NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 04-Nov-2024Intro for Previous Day's Chart Pattern:
In the previous two session, Nifty demonstrated a balanced movement with multiple attempts to break the support and resistance zones, suggesting potential consolidation. The chart highlights key areas where demand and supply forces are likely to react. Yellow trend indicates Sideways movement, Green trend shows a Bullish trend, and Red represents a Bearish trend.
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Trading Plan for 04-Nov-2024:
Opening Scenarios:
Gap Up Opening (100+ points):
If Nifty opens with a significant gap up around 24,489 or higher:
- Watch for resistance near the ChCoCh Zone (Change of Character) at 24,489-24,533. If Nifty sustains above 24,533, it could indicate strong bullish momentum towards the 24,616 zone, marked as the “Last Intraday Resistance.”
- In case of a rejection from 24,489, wait for confirmation before initiating short trades, as prices may retest lower support levels.
- For conservative traders, it’s advisable to wait for a retracement back toward 24,286-24,265 levels before considering long entries.
Flat Opening:
If Nifty opens flat around 24,300:
- Focus on the immediate support level at 24,286. A successful defense of this support could trigger a bounce towards the 24,489-24,533 resistance area.
- If prices struggle to break through 24,286, look for opportunities to enter long trades near the “No Trading Zone” at 24,163.
- For intraday shorts, wait for bearish signals near 24,533 or if Nifty falls below 24,265, targeting the lower support at 24,020.
Gap Down Opening (100+ points):
If Nifty opens with a gap down around 24,163 or lower:
- Monitor the support levels at 24,020 and 23,958. These zones represent “Last Buyer’s Support for Intraday.” A break below 23,958 may trigger further downside pressure towards lower levels.
- If 24,020 holds, it could offer a buying opportunity with a potential target toward 24,286.
- For intraday trades, be cautious of volatility and await clear price action before entering positions, especially in gap-down scenarios.
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Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
- Limit your position sizes and keep a strict stop-loss in volatile conditions, especially post-Diwali.
- Monitor implied volatility as it can affect options premium significantly during high volatility sessions.
- Avoid chasing options trades if premiums have already inflated substantially post-market opening.
- Stay cautious around key levels to avoid whipsaws and consider taking partial exits at defined target levels to lock in profits.
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Summary and Conclusion:
The 04-Nov-2024 session may witness reactions at critical support and resistance zones, presenting opportunities for both intraday and swing traders. Wait for a clear break of levels to confirm direction. Sideways consolidation could occur near the mid-range, so be prepared for both trend-following and range-bound strategies.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is shared purely for educational purposes. Please conduct your analysis or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Niftyintradaysetup
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 31-Oct-2024
Intro:
On the previous trading day, Nifty exhibited a mix of consolidation and upward momentum, with notable resistance zones tested near 24,594 . Key levels for 31-Oct-2024 have been identified, with trends marked as follows: yellow for sideways movement, green for bullish momentum, and red for bearish sentiment. This plan provides strategies for different opening scenarios.
Trading Plan for 31-Oct-2024
Gap Up Opening (100+ points above)
If Nifty opens 100+ points above the previous close, it may test the First Resistance/Consolidation Zone near 24,594 . If the index sustains above this level, we may see a push towards the Profit Booking Zone at 24,694 . However, if it struggles to hold above 24,594 , expect a retracement towards the Opening Support/Resistance level at 24,320 .
– A reversal from the resistance levels could prompt a move back to the Support at Retracement at 24,163 .
Flat Opening (within 50 points of the previous close)
For a flat opening, the key level to watch is 24,349 . Sustaining above this point could lead to a breakout, targeting 24,594 and possibly extending towards the Profit Booking Zone at 24,694 . Conversely, if momentum fails above 24,349 , Nifty might move sideways around 24,320 or even test the lower support at 24,285 .
– A downside break below 24,285 could increase bearish pressure, with potential support found at 24,163 .
Gap Down Opening (100+ points below)
In a gap-down scenario, initial support may be found near 24,285 . A rebound from this level could bring the price back toward 24,349 . If the index sustains above 24,349 , bullish momentum could retest the resistance at 24,594 . However, if 24,285 fails to hold, a decline towards Support at Retracement near 24,163 is likely.
– Persistent weakness below 24,163 might drive further downside towards the Last Intraday Support at 24,040 .
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading
Manage your position sizes wisely, especially when volatility is high.
Consider deploying trailing stops near major resistance/support levels to protect gains.
Options spreads can limit risk exposure, which is particularly useful in a choppy market.
Summary and Conclusion
The primary focus for 31-Oct-2024 remains on the resistance at 24,594 and support at 24,163 . Traders should stay flexible with these levels and use disciplined stop-loss strategies to manage risks. Observing the price action after the opening will provide better insight into the day’s trend.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is based on technical levels and reflects my personal view. Please perform your own analysis or consult a financial advisor before trading.
