NIFTY Monthly Divergence Indicates Bearishness for Months !!This is not to scare anyone ! But I have rarely seen any divergence on Monthly NIFTY50 chart. A monthly divergence indicates bearishness that might last for several months. Good thing is that, divergence has about 30% failures, and bad thing there is about 70% chances of happening this. My initial target would be about 15500 and further direction may be decided based on price action there.
Whats Happening on the weeklies:
Good thing is that, the early weekly candle appears it is getting rejected from previous weekly low of July 21. However, almost four trading sessions to go!!! Breaking these level would be more downwards. However, some pull back from this level is possible. The hourly chart below is also showing some bullish divergence, indicating some reversal from here. But God Knows how long that will hold.
Niftylevels
Nifty Poised Nicely in the critical Week.Very Important week for Nifty and other global indices as Us Federal Reserve meets tomorrow. Global Market are looking for some respite, pause in rate hike or loosing of the hawkish stance and Global Baking systems are feeling the heat of unprecedented 500bps hike by US Fed in las one year. Positive news on this aspect will be greeted by global markets and we could see an all-round relief rally after the banking catastrophe that we saw around Silicon Valley Bank and Credit Suisse issue. Indian banks and Growth process undoubtable is on a robust path but we can’t alienate ourselves from what is happening around the world. Some analysts believe that in the long run India stands to achieve more from multiple emerging scenarios in the long run. Short term support and resistances for Nifty are at:
Nifty Resistances: 17144, 17225 and 17546.
Nifty Supports: 17061, 16828 and 16723.
nifty50 spot view in dcbNSE:NIFTY presently trading at around major support zone and as well as 50% fibonacci retracement zone, hence we may see a reversal move from hereon.
Disclaimer - This chart analysis is only for educational purpose. Do proper research before trade/investment or consult with your financial advisor. This expressed opinion/view/analysis isn't a trade/investment advice/recommendation. SEBI unregistered independent trader/analyst.
NIFTY : Levels for 16th Mar
Levels are marked on chart for intraday. Follow price action and become Price action chart Specialist.
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Disclaimer
I am not sebi registered analyst
My studies are Educational purpose only
Please consult with your Financial advisor before trading or investing
I may be 100% wrong as its my personal trade.
First Learn and then remove "L"
Morning Mantra - 15th March 2023Dear All,
We are just seeing the effect of the breakdown level of 17300. Wherein, it seems that Nifty is on its journey towards 16800.
On Monday, we had seen Nifty taking a support at 17180 . However, unfortunately the stated level of support was violated in yesterday’s market.
So, as of now, we will have to wait and watch for Nifty to either make a breakout of 17180 level , or to take a major support at around 16800 .
Till then be stock specific and be cautious.
Regards,
Alok Daiya
SEBI Registered Research Analyst
NIFTY : Levels for 14th MarNIFTY broken major support yesterday and after that we seen bears are active full day. As mention earlier it may touch weekly support as already break daily support. Keep eye on it.
Levels are marked on chart for intraday. Follow price action and become Price action chart Specialist.
Like, Share, Comment for regular updates.
Disclaimer
I am not sebi registered analyst
My studies are Educational purpose only
Please consult with your Financial advisor before trading or investing
I may be 100% wrong as its my personal trade.
First Learn and then remove "L"
NIFTY : Support zoneNIFTY is near support zone. now 17300 is very much important for Bull to support. it may be less chances but lets see everything is depend of battle fight between bull & bear.
Follow Price action purely and decide your entry.
Like, Share, Comment for regular updates.
Disclaimer
I am not sebi registered analyst
My studies are Educational purpose only
Please consult with your Financial advisor before trading or investing
First Learn and then remove "L"
Morning Mantra - 13th March 2023Dear All,
Finally, once again Nifty took a beautiful support at the level of 17300 on Friday. Also the Index made a beautiful bullish reversal pattern , called hammer on the daily chart.
Well in our weekly analysis , we are quite optimistic for the market as of now. However, in case Nifty breaks the level of 17300 on closing basis for panic creation , then 17180 will work as a speed breaker in between 17300 and 16800 level.
So, keep patience and be stock specific.
Furthermore, as of now, 17800 will once again work as a strong resistance for the market.
Regards ,
Alok Daiya
SEBI Registered Research Analyst
Morning Mantra - 8th March 2023Dear All,
The last 2 trading days were indeed amazing for the bulls , as we had got to observe a beautiful bounce back of approx 500 points from our stated support level of 17300.
Moreover, as we have witnessed in the last couple of weeks, the level of 17800 has emerged as a magical level for Nifty , which has simultaneously worked strongly as a Support and Resistance.
