Bears... stay a little longer. Will be interesting to see where we open. A gap up will my ideal scenario where we could short with a tight SL from the word "GO...". A neutral opening, again if we plan to go short, the position size will have to be significantly smaller. In case of Gap down opening, I shall wait for a retracement to sell into. That's the plan.
Niftylevels
NIFTY 780+ Points and RunningGUY!
Look what I ve been able to catch!
780+ points on NIFTY and still running.
Closed position partially. 25% still open position, Iam gonna let it run till the price crosses above the Risological Astra dotted line.
The Risological astra shows there is a little more room for a dip before a reversal.
Let's wait and watch.
Furthermore, the election results are round the corner, so expecting crazy moves soon.
I will update with fresh opportunities. Watch this space or follow my profile to catch moves.
Nifty trying to bounce after bottom formation. Nifty is trying to bounce after bottom formation. The bull rally can commence and the bounce can sustain only if the level of 21938 is held and we get a closing above 22070. In the case of up move after 22070 is crossed and held the resistances for future will be 22129 and 22188. Post closing above 22188 50 and 200 Hours EMA (Mother and Father line) 22236 and 22339 will be the next major resistance levels. Bulls can breath easily only after we get a closing above 22339. In this case the future target will be 22502. In case we get a closing below 21938 in the coming week the next support level will be at 21769. (Right now charts do not suggest that we can get a closing in Nifty below this point but in case we get a closing below 21769, bears will play major havoc and can drag Nifty even to sub 21K levels.) However this does not look probable right now as shadow of the candles look positive (Green) but you can never say never. Bulls have potential to fight back above 22070 levels and specially can take centre stage if we get a closing later this week or the next above 22339.
Dangerous H&S Pattern forming on Nifty.(Pending confirmation)A Dangerous Head & Shoulders Pattern is forming on Nifty charts.(Pending confirmation) If we get a confirmation candle tomorrow or if the support zones of 22240 to 22186 are broken and if we get a closing below 22186 there will be confirmation for the same. If we get a confirmation of Head and shoulders pattern bears will have potential to drag Nifty further down to 21962, 21769, 21543, 21142 or even 20968 levels in a short to medium term. In that case I will consider it a buying opportunity only. Things will start to become sour only if we get a monthly closing below 20968 levels. On the brighter side today Nifty has taken a support at 50 days EMA. (Mother line). In case bulls are able to take control from here on the levels on the upper side will be at 22488, 22592, 22691 and finally 22800 levels. If Bulls have to fight back it has to be in next 2 or 3 days. Shadow of the candles is neutral right now.
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Falling down ... Falling down!!Nifty spot and FUT, both settled at crucial levels marked in our previous analysis. This is the level that has to be protected for Nifty to stay "NOT BEARISH" at least. Now with an even in sight, I am not sure how it will behave. My previous narrative was that Nifty would stay at ATH levels and with the election result, would fall. But now it seems like there is a different narrative playing out. In the opposite scenario, Nifty should visit 21750 levels and consolidate there, to rally on "surprisingly" (Sarcasm intended) good results for BJP with a stable Govt.
Possibility of further downside. If we consider the high and low of the last day candle in futures as a range, a break in either direction can give a sharp sting that way before turning and going the opposite way. This is just a story that played in my head. And the probability of this being on the down side seems more likely. 22350 and 22300 may be likely in this case before we see a short covering rally.
Mia Culpa Shorters at 22800-900 range have proved me wrong. I should have thought of the "Retracement" shorters, who are essentially piggyback day traders who wat for a retracement to institutional bulk orders and punch in their own, hoping the levels hold. Plus the news of taxation, did th trick. In this case, we should either fly or Consolidate. Not fall further.
Short covering from the word GO22650. Who are these straddle writers who believe in the fables of the fall of Titans? Depending on the Pre market open price, we can see when they will run for cover. Not IF, but WHEN. Let us see if we can gather enough buyers to take out the fabled 22800 short sellers today. Most likely it might happen by the end of the day.