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 29-Oct-2024
Intro:
On the previous day, Nifty displayed a upward movement from the provided levels in yesterdays trading plan and minor fluctuations within key levels. The chart illustrates potential sideways movement in yellow , an expected bullish trend in green , and a bearish trend in red . For today's trading, we will observe various opening scenarios and outline strategies accordingly.
Trading Plan for 29-Oct-2024
Gap Up Opening (100+ points above)
If Nifty opens with a 100+ points gap up, it is likely to face resistance near the 24,453 - 24,563 range, which is marked as the Opening Resistance / No Trade Zone . Observe price action here. If Nifty sustains above 24,563 , it may target the Profit Booking Zone around 24,715 - 24,759 . However, if it fails to break above the resistance, expect a potential retracement towards the Opening Support at 24,282 .
– In case of strong selling pressure, Nifty could pull back further, aiming toward 24,162 as a potential support.
Flat Opening (within 50 points of the previous close)
With a flat opening, focus on the initial 30 minutes to gauge market sentiment. If prices sustain above the 24,453 level, we may see a push toward 24,563 . A breakout above 24,563 will likely lead to a bullish trend targeting Profit Booking Zone at 24,715 - 24,759 . However, if it fails to sustain above the No Trade Zone , expect sideways movement or a dip toward 24,282 .
– Any move below 24,282 could potentially extend towards 24,162 , testing the Last Intraday Support level.
Gap Down Opening (100+ points below)
In a gap-down opening, monitor the 24,282 level as the immediate support. If it holds, Nifty may attempt to retest the Opening Resistance Zone around 24,453 . A breakout above this level could bring sideways or bullish momentum up to 24,563 . Failure to reclaim 24,282 may lead to further downside pressure, potentially pulling prices to the Last Intraday Support at 24,162 .
– Watch for price stability around 24,162 if it is reached, as this may serve as a potential reversal point.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading
Consider setting a defined stop-loss for each options position based on volatility levels; hourly candle closes can be useful for managing intraday risk.
Avoid over-leveraging. In options trading, position sizing should reflect the inherent risk and potential for quick price changes.
Utilize trailing stops to lock in profits if Nifty moves favorably. This is particularly effective in highly volatile sessions.
Summary and Conclusion
Today, focus on the key zones: 24,453 - 24,563 as resistance and 24,282 as support. A break above or below these levels could set the day's trend. Use a balanced approach, aligning with the prevailing sentiment indicated by the chart structure.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is based on personal views and technical parameters. Please conduct your research or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 28-Oct-2024Nifty Trading Plan for 28-Oct-2024
**Previous Day Recap**: Nifty experienced volatility yesterday, with a downward bias. Major support levels held around the **24080-24100** mark, indicating potential buying interest. However, resistance levels remain active, with **24,276** serving as a pivot zone. For today, trends are illustrated as follows:
- **Yellow** trend signifies a sideways market.
- **Green** trend indicates a bullish outlook.
- **Red** trend reflects a bearish sentiment.
Opening Scenarios for 28-Oct-2024
Gap Up Opening (+100 points or more)
If Nifty opens with a gap up of 100+ points:
- Immediate resistance can be seen at **24,276**. A break above this may push the index towards the **24,392** level, which acts as the Last Resistance for Intraday .
- Consider booking profits if Nifty approaches the **24,531 - 24,589** zone (highlighted as Profit Booking Zone ) as sellers might attempt to re-enter.
- If resistance at **24,276** holds and shows weakness, expect a potential pullback towards **24,143** for support.
Flat Opening
In case of a flat opening near **24,210**:
- Initial support is at **24,191**, followed by a stronger base around **24,143**.
- If Nifty moves up from these levels, the next resistance can be expected at **24,276**. Watch closely for consolidation in this area, as a breakout could trigger a rally toward **24,392**.
- A failure to hold support at **24,143** could signal a downtrend, targeting **23,998** and below.
Gap Down Opening (-100 points or more)
For a gap down opening of -100 points or more:
- Initial support will likely emerge around **23,998**. If this holds, a bounce is expected toward **24,143**.
- If **23,998** breaks, the next significant support level sits at **23,740**, marked as the Possible Bottom Zone for Current Trend . This is a critical level; a breach could lead to a deeper correction towards **23,590**.
- A recovery from this lower level may indicate reversal buying, ideal for intraday long positions up to **24,086**.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
- Always define your stop-loss levels based on the nearest support/resistance zones to manage risk effectively.
- Avoid aggressive positions in high-volatility scenarios like gap openings. Start small and scale up if the trend confirms.
- Be cautious of time decay when trading options, especially if the price is near critical support or resistance zones.
- Consider hedging positions if holding overnight, given the volatility in global markets.
