally 18742. Long term targets are 18887 and 19200+ levels. Supports at the same time remain at 18488, 18325 and finally 18048. closing below 18048 has potential to handover the control of the rally to the Bears.
Nifty Closed well on a testing day, another test awaits tomorrowNifty Closed well on a testing day, another test awaits tomorrow as the world awaits result of Voting in US Parliament to resolve Debt ceiling crisis. Global indices are down and awaiting the result eagerly. Support that spot Nifty has is today' low of 18483 from where the Nifty managed to recover today. The support may be tested tomorrow again. Just below it we have 50 Hours EMA at 18467 which might also be tested. Below these levels important supports remain at 18416 and 18379. Below 18379 Bear cartel can get activated. When Nifty has found a strong support and if result of Debt Ceiling crisis by raising the ceiling the resistances will be near 18576, 18600, 18637 and 18662. We still live in a world where if US sneezes the World catches cold. (Indian GDP numbers were great and can provide support to Nifty 50 and many other stocks.)
Short and Medium Term Outlook for NIFTY on Daily chart. In the short Nifty looks little indecisive. I the medium term Nifty looks solid.
Couple of Dojis after cup and Handle Break Out for NIFTY indicates some tussle between Bulls and Bears. Where Bulls have managed to or are trying to free Nifty from a two year consolidation phase where Nifty was mostly between 16000 and 18000. At the same time Bears are trying that Nifty again falls into the Abyss and stays in the consolidation zone.
One 3 to 5% dip will come in the next couple of months before or just after Nifty reaches near or closes above All time high levels.
Supports for Nifty: 18584, 18508, 18372, 18225 and finally 18011.
Resistances for Nifty: 18661, 18736, 18784 and finally 18887.
Channel of Nifty leads to 19K but there are lot of hurdles. Channel of Nifty that leads to 19000 but there are lot of hurdles now. Some of the immediate resistances are near 18642, 18699, 18736, 18784 and finally 18887. Supports for Nifty are at 18584, 18552, 18508 and finally 18383. Things are evenly poised now.
Strong Close by Nifty on Friday.Nifty has given a strong closing on Friday by closing above the Mid Channel line. The nifty has given a close just below a strong resistance of 18509. 18509 was high of Friday above which the Nifty could not close. One way to avoid this resistance would be to open gap up on Monday. If we open gap up on Monday above 18509 levels, the next resistance will be at 18562, 18601 and 18678. Supports on the lower side will be at 18460, 18389, 18324 (50 Hours EMA) and 18197. Below 18197 Final support will be 200 Hour EMA at 18101. Below 18101 Bears will regain the control. If by chance during the week or later this month or next month we get a closing below 18101 trend can change into negative.
Good end to the day but lot of resistances to conquer The end of the day was good for Nifty as the Nifty bounced from the support given earlier which was at 18206. (Nifty went just below it 18202 Low of the day and bounced back substantially to end at 18321).
The major resistances to conquer remain: 18324, 18382 and 18455.
Supports on the lower side remain at: 18202, 18190 and the zone between 18075 and 18068. (Below 18068 Bears will become very active).
Nifty Not sustaining above mid channel support not a good omenNifty Not sustaining above mid channel support not a good omen for the Bull run. Somehow Nifty has to make a comeback in next 2 or maximum 3 days and sustain above Mid channel line which is around 18413 mark.
Right now Nifty als faced a trend line resistance which emancipates from previous top. The zone was too hot for Nifty to handle and it leaped back towards the support of 18323.
Supports for Nifty Will be at: 18323, 18275, 18206 and finally 18068 to 18040 zone. (Major buffer Support). Below 18K Bears start to loose control.
Resistances for Nifty: 18413, 18455, 18525 and finally 18601 (Major Resistance).
NIFTY Facing Mid-Channel Resistance. Nifty is currently facing mid-channel resistance drawn on hourly candles chart. Taking support at the channel bottom Nifty rose today but was stopped by the mid channel line.
Supports for Nifty remain at: 18267, 18240, 18206 and finally 18119. Below 18119 the major support will be 200 hours EMA at 18018.
Resistances for Nifty will be at: 18341, 18389 and finally 18450 which will be a major resistance. Above 18450 the channel towards 18600 opens up.
Power of Technical analysis explained in the chartPower of Technical analysis. So far, bottom of the channel is respected. Nifty took support at the bottom of the channel and is trying to bounce back. If we end in Green today and a little positive say above 18230 the rally will continue next week...Even if we get a closing above 18230 on Monday still it will be fine.
Nifty took support near 18115 and is trying to bounce from thereNifty took support near 18115 and is trying to bounce from there on the way up 18235 to 18270 zone which wich was a great support will prove to be a strong resistance. If that hurdle is crossed Nifty can travel back to 18308, 18346 and 18384 or even 18400+ staging a V-shaped recovery. Before that happens it is important to cross 18235 to 18270 zone.
Supports at the lower side will be near today's low that is 18115, 18040 and finally 17972. Weekly closing below 17972 will bring smile on the face of bears. In case that happens.