Furthermore, on Monday itself we had clearly mentioned about 17800 as a level of resistance for the Index and the same was accepted by the Market itself , as it made a high of 17799.95 , followed by a major supply from the stated level.
So for now, let's keep our fingers crossed for a positive breakout of 17800 level , for 18170 and 18400.
Until then, continue being stock specific and keep following the Cherry Picking strategy .
Regards ,
Alok Daiya
SEBI Registered Research Analyst
Morning Mantra - 10th March 2023Dear All,
Our stated level of 17800 had once again shown its magic as a level of Resistance , as it made a high of 17772.35, yesterday . Wherein, not being able to crossover, we had observed a major supply in Nifty therefrom.
Well currently, as per the day chart , we are expecting a minor bounce back in Nifty for today. So, it will be better to consider Today as a no trade day and to wait and watch for some clear indication from the market, since today is the last trading day of this week.
Furthermore, we are still with our words, that due to this consolidation in Nifty, now the levels of are 17800-18170-18400 . While on the lower side, below 17300 we can expect 16800 .
So, as of now, continue being stock specific and keep following the cherry picking strategy.
Regards ,
Alok Daiya
SEBI Registered Research Analyst
Morning Mantra - 9th March 2023Dear All,
What a beautiful day it was yesterday.
Wherein after a gap down opening we had observed a remarkable bounce back in Nifty, yesterday itself. Moreover, a perfect rounding bottom pattern is now clearly visible on the day chart.
Besides, finally we are on the edge of 17800, wherein it is quite acceptable that above 17800 on closing basis we can see another fresh move in Nifty towards 18170 .
Therefore, until then let’s keep our fingers crossed for this positive breakout and let’s continue being stock specific and following the cherry picking strategy, as of now.
Regards,
Alok Daiya
SEBI Registered Research Analyst
Nifty : Target done Nifty view shared before few days when it was trading near support. now its touch its target.
Now it can open positive & close negative on Monday or we can again see one swing in Nifty and then it is possible to give good move positive move in Nifty.
Tuesday is holiday. possible, it will take swing by Thursday.
Like, Share, Comment for regular updates.
Disclaimer
I am not sebi registered analyst
My studies are Educational purpose only
Please consult with your Financial advisor before trading or investing
First Learn and then remove "L"
Morning Mantra - 6th March 2023Dear All,
We have got 2 positive takeaways from last Friday. One was a beautiful bounce back from the level of 17300, and the other was observing the hammer formation on the weekly chart of Nifty.
Well, as we had already stated in the Friday's Morning Mantra that this time after observing a closing of above 17300 level, we can expect to witness a sharp recovery in the Market. Likewise, we did observe the same on the last Friday itself.
Furthermore, now the level of 17800 will once again work as a strong resistance level for the Market. Above which, the levels of 18170 and 18400 will be the crucial ones.
Besides, with the support of 17300, following the Cherry Picking strategy will be the best methodology as of now.
Regards,
Alok Daiya
(SEBI Registered Research Analyst)
Morning Mantra - 3rd March 2023Dear All,
Once again the level of 17300 worked beautifully, yesterday. Well, this can be a good opportunity for us, as a level of strong support for upcoming rally.
Today is the last trading day of this week, and we are quite positive to witness a bullish reversal candle on the weekly chart.
If Nifty gives a closing of above 17300 today, then we can expect a sharp recovery in the Market in the upcoming weeks.
In the meanwhile, continue being stock specific and can follow the cherry picking strategy for now.
Regards,
Alok Daiya
(SEBI Registered Research Analyst)
Morning Mantra - 2nd March 2023Dear All,
Thankfully Nifty supported the bulls once again, as it made a perfect bounce back from the support level of 17300, yesterday.
Moreover, on a positive note, we had also witnessed a beautiful recovery of approx 150 points from Tuesday’s (28th February, 2023) closing of 17303.
Well for now, we are still with our words, that 17800 will once again be a strong level of Resistance for the Index.
Besides, till 17800, we will continue to consider 17300 as the support level on closing basis.
So, continue being stock specific as of now.
Regards,
Alok Daiya
(SEBI Registered Research Analyst)
Morning Mantra - 20th February 2023Dear All,
It is from back to back 3 weeks, that we have been witnessing the positive green candles on the chart of Nifty.
So overall, we can state that as of now, there’s a close fight going on between the levels of 18170 and 17800.
Therefore, from here, either a breakout of 18170 or a breakdown from 17800, will decide the new trend for the market.
Furthermore, above 18170, 18400 will be our next level of target. Whereas, on the other hand, a closing of below 17800 will once again activate the level of 17320 as a support.
In the meanwhile, continue being stock specific and keep following the Cherry Picking strategy.
Regards,
Alok Daiya