04 Jul '23 Post Mortem on Nifty Yesterday I was quite ambitious to call the top at 19334 + or 80pts levels. The opening 45 mts and then the subsequent fall from 13.30 to 14.30 showed real signs of N50 running out of fuel.
But one thing that really proved me wrong was the intensity of credit spreads getting written at the PUTS side (bullish sign). Although there was lot of unwinding after 14.30, the issue is that CALL side credit spreads are not getting written.
If the run of N50 has to be checked we need CE shorts, aggressive big boys who do not run for cover. The lowest friction area for N50 to go is up as there are no resistances — thus making it a real tough spot for call writers. Personally I wouldnt dare writing ATM calls now even though I feel the top is near.
1hr TF
N50 for the first time in last 5 sessions closed the gap after a gap-up opening negating a consecutive spree of island day formations. The strong red opening 1hr candle stays lit and I am still inclined to keep the bearish view.
Niftyintradaytradesetup
Nifty Weekly Analysis for Jun 26 - 30🔍 Analysis on Nifty for the Upcoming Week 🔮
Jun 26 - 30
The Nifty index seems to exhibit a bullish trend in both long-term & short-term as well, according to the market structure.
📈 Key Levels to Monitor:
In the upcoming week, it's important to monitor key levels 18535, 18650, 18660, 18890.
🔎My outlook:
The outlook for the upcoming week’s trading suggests a directional view (Bullish).
📈 Bullish Scenario:
If Nifty breaks out above the significant level of 18887, supported by a strong and clear daily candle, it could indicate a bullish market trend.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
However, if Nifty breaks down below 18534, confirmed by a strong and clear daily candle, it may signal a decline towards the 18250 level.
📊 Support Level:
As long as Nifty sustains above the support level of 18530, the market can be viewed as bullish.
nifty daily analysis
Nifty opens:
side: if market give upside breakout after consolidation around 18830 then buy (PS-30% )
if market moves down then sell (70%PS)
gapup: wait for price-action trade on whichever direction it gives breakout(PS-20%)
gapdown: wait for further price-action and sell if breaks lower support (PS-100%)
nifty possible go down side from tomorrowAs we can see on the chart, the nifty has taken a lot of supports on one trendline and is almost about to break, and as we can see in today's market, bullish people entered and took the market as low as possible, so if they maintain this downside trend, the market will fall starting tomorrow(16/6).
NIFTY |NIFTYPREDICATIONTOMMROW|NIFTYANALYSIS FOR MONDAYIf Nifty sustain the level of 18500 and spend time and break 18515, then 18550-1875-18600
If Nifty break down of 18500 spend time and break down 18450, then Nifty 18400-18375-18350
This video is for educational purpose and my personal view .We are SEBI registered Advisor,we only give the level on our practical trading experience.
Kindly take the trade according to your risk and reward position and consulting your advisor.
NIFTY--Head and Shoulders Pattern ??Observations::
Left shoulder @18340
Head @ 18400
Right Shoulder @18340
and Neckline is observed at 18200,if price breaks neckline we will observe a strong fall towards 18120,18060 levels.
---------->> we have gap left @ 18060 level, price may goes up again from here. this level will push the price upwards again.
---------->> Be careful at 17960 and 18060 levels.
NIFTY-Trendline-Retest-Gap Down ??Observations::
GAP DOWN opens
---------->> Price broken the trendline and observed a strong fall, and retest is observed at trendline @18340 levels.
---------->> Previous supply zone @18200 level resist the price to go down.
If tomorrow price breaks this level, we will observe a strong fall towards 18120,18060 levels.
if price again breaks 18200 levels, 18120 level acts as a pullback to 18200 level, at this level previously strong sell off is observed, here
(18200-18120) if again strong push to the down side happens price falls below 18060,up to 17960 levels.
---------->> we have an untested demand zone @17960 will push the price upwards again.
---------->> Be careful at (18200-18120) and 18060 levels.
NIFTY--Fall Below 18260 levels (Expiry)??Observations::
---->> After gap up NIFTY clearly showing bearish pressure towards 18200 levels, if again price goes below 18260 levels, we will go for selling up to 18200,18120,18060 levels.
------->> If any one of these levels acts support price will again goes upside.
-------->> Wait for more confirmation at 18200-18180 range to break and pullback to 18260 or 18220 levels.
-------->> Above we have a resistance @ 18380-18400 range.
NIFTY OPTION TRADE FOR 200 POINTS!!!
We have a Correction as of now, Price is marching towards the Daily Demand formed @ 17482.05 (SHown in the Chart), This is the Demand area where the FIIs have their unfilled orders, Currently Price is in a Powerful 4H Supply and Price should decline from this area itself hence Buying 17800 PE for April Expiry with a Target of 381.50.
CHEEERRRRRSSSSSS!!!!! ENJOY THE RIDE!!!
NIFTY Monthly Divergence Indicates Bearishness for Months !!This is not to scare anyone ! But I have rarely seen any divergence on Monthly NIFTY50 chart. A monthly divergence indicates bearishness that might last for several months. Good thing is that, divergence has about 30% failures, and bad thing there is about 70% chances of happening this. My initial target would be about 15500 and further direction may be decided based on price action there.
Whats Happening on the weeklies:
Good thing is that, the early weekly candle appears it is getting rejected from previous weekly low of July 21. However, almost four trading sessions to go!!! Breaking these level would be more downwards. However, some pull back from this level is possible. The hourly chart below is also showing some bullish divergence, indicating some reversal from here. But God Knows how long that will hold.
NIFTY : Levels for 14th MarNIFTY broken major support yesterday and after that we seen bears are active full day. As mention earlier it may touch weekly support as already break daily support. Keep eye on it.
Levels are marked on chart for intraday. Follow price action and become Price action chart Specialist.
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Disclaimer
I am not sebi registered analyst
My studies are Educational purpose only
Please consult with your Financial advisor before trading or investing
I may be 100% wrong as its my personal trade.
First Learn and then remove "L"