Strong higher high higher Low pattern on Hourly chart. Positive.Nifty is making a higher high, higher low, pattern on Nifty. Which looks very promising and positive. For going further and higher and into unchartered territory Nifty needs to hold 22625 or at least 22547. These two points will work as great supports too. Below 22547 the next supports will be near 22483 and 22379. On the upper side the resistance levels seem to be at 22709, 22881, 22967 and finally 23026. Shadow of the candle looks positive.
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 02/05/2024BUY ABOVE - 22600
SL - 22550
TARGETS - 22660,22710,22780
SELL BELOW - 22550
SL - 22600
TARGETS - 22510,22470,22430
NO TRADE ZONE - 22550 to 22600
Previous Day High - 22780
Previous Day Low - 22550
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
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Resistance zone between 22783 and 22755 comes into effect.After making a new high of 22783 there was a bought of Profit booking seen in Nifty. Two important international events of US FED Interest decision and CPI Inflation data are awaited so traders may have thought of being cautious at this juncture. Further bullishness leading to 22800, 22887 and 23026 is also a possibility but for that overcoming this important resistance zone is imperative. Supports for Nifty on the lower side in case of consolidation or further profit booking will be 22544, 22508 and 22358. If 22358 is broken we may see bullish grip weaken a bit and in this scenario bears can drag the Nifty further down to 22200 or even levels below 22000. The zone between 22544 and 22508 is an important support zone for Nifty now.
Nifty on the verge of a major breakoutIf Nifty manages to close above 22650 it will successfully cross the double resistance of a trend line and mid channel resistance. The next targets for Nifty in this case will be 22707, 22775.(Major All time resistance.) If this is also crossed successfully we may see new all time highs of 22887 or 23026 and more. Supports for Nifty are at 22544, 22448 and finally 22334. Below 22334 Nifty becomes little weak.
See you on the other side, NIFTY!There is one significant support that has to be protected this week. Any retracement will have to be absorbed around this area and Nifty will gather steam to revisit OR perhaps even break ATH. 22800 in FUT is where bears have big orders. Let's see what happens when we retest that area to eat up all those orders.
Nifty Delicately placed near the support zone.Nifty is delicately placed above the 50 EMA and 200 EMA support zones (Mother and Father support) which are at 22404 and 22316 respectively. This zone can act as a buffer and should provide proper technical support to Nifty. In case 22316 is broken Nifty can further fall to the levels of 22201 or even 21972. Worst case scenario as of now looks like 21784. If supports of 22404 and 22316 are respected we may see the Nifty rising upwards with resistances at 22458, 22545, 22625, 22692 and 22775. Shadow of the candle looks neutral with slightly positive bias.
What does Arrow in the chart of Nifty say? Arrow in the chart of Nifty is pointing in the direction of which Nifty intends to go in the long term. There may be some slip-ups in the short run but in the long run Nifty will be seen travelling in the direction the arrow is pointing.
Today Nifty returned from an important trendline resistance of 22625. crossing the same will be a little bit of a challenge. If we get a weekly closing above 22625 Nifty can quickly make new highs in the coming days with resistance at 22692 and 22775.
In case the mid arrow support is broken tomorrow we may see a down side with supports at 22545, 22481, 22430, 22380 and 22304. Below 22304 Nifty becomes weak again and bears can start calling the shots.
Shadow of the candle is negative to neutral as of now.
Strong resistance around 22447 blocked Nifty rallyA strong resistance around 22447 blocked the bull rally of Nifty today. If this resistance is not crossed the Nifty will try to re-test the supports. There is a strong support in the range of 22279 and 22312 region which includes 50 EMA, 200 EMA (Mother Father lines) and a trend line support. If these supports are broken we can see weakness which can lead Nifty further down to 22201 or even 21972 levels. If the Nifty successfully crosses and closes above 22447, further resistances will be found at 22510, 22612, 22692 and 22780. A frantic Bull-Bear tussle is going on and it will be interesting to see which side is able to call the shots during reminder of the week.