Summary and Conclusion
For 28th October 2024, key zones to watch are **24,276** on the upside and **23,998** on the downside. A breakout or breakdown from these levels could determine the day’s trend. Remember that the market may consolidate before choosing a direction, and it’s wise to wait for confirmation at these levels before entering trades.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NIFTY Bears Roar! TP2 Hit, Momentum Building for More!NIFTY 15m time frame Short Trade
Entry: 24,827.10
Current Price: 24,565.50 – TP2 completed, moving closer to TP3 and TP4
Key Levels:
Stop-Loss (SL): 24,902.70 – Protecting against reversals above resistance.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 24,733.70 – Hit, confirming downtrend initiation.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 24,582.50 – Hit, trend acceleration seen.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 24,431.30 – Approaching the next key target.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): 24,337.85 – Final target for this move.
Trade Outlook:
NIFTY continues its downward journey, with TP2 successfully hit. Bearish pressure remains strong, and we anticipate the next targets being met as the market sustains its downtrend.
Nifty Next MoveNifty have formed harmonic pattern
we can expect a small down trend and after Rally
also the area is above 70% of the trend line formation so we can expect buyers in Discount area
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Nifty Plummets! All Targets Achieved in 15-Minute Short TradeTechnical Analysis: Nifty – 15-Minute Timeframe (Short Trade)
Nifty provided a clear short trade setup with an entry at 25006.45 on 16th October at 2:45 PM. The trade has been highly successful, with the price reaching all designated profit targets.
Key Levels
Entry: 25006.45 – The short position was initiated here following a strong bearish signal.
Stop-Loss (SL): 25032.75 – Placed above recent resistance to manage risk against a potential reversal.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 24973.90 – The first target was quickly reached, confirming the initial bearish momentum.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 24921.30 – Further downside pressure pushed the price to this level.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 24868.70 – The bearish trend continued, achieving this target.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): 24836.20 – The final target, marking a complete and successful trade.
Trend Analysis
The price stayed firmly below the Risological Dotted trendline, affirming the strength of the bearish trend. The sustained selling pressure helped achieve all targets, indicating strong market momentum in favor of sellers.
The short trade on Nifty has concluded successfully, hitting all targets, with the final target at 24836.20. The precision of the entry and the guidance of the Risological Dotted trendline ensured a profitable trade.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 24/09/2024Today nifty will open near 25950 level. After opening it will face strong resistance in between zone of 25950-26000 level. Strong upside bullish rally expected in case nifty starts trading above 26000 level. Downside 25800 level will act as an important support for today's session. Any major downside only expected below this support level.
NIFTY Podcast 17 Sep 2024Today, only 1 trade was taken.
- Initially the market was sideways, as 5m candles closed both below and above Opening Price - 25409
- The OI data was positive, but 2 departments were Bullish, so after taking look at the closer look at the strikes 25400 and 25450, the Put Writers increased, which gave us confidence to take the trade.
- The risk to reward wasn't 1:1, instead the target was Thick line, and with 5 points buffer the target was 25441
Notes:
- In such sideways market, it would be better to take Short Selling Price Action strategy to aim for 1% target and 1% stoploss.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 11/09/2024Today will be slightly gap up opening in banknifty. After opening if nifty starts trading above 25150 level then expected strong upside rally upto 25350+ level. Downside expected below 25050 level. For today's session 24900 will act as a downside support for nifty. Any strong downside only expected below this level.
NIFTY Podcast 28 Aug 2024Two trades were taken today.
1st trade was on OI line entry on 5min timeframe. It was taken with Credit Spread, because I was expecting the market to be sideways and also take advantage of decay in premium prices.
2nd trade was on Podcast levels, again with Credit Spread to take advantage of decay in premium prices.
Notes:
- Credit Spread works when market is sideways or there's 50% risk to be taken
Nifty anlaysis for tomorrow 28 july 2024 (Nifty Intraday Setup)Today After breaking previous day high nifty consolidated from 12 pm to 2 pm and failed to sustain at higher level.
And Nifty closed with a selling swing today.
So for tomorrow if with opening market created a selling swing then a bounce will be expected and day high break or price near high will be expected. Look for W pattern on 5 min.
(SELLING SHOULD NOT BE VERY SHARP AND BIG).
And
If Price move upside and take rejection below todays high & created a lower High (M Pattern on 5 mins.) then intraday low break will be expected.
NIFTY Podcast 26 Aug 2024Again on NIFTY, took only 1 trade with Gap up/down strategy.
1:1 target achieved right away in the second candle itself.
Notes:
- Closed early due to peer pressure of reaching or closing the targets. Next time, will mute all groups or channels to focus on the trade itself.
- There was another entry based on podcast strategy, but neither it hit the target nor it hit the stoploss. Second trade can always be debit spread or credit spread to avoid loss in the decay in the premiums of naked buying options.