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Niftyindia

Again the same resistance zone pushes Nifty back.As described yesterday again the same resistance zone between 21964 and 22063 traps Nifty and pushes it back. Trendline is giving Nifty support and not allowing to fall drastically. The same resistance trapping the candles again and again does not help the rally and makes it weak. Thus the shadow of Nifty is negative. Resistance and Supports for Nifty are as under: Nifty Supports: 21870, 21819, 21652 and finally 21587. (Below 21587 Nifty becomes very weak and bears come in full force). Nifty Resistances: 21964, 22063 and finally 22127. (Above 22127 the door for our target of 22357 opens).
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty Trapped between good support and strong resistance. Nifty again finds itself trapped between strong resistance zone which present between 22415 and 22488. Above 22488 Nifty can fly towards 21522, 21660 or even 21743 within this week. But crossing the 50 and 200 hours EMA at 22415 and 22448 (Mother and Father line will not be easy). On the lower side there is a strong support zone between 21258 to 21152. Below 21152 closing bears can take control of the market and thrash it further down. Nifty is interestingly poised. Nifty Shadow is positive but there was a news of Three US Marines killed in a Houthi attack on US Navy vessel. The possibility of US retaliation and escalating tension with Iran is a clear and present possibility so investors have to keep a keen eye on that development.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
1
Mid-Channel Resistance again stops Nifty and pushes it down50 hours EMA (Mother line)(Those who know my Mother/Father/Small Child story can understand it very well) was a very important resistance to be crossed and held today but Nifty could not hold on to it after crossing it once. In addition to the 50 EMA there was also Mid-Channel resistance. which could not be crossed. Additionally there is a trend line resistnace, Nifty has to cross this for further growth. There was lack of volume and next week is a 3 day week so lot of traders/investors did not carry long positions. The support and resistance zones remain at: Support Zone : 21539, 21430(Very important 200 hours EMA) support (Father Line) and finally 21285 (Channel bottom support). Bears can tighten their grip below this point. Resistance Zones : 21600, 21674 (50 Hours EMA)(Mother Line), 21756 (Mid Channel resistance) and finally 21847. Above 21847 Bulls will strengthen their grip.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Market becomes a ruthless teacher today. Market today was in ferocious ruthless form today. Overheated RSI sometimes stays overheated for few days or weeks and sometimes like today cools off in a day. Yesterday the RSI was above 70 and today it is below 30 on the hourly chart. 21550 is a good support zone from where we can see recovery but it is less likely possible point of reversal. The possible point of reversal can be 21450 and 21397. If 21397 is broken the next supports levels will be at 2133, 21188 or 20999. On the upper side the resistances will be at 21687, 21754, 21796 and 21847. It looks like the start might be negative but later in the afternoon or Friday Nifty can try to stage a recovery.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Medium Term and Long Term Targets for Nifty for 2024. There are two trend triangles formed in the daily chart of Nifty. The larger triangle indicates the long term target for Nifty at 23098. The triangle within that which indicates the medium term range or target of Nifty tells us that current rally can peak near 22326. In the process of reaching these targets the support zones are indicated by the green lines and Mother, Father lines (50 and 200 days EMA) which are at 21743, 21486, 20988, 20880 50 Days EMA strong support (Mother line), 20542, 20268, 19857 and finally 19599 200 days EMA very strong support (Father line, 200 days EMA).