Nifty preceisely stopped at the indicated resistances yesterday.What was depicted yesterday was very similar to what happened. Channel top proved to be a tough resistance to conquer and Nifty today rested just above mid channel line at18286.50 We had very accurately indicated the support at 18284. This is as precise as you can get with Technicals😌😊.
Now What?
We have this support or the next support at 18267. If 18267 is taken down we can further fall to 18190 or 18140. (Next support levels.).
You can also see in the previous and current chart that invariably Mid channel line has proven to be support and NIFTY has bounced from here 4 times previously. So Let us hope we get a support from mid channel line and we can bounce from here. If we bounce from here next resistance will be 18340 and 18384. Interesting day tomorrow to see in which direction the NIFTY goes.
Nifty Flowing confidently in the 30 minute channel. Nifty on a 30-minute chart is looking very confident of staying in the upper half of the channel in which it is travelling. On last 3 occasions Nifty has jumped upon reaching the mid channel support of the mid channel line. Indicating that strength of the rally is intact so far.
However, on the last 4 occasions when Nifty tried to cross the Channel top it was made to retreat indicating a strong channel top resistance.
Nifty Resistances going further will be: 18455 and 18500.
Nifty Supports going further will be at: 18384, 18284, 18267 (Very Strong Support).
Nifty Short Term Outlook NIFTY is approximately 3% away from the top. Question on minds of most investors is: When will Nifty make a new high by crossing this Crossing this 3% hurdle. Crossing this 3% hurdle will not be easy in my opinion, unless all FII, DII and Retail investors participate in the ongoing rally. Rally has hit the resistance zone now.
It was a good week but going ahead Nifty will have to conquer 4 major resistances. These 4 Resistances are at 18393, 18474, 18609 and 18715. In case these resistances are not crossed there are chances of rally to fizzle out with supports at 18185 and 18053. 18053 is a major support.
Below 18053 bears will start calling shots. If we get a weekly closing below 18053 the next support zone will be between 17793 and 17529 (Final Major support). Below 17529 bears will be in full control again.
Nifty at a Crossroad againNifty is again at a crossroad. The following scenarios are at play now.
Scenario 1) From this juncture it can go from Point A to Point C directly i.e. 18315 to around 18600 odd.
Scenario 2) From this juncture Nifty can try to find it's major support and can go from point A to point B i.e. 18315 to 17500 odd. and then back to 18600 odd that is point C.
Long Term Target Within 2023: 19275.
Nifty Facing Resistance Zones.Nifty had a fantastic rally which might hit couple of hurdles in the form of upcoming resistance zones.
Resistance Zone R1 which is between 18283 and 18427. If this major hurdle is crossed there is another Resistance Zone R2 to be crossed which is between 18608 and 18715.
Support for Nifty will be at 18130, 18049, 17966, 17848 and finally 17794.
Panic selling on Friday but Nifty closed above critical support.Market Outlook For The Next Week:
It was a volatile week which saw ups and downs. Downs mainly due to huge sell off in HDFC Twins due to the rebalancing news of MSCI Index. The fall also cooled down RSI which has come down substantially. Closing of Nifty well above critical support level of 18029 shows that strength still might be left in NIFTY to rally again a bit further next week. Support and Resistance levels for Nifty for Next week are under.
Nifty Support Levels: 18055, 18029, 17936 and finally 17843.
Nifty Resistance levels: 18172, 18216, 18268 and finally 18425.
Will Reverse Head & Shoulders Breakout be a success? Market Outlook:
Nifty is on a roll and taking all the negative news under it’s wings and rising like a phoenix. The Mother of all bi-monthly economic events FOMC meet and decision on US Federal Reserve rate hike/Pause and US Fed chief Powell’s comments about the future rate decisions awaits to test its resolve. A positive looking Reverse Head & Shoulder like structure is formed on Nifty Chart as you can see below. We will know later this week if the Reverse Head and Shoulder Breakout is successful or not.
One thing is for sure that corrections are temporary but Indian economy, it’s strength remains intact. It may take time but Indian Indices do bounce back. Long Term Investors should trust the story of India and continue to invest for long term irrespective of whether the current Breakout or current rally sustains or not.
Nifty Supports From Current Level: 18124, 17966, 17888 and 17632.
Nifty Resistances from Current Level: 18180, 18252 and 18441.
Strength of the rally to be tested next week.After the much awaited break out of Nifty which was playing in the range between 17900 and 16900 it is the time for the strength of the rally to be tested. Nifty has to battle some important resistance next week to sail further upwards. All eyes will also be on FOMC meet of US Federal Reserves on 2nd May 2023. I don't want to sound pessimistic but everyone should note that this event has potential to become a party spoiler. (Looks less likely though as rally has crossed some important resistances but you can never really decouple your economy from what happens globally).
Important Supports For The next week: 17973, 17878, 17779 and finally the strong buffer zone of 17473 to 17687. (This buffer zone has multiple supports including 50 Weeks EMA, 50 and 200 days EMA in addition to some other supports).
Important Resistances: 18140, 18268, 18397 and 18481.