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Trendline resistance stopping Nifty again and again. Trendline resistance stopping Nifty again and again. Tomorrow is critical for Nifty as it is squeezing between the trendline and 50 Hours EMA. 50 Hours EMA currently at 21616 is supporting Nifty and Trendline resistance is stopping Nifty since January 24 as you can see in the chart. Very important for Nifty to cross and close above it tomorrow or in the next few days for it to grow further. If Nifty is not able to cross the same in next few trading sessions weakness can engulf it. Critical supports for Nifty are at 21616, 21544 and finally 21457. The movement in Nifty giant Reliance since last 2 days is helping Nifty close in Green. Tomorrow if Reliance continues its move, TCS with decent result moves upwards Nifty can break the trendline resistance and grow ahead. On the other hand HDFC is showing little stiffness due to become little exhausted, Infosys has given a below par result and these 2 are dragging the Nifty down along with some other players. Resistance for Nifty remains at 21680, 21718, 21768 and 21830. With supports and resistances staying strong some thing's got to give. Shadow of the candle seems positive again but things can change quickly with more important quarterly results coming and Nifty squeezing between supports and resistance. Big move on either side is also a clear and present possibility.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty Long Term Analysis, Observations and Conclusion. Nifty Long Term Outlook: (Little Long message but must read analysis for all connected to stock market). Nifty seems to be moving pretty solidly since 2019 in the long term channel shown in the chart. We have also intersected the chart with fibonacci supports and resistances for the Nifty. The candlesticks used are monthly. The Channel starts from Mid 2019 and extends upto 2026. Top considered for Fibonacci retracement is the pre-covid high and bottom is Covid low. This comprehensive chart gives us various scenarios to study. The same are depicted as under: a) Nifty is trying to sustain above the mid channel resistance. If the same can be sustained most part of 2024 will be engulfed by the bull run, barring some significantly negative macro or micro event. b) Considering there is a political stability in the country at least for next 2 to 3 years the best case scenario for Nifty in couple of years time seems to be near 30K+ and worst case scenario seems to be near 24K+. c) Next long term Fibonacci resistances seem to be near 22268 and 24305 respectively. d) Fibonacci supports for Nifty seem to be near 20389 and 18687. e) 50 months EMA for Nifty right now is at 16468 this should be a major support (Mostly Nifty can go there only if there is some global catastrophe or some unlikely event like party expected to win Lok Sabha 2024 loses hands down etc. Observations: 1) Mid and Small cap have been relatively doing well in recent past coming 2 years can be good for Large cap stocks. 2) It seems that there will be overall growth but secots like Pharma/Healthcare, Infrastructure, FMCG, Capital Goods, Banking and Financials might fare better than IT and Defense have had a long run and might relax a bit for a while. 3) New themes like Clean Energy, Aero-space some other breakthrough technology can disrupt the market space completely. 4) India with it's assertive foreign policy can create and consolidate it's place in global manufacturing. 5) Over all situation seems to be investor friendly. India is in the sweet spot of Global economy. History says that 2 to 5 Trillion USD journey for any of the global economy has had potential to unleash wealth creation for the investors. Conclusion: We feel those who can lean Techno-Funda Investing / Know Techno-Funda investing will benefit the most during this wealth creation phase. Question: So how many of you want to learn Techno-funda Analysis and become Aatmanirbhar?
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty Moving Swiftly taking the support of trend-line. Nifty Moving Swiftly taking the support of trend-line making a HHHL pattern (Higher High, Higher Low). Nifty might face little bit of a technical resistance between today's high 21675 and 21690. Closing above 21690 will open the gates towards 21799 and finally 22K levels. The road towards 22K after Crossing 21799 might not be as smooth as things have been till now. Supports for Nifty remain at 21599, 21476 and 21373 (Very important and strong support). closing below 21373 can take Nifty upto 21112 or even below 20K levels. Resistances on the way up for Nifty will be at the zone between 21675 and 21690. Major channel top resistance is near 21799.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty continues good show, ends above mid-channel resistanceNifty continues good show and ended the day above mid-channel resistance. Nifty right now looks pretty fairly placed to touch the previous high or end making a new high. Top of the currently looks near 21800. The resistances on the way towards top of the channel are at 21483, 21541 and 21592. Crossing and closing above 21592 will open the doors for 21800. Supports on the down side are near 21397, 21303 (Major Support 50 Hours EMA), 21113 and finally channel bottom near 20980. Trend will change to negative if we get a closing below 20696.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Possibility of V shaped recovery for NiftyNifty staged a good recovery. There is a further possibility of V shaped recovery for Nifty if it manages to close above critical resistance level of 21322. If we get a closing above 21322 tomorrow and there is no further bad news regarding COVID or some international factor in the weekend the next resistance levels will be 21418 and 21483. Final resistance before we reach 21600 will be at 21952. Support levels on the lower side for Nifty will be at 21231 (50 Hours EMA), 21113, 20980 recent low and finally channel bottom of 20849. If we get a closing later in the month below 20849 the Nifty can fall to 20172 and 20591. Closing below 20591 will be a trend change to negative. For morning as of now the things are looking good.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Reasonsing the fall support resistance levels of Nifty. Detection of New Covid variant set the panic button rolling. There has to be a reason for overbought market to fall. This news created panic or it was used to create panic. We never know for certain how big this will be. Everyone wants to be cautious. The markets were overbought on charts. FIIs were sitting on handsome Profits and Christmas time they usually encash the same to book profits. Show it in the account books. Usually they book Profits around this time / year end (Financial year end in the West). Show the profit where ever and if they want to / have to. Hence they book Profit. Also there is periodic churning and sectoral rotation. Which is necessary in my opinion even for the long term investors. Lot of Large cap stocks did not suffer / did not suffer as much as the small and mid cap stocks. We have been vocal about sectoral rotation towards Large and selective Mid/Small cap stocks since long time. RSI / MACD (Relative Strength Index/ Moving Averages Convergence and Divergence ) were indicating since last few days that markets are overbought. Hence correction on Technical grounds was also necessary for fresh leg of rally. What Next? Invest in fundamentally strong stocks which are looking good on chart. Booking losses is also part of the investment journey if required. (Specially if stop losses are hit). When to buy? Do not catch a falling knife. Catch the bouncing ball. Let the stock you like the most confirm their bottom. Bounce from the bottom and then you buy them. Market is always a mystery. If you look at FII DII numbers today. DII were buying the dip. You never know for sure when the market will turn exactly. This fall should have happened 10/15 days back. But in one day market can cover what it could have done in 10 days. In One day it can come back with a bang tomorrow. We should always follow the individual chart of the company. Book Profit where every we can periodically at least partial profit booking can be done. No one has gone broke in the world by booking profits. Sectoral rotation at times is also beneficial. As far as support and resistance levels are concerned. Nifty Support Levels: 21097, 21032 and 20849 are the supports. (20849 is rather a strong support). If 20849 is broken Nifty can fall further to 200 Hours EMA at 20546. Resistance Levels: 21236 (Strong resistance) followed by 21322 and 21483. 21593 (high of the current rally will me a major resistance now). Wait for the bounce do not buy the dip in a hurry.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Positive sentiment dragging Nifty further. Daily Chart of Nifty 50 suggests us that Nifty has hit the resistance zone. The zone between 21505 and 21665 is a resistance zone and has multiple resistances. Nifty continues as on date to be overbought. The reason of Nifty not falling is support from FII buying and multiple technical supports between 21352 and 21246. If 21246 is broken Nifty can fall to 21037 or even 20776 levels. 20776 should be considered a major support. If by chance we see a closing Below 20776 bears will get out of comma and can try to drag Nifty to 20502 or even 20178 levels. This should be the range of Nifty for the next 15 days to 1 month. Momentum of Nifty remains strong as on date and every dip is being bought. Such stage can lead to euphoria and investors getting trapped at higher levels. One needs to be very choosy in selecting the scripts while investing as always but more so in the stage of rally we are currently.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty exactly at Mid-Channel support looking to confirm bottom. Nifty RSI cooled rapidly and the index currently is exactly at Mid-channel support line. This line can act as a support but incase we do not get a green candle to start the day tomorrow the next support for Nifty will be near 21368 strong support followed by 21295 and 21237. If 21237 is broken Nifty can fall further to 21155, 21117 or even 21082. If some negative global news or the fear of New Covid Variant create panic and in case we get a closing below 21082 there is a chance of Bears trying to make a come back. Resistances on the upper side are at 21460, 21498 and finally 21546. The rally can for a top near 21604 if it has not formed a top already.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment